2014 prediction contest

[dlf_jules]

Rules are simple. Copy and paste the list into your reply. After each question, put the percentage odds (e.g., 90%) you assign to the event occurring. For example, if I think there is a 70% chance that Peyton will have an earlier ADP than Manziel, my answer will look like this:

1. Peyton Manning has an earlier ADP than Johnny Manziel? 70%

I'll score the responses as follows: if the event occurs, you will get the number of points you assigned. If it doesn't occur, you lose that number of points. So if I guessed 70% for Manning being earlier than Manziel and I'm right, I get 70 points; if I'm wrong, I lose 70 points. If you fail (or choose not) to answer a question, I will assign a value of 50% to that question.

Responses are due by June 30. If some major event happens between now and June 20 that affects a question, I reserve the right to scratch that question from the overall scoring. Whoever has the highest score will get to choose my signature for July 2015 or make all my rookie picks in one of my leagues. OK, here goes.

Based on DLF's June 2015 ADP, what are the odds that --
1. Peyton Manning has an earlier ADP than Johnny Manziel?
2. Nick Foles has an earlier ADP than Robert Griffin?
3. Tom Brady has an earlier ADP than Ryan Tannehill?
4. Colin Kaepernick has an earlier ADP than Drew Brees?
5. Russell Wilson has an earlier ADP than Matt Stafford?
6. Le'Veon Bell has an earlier ADP than Doug Martin?
7. Arian Foster has an earlier ADP than Shane Vereen?
8. Marshawn Lynch has an earlier ADP than Christine Michael?
9. Bishop Sankey has an earlier ADP than Terrance West?
10. Joique Bell has an earlier ADP than Ben Tate?
11. Devonta Freeman has an earlier ADP than Carlos Hyde?
12. Adrian Peterson has an earlier ADP than Andre Ellington?
13. Gio Bernard has an earlier ADP than Matt Forte?
14. Reggie Bush has an earlier ADP than Lamar Miller?
15. Bryce Brown has an earlier ADP than Mark Ingram?
16. Calvin Johnson has an earlier ADP than Sammy Watkins?
17. DeAndre Hopkins has an earlier ADP than Antonio Brown?
18. Cordarrelle Patterson has an earlier ADP than Michael Crabtree?
19. Percy Harvin has an earlier ADP than Keenan Allen?
20. Tavon Austin has an earlier ADP than Jordy Nelson?
21. Aaron Dobson has an earlier ADP than Brandin Cooks?
22. Robert Woods has an earlier ADP than Marqise Lee?
23. Mike Wallace has an earlier ADP than Rueben Randle?
24. Jeremy Maclin has an earlier ADP than Jordan Matthews?
25. Hakeem Nicks has an earlier ADP than T.Y. Hilton?
26. Davante Adams has an earlier ADP than Kelvin Benjamin?
27. DeSean Jackson has an earlier ADP than Larry Fitzgerald?
28. Michael Floyd has an earlier ADP than Alshon Jeffery?
29. Dwayne Bowe has an earlier ADP than Markus Wheaton?
30. Kenny Stills has an earlier ADP than Marquess Wilson?
31. Jordan Reed has an earlier ADP than Kyle Rudolph?
32. Tyler Eifert has an earlier ADP than Julius Thomas?
33. Greg Olsen has an earlier ADP than Travis Kelce?
34. Charles Clay has an earlier ADP than Austin Seferian-Jenkins?
35. Eric Ebron has an earlier ADP than Jordan Cameron?
36. Rob Gronkowski has an earlier ADP than Victor Cruz?
37. C.J. Spiller has an earlier ADP than Vincent Jackson?
38. Andrew Luck has an earlier ADP than Brandon Marshall?
39. Allen Robinson has an earlier ADP than Jeremy Hill?
40. Toby Gerhart has an earlier ADP than Roddy White?
41. Tony Romo has an earlier ADP than Ryan Mathews?
42. Isaiah Crowell has an earlier ADP than Cecil Shorts?
43. Stevan Ridley has an earlier ADP than Golden Tate?
44. Odell Beckham has an earlier ADP than Alfred Morris?
45. Knowshon Moreno has an earlier ADP than Antonio Gates?
46. At least one rookie is drafted in the first round?
47. The highest-drafted rookie RB has an earlier ADP than the highest-drafted rookie WR?
48. The highest-drafted rookie QB has an earlier ADP than the highest-drafted rookie TE?
49. At least one rookie WR is drafted has an earlier ADP than Randall Cobb?
50. At least two rookie RBs have an earlier ADP than Adrian Peterson?
51. Blake Bortles is drafted as QB18 or earlier?
52. Cam Newton is drafted as QB3 or earlier?
53. Tre Mason is drafted as RB24 or earlier?
54. Ray Rice is drafted as RB24 or earlier?
55. Julian Edelman is drafted as WR36 or earlier?
56. Marvin Jones is drafted as WR36 or earlier?
57. Emmanuel Sanders is drafted as WR36 or earlier?
58. Eric Decker is drafted as WR24 or earlier?
59. Vernon Davis is drafted as TE8 or earlier?
60. Coby Fleener is drafted as TE12 or earlier?

What are the odds that, in 2014 --
61. Justin Blackmon catches at least one pass?
62. Darren McFadden has a carry in at least twelve games?
63. Zac Stacy rushes for over 1000 yards?
64. Danny Amendola plays more games than Dez Bryant?
65. A.J. Green finishes as a top-five WR in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)?
66. Torrey Smith finishes as a top-twenty WR in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)?
67. Heath Miller finishes as a top-twelve TE in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)?
68. Steven Jackson finishes as a top-fifteen RB in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)?
69. Teddy Bridgewater finishes as a top-12 QB in total points (.05/pass yard, 4/pass TD, 0.1/rush yard, 6/pass TD)?
70. Matt Ryan finishes as a top-6 QB in total points (.05/pass yard, 4/pass TD, 0.1/rush yard, 6/pass TD)?
71. Charles Sims outscores Darren Sproles in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)?
72. Rashad Jennings outscores Andre Williams in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)?
73. Anquan Boldin outscores Andrew Hawkins in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)?
74. Wes Welker outscores Mike Williams in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)?
75. Delanie Walker outscores Ladarius Green in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)?

[jaruss02]

Based on DLF's June 2015 ADP, what are the odds that --
1. Peyton Manning has an earlier ADP than Johnny Manziel? 100%
2. Nick Foles has an earlier ADP than Robert Griffin? 50%
3. Tom Brady has an earlier ADP than Ryan Tannehill? 80%
4. Colin Kaepernick has an earlier ADP than Drew Brees? 10%
5. Russell Wilson has an earlier ADP than Matt Stafford? 0%
6. Le'Veon Bell has an earlier ADP than Doug Martin? 50%
7. Arian Foster has an earlier ADP than Shane Vereen? 60%
8. Marshawn Lynch has an earlier ADP than Christine Michael? 5%
9. Bishop Sankey has an earlier ADP than Terrance West? 50%
10. Joique Bell has an earlier ADP than Ben Tate? 10%
11. Devonta Freeman has an earlier ADP than Carlos Hyde? 10%
12. Adrian Peterson has an earlier ADP than Andre Ellington? 60%
13. Gio Bernard has an earlier ADP than Matt Forte? 50%
14. Reggie Bush has an earlier ADP than Lamar Miller? 30%
15. Bryce Brown has an earlier ADP than Mark Ingram? 0%
16. Calvin Johnson has an earlier ADP than Sammy Watkins? 70%
17. DeAndre Hopkins has an earlier ADP than Antonio Brown? 25%
18. Cordarrelle Patterson has an earlier ADP than Michael Crabtree? 90%
19. Percy Harvin has an earlier ADP than Keenan Allen? 40%
20. Tavon Austin has an earlier ADP than Jordy Nelson? 50%
21. Aaron Dobson has an earlier ADP than Brandin Cooks? 40%
22. Robert Woods has an earlier ADP than Marqise Lee? 40%
23. Mike Wallace has an earlier ADP than Rueben Randle? 20%
24. Jeremy Maclin has an earlier ADP than Jordan Matthews? 10%
25. Hakeem Nicks has an earlier ADP than T.Y. Hilton? 10%
26. Davante Adams has an earlier ADP than Kelvin Benjamin? 80%
27. DeSean Jackson has an earlier ADP than Larry Fitzgerald? 90%
28. Michael Floyd has an earlier ADP than Alshon Jeffery? 30%
29. Dwayne Bowe has an earlier ADP than Markus Wheaton? 15%
30. Kenny Stills has an earlier ADP than Marquess Wilson? 100%
31. Jordan Reed has an earlier ADP than Kyle Rudolph? 50%
32. Tyler Eifert has an earlier ADP than Julius Thomas? 0%
33. Greg Olsen has an earlier ADP than Travis Kelce? 50%
34. Charles Clay has an earlier ADP than Austin Seferian-Jenkins? 50%
35. Eric Ebron has an earlier ADP than Jordan Cameron? 50%
36. Rob Gronkowski has an earlier ADP than Victor Cruz? 50%
37. C.J. Spiller has an earlier ADP than Vincent Jackson? 75%
38. Andrew Luck has an earlier ADP than Brandon Marshall? 60%
39. Allen Robinson has an earlier ADP than Jeremy Hill? 0%
40. Toby Gerhart has an earlier ADP than Roddy White? 90%
41. Tony Romo has an earlier ADP than Ryan Mathews? 40%
42. Isaiah Crowell has an earlier ADP than Cecil Shorts? 50%
43. Stevan Ridley has an earlier ADP than Golden Tate? 100%
44. Odell Beckham has an earlier ADP than Alfred Morris? 15%
45. Knowshon Moreno has an earlier ADP than Antonio Gates? 95%
46. At least one rookie is drafted in the first round? 0%
47. The highest-drafted rookie RB has an earlier ADP than the highest-drafted rookie WR? 100%
48. The highest-drafted rookie QB has an earlier ADP than the highest-drafted rookie TE? 100%
49. At least one rookie WR is drafted has an earlier ADP than Randall Cobb? 0%
50. At least two rookie RBs have an earlier ADP than Adrian Peterson? 25%
51. Blake Bortles is drafted as QB18 or earlier? 0%
52. Cam Newton is drafted as QB3 or earlier? 0%
53. Tre Mason is drafted as RB24 or earlier? 75%
54. Ray Rice is drafted as RB24 or earlier? 0%
55. Julian Edelman is drafted as WR36 or earlier? 10%
56. Marvin Jones is drafted as WR36 or earlier? 10%
57. Emmanuel Sanders is drafted as WR36 or earlier? 50%
58. Eric Decker is drafted as WR24 or earlier? 20%
59. Vernon Davis is drafted as TE8 or earlier? 90%
60. Coby Fleener is drafted as TE12 or earlier?10%

