Running Back Vulnerability Index

General talk about Dynasty Leagues.

Select all the RBs that you think will see their value decrease significantly after the 2020 Draft

Poll ended at Tue Apr 07, 2020 4:52 pm

Aaron Jones
18
3%
Austin Ekeler
32
6%
Devin Singletary
44
8%
Todd Gurley
28
5%
Kerryon Johnson
62
11%
Le'Veon Bell
14
2%
David Montgomery
14
2%
Kenyan Drake
13
2%
Marlon Mack
29
5%
James Conner
69
12%
Derrius Guice
14
2%
Chris Carson
27
5%
Damien Williams
71
13%
Darrell Henderson
45
8%
Ronald Jones
85
15%
 
Total votes: 565

Farley
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Re: Running Back Vulnerability Index

Postby Farley » Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:21 pm

skinfanjon wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 5:15 pm
dmac37 wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 5:12 pm I must say I'm surprised no mention of Fournette. I have a share of Leonard but I think it is pretty obvious his receptions are going to go way down with the new regime. He produced numbers by sheer volume especially receptions, he was not efficient and I do not see Gruden using him like he was used last year. A 3rd down back or two will be coming to the Jaguars through draft or free agency.
Skins fan here. Let me tell you, Jay Gruden LOVES Chris Thompson. Absolutely loves him. I dont know if the Jags FO will listen, but I promise you he is in their ear trying to bring him in and if they do, he'll steal a lot of those receptions and 5-8 carries per game...for however long he stays healthy.
So Fournette will be fine for the other 14 games?

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Re: Running Back Vulnerability Index

Postby skinfanjon » Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:42 pm

Farley wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:21 pm
skinfanjon wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 5:15 pm
dmac37 wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 5:12 pm I must say I'm surprised no mention of Fournette. I have a share of Leonard but I think it is pretty obvious his receptions are going to go way down with the new regime. He produced numbers by sheer volume especially receptions, he was not efficient and I do not see Gruden using him like he was used last year. A 3rd down back or two will be coming to the Jaguars through draft or free agency.
Skins fan here. Let me tell you, Jay Gruden LOVES Chris Thompson. Absolutely loves him. I dont know if the Jags FO will listen, but I promise you he is in their ear trying to bring him in and if they do, he'll steal a lot of those receptions and 5-8 carries per game...for however long he stays healthy.
So Fournette will be fine for the other 14 games?
Well yeah, lol.

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Re: Running Back Vulnerability Index

Postby maxhyde » Thu Apr 02, 2020 9:14 am

Good list.

Only one question...value decrease significantly why bother with Rojo on the list at all? I mean can anyone even get a mid-2nd?

I like the idea but if they ain't worth a 1st now how much value can you possibly lose?
DLF HOF League 16 team PPR
QB: Brees, Bradford, Lock(3.07)
RB: David Johnson, Penny, Sanders(1.07), Montgomery(1.06), Love(2.07) Bernard, MLynch, Morris, TJLogan, Joe Williams, Shaun Wilson
WR: Jeffery,Cooper, Josh Gordon, Dede Westbrook, Cam Meredith, Brice Butler, Chester Rogers, Lockett, Switzer, Malone, Cain (IR)
TE: Gronk, Swaim, Maxx Williams

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Re: Running Back Vulnerability Index

Postby OhCruelestRanter » Thu Apr 02, 2020 9:21 am

maxhyde wrote: Thu Apr 02, 2020 9:14 am Good list.

Only one question...value decrease significantly why bother with Rojo on the list at all? I mean can anyone even get a mid-2nd?

I like the idea but if they ain't worth a 1st now how much value can you possibly lose?
It’s a good point. There’s an argument that RoJo is already priced at his downside. I still think his value craters further if TB takes Swift in the first.
COOGAN IS A CHEATER AND A THIEF

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Re: Running Back Vulnerability Index

Postby murphysxm » Thu Apr 02, 2020 11:20 am

skinfanjon wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 5:15 pm
Skins fan here.
My apologies
I am just a guy sharing some thoughts

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Re: Running Back Vulnerability Index

Postby skinfanjon » Thu Apr 02, 2020 11:37 am

murphysxm wrote: Thu Apr 02, 2020 11:20 am
skinfanjon wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 5:15 pm
Skins fan here.
My apologies
Lol thanks. It's not easy.

