Don't want to trade DJM, am I being dumb?

[Prison_Mike]

I've got a team that's middle of the pack but I think could make a push toward the end of the year. Will be 3-3 after this week but I think I'll make the playoffs (hope so, just traded my '23 1st).

DJ Moore is one of my favorite players in all of football and by far my most rostered player in dynasty. I've been waiting for him to get a good QB (hell, I'd settle for average). I have an offer that would essentially net me a 1st for him. But I'm having trouble pulling the trigger. The offer:

Give: Cousins + DJM
Get: Carr + '24 1st

While he's not helping me win this year, he's done nothing but produce at every level despite horrid QB play, and is still just 25 years old. He has the profile of someone that would hit BIG if he were in a competent offense, so I'm not in a rush to trade him away for a random 1st that could be late and is a year(+) away. Am I being dumb?

Here's my team:
Start: 1QB, 2RB, 2WR, 1TE, 4FLX, 1SF - (short benches)
QB: Dak, Cousins, Tua, Z.Wilson, Mayfield
RB: Breece, Jacobs, Sanders, CEH, McKissic, Mostert, Gus
WR: Chase, Waddle, DJM, Meyers, OBJ, Landry
TE: Gesicki, Albert O, Woods

[Gator Sens]

I think you come out ahead here on value long term. Moore is likely to have a really bad season and with that, his value will continue to drop. He could rebound next year or in the future but who knows. He has produced well throughout but has also been overrated based on his lack of TD's. He has been viewed as a WR1 in the community on value but really does not put up those kind of stats in fantasy. Carr looks like a better option than Cousins in SF but they are close overall on value.

I can see this both ways and understand not wanting to move on from Moore or move him low especially with the pick a year + out. If Moore is your guy and you don't want to trade him, hold but I do think the value is here.

[BucBuc]

Tough … I can see one side or the other but I can get more with that 1st so I’ll take that side

[BigBawseRoss]

extremely replaceable player

[dblj1199]

I have DJM also and would kill for this offer. I like him and I'm REALLY hoping that the Panthers deal him off in a massive rebuild. Imagine him with Mahome or ARod??? I know it won't happen, but a boy can dream, lol. I'd take the offer.

[Prison_Mike]

I have DJM also and would kill for this offer. I like him and I'm REALLY hoping that the Panthers deal him off in a massive rebuild. Imagine him with Mahome or ARod??? I know it won't happen, but a boy can dream, lol. I'd take the offer.

That's the other factor. Carolina is supposedly listening to trade offers, and it would make sense for them to clean house.

I don't want to be the guy that sold low when DJM gets a decent QB or has a change of scenery

[Anteaters]

I have DJM also and would kill for this offer. I like him and I'm REALLY hoping that the Panthers deal him off in a massive rebuild. Imagine him with Mahome or ARod??? I know it won't happen, but a boy can dream, lol. I'd take the offer.

That's the other factor. Carolina is supposedly listening to trade offers, and it would make sense for them to clean house.

I don't want to be the guy that sold low when DJM gets a decent QB or has a change of scenery

The problem with this scenario (trade) is that the trade doesn't happen in a vacuum. First, let's forget about KC or GB. For different reasons, I don't see either spending significant capital on a FA/Trade WR.

The big assumption (hope) is that DJM will end up with a top QB and be his WR1. Removing KC+GB from the equation, there really are no situations I see where DJM would automatically be the alpha WR1 on a offensive-minded team with a T15QB. Not in AZ, LAR, LAC, BUF, etc. He could be the lead WR in places like NYG or HOU or NE, but would any of those QBs/Offenses make him a fantasy WR1? I don't think so.

And if DJM ends up the WR2 in a place like Denver, he's going to post stats similar to the last two seasons - good, middle of the road unexciting WR2 stats.

It's disappointing, but I have a feeling that his peak in CAR is going to be his forever peak.

I lean toward making the trade and resetting.

[Jrblaha]

I have DJM also and would kill for this offer. I like him and I'm REALLY hoping that the Panthers deal him off in a massive rebuild. Imagine him with Mahome or ARod??? I know it won't happen, but a boy can dream, lol. I'd take the offer.

That's the other factor. Carolina is supposedly listening to trade offers, and it would make sense for them to clean house.

I don't want to be the guy that sold low when DJM gets a decent QB or has a change of scenery

The problem with this scenario (trade) is that the trade doesn't happen in a vacuum. First, let's forget about KC or GB. For different reasons, I don't see either spending significant capital on a FA/Trade WR.

The big assumption (hope) is that DJM will end up with a top QB and be his WR1. Removing KC+GB from the equation, there really are no situations I see where DJM would automatically be the alpha WR1 on a offensive-minded team with a T15QB. Not in AZ, LAR, LAC, BUF, etc. He could be the lead WR in places like NYG or HOU or NE, but would any of those QBs/Offenses make him a fantasy WR1? I don't think so.

And if DJM ends up the WR2 in a place like Denver, he's going to post stats similar to the last two seasons - good, middle of the road unexciting WR2 stats.

It's disappointing, but I have a feeling that his peak in CAR is going to be his forever peak.

I lean toward making the trade and resetting.

I like to be open minded. I came into this post to say keep him. Ant completely changed my mind with this post above though. Logic is sound and I agree with it - I’d take the pick.

Plus sounds like you him have elsewhere, so it’s not like you’d eliminate all shares if the the surprising happened

[cvbuc]

DJM has been one of the more overrated players in fantasy for years.
There are too many ifs that have to happen for him to be great...
IF they hire a great coach and IF they draft a good QB and IF the new system is DJM friendly and IF...
We can sometimes allow for one IF when evaluating future potential. But when you have consistent and prolonged letdowns of production coupled with multiple IFs required to get back to fantasy relevance - it's time to move on.

[Trevormortis]

If I had him, I'd take that pretty quick.