What are the odds that, in 2014 --
61. Justin Blackmon catches at least one pass? 0%
62. Darren McFadden has a carry in at least twelve games? 70%
63. Zac Stacy rushes for over 1000 yards? 50%
64. Danny Amendola plays more games than Dez Bryant? 0%
65. A.J. Green finishes as a top-five WR in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 10%
66. Torrey Smith finishes as a top-twenty WR in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 30%
67. Heath Miller finishes as a top-twelve TE in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 0%
68. Steven Jackson finishes as a top-fifteen RB in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 0%
69. Teddy Bridgewater finishes as a top-12 QB in total points (.05/pass yard, 4/pass TD, 0.1/rush yard, 6/pass TD)? 0%
70. Matt Ryan finishes as a top-6 QB in total points (.05/pass yard, 4/pass TD, 0.1/rush yard, 6/pass TD)? 100%
71. Charles Sims outscores Darren Sproles in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 10%
72. Rashad Jennings outscores Andre Williams in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 50%
73. Anquan Boldin outscores Andrew Hawkins in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 75%
74. Wes Welker outscores Mike Williams in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 60%
75. Delanie Walker outscores Ladarius Green in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 60%

That took forever, good luck scoring multiples.

[Water Buffalo]

Wow. This is going to take a LOT more thought than last year. I like it. You not only need to figure out your stance on the question, but then come up with a strategy on top of it.

Adding the percentages and PENALIZING that amount for incorrect answers is devious. It makes you feel like you're wasting an opportunity for points by putting 0%, but you don't want to take negative points either.

I wonder what the likelihood of someone "winning" this competition with negative points is. I guarantee you some people are going to go negative lol.

[#thankyoustacedgod]

Based on DLF's June 2015 ADP, what are the odds that --
1. Peyton Manning has an earlier ADP than Johnny Manziel? 100%
2. Nick Foles has an earlier ADP than Robert Griffin? 10%
3. Tom Brady has an earlier ADP than Ryan Tannehill? 15%
4. Colin Kaepernick has an earlier ADP than Drew Brees? 0%
5. Russell Wilson has an earlier ADP than Matt Stafford? 0%
6. Le'Veon Bell has an earlier ADP than Doug Martin? 55%
7. Arian Foster has an earlier ADP than Shane Vereen? 10%
8. Marshawn Lynch has an earlier ADP than Christine Michael? 45%
9. Bishop Sankey has an earlier ADP than Terrance West? 100%
10. Joique Bell has an earlier ADP than Ben Tate? 30%
11. Devonta Freeman has an earlier ADP than Carlos Hyde? 0%
12. Adrian Peterson has an earlier ADP than Andre Ellington? 60%
13. Gio Bernard has an earlier ADP than Matt Forte? 70%
14. Reggie Bush has an earlier ADP than Lamar Miller? 90%
15. Bryce Brown has an earlier ADP than Mark Ingram? 55%
16. Calvin Johnson has an earlier ADP than Sammy Watkins? 100%
17. DeAndre Hopkins has an earlier ADP than Antonio Brown? 0%
18. Cordarrelle Patterson has an earlier ADP than Michael Crabtree? 100%
19. Percy Harvin has an earlier ADP than Keenan Allen? 0%
20. Tavon Austin has an earlier ADP than Jordy Nelson? 0%
21. Aaron Dobson has an earlier ADP than Brandin Cooks? 0%
22. Robert Woods has an earlier ADP than Marqise Lee? 0%
23. Mike Wallace has an earlier ADP than Rueben Randle? 55%
24. Jeremy Maclin has an earlier ADP than Jordan Matthews? 5%
25. Hakeem Nicks has an earlier ADP than T.Y. Hilton? 0%
26. Davante Adams has an earlier ADP than Kelvin Benjamin? 95%
27. DeSean Jackson has an earlier ADP than Larry Fitzgerald? 45%
28. Michael Floyd has an earlier ADP than Alshon Jeffery? 0%
29. Dwayne Bowe has an earlier ADP than Markus Wheaton? 5%
30. Kenny Stills has an earlier ADP than Marquess Wilson? 100%
31. Jordan Reed has an earlier ADP than Kyle Rudolph? 85%
32. Tyler Eifert has an earlier ADP than Julius Thomas? 0%
33. Greg Olsen has an earlier ADP than Travis Kelce? 95%
34. Charles Clay has an earlier ADP than Austin Seferian-Jenkins? 0%
35. Eric Ebron has an earlier ADP than Jordan Cameron? 0%
36. Rob Gronkowski has an earlier ADP than Victor Cruz? 95%
37. C.J. Spiller has an earlier ADP than Vincent Jackson? 100%
38. Andrew Luck has an earlier ADP than Brandon Marshall? 0%
39. Allen Robinson has an earlier ADP than Jeremy Hill? 90%
40. Toby Gerhart has an earlier ADP than Roddy White? 5%
41. Tony Romo has an earlier ADP than Ryan Mathews? 0%
42. Isaiah Crowell has an earlier ADP than Cecil Shorts? 40%
43. Stevan Ridley has an earlier ADP than Golden Tate? 20%
44. Odell Beckham has an earlier ADP than Alfred Morris? 10%
45. Knowshon Moreno has an earlier ADP than Antonio Gates? 100%
46. At least one rookie is drafted in the first round? 0%
47. The highest-drafted rookie RB has an earlier ADP than the highest-drafted rookie WR? 0%
48. The highest-drafted rookie QB has an earlier ADP than the highest-drafted rookie TE? 0%
49. At least one rookie WR is drafted has an earlier ADP than Randall Cobb? 0%
50. At least two rookie RBs have an earlier ADP than Adrian Peterson? 0%
51. Blake Bortles is drafted as QB18 or earlier? 35%
52. Cam Newton is drafted as QB3 or earlier? 40%
53. Tre Mason is drafted as RB24 or earlier? 60%
54. Ray Rice is drafted as RB24 or earlier? 50%
55. Julian Edelman is drafted as WR36 or earlier? 10%
56. Marvin Jones is drafted as WR36 or earlier? 5%
57. Emmanuel Sanders is drafted as WR36 or earlier? 0%
58. Eric Decker is drafted as WR24 or earlier? 0%
59. Vernon Davis is drafted as TE8 or earlier? 90%
60. Coby Fleener is drafted as TE12 or earlier? 0%

What are the odds that, in 2014 --
61. Justin Blackmon catches at least one pass? 50%
62. Darren McFadden has a carry in at least twelve games? 65%
63. Zac Stacy rushes for over 1000 yards? 85%
64. Danny Amendola plays more games than Dez Bryant? 0%
65. A.J. Green finishes as a top-five WR in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 100%
66. Torrey Smith finishes as a top-twenty WR in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 65%
67. Heath Miller finishes as a top-twelve TE in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 55%
68. Steven Jackson finishes as a top-fifteen RB in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 10%
69. Teddy Bridgewater finishes as a top-12 QB in total points (.05/pass yard, 4/pass TD, 0.1/rush yard, 6/pass TD)? 0%
70. Matt Ryan finishes as a top-6 QB in total points (.05/pass yard, 4/pass TD, 0.1/rush yard, 6/pass TD)? 60%
71. Charles Sims outscores Darren Sproles in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 25%
72. Rashad Jennings outscores Andre Williams in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 90%
73. Anquan Boldin outscores Andrew Hawkins in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 50%
74. Wes Welker outscores Mike Williams in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 90%
75. Delanie Walker outscores Ladarius Green in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 50%