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Re: Running Back Vulnerability Index

Postby Kmani6 » Thu Apr 02, 2020 1:45 pm

If the bucs don’t draft a RB, and since they let go of Barber, RoJo could have a pretty high ceiling this year
Dynasty Team 1:

10 Man, Full PPR, .2 PPC, Double Flex

QB: Kyler Murray
RB: Saquon Barkley , Breece Hall, Swift, Dobbins, Gibson, CEH
WR: Devante Adams, Tyreek Hill, Jamarr Chase, DK Metcalf, Devonta Smith, Jerry Jeudy
TE: Travis Kelce

2023 Picks: 1.4, 1.8, 2.9, 3.2, 3.6, 3.8

Dynasty Team 2:

10 Man, Half PPR, Double Flex

QB: Tua
RB: Barkley , Mixon, Javonte, Jacobs, CEH
WR: AJB, Tyreek, Lamb, Aiyuk, Bateman
TE: Kittle

2022 Picks: 1.5, 1.6, 2.3
2023 Picks: 2 x 1st, 2 x 2nd

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Re: Running Back Vulnerability Index

Postby CGW » Thu Apr 02, 2020 3:01 pm

Kmani6 wrote: Thu Apr 02, 2020 1:45 pm If the bucs don’t draft a RB, and since they let go of Barber, RoJo could have a pretty high ceiling this year
That is very true. Lots of upside lots of downside. He's a hold for me at his current price. 99% of people think he's getting replaced, so his price already reflects that.
12 Team | SF | PPR | 6pt pass TD
QB, RB, RB, WR, WR, WR, TE, FL, SF

QB | Burrow
RB |
WR | Puka, Olave, Smith, Flowers, Dotson, Addison
TE | Pitts, Otton, Bellinger, Likely, Okonkwo
2024 | 1.01, 1.02, 4.01, 5.01
2025
| 1stx3, 3rdx3

10 Team | SF | PPR | 2023 Champ
QB, RB, RB, WR, WR, WR, TE, FL, SF

QB | Allen, Stroud, Young
RB | K Williams, White, Monty, Herbert, Chandler
WR | Lamb, AJB, Puka, Waddle, Mooney, J. Williams, Watson, Davis
TE | Andrews, Bellinger, Dulcich
2024 | 1.04, 3.10

12 Team | SF | PPR | 1.5TEP | 6pt pass TD
QB, RB, RB, WR, WR, WR, TE, FL, FL, SF

QB | Herbert Lance
RB | ETN, Pacheco, K Williams, Singletary, Henry, A Jones, Warren
WR | ARSB, Wilson, Olave, DK, Puka, Flowers, Downs,
TE | Hockenson, Likely, Otton

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Re: Running Back Vulnerability Index

Postby Cameron Giles » Thu Apr 02, 2020 4:44 pm

Kmani6 wrote: Thu Apr 02, 2020 1:45 pm If the bucs don’t draft a RB, and since they let go of Barber, RoJo could have a pretty high ceiling this year
Bucs RB room:

Ronald Jones
T.J. Logan
Dare Ogunbowale
Aca'Cedric Ware?

Crazier things have happened, but it seems like a lock that the Buccaneers draft an RB.

