Goedert… It isn’t going to happen, is it?

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Goedert… It isn’t going to happen, is it?

Postby Payton34 » Tue Sep 26, 2023 8:58 pm

I’ve seen enough of the Eagles to believe that Goedert will never be that top 5 TE we thought he could be. I’m struggling to justify him as top 10… Even when they TRY to feed him the ball, it’s short yardage that goes nowhere.

I’m done with this guy.
12 teams, 6pts all TDs, 1/2 pt PPR. 1QB, 1RB, 2WR, 1TE, 1K, 1D, 2 FLEX RB/WR/TE

QBs - P Mahomes,
RBs - Bijan, J Jacobs, K Walker, B Hall,
WRs - AJ Brown, J Waddle, DJ Moore, T Higgins, D London, Smith-Njigba, J Downs, AT Perry
TEs - D Kincaid, Musgrave
Ks - Boswell, McPherson
Ds - Texans, Jets

2024 - 3 1st rounders... Picks 1.5, 1.7, 1.11… 1 2nd 2.17… 1 3rd 3.31…

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Re: Goedert… It isn’t going to happen, is it?

Postby FantasyFreak » Tue Sep 26, 2023 9:00 pm

I have a bad feeling you'll be writing this thread about your other TE in a few years, too. I'm a Kincaid owner, too.

Sorry, I was big on Goedert, but Hurts hasn't been good this year, as a passer, and those 2 WR's are going to get the majority of it. Unless Hurts becomes a truly elite passer year over year, which isn't looking likely, no it's not going to happen.
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Re: Goedert… It isn’t going to happen, is it?

Postby Shcritters » Tue Sep 26, 2023 9:03 pm

Honestly, Hurts is a great running QB, but his passing isn’t enough to support 3 good options. AJB is the focal point of the passing offense, Smith is great and is an absurd deep threat, and Goedart could be the 2nd target on most any team… but just so many mouths to feed and it isn’t like Hurts is Mahomes, Herbert, Burrow, Allen, or even Cousins back there. Hurts limitations as a passer - as well as his strengths as a runner - are going to limit most pass catchers in that offense.
Last edited by Shcritters on Tue Sep 26, 2023 9:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Gopher Two
PPR SF, WR & TE Premium (WR 1.2 PPR , TE 1.5 PPR), 10 total starters, 1 QB, 1SF, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 3 Flex
QB: Mahomes, Prescott, Mayfield
RB: Hall, Pacheco, Jacobs, Connor, Chubb, Mattison
WR: Tyreek, AJ Brown, Flowers, CSutton, JJeudy, Slayton, Iosivas
TE: McBride, DSchultz, Musgrave, Kraft, MGesicki
2024: 1.02, 2.02
2022 and 2023 League Champ

SafeLeague #1 (12 team, SF, 2.0 PPR TE Prem). 10 total starters 1 QB, 1SF (QB/TE/RB/WR), 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 3 Flex
QB: Purdy, Levis, DTR
RB: Pacheco + scrubs
WR: Downs, MMims, EMoore, Jeudy, MWilson + scrubs
TE: Hock, Kincaid, Pitts, Mayer + scrubs
2024: 1.01, 1.05, 1.11, 2.01, 2.02, 2.06,
2025: 2 1sts, 2 2nds

SafeLeague #2
QB: Purdy, Richardson, Hooker, Willis
RB: literal ZERO RB (for now)
WR: Mingo, MMims, Toney, Skyy, Iosivas
TE: LaPorta, Kincaid, McBride, Mayer, Musgrave, Schoonmaker (and a bunch more 2nd stringers)
2024: 1.01, 1.05, 1.06, 1.08, 1.09, 1.10, 2.01, 2.05, 2.06
2025: 1 1st, 1 2nd

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Re: Goedert… It isn’t going to happen, is it?