[TommyL31]

Based on DLF's June 2015 ADP, what are the odds that --
1. Peyton Manning has an earlier ADP than Johnny Manziel? 85%
2. Nick Foles has an earlier ADP than Robert Griffin? 75%
3. Tom Brady has an earlier ADP than Ryan Tannehill? 15%
4. Colin Kaepernick has an earlier ADP than Drew Brees? 10%
5. Russell Wilson has an earlier ADP than Matt Stafford? 5%
6. Le'Veon Bell has an earlier ADP than Doug Martin? 70%
7. Arian Foster has an earlier ADP than Shane Vereen? 25%
8. Marshawn Lynch has an earlier ADP than Christine Michael? 70%
9. Bishop Sankey has an earlier ADP than Terrance West? 90%
10. Joique Bell has an earlier ADP than Ben Tate? 15%
11. Devonta Freeman has an earlier ADP than Carlos Hyde? 40%
12. Adrian Peterson has an earlier ADP than Andre Ellington? 30%
13. Gio Bernard has an earlier ADP than Matt Forte? 75%
14. Reggie Bush has an earlier ADP than Lamar Miller? 60%
15. Bryce Brown has an earlier ADP than Mark Ingram? 70%
16. Calvin Johnson has an earlier ADP than Sammy Watkins? 100%
17. DeAndre Hopkins has an earlier ADP than Antonio Brown? 15%
18. Cordarrelle Patterson has an earlier ADP than Michael Crabtree? 80%
19. Percy Harvin has an earlier ADP than Keenan Allen? 20%
20. Tavon Austin has an earlier ADP than Jordy Nelson? 65%
21. Aaron Dobson has an earlier ADP than Brandin Cooks? 25%
22. Robert Woods has an earlier ADP than Marqise Lee? 15%
23. Mike Wallace has an earlier ADP than Rueben Randle? 70%
24. Jeremy Maclin has an earlier ADP than Jordan Matthews? 45%
25. Hakeem Nicks has an earlier ADP than T.Y. Hilton? 10%
26. Davante Adams has an earlier ADP than Kelvin Benjamin? 75%
27. DeSean Jackson has an earlier ADP than Larry Fitzgerald? 20%
28. Michael Floyd has an earlier ADP than Alshon Jeffery? 35%
29. Dwayne Bowe has an earlier ADP than Markus Wheaton? 60%
30. Kenny Stills has an earlier ADP than Marquess Wilson? 85%
31. Jordan Reed has an earlier ADP than Kyle Rudolph? 25%
32. Tyler Eifert has an earlier ADP than Julius Thomas? 0%
33. Greg Olsen has an earlier ADP than Travis Kelce? 90%
34. Charles Clay has an earlier ADP than Austin Seferian-Jenkins? 10%
35. Eric Ebron has an earlier ADP than Jordan Cameron? 20%
36. Rob Gronkowski has an earlier ADP than Victor Cruz? 70%
37. C.J. Spiller has an earlier ADP than Vincent Jackson? 80%
38. Andrew Luck has an earlier ADP than Brandon Marshall? 15%
39. Allen Robinson has an earlier ADP than Jeremy Hill? 15%
40. Toby Gerhart has an earlier ADP than Roddy White? 35%
41. Tony Romo has an earlier ADP than Ryan Mathews? 10%
42. Isaiah Crowell has an earlier ADP than Cecil Shorts? 5%
43. Stevan Ridley has an earlier ADP than Golden Tate? 10%
44. Odell Beckham has an earlier ADP than Alfred Morris? 65%
45. Knowshon Moreno has an earlier ADP than Antonio Gates? 95%
46. At least one rookie is drafted in the first round? 90%
47. The highest-drafted rookie RB has an earlier ADP than the highest-drafted rookie WR? 85%
48. The highest-drafted rookie QB has an earlier ADP than the highest-drafted rookie TE? 25%
49. At least one rookie WR is drafted has an earlier ADP than Randall Cobb? 70%
50. At least two rookie RBs have an earlier ADP than Adrian Peterson? 15%
51. Blake Bortles is drafted as QB18 or earlier? 70%
52. Cam Newton is drafted as QB3 or earlier? 30%
53. Tre Mason is drafted as RB24 or earlier? 60%
54. Ray Rice is drafted as RB24 or earlier? 30%
55. Julian Edelman is drafted as WR36 or earlier? 10%
56. Marvin Jones is drafted as WR36 or earlier? 95%
57. Emmanuel Sanders is drafted as WR36 or earlier? 90%
58. Eric Decker is drafted as WR24 or earlier? 35%
59. Vernon Davis is drafted as TE8 or earlier? 25%
60. Coby Fleener is drafted as TE12 or earlier? 5%

What are the odds that, in 2014 --
61. Justin Blackmon catches at least one pass? 10%
62. Darren McFadden has a carry in at least twelve games? 25%
63. Zac Stacy rushes for over 1000 yards? 40%
64. Danny Amendola plays more games than Dez Bryant? 15%
65. A.J. Green finishes as a top-five WR in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 30%
66. Torrey Smith finishes as a top-twenty WR in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 40%
67. Heath Miller finishes as a top-twelve TE in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 5%
68. Steven Jackson finishes as a top-fifteen RB in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 10%
69. Teddy Bridgewater finishes as a top-12 QB in total points (.05/pass yard, 4/pass TD, 0.1/rush yard, 6/pass TD)? 10%
70. Matt Ryan finishes as a top-6 QB in total points (.05/pass yard, 4/pass TD, 0.1/rush yard, 6/pass TD)? 20%
71. Charles Sims outscores Darren Sproles in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 20%
72. Rashad Jennings outscores Andre Williams in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 85%
73. Anquan Boldin outscores Andrew Hawkins in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 70%
74. Wes Welker outscores Mike Williams in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 90%
75. Delanie Walker outscores Ladarius Green in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 10%

[??Droppedballs??]

Based on DLF's June 2015 ADP, what are the odds that --
1. Peyton Manning has an earlier ADP than Johnny Manziel? 95%
2. Nick Foles has an earlier ADP than Robert Griffin? 66%
3. Tom Brady has an earlier ADP than Ryan Tannehill? 35%
4. Colin Kaepernick has an earlier ADP than Drew Brees? 0%
5. Russell Wilson has an earlier ADP than Matt Stafford? 49%
6. Le'Veon Bell has an earlier ADP than Doug Martin? 3%
7. Arian Foster has an earlier ADP than Shane Vereen? 98%
8. Marshawn Lynch has an earlier ADP than Christine Michael? 50%
9. Bishop Sankey has an earlier ADP than Terrance West? 45%
10. Joique Bell has an earlier ADP than Ben Tate? 65%
11. Devonta Freeman has an earlier ADP than Carlos Hyde? 5%
12. Adrian Peterson has an earlier ADP than Andre Ellington? 90%
13. Gio Bernard has an earlier ADP than Matt Forte? 8%
14. Reggie Bush has an earlier ADP than Lamar Miller? 95%
15. Bryce Brown has an earlier ADP than Mark Ingram? 50%
16. Calvin Johnson has an earlier ADP than Sammy Watkins? 100%
17. DeAndre Hopkins has an earlier ADP than Antonio Brown? 11%
18. Cordarrelle Patterson has an earlier ADP than Michael Crabtree? 82%
19. Percy Harvin has an earlier ADP than Keenan Allen? 60%
20. Tavon Austin has an earlier ADP than Jordy Nelson? 15%
21. Aaron Dobson has an earlier ADP than Brandin Cooks? 8%
22. Robert Woods has an earlier ADP than Marqise Lee? 50%
23. Mike Wallace has an earlier ADP than Rueben Randle? 70%
24. Jeremy Maclin has an earlier ADP than Jordan Matthews? 75%
25. Hakeem Nicks has an earlier ADP than T.Y. Hilton? 35%
26. Davante Adams has an earlier ADP than Kelvin Benjamin? 85%
27. DeSean Jackson has an earlier ADP than Larry Fitzgerald? 35%
28. Michael Floyd has an earlier ADP than Alshon Jeffery? 11%
29. Dwayne Bowe has an earlier ADP than Markus Wheaton? 50%
30. Kenny Stills has an earlier ADP than Marquess Wilson? 55%
31. Jordan Reed has an earlier ADP than Kyle Rudolph? 10%
32. Tyler Eifert has an earlier ADP than Julius Thomas? 0%
33. Greg Olsen has an earlier ADP than Travis Kelce? 60%
34. Charles Clay has an earlier ADP than Austin Seferian-Jenkins? 95%
35. Eric Ebron has an earlier ADP than Jordan Cameron? 5%
36. Rob Gronkowski has an earlier ADP than Victor Cruz? 55%
37. C.J. Spiller has an earlier ADP than Vincent Jackson? 40%
38. Andrew Luck has an earlier ADP than Brandon Marshall? 48%
39. Allen Robinson has an earlier ADP than Jeremy Hill? 85%
40. Toby Gerhart has an earlier ADP than Roddy White? 55%
41. Tony Romo has an earlier ADP than Ryan Mathews? 55%
42. Isaiah Crowell has an earlier ADP than Cecil Shorts? 11%
43. Stevan Ridley has an earlier ADP than Golden Tate? 6%
44. Odell Beckham has an earlier ADP than Alfred Morris? 48%
45. Knowshon Moreno has an earlier ADP than Antonio Gates? 99%
46. At least one rookie is drafted in the first round? 40%
47. The highest-drafted rookie RB has an earlier ADP than the highest-drafted rookie WR? 98%
48. The highest-drafted rookie QB has an earlier ADP than the highest-drafted rookie TE? 60%
49. At least one rookie WR is drafted has an earlier ADP than Randall Cobb? 65%
50. At least two rookie RBs have an earlier ADP than Adrian Peterson? 0%
51. Blake Bortles is drafted as QB18 or earlier? 15%
52. Cam Newton is drafted as QB3 or earlier? 95%
53. Tre Mason is drafted as RB24 or earlier? 75%
54. Ray Rice is drafted as RB24 or earlier? 75%
55. Julian Edelman is drafted as WR36 or earlier? 65%
56. Marvin Jones is drafted as WR36 or earlier? 7%
57. Emmanuel Sanders is drafted as WR36 or earlier? 53%
58. Eric Decker is drafted as WR24 or earlier? 56%
59. Vernon Davis is drafted as TE8 or earlier? 65%
60. Coby Fleener is drafted as TE12 or earlier? 12%

