Justin Jefferson potential deal

[TurkMatt]

Have a potential deal on the table to acquire justin jefferson.

team 1 in sig

*disclaimer* still would have a 2024 1st

[BabyChark23]

I love Jefferson, but you just don’t have the depth to make this kind of move. I would hold DK and hope for some good hits on those 23 1sts.

[TurkMatt]

I love Jefferson, but you just don’t have the depth to make this kind of move. I would hold DK and hope for some good hits on those 23 1sts.

I do worry about the depth but the chance at getting arguably the #1 WR in fantasy has me tilted.

[Gator Sens]

I am lower on Metcalf than many and think he is a bit overrated but this seems pretty pricey with the 2025 1st involved as well. Only having one 1st in essentially 3 years can really set a team back as players age and the NFL changes year to year.

[TurkMatt]

I am lower on Metcalf than many and think he is a bit overrated but this seems pretty pricey with the 2025 1st involved as well. Only having one 1st in essentially 3 years can really set a team back as players age and the NFL changes year to year.

while it does leave me thin on my draft capital. I was thinking maybe of flipping Tyreek or Henry down the road. Also in win now mode as ive been in the finals b2b years and finished second

[Cenla Dynasty]

DK and 3 1sts seems pretty steep but I also believe that any chance you can get JJ, you do it. Personally, I'd look to offer for just JJ. 2025 picks are so far out and there's no telling how that class will shape up. I'd offer up DK with one 23 1st, that 2025 1st and see how talks go from there. Allgeier should end up gaining some value too later on this season

[TurkMatt]

DK and 3 1sts seems pretty steep but I also believe that any chance you can get JJ, you do it. Personally, I'd look to offer for just JJ. 2025 picks are so far out and there's no telling how that class will shape up. I'd offer up DK with one 23 1st, that 2025 1st and see how talks go from there. Allgeier should end up gaining some value too later on this season

we have been in talks for few hours with many counters back and forth and this deal is where the middle ground has come to. He's very high on Jefferson, like any owner should be, and this would take an overpay on my end to complete.

[drobes]

That's about the going rate to acquire him but I think it's a bad time to trade for Jefferson. He's the number 1 dynasty asset and commands a sizeable premium.

Statistically speaking, trading for the number 1 dynasty asset isn't a great strategy when you consider likely regression to the mean, the inflated chances of buying a player at the peak of their value, and the limited upside and sizeable downside with such a move.

[TurkMatt]

That's about the going rate to acquire him but I think it's a bad time to trade for Jefferson. He's the number 1 dynasty asset and commands a sizeable premium.

Statistically speaking, trading for the number 1 dynasty asset isn't a great strategy when you consider likely regression to the mean, the inflated chances of buying a player at the peak of their value, and the limited upside and sizeable downside with such a move.

Wow hmm well this is a very good argument to consider. I maybe suffering from a little trade fever as I've made recent moves to acquire those 1sts that I'm now offering in the past week and not thinking about the potential downside. Thank you for this insight!

[Tobin]

I love Jefferson, but this is to much and then your talking about 2025 picks etc... just to many parts for this trade for me.. PASS