Postby FantasyFreak » Tue Sep 26, 2023 9:04 pm

Shcritters wrote: Tue Sep 26, 2023 9:03 pm Honestly, Hurts is a great running QB, but his passing isn’t enough to support 3 good options. AJB is the focal point of the passing offense, Smith is great and is an absurd deep threat, and Goedart could be the 2nd target on most any team… but just so many mouths to feed and it isn’t like Hurts is Mahomes, Herbert, Burrow, or even Cousins back there. Hurts limitations as a passer - as well as his strengths as a runner - are going to limit most pass catchers in that offense.
Well put.
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Re: Goedert… It isn’t going to happen, is it?

Postby Shcritters » Tue Sep 26, 2023 9:05 pm

FantasyFreak wrote: Tue Sep 26, 2023 9:00 pm I have a bad feeling you'll be writing this thread about your other TE in a few years, too. I'm a Kincaid owner, too.

Sorry, I was big on Goedert, but Hurts hasn't been good this year, as a passer, and those 2 WR's are going to get the majority of it. Unless Hurts becomes a truly elite passer year over year, which isn't looking likely, no it's not going to happen.
Not to derail so early in a thread, but it is too early to call Kincaid. Allen definitely is a better passer than Hurts, and when Diggs eventually falls off I could see him becoming the 1B in that offense. Lots yet to be decided there…
Gopher Two
PPR SF, WR & TE Premium (WR 1.2 PPR , TE 1.5 PPR), 10 total starters, 1 QB, 1SF, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 3 Flex
QB: Mahomes, Prescott, Mayfield
RB: Hall, Pacheco, Jacobs, Connor, Chubb, Mattison
WR: Tyreek, AJ Brown, Flowers, CSutton, JJeudy, Slayton, Iosivas
TE: McBride, DSchultz, Musgrave, Kraft, MGesicki
2024: 1.02, 2.02
2022 and 2023 League Champ

SafeLeague #1 (12 team, SF, 2.0 PPR TE Prem). 10 total starters 1 QB, 1SF (QB/TE/RB/WR), 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 3 Flex
QB: Purdy, Levis, DTR
RB: Pacheco + scrubs
WR: Downs, MMims, EMoore, Jeudy, MWilson + scrubs
TE: Hock, Kincaid, Pitts, Mayer + scrubs
2024: 1.01, 1.05, 1.11, 2.01, 2.02, 2.06,
2025: 2 1sts, 2 2nds

SafeLeague #2
QB: Purdy, Richardson, Hooker, Willis
RB: literal ZERO RB (for now)
WR: Mingo, MMims, Toney, Skyy, Iosivas
TE: LaPorta, Kincaid, McBride, Mayer, Musgrave, Schoonmaker (and a bunch more 2nd stringers)
2024: 1.01, 1.05, 1.06, 1.08, 1.09, 1.10, 2.01, 2.05, 2.06
2025: 1 1st, 1 2nd

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Re: Goedert… It isn’t going to happen, is it?

Postby moishetreats » Tue Sep 26, 2023 9:15 pm

Very sadly, I agree. He was my guy for a long time. I just traded him in my Team 1 in sig (start 2TE), where I traded up to get him in the rookie draft years ago and have rejected every attempt to sell. Yup, I traded low now -- and I think it was worth it.
10 tms 27 plrs PPR
Start: 2QB 2RB 3WR 2TE 2Flex / best ball

QB: Herbert, Love, Rodgers, G Smith, Stidham, T Taylor, Hall
RB: McCaffrey, Mixon, Pacheco, Montgomery, Z White, Allgeier, Dillon
WR: Hill, St. Brown, Kupp, Allen, Lockett, B Johnson
TE: Kelce, Kmet, Kraft, Okonkwo, Dulcich, Tremble

2024: 2.09, 3.07, 3.08, 3.10, 4.08
2025: 2nd (x2), 4th, 5th (x2)
2026: 1st, 2nd (x2), 3rd, 4th, 5th



12 tms 22 active plyrs. Salary Cap $300 PPR
Start: 1QB 2RB 3WR 1TE 1SF 1Flex / best ball

QB: Lawrence (contract through 2026), Love ('24), Rodgers ('24), Stidham ('25), Lock ('25)
RB: Bijan Robinson ('25), Pollard ('27), Dillon ('24), Rodriguez ('24), Spiller ('24)
WR: G Wilson ('26), AJ Brown ('26), DJ Montgomery ('25)
TE: --
2024 Cap Spent: $186

IR: --
TAXI SQUAD (4 max): --

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Re: Goedert… It isn’t going to happen, is it?