What are the odds that, in 2014 --
61. Justin Blackmon catches at least one pass? 15%
62. Darren McFadden has a carry in at least twelve games? 40%
63. Zac Stacy rushes for over 1000 yards? 25%
64. Danny Amendola plays more games than Dez Bryant? 3%
65. A.J. Green finishes as a top-five WR in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 85%
66. Torrey Smith finishes as a top-twenty WR in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 0%
67. Heath Miller finishes as a top-twelve TE in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 12%
68. Steven Jackson finishes as a top-fifteen RB in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 23%
69. Teddy Bridgewater finishes as a top-12 QB in total points (.05/pass yard, 4/pass TD, 0.1/rush yard, 6/pass TD)? 17%
70. Matt Ryan finishes as a top-6 QB in total points (.05/pass yard, 4/pass TD, 0.1/rush yard, 6/pass TD)? 92%
71. Charles Sims outscores Darren Sproles in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 1%
72. Rashad Jennings outscores Andre Williams in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 58%
73. Anquan Boldin outscores Andrew Hawkins in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 75%
74. Wes Welker outscores Mike Williams in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 85%
75. Delanie Walker outscores Ladarius Green in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 85%

[BuckeyeNation]

Thanks for putting the work in on this. Pretty innovative idea. Someone did something similar to this last summer, but you only picked which player you wanted in each question. Assigning percentages as "strength of conviction" for each question is a pretty cool idea!

The only tweak that I would make is that I would use 0% as the median. Meaning that if you felt strongly on the underdog in each question, you could gain points by taking them.

For example, question 1. If I felt that Manziel would have a higher ADP than Peyton, I would put 0 right now. So even if I was right and Manziel has a higher ADP than Peyton next year, I've gained no points. I can only lose points by putting any percentage higher than 0 for Peyton. If you could answer with a negative percentage (I know it's not a real math term) to show you are betting on the underdog, then you could actually gain points by being correct on each answer. This is still very cool though.

Based on DLF's June 2015 ADP, what are the odds that --
1. Peyton Manning has an earlier ADP than Johnny Manziel? 60%
2. Nick Foles has an earlier ADP than Robert Griffin? 85%
3. Tom Brady has an earlier ADP than Ryan Tannehill? 20%
4. Colin Kaepernick has an earlier ADP than Drew Brees? 0%
5. Russell Wilson has an earlier ADP than Matt Stafford? 0%
6. Le'Veon Bell has an earlier ADP than Doug Martin? 45%
7. Arian Foster has an earlier ADP than Shane Vereen? 20%
8. Marshawn Lynch has an earlier ADP than Christine Michael? 0%
9. Bishop Sankey has an earlier ADP than Terrance West? 100%
10. Joique Bell has an earlier ADP than Ben Tate? 15%
11. Devonta Freeman has an earlier ADP than Carlos Hyde? 45%
12. Adrian Peterson has an earlier ADP than Andre Ellington? 80%
13. Gio Bernard has an earlier ADP than Matt Forte? 98%
14. Reggie Bush has an earlier ADP than Lamar Miller? 80%
15. Bryce Brown has an earlier ADP than Mark Ingram? 100%
16. Calvin Johnson has an earlier ADP than Sammy Watkins? 100%
17. DeAndre Hopkins has an earlier ADP than Antonio Brown? 0%
18. Cordarrelle Patterson has an earlier ADP than Michael Crabtree? 100%
19. Percy Harvin has an earlier ADP than Keenan Allen? 70%
20. Tavon Austin has an earlier ADP than Jordy Nelson? 50%
21. Aaron Dobson has an earlier ADP than Brandin Cooks? 10%
22. Robert Woods has an earlier ADP than Marqise Lee? 0%
23. Mike Wallace has an earlier ADP than Rueben Randle? 100%
24. Jeremy Maclin has an earlier ADP than Jordan Matthews? 0%
25. Hakeem Nicks has an earlier ADP than T.Y. Hilton? 30%
26. Davante Adams has an earlier ADP than Kelvin Benjamin? 23%
27. DeSean Jackson has an earlier ADP than Larry Fitzgerald? 32%
28. Michael Floyd has an earlier ADP than Alshon Jeffery? 0%
29. Dwayne Bowe has an earlier ADP than Markus Wheaton? 15%
30. Kenny Stills has an earlier ADP than Marquess Wilson? 73%
31. Jordan Reed has an earlier ADP than Kyle Rudolph? 57%
32. Tyler Eifert has an earlier ADP than Julius Thomas? 0%
33. Greg Olsen has an earlier ADP than Travis Kelce? 90%
34. Charles Clay has an earlier ADP than Austin Seferian-Jenkins? 5%
35. Eric Ebron has an earlier ADP than Jordan Cameron? 43%
36. Rob Gronkowski has an earlier ADP than Victor Cruz? 100%
37. C.J. Spiller has an earlier ADP than Vincent Jackson? 92%
38. Andrew Luck has an earlier ADP than Brandon Marshall? 68%
39. Allen Robinson has an earlier ADP than Jeremy Hill? 37%
40. Toby Gerhart has an earlier ADP than Roddy White? 87%
41. Tony Romo has an earlier ADP than Ryan Mathews? 4%
42. Isaiah Crowell has an earlier ADP than Cecil Shorts? 0%
43. Stevan Ridley has an earlier ADP than Golden Tate? 8%
44. Odell Beckham has an earlier ADP than Alfred Morris? 24%
45. Knowshon Moreno has an earlier ADP than Antonio Gates? 100%
46. At least one rookie is drafted in the first round? 0%
47. The highest-drafted rookie RB has an earlier ADP than the highest-drafted rookie WR? 100%
48. The highest-drafted rookie QB has an earlier ADP than the highest-drafted rookie TE? 20%
49. At least one rookie WR is drafted has an earlier ADP than Randall Cobb? 0%
50. At least two rookie RBs have an earlier ADP than Adrian Peterson? 46%
51. Blake Bortles is drafted as QB18 or earlier? 34%
52. Cam Newton is drafted as QB3 or earlier? 36%
53. Tre Mason is drafted as RB24 or earlier? 47%
54. Ray Rice is drafted as RB24 or earlier? 36%
55. Julian Edelman is drafted as WR36 or earlier? 0%
56. Marvin Jones is drafted as WR36 or earlier? 28%
57. Emmanuel Sanders is drafted as WR36 or earlier? 89%
58. Eric Decker is drafted as WR24 or earlier? 9%
59. Vernon Davis is drafted as TE8 or earlier? 27%
60. Coby Fleener is drafted as TE12 or earlier? 0%