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Re: Running Back Vulnerability Index

Postby ericanadian » Thu Apr 02, 2020 4:46 pm

CGW wrote: Thu Apr 02, 2020 3:01 pm
Kmani6 wrote: Thu Apr 02, 2020 1:45 pm If the bucs don’t draft a RB, and since they let go of Barber, RoJo could have a pretty high ceiling this year
That is very true. Lots of upside lots of downside. He's a hold for me at his current price. 99% of people think he's getting replaced, so his price already reflects that.
It’s not necessarily even that he’s going to be replaced. The team is 100% bringing someone else in and specifically looking for a passing down specialist, but is not limiting themselves to just that. Its hard to believe that the someone else would be less of a threat than Barber and Rojo struggled to even pass him.
All I Der Is Win - 16 Team IDP League (Pass TD 6pts)

QB - Stafford, Stroud, Tune
RB - Swift, Hall, Penny, Bigsby, Ford
WR - Pittman, Olave, Di. Johnson, G. Wilson, J. Williams, Metchie, Robinson, M. Wilson
TE - Okonkwo, Schoonmaker
LB - Brooks, R. Smith, Phillips
DL - Crosby, Allen, Simmons
DB - D. James, Baker, Delpit
K - Just a stupid kicker

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Re: Running Back Vulnerability Index

Postby Jigga94 » Thu Apr 02, 2020 8:37 pm

Which FA RB are left?

Pullo Vision
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Re: Running Back Vulnerability Index

Postby Pullo Vision » Thu Apr 02, 2020 9:38 pm

Jigga94 wrote: Thu Apr 02, 2020 8:37 pm Which FA RB are left?
https://www.rotoworld.com/article/free- ... -tracker-0

Depends on what you're looking for, but DFree, Hyde,Lamar Miller, Theo Riddick, Chris Thompson, Frank Gore, LeSean McCoy, Bilal Powell are eye catching. That ignores cut or trade candidates such as (potentially) Rex Burkhead.
League #1- 14 tm ppr, 1Q, 2R, 3W, 1T, 1 R/W/T, 1K
1 DT, 2 DE, 2 LB, 1 CB, 1 S, 1 flex

League #2- 12 team PPR, 1Q, 1R, 2W, 1T, 1 R/W/T, 1 W/R/T, 1 Def

League #3- 12 tm PPR, 1Q, 0R (yes, ZERO RB) 3W, 1T, 2 R/W/T flex, 1 Def

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Re: Running Back Vulnerability Index

Postby ericanadian » Thu Apr 02, 2020 10:19 pm

Pullo Vision wrote: Thu Apr 02, 2020 9:38 pm
Jigga94 wrote: Thu Apr 02, 2020 8:37 pm Which FA RB are left?
https://www.rotoworld.com/article/free- ... -tracker-0

Depends on what you're looking for, but DFree, Hyde,Lamar Miller, Theo Riddick, Chris Thompson, Frank Gore, LeSean McCoy, Bilal Powell are eye catching. That ignores cut or trade candidates such as (potentially) Rex Burkhead.
Would add Booker and Washington as well.
All I Der Is Win - 16 Team IDP League (Pass TD 6pts)

QB - Stafford, Stroud, Tune
RB - Swift, Hall, Penny, Bigsby, Ford
WR - Pittman, Olave, Di. Johnson, G. Wilson, J. Williams, Metchie, Robinson, M. Wilson
TE - Okonkwo, Schoonmaker
LB - Brooks, R. Smith, Phillips
DL - Crosby, Allen, Simmons
DB - D. James, Baker, Delpit
K - Just a stupid kicker

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Re: Running Back Vulnerability Index

Postby MrUbuto » Fri Apr 03, 2020 12:20 am

Aaron Jones
I think jones is actually UNDERRATED and I dont see GB spending high draft capital on a RB, they need recievers more

3%Austin Ekeler
Loss of gordon is a big plus, losing rivers is a negative. Maybe a small decrease but not much. Chance they draft a new RB

5%Devin Singletary
Honestly just don't think I'm overly talented

8%Todd Gurley
New surrounds, team tre ding up not down Better QB, better wrs. Indoor and back in georgia. Could be a special season

5%Kerryon Johnson
Underrated as it is

10%Le'Veon Bell
He got paid, he's down. Probably grind out his contract with mediocre seasons

