Devy/Rookie Draft Strategy

[MacDaddy123]

It is a little late for me to be posting this, as we are now 60% of the way through my first Devy/Rookie draft.
That said, I am trying to grasp the best way to approach this draft, as in round 4, there are still some nice 2022 draft pieces on the board.
10 team SF league, PPR.

At 1.05 I drafted Christian Watson, the first 6 picks were all rookies, then the draft switched over to Devy.
At 2.05, I took Cade Klubnik, QB, Clemson, hopefully class of 2025 in NFL Draft.
At 3.05, I switched back to rookie Dameon Pierce, as I liked his landing spot.
13 of the 32 picks so far have been rookies, with 19 picks being devy players.

I guess my main question is: How do you balance value of a player who might be a 1st round NFL draft piece in 3 years, versus a 2022 2nd or 3rd round pick?

The vets seem to be picking more Devy players than the 4 newer owners.
However, in round 4 there are still players like Alec Pierce, Jalen Tolbert, and Brian Robinson on the board.
Do I just pass on this players and hope that I can pick a better player in the 24 or 25 draft class?
23 class and 24 class seem to be fairly well picked though.
Most picks coming off the board now are top 2025 draft class.

However, looking back at the last 2 years of Devy drafts on Google spreadsheets, there seems to be a lot of miss picks.
Even guys who have changed positions from RB to LB.
How do you navigate through the risk/reward?

Thanks for reading.