What are the odds that, in 2014 --
61. Justin Blackmon catches at least one pass? 0%
62. Darren McFadden has a carry in at least twelve games? 58%
63. Zac Stacy rushes for over 1000 yards? 89%
64. Danny Amendola plays more games than Dez Bryant? 0%
65. A.J. Green finishes as a top-five WR in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 100%
66. Torrey Smith finishes as a top-twenty WR in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 0%
67. Heath Miller finishes as a top-twelve TE in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 7%
68. Steven Jackson finishes as a top-fifteen RB in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 0%
69. Teddy Bridgewater finishes as a top-12 QB in total points (.05/pass yard, 4/pass TD, 0.1/rush yard, 6/pass TD)? 0%
70. Matt Ryan finishes as a top-6 QB in total points (.05/pass yard, 4/pass TD, 0.1/rush yard, 6/pass TD)? 30%
71. Charles Sims outscores Darren Sproles in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 0%
72. Rashad Jennings outscores Andre Williams in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 73%
73. Anquan Boldin outscores Andrew Hawkins in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 23%
74. Wes Welker outscores Mike Williams in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 97%
75. Delanie Walker outscores Ladarius Green in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 32%

[Shaqjor477]

Based on DLF's June 2015 ADP, what are the odds that --
1. Peyton Manning has an earlier ADP than Johnny Manziel? 70%
2. Nick Foles has an earlier ADP than Robert Griffin? 30%
3. Tom Brady has an earlier ADP than Ryan Tannehill? 20%
4. Colin Kaepernick has an earlier ADP than Drew Brees? 0%
5. Russell Wilson has an earlier ADP than Matt Stafford? 10%
6. Le'Veon Bell has an earlier ADP than Doug Martin? 40%
7. Arian Foster has an earlier ADP than Shane Vereen? 40%
8. Marshawn Lynch has an earlier ADP than Christine Michael? 0%
9. Bishop Sankey has an earlier ADP than Terrance West? 80%
10. Joique Bell has an earlier ADP than Ben Tate? 70%
11. Devonta Freeman has an earlier ADP than Carlos Hyde? 60%
12. Adrian Peterson has an earlier ADP than Andre Ellington? 50%
13. Gio Bernard has an earlier ADP than Matt Forte? 90%
14. Reggie Bush has an earlier ADP than Lamar Miller? 30%
15. Bryce Brown has an earlier ADP than Mark Ingram? 20%
16. Calvin Johnson has an earlier ADP than Sammy Watkins? 90%
17. DeAndre Hopkins has an earlier ADP than Antonio Brown? 20%
18. Cordarrelle Patterson has an earlier ADP than Michael Crabtree? 90%
19. Percy Harvin has an earlier ADP than Keenan Allen? 40%
20. Tavon Austin has an earlier ADP than Jordy Nelson? 0%
21. Aaron Dobson has an earlier ADP than Brandin Cooks? 20%
22. Robert Woods has an earlier ADP than Marqise Lee? 30%
23. Mike Wallace has an earlier ADP than Rueben Randle? 10%
24. Jeremy Maclin has an earlier ADP than Jordan Matthews? 30%
25. Hakeem Nicks has an earlier ADP than T.Y. Hilton? 0%
26. Davante Adams has an earlier ADP than Kelvin Benjamin? 70%
27. DeSean Jackson has an earlier ADP than Larry Fitzgerald? 60%
28. Michael Floyd has an earlier ADP than Alshon Jeffery? 0%
29. Dwayne Bowe has an earlier ADP than Markus Wheaton? 0%
30. Kenny Stills has an earlier ADP than Marquess Wilson? 70%
31. Jordan Reed has an earlier ADP than Kyle Rudolph? 90%
32. Tyler Eifert has an earlier ADP than Julius Thomas? 30%
33. Greg Olsen has an earlier ADP than Travis Kelce? 10%
34. Charles Clay has an earlier ADP than Austin Seferian-Jenkins? 30%
35. Eric Ebron has an earlier ADP than Jordan Cameron? 0%
36. Rob Gronkowski has an earlier ADP than Victor Cruz? 60%
37. C.J. Spiller has an earlier ADP than Vincent Jackson? 40%
38. Andrew Luck has an earlier ADP than Brandon Marshall? 30%
39. Allen Robinson has an earlier ADP than Jeremy Hill? 90%
40. Toby Gerhart has an earlier ADP than Roddy White? 60%
41. Tony Romo has an earlier ADP than Ryan Mathews? 70%
42. Isaiah Crowell has an earlier ADP than Cecil Shorts? 0%
43. Stevan Ridley has an earlier ADP than Golden Tate? 10%
44. Odell Beckham has an earlier ADP than Alfred Morris? 0%
45. Knowshon Moreno has an earlier ADP than Antonio Gates? 50%
46. At least one rookie is drafted in the first round? 0%
47. The highest-drafted rookie RB has an earlier ADP than the highest-drafted rookie WR? 40%
48. The highest-drafted rookie QB has an earlier ADP than the highest-drafted rookie TE? 100%
49. At least one rookie WR is drafted has an earlier ADP than Randall Cobb? 60%
50. At least two rookie RBs have an earlier ADP than Adrian Peterson? 1%
51. Blake Bortles is drafted as QB18 or earlier? 1%
52. Cam Newton is drafted as QB3 or earlier? 40%
53. Tre Mason is drafted as RB24 or earlier? 60%
54. Ray Rice is drafted as RB24 or earlier? 10%
55. Julian Edelman is drafted as WR36 or earlier? 40%
56. Marvin Jones is drafted as WR36 or earlier? 10%
57. Emmanuel Sanders is drafted as WR36 or earlier? 50%
58. Eric Decker is drafted as WR24 or earlier? 20%
59. Vernon Davis is drafted as TE8 or earlier? 70%
60. Coby Fleener is drafted as TE12 or earlier? 20%

What are the odds that, in 2014 --
61. Justin Blackmon catches at least one pass? 70%
62. Darren McFadden has a carry in at least twelve games? 1%
63. Zac Stacy rushes for over 1000 yards? 1%
64. Danny Amendola plays more games than Dez Bryant? 1%
65. A.J. Green finishes as a top-five WR in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 95%
66. Torrey Smith finishes as a top-twenty WR in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 90%
67. Heath Miller finishes as a top-twelve TE in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 80%
68. Steven Jackson finishes as a top-fifteen RB in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 10%
69. Teddy Bridgewater finishes as a top-12 QB in total points (.05/pass yard, 4/pass TD, 0.1/rush yard, 6/pass TD)? 1%
70. Matt Ryan finishes as a top-6 QB in total points (.05/pass yard, 4/pass TD, 0.1/rush yard, 6/pass TD)? 80%
71. Charles Sims outscores Darren Sproles in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 5%
72. Rashad Jennings outscores Andre Williams in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 90%
73. Anquan Boldin outscores Andrew Hawkins in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 70%
74. Wes Welker outscores Mike Williams in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 80%
75. Delanie Walker outscores Ladarius Green in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 40%

[tidy beans]

Based on DLF's June 2015 ADP, what are the odds that --
1. Peyton Manning has an earlier ADP than Johnny Manziel? 100
2. Nick Foles has an earlier ADP than Robert Griffin? 0
3. Tom Brady has an earlier ADP than Ryan Tannehill? 0
4. Colin Kaepernick has an earlier ADP than Drew Brees? 100
5. Russell Wilson has an earlier ADP than Matt Stafford? 100
6. Le'Veon Bell has an earlier ADP than Doug Martin? 0
7. Arian Foster has an earlier ADP than Shane Vereen? 100
8. Marshawn Lynch has an earlier ADP than Christine Michael? 100
9. Bishop Sankey has an earlier ADP than Terrance West? 100
10. Joique Bell has an earlier ADP than Ben Tate? 0
11. Devonta Freeman has an earlier ADP than Carlos Hyde? 0
12. Adrian Peterson has an earlier ADP than Andre Ellington? 100
13. Gio Bernard has an earlier ADP than Matt Forte? 100
14. Reggie Bush has an earlier ADP than Lamar Miller? 100
15. Bryce Brown has an earlier ADP than Mark Ingram? 100
16. Calvin Johnson has an earlier ADP than Sammy Watkins? 100
17. DeAndre Hopkins has an earlier ADP than Antonio Brown? 100
18. Cordarrelle Patterson has an earlier ADP than Michael Crabtree? 100
19. Percy Harvin has an earlier ADP than Keenan Allen? 0
20. Tavon Austin has an earlier ADP than Jordy Nelson? 0
21. Aaron Dobson has an earlier ADP than Brandin Cooks? 0
22. Robert Woods has an earlier ADP than Marqise Lee? 0
23. Mike Wallace has an earlier ADP than Rueben Randle? 0
24. Jeremy Maclin has an earlier ADP than Jordan Matthews? 0
25. Hakeem Nicks has an earlier ADP than T.Y. Hilton? 0
26. Davante Adams has an earlier ADP than Kelvin Benjamin? 100
27. DeSean Jackson has an earlier ADP than Larry Fitzgerald? 0
28. Michael Floyd has an earlier ADP than Alshon Jeffery? 0
29. Dwayne Bowe has an earlier ADP than Markus Wheaton? 0
30. Kenny Stills has an earlier ADP than Marquess Wilson? 100
31. Jordan Reed has an earlier ADP than Kyle Rudolph? 0
32. Tyler Eifert has an earlier ADP than Julius Thomas? 0
33. Greg Olsen has an earlier ADP than Travis Kelce? 0
34. Charles Clay has an earlier ADP than Austin Seferian-Jenkins? 0
35. Eric Ebron has an earlier ADP than Jordan Cameron? 0
36. Rob Gronkowski has an earlier ADP than Victor Cruz? 100
37. C.J. Spiller has an earlier ADP than Vincent Jackson? 100
38. Andrew Luck has an earlier ADP than Brandon Marshall? 0
39. Allen Robinson has an earlier ADP than Jeremy Hill? 100
40. Toby Gerhart has an earlier ADP than Roddy White? 0
41. Tony Romo has an earlier ADP than Ryan Mathews? 0
42. Isaiah Crowell has an earlier ADP than Cecil Shorts? 100
43. Stevan Ridley has an earlier ADP than Golden Tate? 0
44. Odell Beckham has an earlier ADP than Alfred Morris? 0
45. Knowshon Moreno has an earlier ADP than Antonio Gates? 100
46. At least one rookie is drafted in the first round? 0
47. The highest-drafted rookie RB has an earlier ADP than the highest-drafted rookie WR? 0
48. The highest-drafted rookie QB has an earlier ADP than the highest-drafted rookie TE? 0
49. At least one rookie WR is drafted has an earlier ADP than Randall Cobb? 0
50. At least two rookie RBs have an earlier ADP than Adrian Peterson? 0
51. Blake Bortles is drafted as QB18 or earlier? 0
52. Cam Newton is drafted as QB3 or earlier? 0
53. Tre Mason is drafted as RB24 or earlier? 0
54. Ray Rice is drafted as RB24 or earlier? 0
55. Julian Edelman is drafted as WR36 or earlier? 0
56. Marvin Jones is drafted as WR36 or earlier? 0
57. Emmanuel Sanders is drafted as WR36 or earlier? 0
58. Eric Decker is drafted as WR24 or earlier? 0
59. Vernon Davis is drafted as TE8 or earlier? 100
60. Coby Fleener is drafted as TE12 or earlier? 0

