Understood. My POV:Jigga94 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 20, 2024 6:37 pmI need landing spots of course and formats will matter a bit here (# of starters is equally as important as TEP. TE is much less valuable in a league that starts 10+ vs a league that starts 8)tstafford wrote: ↑Fri Jan 19, 2024 6:23 pmSounds like you are relatively high on Bowers. In SF (PPR, non-TEP) are you taking him over either Maye or Daniels?Jigga94 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 19, 2024 8:53 am Still hesitant on taking Bowers very early, but he sems as bulletproof a TE prospect as there ever was. I would not be surprised if we are talking about him being one of the all time greats when all said and done. I get that TE hit rates are rough and all, but I don't see myself taking Odunze over Bowers anywhere as of now
I mostly play SF/2QB and no TEP. Usually 8-10 starters. CW, MHJ, Maye and Nabers are above Bowers likely no matter what. I can see the case for Bowers at 1.05 though over Daniels if he doesn't get the draft cap or landing spot. I'm not convinced he's a top 10 pick, but we will see. He could go to a good spot if he falls a little too. Odunze is the other name most are taking over Bowers and I like him also, but WR are a dime a dozen these days.
I have the 1.05 in a league where I have built around QBs and WRs. I'm really considering Bowers here even though I've been against drafting rookie TE in the past. Of course will do my due diligence and trade out if possible. I just think Bowers is an Elite prospect and likely the best I've ever seen. Pitts was great. I liked Hockenson. There's been many other solid 1st round TE that have had wide ranges of careers. Bowers is on a different level imo. People are discounting the position (rightfully so), but has it gone too far? Is Bowers a slam dunk at a position that is nearly impossible to get an Elite talent? To have him behind Daniels or Odunze already seems a bit early to me, based on talent alone, but I can also see the case for them becoming the better fantasy assets.
I don't mean to be driving this Bowers Bus, as I've been trashing on drafting rookie TE for a while lol. I think he could be the exception to the rule though.
Bowers: I'm with you on him. He's an elite prospect arguably better than Pitts was. With the right landing spot he could be a terrific FF asset. I took him in our '22 rookie/devy draft in a PPR league w/ 0.5 TEP. Generally I don't want to take devy players who aren't eligible the following year (too risky). But Bowers was worth it. Looks like that paid off because at the time the debate was b/w Mayer and Bowers. Kincaid and LaPorta were not really on the radar broadly speaking.
TE for FF: The problem with taking Bowers this early is of course the risk. History is very unkind to TEs. The position is the most impacted by situation. If he goes somewhere with decent odds that he is the #1 or #2 target recipient, it's fine to take him as early as wanted. The guys who are at the top of dynasty ranks mostly fit this criteria. It's a wait and see thing IMO.
League Settings: Your point about the number of required starters is a very good one. In a non-TEP, start 10 SF league (w/o DST) the TE is relatively unimportant. Could surely win the league punting the position entirely. Just play TEBC with guys like Kraft, Chig, JJ, etc. Save the draft capital for other positions. In TEP (or start 8) it's worth investing more heavily.
I'm glad I have Bowers in my 1QB SC TEP league. Would have FOMO if I didn't have a share. But In my SF league (non-TEP, start 10) I hold the 1.01, 1.05, 1.06, 1.10, 1.11 and likely won't reach for Bowers. If he falls to me at 1.10, I'll take him. But that's not going to happen. Of course I will reevaluate all of this after the NFL Draft.