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1.01 for Lamar jackson

Posted: Sat Mar 23, 2024 6:51 am
by Dlo21
Team sig 2

I have a weakness at qb. Do I take Caleb, add a lil something to get Lamar. Add a bit more to try and get Josh Allen.
What should I do with the pick?

Re: 1.01 for Lamar jackson

Posted: Sat Mar 23, 2024 7:18 am
by Tvols
I take Caleb or try for Allen.

Re: 1.01 for Lamar jackson

Posted: Sat Mar 23, 2024 7:37 am
by Mtt33
What do they adds cost? What are starting positions?

Re: 1.01 for Lamar jackson

Posted: Sun Mar 24, 2024 5:21 pm
by Black Adam
Either take CW or trade back.

Re: 1.01 for Lamar jackson

Posted: Sun Mar 24, 2024 11:52 pm
by TheTroll
Tvols wrote: Sat Mar 23, 2024 7:18 am I take Caleb or try for Allen.
For sure! File this under the “don’t over think it” category

Re: 1.01 for Lamar jackson

Posted: Mon Mar 25, 2024 3:04 am
by tstafford
Dlo21 wrote: Sat Mar 23, 2024 6:51 am Team sig 2

I have a weakness at qb. Do I take Caleb, add a lil something to get Lamar. Add a bit more to try and get Josh Allen.
What should I do with the pick?
Depends on the "lil something". Just conceptually sure. There's less risk in either Lamar or Allen than CW.

But you're in the driver's seat on this and should take advantage of that. Your fall back position of taking CW is a solid option. I'd figure out what I was willing to add to CW for either player and make that offer along with a clear message that it's "best and final" because I'm taking CW happily if no deal.

Not that you asked, but I'd hold off on trying to make this move until closer to draft time. I don't think CW has peaked in rookie value yet. My expectation is that he will be very close to a first round start-up pick this summer. That's still going to require a solid add to get to either of those QBs because they are top-4 start up picks (maybe top-3). But I think the add will be the smallest during rookie drafts.

Re: 1.01 for Lamar jackson

Posted: Mon Mar 25, 2024 5:13 am
by murphysxm
If I have a weakness at QB in a SF and I am sitting at 1.01, I need blown away to not take CW. This seems like a big time overthink situation.

Re: 1.01 for Lamar jackson

Posted: Mon Mar 25, 2024 9:25 am
by Anteaters
murphysxm wrote: Mon Mar 25, 2024 5:13 am If I have a weakness at QB in a SF and I am sitting at 1.01, I need blown away to not take CW. This seems like a big time overthink situation.
I know I might be suffering short term memory loss, but when was the last time the consensus dynasty rookie QB 1.01 was as good as Lamar is today? Or actually became as productive as Lamar should be for the next 4-5 years?

I'm not saying anyone should make the trade 1:1. I just wonder if we all suffer a bit of rookie fever, or maybe Lamar devaluation? For instance, if this was Burrow:1.01, would people say make the deal? Or is Caleb being rated above every QB except the big 3?

I need to run and check CW's valuation in the QB hierarchy?

EDIT: Just checked and it looks like CW is around QB8-QB10. Easily below Lamar on most dynasty ranking sites. hmmmm

Re: 1.01 for Lamar jackson

Posted: Mon Mar 25, 2024 9:41 am
by tstafford
Anteaters wrote: Mon Mar 25, 2024 9:25 am
murphysxm wrote: Mon Mar 25, 2024 5:13 am If I have a weakness at QB in a SF and I am sitting at 1.01, I need blown away to not take CW. This seems like a big time overthink situation.
I know I might be suffering short term memory loss, but when was the last time the consensus dynasty rookie QB 1.01 was as good as Lamar is today? Or actually became as productive as Lamar should be for the next 4-5 years?

I'm not saying anyone should make the trade 1:1. I just wonder if we all suffer a bit of rookie fever, or maybe Lamar devaluation? For instance, if this was Burrow:1.01, would people say make the deal? Or is Caleb being rated above every QB except the big 3?

I need to run and check CW's valuation in the QB hierarchy?

EDIT: Just checked and it looks like CW is around QB8-QB10. Easily below Lamar on most dynasty ranking sites. hmmmm
I can't see why anyone would think CW is worth more than Lamar.

Re: 1.01 for Lamar jackson

Posted: Mon Mar 25, 2024 9:46 am
by TheTroll
tstafford wrote: Mon Mar 25, 2024 9:41 am
Anteaters wrote: Mon Mar 25, 2024 9:25 am
murphysxm wrote: Mon Mar 25, 2024 5:13 am If I have a weakness at QB in a SF and I am sitting at 1.01, I need blown away to not take CW. This seems like a big time overthink situation.
I know I might be suffering short term memory loss, but when was the last time the consensus dynasty rookie QB 1.01 was as good as Lamar is today? Or actually became as productive as Lamar should be for the next 4-5 years?