What are the odds that, in 2014 --
61. Justin Blackmon catches at least one pass? 0
62. Darren McFadden has a carry in at least twelve games? 100
63. Zac Stacy rushes for over 1000 yards? 100
64. Danny Amendola plays more games than Dez Bryant? 0
65. A.J. Green finishes as a top-five WR in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 100
66. Torrey Smith finishes as a top-twenty WR in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 0
67. Heath Miller finishes as a top-twelve TE in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 0
68. Steven Jackson finishes as a top-fifteen RB in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 0
69. Teddy Bridgewater finishes as a top-12 QB in total points (.05/pass yard, 4/pass TD, 0.1/rush yard, 6/pass TD)? 0
70. Matt Ryan finishes as a top-6 QB in total points (.05/pass yard, 4/pass TD, 0.1/rush yard, 6/pass TD)? 100
71. Charles Sims outscores Darren Sproles in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 0
72. Rashad Jennings outscores Andre Williams in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 100
73. Anquan Boldin outscores Andrew Hawkins in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 100
74. Wes Welker outscores Mike Williams in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 100
75. Delanie Walker outscores Ladarius Green in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 100

[dlf_jules]

I wonder what the likelihood of someone "winning" this competition with negative points is. I guarantee you some people are going to go negative lol.

I think -- though I haven't considered it very deeply -- that if the winner has negative points, it's because I put the two players in the "wrong" order more often than not?

[jaruss02]

The only tweak that I would make is that I would use 0% as the median. Meaning that if you felt strongly on the underdog in each question, you could gain points by taking them.

I assumed this would be the case no? If I'm saying player A has 0% chance of an earlier draft position than player B, I am essentially saying that Player B has a 100% chance of a better ADP than Player A. I agree. You should get points for that - but not my contest!!

[BwK]

Based on DLF's June 2015 ADP, what are the odds that --
1. Peyton Manning has an earlier ADP than Johnny Manziel? 100%
2. Nick Foles has an earlier ADP than Robert Griffin? 100%
3. Tom Brady has an earlier ADP than Ryan Tannehill? 100%
4. Colin Kaepernick has an earlier ADP than Drew Brees? 100%
5. Russell Wilson has an earlier ADP than Matt Stafford? 0%
6. Le'Veon Bell has an earlier ADP than Doug Martin? 50%
7. Arian Foster has an earlier ADP than Shane Vereen? 100%
8. Marshawn Lynch has an earlier ADP than Christine Michael? 50%
9. Bishop Sankey has an earlier ADP than Terrance West? 50 %
10. Joique Bell has an earlier ADP than Ben Tate? 0%
11. Devonta Freeman has an earlier ADP than Carlos Hyde? 50%
12. Adrian Peterson has an earlier ADP than Andre Ellington? 50%
13. Gio Bernard has an earlier ADP than Matt Forte? 50%
14. Reggie Bush has an earlier ADP than Lamar Miller? 100%
15. Bryce Brown has an earlier ADP than Mark Ingram? 20%
16. Calvin Johnson has an earlier ADP than Sammy Watkins? 100%
17. DeAndre Hopkins has an earlier ADP than Antonio Brown? 0%
18. Cordarrelle Patterson has an earlier ADP than Michael Crabtree? 100%
19. Percy Harvin has an earlier ADP than Keenan Allen?0%
20. Tavon Austin has an earlier ADP than Jordy Nelson?50%
21. Aaron Dobson has an earlier ADP than Brandin Cooks?50%
22. Robert Woods has an earlier ADP than Marqise Lee? 50%
23. Mike Wallace has an earlier ADP than Rueben Randle? 100%
24. Jeremy Maclin has an earlier ADP than Jordan Matthews? 0%
25. Hakeem Nicks has an earlier ADP than T.Y. Hilton? 50%
26. Davante Adams has an earlier ADP than Kelvin Benjamin? 0%
27. DeSean Jackson has an earlier ADP than Larry Fitzgerald? 50%
28. Michael Floyd has an earlier ADP than Alshon Jeffery?0%
29. Dwayne Bowe has an earlier ADP than Markus Wheaton? 100%
30. Kenny Stills has an earlier ADP than Marquess Wilson?
31. Jordan Reed has an earlier ADP than Kyle Rudolph?0%
32. Tyler Eifert has an earlier ADP than Julius Thomas?0%
33. Greg Olsen has an earlier ADP than Travis Kelce?
34. Charles Clay has an earlier ADP than Austin Seferian-Jenkins?50%
35. Eric Ebron has an earlier ADP than Jordan Cameron?50%
36. Rob Gronkowski has an earlier ADP than Victor Cruz?50%
37. C.J. Spiller has an earlier ADP than Vincent Jackson?50%
38. Andrew Luck has an earlier ADP than Brandon Marshall?100%
39. Allen Robinson has an earlier ADP than Jeremy Hill?0%
40. Toby Gerhart has an earlier ADP than Roddy White?100%
41. Tony Romo has an earlier ADP than Ryan Mathews?50%
42. Isaiah Crowell has an earlier ADP than Cecil Shorts?30%
43. Stevan Ridley has an earlier ADP than Golden Tate?100%
44. Odell Beckham has an earlier ADP than Alfred Morris? 0%
45. Knowshon Moreno has an earlier ADP than Antonio Gates?30%
46. At least one rookie is drafted in the first round? 40%
47. The highest-drafted rookie RB has an earlier ADP than the highest-drafted rookie WR?100%
48. The highest-drafted rookie QB has an earlier ADP than the highest-drafted rookie TE? 100%
49. At least one rookie WR is drafted has an earlier ADP than Randall Cobb? 0%
50. At least two rookie RBs have an earlier ADP than Adrian Peterson?0%
51. Blake Bortles is drafted as QB18 or earlier?100%
52. Cam Newton is drafted as QB3 or earlier?0%
53. Tre Mason is drafted as RB24 or earlier?0%
54. Ray Rice is drafted as RB24 or earlier?100%
55. Julian Edelman is drafted as WR36 or earlier?0%
56. Marvin Jones is drafted as WR36 or earlier?0%
57. Emmanuel Sanders is drafted as WR36 or earlier?50%
58. Eric Decker is drafted as WR24 or earlier?0%
59. Vernon Davis is drafted as TE8 or earlier?60%
60. Coby Fleener is drafted as TE12 or earlier?50%

What are the odds that, in 2014 --
61. Justin Blackmon catches at least one pass?50%
62. Darren McFadden has a carry in at least twelve games?100%
63. Zac Stacy rushes for over 1000 yards?100%
64. Danny Amendola plays more games than Dez Bryant?0%
65. A.J. Green finishes as a top-five WR in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)?100%
66. Torrey Smith finishes as a top-twenty WR in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)?0%
67. Heath Miller finishes as a top-twelve TE in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)?0%
68. Steven Jackson finishes as a top-fifteen RB in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)?0%
69. Teddy Bridgewater finishes as a top-12 QB in total points (.05/pass yard, 4/pass TD, 0.1/rush yard, 6/pass TD)?0%
70. Matt Ryan finishes as a top-6 QB in total points (.05/pass yard, 4/pass TD, 0.1/rush yard, 6/pass TD)?0%
71. Charles Sims outscores Darren Sproles in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)?0%
72. Rashad Jennings outscores Andre Williams in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)?100%
73. Anquan Boldin outscores Andrew Hawkins in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)?100%
74. Wes Welker outscores Mike Williams in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)?100%
75. Delanie Walker outscores Ladarius Green in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)?0%