Postby Payton34 » Tue Sep 26, 2023 9:32 pm

FantasyFreak wrote: Tue Sep 26, 2023 9:00 pm I have a bad feeling you'll be writing this thread about your other TE in a few years, too. I'm a Kincaid owner, too.

Sorry, I was big on Goedert, but Hurts hasn't been good this year, as a passer, and those 2 WR's are going to get the majority of it. Unless Hurts becomes a truly elite passer year over year, which isn't looking likely, no it's not going to happen.
You may be right. It is an eerily similar scenario, but insert Knox into the role of Ertz…

Yes, too early to tell but not thrilled with what I’m seeing there either.
12 teams, 6pts all TDs, 1/2 pt PPR. 1QB, 1RB, 2WR, 1TE, 1K, 1D, 2 FLEX RB/WR/TE

QBs - P Mahomes,
RBs - Bijan, J Jacobs, K Walker, B Hall,
WRs - AJ Brown, J Waddle, DJ Moore, T Higgins, D London, Smith-Njigba, J Downs, AT Perry
TEs - D Kincaid, Musgrave
Ks - Boswell, McPherson
Ds - Texans, Jets

2024 - 3 1st rounders... Picks 1.5, 1.7, 1.11… 1 2nd 2.17… 1 3rd 3.31…

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Re: Goedert… It isn’t going to happen, is it?

Postby FantasyFreak » Tue Sep 26, 2023 9:36 pm

Payton34 wrote: Tue Sep 26, 2023 9:32 pm
FantasyFreak wrote: Tue Sep 26, 2023 9:00 pm I have a bad feeling you'll be writing this thread about your other TE in a few years, too. I'm a Kincaid owner, too.

Sorry, I was big on Goedert, but Hurts hasn't been good this year, as a passer, and those 2 WR's are going to get the majority of it. Unless Hurts becomes a truly elite passer year over year, which isn't looking likely, no it's not going to happen.
You may be right. It is an eerily similar scenario, but insert Knox into the role of Ertz…

Yes, too early to tell but not thrilled with what I’m seeing there either.
You're right on Goedert. I am hoping I am not on Kincaid, just glad I got Laporta and Musgrave elsewhere, where I didn't get Kincaid.
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Re: Goedert… It isn’t going to happen, is it?

Postby Anteaters » Wed Sep 27, 2023 4:23 am

FantasyFreak wrote: Tue Sep 26, 2023 9:00 pm I have a bad feeling you'll be writing this thread about your other TE in a few years, too. I'm a Kincaid owner, too.

Sorry, I was big on Goedert, but Hurts hasn't been good this year, as a passer, and those 2 WR's are going to get the majority of it. Unless Hurts becomes a truly elite passer year over year, which isn't looking likely, no it's not going to happen.
Unfortunately, this can be and will be written about every next-hyped TE. The position is the ultimate three-card Monty game of fantasy football.

I love seeing league mates expending valuable draft capital chasing TE in non-TEP leagues. In non-TEP leagues, only three TEs are really worth a wooden nickel.

I have Goedert on team 1 in my sig. I'm satisfied with him, but he's not producing substantially more than every other TE5-15. They're all interchangeable. If you don't have one of the T3TE, you won't get anything close to difference-making production. It's sad.