3%David Montgomery
See singletary

3%Kenyan Drake
Goona be a big year for this guy. I liked him a lot out of college but hes even surpassed my wildest expectations

2%Marlon Mack
Dont see how indy won't grab a top back, they seem to be in a win now mode

4%James Conner
Never thought he could carry the load as a lead back. Pitt will definitely replace him in the 2nd

12%Derrius Guice
I have no freaking idea - a push

3%Chris Carson
He's a JAG and I dont mean a jaguar

5%Damien Williams
He'll be splitting Carrie's in a time share

12%Darrell Henderson
I am the leader of the don't draft Henderson in the 1st round of a rookie draft. But with Gurley gone and no 1st or 2nds itsiterally impossible his stock hasnt risen

8%Ronald Jones
See singletary and add 300%
QB - DWatson(HOU)Minshew(JAX)Darnold(NYJ)
RB -NChubb(CLE)DHenry(TEN)JTaylor(IND)Gurley(ATL)
WR -DHopkins(ARI)ACooper(DAL)CGodwin(TB)OBJ(CLE)
TE - HHenry(SD)DGoeddart(PHI)
K - Zurlien(LAR)Crosby(GB)
Def - ARI DAL
[rookie] Haskins(WAS)DSwift(DET)Jefferson(MIN)MHardman(KC)
7th pick in 2021

Rosters must always be 3qbs 4wrs 4rbs 2tes 2kickers 2dst and protected players don't take up a roster spot, but are only for rookie/2nd-year players that were drafted

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Re: Running Back Vulnerability Index

Postby FantasyFreak » Fri Apr 03, 2020 12:52 am

MrUbuto wrote: Fri Apr 03, 2020 12:20 am Aaron Jones
I think jones is actually UNDERRATED and I dont see GB spending high draft capital on a RB, they need recievers more

3%Austin Ekeler
Loss of gordon is a big plus, losing rivers is a negative. Maybe a small decrease but not much. Chance they draft a new RB

5%Devin Singletary
Honestly just don't think I'm overly talented

8%Todd Gurley
New surrounds, team tre ding up not down Better QB, better wrs. Indoor and back in georgia. Could be a special season


5%Kerryon Johnson
Underrated as it is


10%Le'Veon Bell
He got paid, he's down. Probably grind out his contract with mediocre seasons

3%David Montgomery
See singletary

3%Kenyan Drake
Goona be a big year for this guy. I liked him a lot out of college but hes even surpassed my wildest expectations

2%Marlon Mack
Dont see how indy won't grab a top back, they seem to be in a win now mode


4%James Conner
Never thought he could carry the load as a lead back. Pitt will definitely replace him in the 2nd

12%Derrius Guice
I have no freaking idea - a push

3%Chris Carson
He's a JAG and I dont mean a jaguar

5%Damien Williams
He'll be splitting Carrie's in a time share

12%Darrell Henderson
I am the leader of the don't draft Henderson in the 1st round of a rookie draft. But with Gurley gone and no 1st or 2nds itsiterally impossible his stock hasnt risen

8%Ronald Jones
See singletary and add 300%
The 3 in bold I don't see. Everything I hear from Indy is they are quite happy with Mack. I'd be shocked if they drafted a back in the 2nd or 3rd round. WR is a much bigger need for them, and this class is loaded with depth that would suit them at that stage of the draft.

Gurley being on turf isn't going to help his knee, and the idea of a special season is a pipe dream for Gurley owners, sorry.

KJ isn't a lead back in the NFL. He's a committee back. The Lions need to address the position, and most likely will, as they don't have much behind KJ. Both the Lions and Falcons coach, and GM are being told put up or shut up by ownership. I expect both teams to draft a back. I can't see Quinn and Dimotroff pinning their jobs on Gurley without a signifcant back to be part of that RB room. There is nothing behind him, and if he goes down or his knee starts swelling up again, they are not going to have a viable option to step in.

Just my 2 cents. The rest I agree with for the most part. Thanks for taking the time to go so in depth.
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