[FiremanEd]

Based on DLF's June 2015 ADP, what are the odds that --
1. Peyton Manning has an earlier ADP than Johnny Manziel? 100%
2. Nick Foles has an earlier ADP than Robert Griffin? 50%
3. Tom Brady has an earlier ADP than Ryan Tannehill? 10%
4. Colin Kaepernick has an earlier ADP than Drew Brees? 50%
5. Russell Wilson has an earlier ADP than Matt Stafford? 20%
6. Le'Veon Bell has an earlier ADP than Doug Martin? 50%
7. Arian Foster has an earlier ADP than Shane Vereen? 0%
8. Marshawn Lynch has an earlier ADP than Christine Michael? 20%
9. Bishop Sankey has an earlier ADP than Terrance West? 75%
10. Joique Bell has an earlier ADP than Ben Tate? 50%
11. Devonta Freeman has an earlier ADP than Carlos Hyde? 20%
12. Adrian Peterson has an earlier ADP than Andre Ellington? 50%
13. Gio Bernard has an earlier ADP than Matt Forte? 100%
14. Reggie Bush has an earlier ADP than Lamar Miller? 70%
15. Bryce Brown has an earlier ADP than Mark Ingram? 20%
16. Calvin Johnson has an earlier ADP than Sammy Watkins? 90%
17. DeAndre Hopkins has an earlier ADP than Antonio Brown? 20%
18. Cordarrelle Patterson has an earlier ADP than Michael Crabtree? 70%
19. Percy Harvin has an earlier ADP than Keenan Allen? 30%
20. Tavon Austin has an earlier ADP than Jordy Nelson? 30%
21. Aaron Dobson has an earlier ADP than Brandin Cooks?50%
22. Robert Woods has an earlier ADP than Marqise Lee? 40%
23. Mike Wallace has an earlier ADP than Rueben Randle? 50%
24. Jeremy Maclin has an earlier ADP than Jordan Matthews? 0%
25. Hakeem Nicks has an earlier ADP than T.Y. Hilton? 20%
26. Davante Adams has an earlier ADP than Kelvin Benjamin? 20%
27. DeSean Jackson has an earlier ADP than Larry Fitzgerald? 40%
28. Michael Floyd has an earlier ADP than Alshon Jeffery? 40%
29. Dwayne Bowe has an earlier ADP than Markus Wheaton? 50%
30. Kenny Stills has an earlier ADP than Marquess Wilson? 75%
31. Jordan Reed has an earlier ADP than Kyle Rudolph? 25%
32. Tyler Eifert has an earlier ADP than Julius Thomas? 20%
33. Greg Olsen has an earlier ADP than Travis Kelce? 50%
34. Charles Clay has an earlier ADP than Austin Seferian-Jenkins? 50%
35. Eric Ebron has an earlier ADP than Jordan Cameron? 50%
36. Rob Gronkowski has an earlier ADP than Victor Cruz? 80%
37. C.J. Spiller has an earlier ADP than Vincent Jackson? 80%
38. Andrew Luck has an earlier ADP than Brandon Marshall? 80%
39. Allen Robinson has an earlier ADP than Jeremy Hill? 80%
40. Toby Gerhart has an earlier ADP than Roddy White? 80%
41. Tony Romo has an earlier ADP than Ryan Mathews? 50%
42. Isaiah Crowell has an earlier ADP than Cecil Shorts? 30%
43. Stevan Ridley has an earlier ADP than Golden Tate? 50%
44. Odell Beckham has an earlier ADP than Alfred Morris? 30%
45. Knowshon Moreno has an earlier ADP than Antonio Gates? 100%
46. At least one rookie is drafted in the first round? 10%
47. The highest-drafted rookie RB has an earlier ADP than the highest-drafted rookie WR? 100%
48. The highest-drafted rookie QB has an earlier ADP than the highest-drafted rookie TE? 100%
49. At least one rookie WR is drafted has an earlier ADP than Randall Cobb? 0%
50. At least two rookie RBs have an earlier ADP than Adrian Peterson? 20%
51. Blake Bortles is drafted as QB18 or earlier? 100%
52. Cam Newton is drafted as QB3 or earlier? 50%
53. Tre Mason is drafted as RB24 or earlier?20%
54. Ray Rice is drafted as RB24 or earlier?20%
55. Julian Edelman is drafted as WR36 or earlier? 20%
56. Marvin Jones is drafted as WR36 or earlier? 20%
57. Emmanuel Sanders is drafted as WR36 or earlier? 20%
58. Eric Decker is drafted as WR24 or earlier? 10%
59. Vernon Davis is drafted as TE8 or earlier? 60%
60. Coby Fleener is drafted as TE12 or earlier? 0%

What are the odds that, in 2014 --
61. Justin Blackmon catches at least one pass? 0%
62. Darren McFadden has a carry in at least twelve games? 30%
63. Zac Stacy rushes for over 1000 yards?70%
64. Danny Amendola plays more games than Dez Bryant? 0%
65. A.J. Green finishes as a top-five WR in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 100%
66. Torrey Smith finishes as a top-twenty WR in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 40%
67. Heath Miller finishes as a top-twelve TE in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 0%
68. Steven Jackson finishes as a top-fifteen RB in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 0%
69. Teddy Bridgewater finishes as a top-12 QB in total points (.05/pass yard, 4/pass TD, 0.1/rush yard, 6/pass TD)? 0%
70. Matt Ryan finishes as a top-6 QB in total points (.05/pass yard, 4/pass TD, 0.1/rush yard, 6/pass TD)? 40%
71. Charles Sims outscores Darren Sproles in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 25%
72. Rashad Jennings outscores Andre Williams in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 100%
73. Anquan Boldin outscores Andrew Hawkins in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 50%
74. Wes Welker outscores Mike Williams in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 100%
75. Delanie Walker outscores Ladarius Green in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 40%

[Amoo]

1. Peyton Manning has an earlier ADP than Johnny Manziel? 40%
2. Nick Foles has an earlier ADP than Robert Griffin? 65%
3. Tom Brady has an earlier ADP than Ryan Tannehill? 45%
4. Colin Kaepernick has an earlier ADP than Drew Brees? 10%
5. Russell Wilson has an earlier ADP than Matt Stafford? 0%
6. Le'Veon Bell has an earlier ADP than Doug Martin? 35%
7. Arian Foster has an earlier ADP than Shane Vereen? 25%
8. Marshawn Lynch has an earlier ADP than Christine Michael? 30%
9. Bishop Sankey has an earlier ADP than Terrance West? 90%
10. Joique Bell has an earlier ADP than Ben Tate? 50%
11. Devonta Freeman has an earlier ADP than Carlos Hyde? 20%
12. Adrian Peterson has an earlier ADP than Andre Ellington? 80%
13. Gio Bernard has an earlier ADP than Matt Forte? 40%
14. Reggie Bush has an earlier ADP than Lamar Miller? 100%
15. Bryce Brown has an earlier ADP than Mark Ingram? 70%
16. Calvin Johnson has an earlier ADP than Sammy Watkins? 100%
17. DeAndre Hopkins has an earlier ADP than Antonio Brown? 5%
18. Cordarrelle Patterson has an earlier ADP than Michael Crabtree? 80%
19. Percy Harvin has an earlier ADP than Keenan Allen? 15%
20. Tavon Austin has an earlier ADP than Jordy Nelson? 10%
21. Aaron Dobson has an earlier ADP than Brandin Cooks? 30%
22. Robert Woods has an earlier ADP than Marqise Lee? 30%
23. Mike Wallace has an earlier ADP than Rueben Randle? 75%
24. Jeremy Maclin has an earlier ADP than Jordan Matthews? 30%
25. Hakeem Nicks has an earlier ADP than T.Y. Hilton? 35%
26. Davante Adams has an earlier ADP than Kelvin Benjamin? 65%
27. DeSean Jackson has an earlier ADP than Larry Fitzgerald? 60%
28. Michael Floyd has an earlier ADP than Alshon Jeffery? 10%
29. Dwayne Bowe has an earlier ADP than Markus Wheaton? 70%
30. Kenny Stills has an earlier ADP than Marquess Wilson? 50%
31. Jordan Reed has an earlier ADP than Kyle Rudolph? 30%
32. Tyler Eifert has an earlier ADP than Julius Thomas? 5%
33. Greg Olsen has an earlier ADP than Travis Kelce? 100%
34. Charles Clay has an earlier ADP than Austin Seferian-Jenkins? 40%
35. Eric Ebron has an earlier ADP than Jordan Cameron? 70%
36. Rob Gronkowski has an earlier ADP than Victor Cruz? 85%
37. C.J. Spiller has an earlier ADP than Vincent Jackson? 35%
38. Andrew Luck has an earlier ADP than Brandon Marshall? 75%
39. Allen Robinson has an earlier ADP than Jeremy Hill? 25%
40. Toby Gerhart has an earlier ADP than Roddy White? 50%
41. Tony Romo has an earlier ADP than Ryan Mathews? 30%
42. Isaiah Crowell has an earlier ADP than Cecil Shorts? 10%
43. Stevan Ridley has an earlier ADP than Golden Tate? 20%
44. Odell Beckham has an earlier ADP than Alfred Morris? 80%
45. Knowshon Moreno has an earlier ADP than Antonio Gates? 90%
46. At least one rookie is drafted in the first round? 0%
47. The highest-drafted rookie RB has an earlier ADP than the highest-drafted rookie WR? 100%
48. The highest-drafted rookie QB has an earlier ADP than the highest-drafted rookie TE? 90%
49. At least one rookie WR is drafted has an earlier ADP than Randall Cobb? 0%
50. At least two rookie RBs have an earlier ADP than Adrian Peterson? 40%
51. Blake Bortles is drafted as QB18 or earlier? 60%
52. Cam Newton is drafted as QB3 or earlier? 30%
53. Tre Mason is drafted as RB24 or earlier? 0%
54. Ray Rice is drafted as RB24 or earlier? 25%
55. Julian Edelman is drafted as WR36 or earlier? 90%
56. Marvin Jones is drafted as WR36 or earlier? 25%
57. Emmanuel Sanders is drafted as WR36 or earlier? 15%
58. Eric Decker is drafted as WR24 or earlier? 15%
59. Vernon Davis is drafted as TE8 or earlier? 80%
60. Coby Fleener is drafted as TE12 or earlier? 10%