Laporta and Musgrave look like they might get enough usage to be better than meh, but I'm not yet completely sold on them being multi-year consistently T5TEs. Different OCs yes, but GB especially has a history of TEs flashing a break-out run that excites fantasy managers, then those TEs fading back into the swamp of interchangeable TEs.
Last edited by Anteaters on Wed Sep 27, 2023 4:34 am, edited 1 time in total.
TEAM 1:
12 Team ppr w/20 keepers - start 1QB 2RB 3WR 1TE 1FLX 6IDP 1DEF
QB: Tua, Lamar, Levis
RB: Etienne, Pacheco, JavonteWms, JFord, CEH
WR: Lamb, JChase, Waddle, Pickens, MWilliams, Q Johnston
TE: Goedert, Friermuth
DEF: Cowboys, Ravens
IDP:(LB) Bolton, Greenlaw; (DE/DL) ZCollins, BJHill; (S/CB) Pitre, Bates, Witherspoon
2023 & 2022 Champion: 2020 third place: 2019 Champion

TEAM 2:
14 Team 30roster SF/ppr/TEP - QB/RB/WR/TE/5FLX/SF
QB: Tua, CJStroud, Carr, AOC, MWhite, Lock
RB: Etienne, Stevenson, GusE, AJD, Singletary, CEH, Spiller
WR: Amon-Ra, Kirk, Dell, Thielen, Gallup, Ch Jones
TE: Andrews, Waller, Taysom, Smythe, WMallory, JOliver
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Re: Goedert… It isn’t going to happen, is it?

Postby Cameron Giles » Wed Sep 27, 2023 4:33 am

Tight ends with at least 1500 receiving yards since 2021:

Kelce
Andrews
Kittle
Hockenson
Goedert

It could be a lot worse. Goedert is never going to be the rare HOF, target hog type of TE, but he's still very productive and a reliable start. There are a lot of players lagging behind their usual averages right now, so positive regression is likely coming. Injury aside, he was on pace to flirt with 1000 yards last season.

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Re: Goedert… It isn’t going to happen, is it?

Postby Pac_Eddy » Wed Sep 27, 2023 4:37 am

That's the thing with TEs. It seems harder to predict who will hit for fantasy purposes than any other position. How many TEs with high draft capital have disappointed? It's hard to think of any that have MET the expectations. TJ Hockenson and Jeremy Shockey?

I hope Sam LaPorta can keep it up to buck this trend, and it would be nice if more of this year's TEs work out. For guys like Goedert, I'm not much for waiting on them. I'd rather pay the price to acquire a TE that's already doing well than spend years waiting on them.
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Re: Goedert… It isn’t going to happen, is it?

Postby CGW » Wed Sep 27, 2023 5:07 am

Pac_Eddy wrote: Wed Sep 27, 2023 4:37 am That's the thing with TEs. It seems harder to predict who will hit for fantasy purposes than any other position. How many TEs with high draft capital have disappointed? It's hard to think of any that have MET the expectations. TJ Hockenson and Jeremy Shockey?

I hope Sam LaPorta can keep it up to buck this trend, and it would be nice if more of this year's TEs work out. For guys like Goedert, I'm not much for waiting on them. I'd rather pay the price to acquire a TE that's already doing well than spend years waiting on them.
Pretty much all, you are correct. I've been so much better off throwing darts at TEs in the 2nd and 3rd rounds of rookie drafts then the highly touted prospects. Or I've just bought Hockenson everywhere people people were low on him for whatever reason people talked themselves into.

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Re: Goedert… It isn’t going to happen, is it?

Postby Jigga94 » Wed Sep 27, 2023 6:20 am

If you do not have Kelce/Andrews/Hock, you probably could say this about any vet TE.

He's another TE in that backend TE1 range, which really is not much different than mid TE2 range. However, he is still seeing targets and is still talented imo. If he had scored a TD, he would be TE11 instead of TE27 right now.

I think the offense improves a little as the season continues and there will be games where he gets 5+ targets and possibly a TD. That's really all you can ask for from a backend TE1 and I think he has higher probability than guys like Engram, Pat, etc.