I'm not saying anyone should make the trade 1:1. I just wonder if we all suffer a bit of rookie fever, or maybe Lamar devaluation? For instance, if this was Burrow:1.01, would people say make the deal? Or is Caleb being rated above every QB except the big 3?

I need to run and check CW's valuation in the QB hierarchy?

EDIT: Just checked and it looks like CW is around QB8-QB10. Easily below Lamar on most dynasty ranking sites. hmmmm
I can't see why anyone would think CW is worth more than Lamar.
yep no way

Re: 1.01 for Lamar jackson

Posted: Mon Mar 25, 2024 10:01 am
by Anteaters
Ok, I thought it was just me.

I'd be thrilled to add a little something to 1.01 to lock down Lamar in SF. That looks like highway robbery to me.

Re: 1.01 for Lamar jackson

Posted: Mon Mar 25, 2024 10:19 am
by Tvols
Anteaters wrote: Mon Mar 25, 2024 10:01 am Ok, I thought it was just me.

I'd be thrilled to add a little something to 1.01 to lock down Lamar in SF. That looks like highway robbery to me.
I rather have Allen or Burrow (shorter extent Williams )over Lamar but that is personal preference , Im just not a Lamar fan and that is ok. He was suppose be the best passing qb ever in this new offense(sarcasm) I dont see it, yes he is great for FF but his legs wont hold out for ever and I dont see him improving as a passer where he can carry an offense off his Arm as he ages but to each our own. Value sure is on the Lamar side for now.

Re: 1.01 for Lamar jackson

Posted: Mon Mar 25, 2024 12:22 pm
by Anteaters
Tvols wrote: Mon Mar 25, 2024 10:19 am
Anteaters wrote: Mon Mar 25, 2024 10:01 am Ok, I thought it was just me.

I'd be thrilled to add a little something to 1.01 to lock down Lamar in SF. That looks like highway robbery to me.
I rather have Allen or Burrow (shorter extent Williams )over Lamar but that is personal preference , Im just not a Lamar fan and that is ok. He was suppose be the best passing qb ever in this new offense(sarcasm) I dont see it, yes he is great for FF but his legs wont hold out for ever and I dont see him improving as a passer where he can carry an offense off his Arm as he ages but to each our own. Value sure is on the Lamar side for now.
I think a lot of the difference in opinion is because of the name being Lamar, not the veteran being dynasty QB5. I think you (and others) would value dynasty QB5 over CW, as long as that dynasty QB5 is not Lamar. Personal preference and all that.

Because deep down, we all agree there is significant risk (at least 50%?) that any rookie first round pick is going to be a bust. Even when a rookie QB isn't a bust, he might end up being TLaw level, which is lower value than LJackson level. So purely speaking of Dynasty QB5 versus CW, the answer is almost always take the Dynasty QB5.

I'm not trying to debate that anybody should ignore their personal preference against Lamar. If you don't think he's that guy, go with your gut. But for those who are not anti-Lamar, I think this is a clear choice in favor of Lamar unless someone is ALL IN on Caleb.

Re: 1.01 for Lamar jackson

Posted: Mon Mar 25, 2024 7:29 pm
by Tvols
Anteaters wrote: Mon Mar 25, 2024 12:22 pm
Tvols wrote: Mon Mar 25, 2024 10:19 am
Anteaters wrote: Mon Mar 25, 2024 10:01 am Ok, I thought it was just me.

I'd be thrilled to add a little something to 1.01 to lock down Lamar in SF. That looks like highway robbery to me.
I rather have Allen or Burrow (shorter extent Williams )over Lamar but that is personal preference , Im just not a Lamar fan and that is ok. He was suppose be the best passing qb ever in this new offense(sarcasm) I dont see it, yes he is great for FF but his legs wont hold out for ever and I dont see him improving as a passer where he can carry an offense off his Arm as he ages but to each our own. Value sure is on the Lamar side for now.
I think a lot of the difference in opinion is because of the name being Lamar, not the veteran being dynasty QB5. I think you (and others) would value dynasty QB5 over CW, as long as that dynasty QB5 is not Lamar. Personal preference and all that.

Because deep down, we all agree there is significant risk (at least 50%?) that any rookie first round pick is going to be a bust. Even when a rookie QB isn't a bust, he might end up being TLaw level, which is lower value than LJackson level. So purely speaking of Dynasty QB5 versus CW, the answer is almost always take the Dynasty QB5.

I'm not trying to debate that anybody should ignore their personal preference against Lamar. If you don't think he's that guy, go with your gut. But for those who are not anti-Lamar, I think this is a clear choice in favor of Lamar unless someone is ALL IN on Caleb.
Very valid point anteater