I agree. Breakout age is just another analytic tool to use, not the end all be all. There's some good correlation with success and younger ages, but draft capital usually makes up for that a lot of times.Dynasty DeLorean wrote: ↑Wed Dec 16, 2020 1:43 pm I remember getting crushed for saying I didn't think breakout age was as important as others were saying. I didn't disagree that overall a lower breakout age was more ideal, but when zooming in at a micro level to an individual player, I find that breakout age is not really the thing that makes or breaks a player. If a player fails, they typically had other things wrong with their profile than just breakout age.
I think I dinged Aiyuk a tad too much (had him at WR8 behind Higgins and Pittman, but that says more about this draft class) for his breakout age when he was in JUCO anyway.
I agree with the sentiment that him performing in his rookie year regardless of situation around you is a plus. I also agree that it's tough to know how he will perform moving forward in a run first offense that might have a different QB, will have their top target in Kittle back and maybe Deebo will stay healthy for longer (doubtful). Very interesting to see what trades Aiyuk is involved in