The TE landscape is a mess still.
You have Kelce as TE1.
Andrews and Hock as 2 and 3 based on roles in their offense and track record.
Then young hopefuls, Pitts, Laporta, Kincaid, Musgrave. Honestly, would feel pretty comfortable starting Laporta right now. I am in a few redraft where I punted TE.
Then pick a vet TE who either gets a good amount of targets on a good offense like Kittle, Goedert or a guy who could fall in the endzone

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Re: Goedert… It isn’t going to happen, is it?

Postby Cameron Giles » Wed Sep 27, 2023 6:34 am

Jigga94 wrote: Wed Sep 27, 2023 6:20 am If you do not have Kelce/Andrews/Hock, you probably could say this about any vet TE.

He's another TE in that backend TE1 range, which really is not much different than mid TE2 range. However, he is still seeing targets and is still talented imo. If he had scored a TD, he would be TE11 instead of TE27 right now.

I think the offense improves a little as the season continues and there will be games where he gets 5+ targets and possibly a TD. That's really all you can ask for from a backend TE1 and I think he has higher probability than guys like Engram, Pat, etc.

The TE landscape is a mess still.
You have Kelce as TE1.
Andrews and Hock as 2 and 3 based on roles in their offense and track record.
Then young hopefuls, Pitts, Laporta, Kincaid, Musgrave. Honestly, would feel pretty comfortable starting Laporta right now. I am in a few redraft where I punted TE.
Then pick a vet TE who either gets a good amount of targets on a good offense like Kittle, Goedert or a guy who could fall in the endzone
Agreed there are worse things than having a TE who:

- Is attached to an elite QB
- Is in an elite offense
- Was drafted by the current regime
- Is under contract for multiple years
- Is the third option in that offense
- Has averaged 57 y/g the last two years
- Is 28 years old
- TE6 in 2022 (.4 away from TE5)
- TE7 in 2021 (.4 away from TE5)
- One of only five TEs with 1500 receiving yards the last two seasons

He's basically been around a Top-5 TE.

Feels like a kneejerk thread because of a slow start. If I had Goedert in any league I wouldn't feel like my TE situation is in shambles and I wouldn't have any urgency to pay up to improve it. You can contend and win a championship with Goedert as your TE play.

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Re: Goedert… It isn’t going to happen, is it?

Postby abloom » Wed Sep 27, 2023 6:37 am

TEs need to be one of the top 2 options for their team to be special. Goedert is #3 or #4 when you consider hurts's running.

He's not going to be a special TE if the eagles offense stays as is.
Team #1: 2nd place
12 team, 1 ppr (1.5 te), 1Q,2R,2W,1T,2F,1D,1K

Q: Kyler, AR
R: JT, CMC, Barkley, chandler
W: Evans, Chase, Mooney, Collins, Dell, Pickens
T: Kelce, Goedert
D: nyj
K: Sanders

Team #2: back to back champion
12 team, 1ppr (1.5 te), 1Q,2R,2W,1T,1SF,1F,1D,1K

Q: R Wilson, Murray, Watson
R: Swift, Walker, gus bus
W: Puka, Metcalf, Dell, Cooper, DJM, K Allen
T: Kelce, Pitts
K: Tucker
D: CLE

Team #3: back to back champion
14 team, SF, 1PPR (2PPR for TE), 1Q,2R,3W,1T,1SF,2F

Q: Mahomes, Rodgers, Watson, Heinicke, walker
R: Mostert, walker, a Jones, Wilson, Charb, Z White, McLaughlin, freeman, d Williams, Reynolds,
W: Waddle, A St Brown, K Allen, Cooper, Nuk, Juju
T: Kelce, Schultz, Thomas, Ferguson

Team #4 3rd
https://www49.myfantasyleague.com/2024/ ... =0004&O=01

Team #5 4th
https://www45.myfantasyleague.com/2024/ ... =07&F=0009

Team #6 orphan
https://www46.myfantasyleague.com/2024/ ... =0013&O=07


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