SF 1.01 MHJ or Caleb

[Sauce91]

So I have the 1.01 in the 24 rookie draft it’s a Superflex and I’m already torn between Caleb and MHJ. my Qbs as of right now are Geno,Aidan O’Conell and Zach Wilson, I don’t know what to do because the risk with Caleb and qbs being such a crap shoot sometimes I feel like going MHJ and worry about QB in 2025 as I have two 25 firsts which of course I know if i am worried about Caleb the risk is even greater with the 2025 qb class. MHJ is pretty much a can’t miss pick up to this point. Still lots of time and have to see landing spots but MHJ just feels so hard to pass up on and pair him with chase and Addison on my team. I would appreciate anyone’s input on this.

[tstafford]

There are other threads on this topic that are worth checking out.

Punch line: Have to be patient and let the NFL Draft happen. Need to see landing spots and draft capital on all the players. Now is not the time to sell the 1.01 nor is it time to lock in on a player.

[mgregoirec]

Wait for the draft. MHJ will be worthless if he lands in a bad spot, so is Caleb. Be patient.

[Gator Sens]

Landing spots play a part and there could be a case for either to go with the 1.01. On paper, Williams looks like the value and better play for the format and your build, but let it all play out and see how the process comes together. Don't get stuck on either right now.

[TheTroll]

take a breath...step away from the 'puter and go play golf or vacation... if you sit here and agonize over which one, you will drive yourself crazy. Let the offers come to you... consider all but remember there will most likely be a new and better one closer to draft day. Even then, if you keep the 1.01, step back, let it all play out so you have 100% of the facts as NO ONE can take the 1.01 away from you period.

[fleaflickerchamp]

If youre worried about young QBs I would trade down for a QB that is established with another draft pick but as others have said I would definitely wait it out at this point. Offers will get better as people start wanting players more and more. The combine and draft will change things up significantly as well. AR15 went from 2nd round flyer to consensus top 3 pick. Its important to remember what the feelings were now so that you arent just influenced by the buzz after the combine and draft but they both play major parts. The NFL teams truly know what they're doing and I put a lot of stock into their judgement of where to draft players as well.

[grooner]

Caleb easily for me here.

[CGW]

Wait for the draft. MHJ will be worthless if he lands in a bad spot, so is Caleb. Be patient.

Yeah, not buying that. Top 5 NFL picks are never worthless, as they are generally situation proof.

OP - I'll echo everyone else and say hold tight. The 1.01 is only going to grow in value as hype train get rolling. No need to make a decision now.

[Dynasty DeLorean]

If youre worried about young QBs I would trade down for a QB that is established with another draft pick but as others have said I would definitely wait it out at this point. Offers will get better as people start wanting players more and more. The combine and draft will change things up significantly as well. AR15 went from 2nd round flyer to consensus top 3 pick. Its important to remember what the feelings were now so that you arent just influenced by the buzz after the combine and draft but they both play major parts. The NFL teams truly know what they're doing and I put a lot of stock into their judgement of where to draft players as well.

Bingo. You can have your cake and eat it too. Lots of options. Draft MHJ and make another trade for an established qb. You could trade the 1.01 for an elite qb (the shine is off Herbert, I bet some would go for that). I bet you could trade the pick for an established wr AND qb, best of both worlds. You could trade back acquiring more assets (picks or players) and still get a really really good player at 1.05/1.06. Lots of options

Since your qbs stink, be on the lookout for good deals. I’ve managed to cobble together qb rooms from not much, late-1sts is the most I’ve given and I’ve been able to aquire guys like Purdy, Carr, Geno, etc. I’ve had opportunities to pay a late-1 for Cousins that I’ve turned down in the past. There’s almost always opportunities out there if you stay vigilant.

[tstafford]

Wait for the draft. MHJ will be worthless if he lands in a bad spot, so is Caleb. Be patient.

Yeah, not buying that. Top 5 NFL picks are never worthless, as they are generally situation proof.

"worthless". This is up there as the worst take I've seen in ages.

[Bulletproof]

MHJ seems like he has a higher ceiling and higher floor and very low chance of being a bust

[Sauce91]

MHJ seems like he has a higher ceiling and higher floor and very low chance of being a bust

I feel this

[tdster17]

Wait for the draft. MHJ will be worthless if he lands in a bad spot, so is Caleb. Be patient.

Yeah, not buying that. Top 5 NFL picks are never worthless, as they are generally situation proof.

OP - I'll echo everyone else and say hold tight. The 1.01 is only going to grow in value as hype train get rolling. No need to make a decision now.

Bryce Young, Zach Wilson, Trey Lance, Sam Darnold, Corey Davis all saying hello right now....
They've all got different stories, but most of them lost their value VERY quickly

[tdster17]

Wait for the draft. MHJ will be worthless if he lands in a bad spot, so is Caleb. Be patient.

Yeah, not buying that. Top 5 NFL picks are never worthless, as they are generally situation proof.

OP - I'll echo everyone else and say hold tight. The 1.01 is only going to grow in value as hype train get rolling. No need to make a decision now.

Bryce Young, Zach Wilson, Trey Lance, Sam Darnold, Corey Davis all saying hello right now....
They've all got different stories, but most of them lost their value VERY quickly

Building on this for a second because I was curious...
Since 2017 there have been 15 skill position players picked in the top 5 picks of the draft. Of those, I'd say 7 of them fell to pretty close to that "worthless" category within a season. Not a great hit rate by any definition

[frerichs5]

Yeah, not buying that. Top 5 NFL picks are never worthless, as they are generally situation proof.

OP - I'll echo everyone else and say hold tight. The 1.01 is only going to grow in value as hype train get rolling. No need to make a decision now.

Bryce Young, Zach Wilson, Trey Lance, Sam Darnold, Corey Davis all saying hello right now....
They've all got different stories, but most of them lost their value VERY quickly

Building on this for a second because I was curious...
Since 2017 there have been 15 skill position players picked in the top 5 picks of the draft. Of those, I'd say 7 of them fell to pretty close to that "worthless" category within a season. Not a great hit rate by any definition

I think you’re arguing something different than what CGW is saying. Of course after a season things can change.

But as of draft time, even if they are drafted to a bad spot (before they theoretically actually perform bad in games)….most people aren’t going to care.

Those guys you mentioned didn’t lose value until they proved to suck.