What are the odds that, in 2014 --
61. Justin Blackmon catches at least one pass? 10%
62. Darren McFadden has a carry in at least twelve games? 65%
63. Zac Stacy rushes for over 1000 yards? 20%
64. Danny Amendola plays more games than Dez Bryant? 0%
65. A.J. Green finishes as a top-five WR in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 70%
66. Torrey Smith finishes as a top-twenty WR in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 35%
67. Heath Miller finishes as a top-twelve TE in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 20%
68. Steven Jackson finishes as a top-fifteen RB in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 0%
69. Teddy Bridgewater finishes as a top-12 QB in total points (.05/pass yard, 4/pass TD, 0.1/rush yard, 6/pass TD)? 0%
70. Matt Ryan finishes as a top-6 QB in total points (.05/pass yard, 4/pass TD, 0.1/rush yard, 6/pass TD)? 15%
71. Charles Sims outscores Darren Sproles in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 15%
72. Rashad Jennings outscores Andre Williams in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 65%
73. Anquan Boldin outscores Andrew Hawkins in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 90%
74. Wes Welker outscores Mike Williams in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 100%
75. Delanie Walker outscores Ladarius Green in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 70%

[MR ROURKE]

1. Peyton Manning has an earlier ADP than Johnny Manziel? 100%
2. Nick Foles has an earlier ADP than Robert Griffin? 30%
3. Tom Brady has an earlier ADP than Ryan Tannehill? 100%
4. Colin Kaepernick has an earlier ADP than Drew Brees? 0%
5. Russell Wilson has an earlier ADP than Matt Stafford? 0%
6. Le'Veon Bell has an earlier ADP than Doug Martin? 80%
7. Arian Foster has an earlier ADP than Shane Vereen? 20%
8. Marshawn Lynch has an earlier ADP than Christine Michael? 100%
9. Bishop Sankey has an earlier ADP than Terrance West? 100%
10. Joique Bell has an earlier ADP than Ben Tate? 0%
11. Devonta Freeman has an earlier ADP than Carlos Hyde? 30%
12. Adrian Peterson has an earlier ADP than Andre Ellington? 100%
13. Gio Bernard has an earlier ADP than Matt Forte? 70%
14. Reggie Bush has an earlier ADP than Lamar Miller? 100%
15. Bryce Brown has an earlier ADP than Mark Ingram? 100%
16. Calvin Johnson has an earlier ADP than Sammy Watkins? 0%
17. DeAndre Hopkins has an earlier ADP than Antonio Brown? 0%
18. Cordarrelle Patterson has an earlier ADP than Michael Crabtree? 100%
19. Percy Harvin has an earlier ADP than Keenan Allen? 0%
20. Tavon Austin has an earlier ADP than Jordy Nelson? 0%
21. Aaron Dobson has an earlier ADP than Brandin Cooks? 0%
22. Robert Woods has an earlier ADP than Marqise Lee? 0%
23. Mike Wallace has an earlier ADP than Rueben Randle? 30%
24. Jeremy Maclin has an earlier ADP than Jordan Matthews? 50%
25. Hakeem Nicks has an earlier ADP than T.Y. Hilton? 0%
26. Davante Adams has an earlier ADP than Kelvin Benjamin? 20%
27. DeSean Jackson has an earlier ADP than Larry Fitzgerald? 10%
28. Michael Floyd has an earlier ADP than Alshon Jeffery? 0%
29. Dwayne Bowe has an earlier ADP than Markus Wheaton? 0%
30. Kenny Stills has an earlier ADP than Marquess Wilson? 10%
31. Jordan Reed has an earlier ADP than Kyle Rudolph? 0%
32. Tyler Eifert has an earlier ADP than Julius Thomas? 0%
33. Greg Olsen has an earlier ADP than Travis Kelce? 100%
34. Charles Clay has an earlier ADP than Austin Seferian-Jenkins? 0%
35. Eric Ebron has an earlier ADP than Jordan Cameron? 50%
36. Rob Gronkowski has an earlier ADP than Victor Cruz? 100%
37. C.J. Spiller has an earlier ADP than Vincent Jackson? 0%
38. Andrew Luck has an earlier ADP than Brandon Marshall? 0%
39. Allen Robinson has an earlier ADP than Jeremy Hill? 0%
40. Toby Gerhart has an earlier ADP than Roddy White? 0%
41. Tony Romo has an earlier ADP than Ryan Mathews? 0%
42. Isaiah Crowell has an earlier ADP than Cecil Shorts? 0%
43. Stevan Ridley has an earlier ADP than Golden Tate? 0%
44. Odell Beckham has an earlier ADP than Alfred Morris? 10%
45. Knowshon Moreno has an earlier ADP than Antonio Gates? 0%
46. At least one rookie is drafted in the first round? 0%
47. The highest-drafted rookie RB has an earlier ADP than the highest-drafted rookie WR? 0%
48. The highest-drafted rookie QB has an earlier ADP than the highest-drafted rookie TE? 0%
49. At least one rookie WR is drafted has an earlier ADP than Randall Cobb? 0%
50. At least two rookie RBs have an earlier ADP than Adrian Peterson? 0%
51. Blake Bortles is drafted as QB18 or earlier? 0%
52. Cam Newton is drafted as QB3 or earlier? 35%
53. Tre Mason is drafted as RB24 or earlier? 50%
54. Ray Rice is drafted as RB24 or earlier? 0%
55. Julian Edelman is drafted as WR36 or earlier? 0%
56. Marvin Jones is drafted as WR36 or earlier? 0%
57. Emmanuel Sanders is drafted as WR36 or earlier? 0%
58. Eric Decker is drafted as WR24 or earlier? 0%
59. Vernon Davis is drafted as TE8 or earlier? 100%
60. Coby Fleener is drafted as TE12 or earlier? 0%

What are the odds that, in 2014 --
61. Justin Blackmon catches at least one pass? 0%
62. Darren McFadden has a carry in at least twelve games? 30%
63. Zac Stacy rushes for over 1000 yards? 80%
64. Danny Amendola plays more games than Dez Bryant? 0%
65. A.J. Green finishes as a top-five WR in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 100%
66. Torrey Smith finishes as a top-twenty WR in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 50%
67. Heath Miller finishes as a top-twelve TE in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 60%
68. Steven Jackson finishes as a top-fifteen RB in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 0%
69. Teddy Bridgewater finishes as a top-12 QB in total points (.05/pass yard, 4/pass TD, 0.1/rush yard, 6/pass TD)? 0%
70. Matt Ryan finishes as a top-6 QB in total points (.05/pass yard, 4/pass TD, 0.1/rush yard, 6/pass TD)? 0%
71. Charles Sims outscores Darren Sproles in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 50%
72. Rashad Jennings outscores Andre Williams in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 100%
73. Anquan Boldin outscores Andrew Hawkins in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 100%
74. Wes Welker outscores Mike Williams in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 100%
75. Delanie Walker outscores Ladarius Green in total points (1 ppr, 0.1/yard, 6/TD)? 100%

This is a silly game. I can't go by who I think is better to draft, but rather guess how others will draft them.