Two 21 seconds for a 22 first? (added poll)

[Lazy Ass Mastermind]

7 Player Keeper League. In a major rebuild (roster in signature). I have 2 firsts (1.01, and 1.05), three seconds (2.07,2.08,2.12), and no thirds this year.

I was just offered a 2022 first for two of my 2021 seconds (2.07 & 2.12). My best guess is that the 2022 pick will be in the 7-9 range. That would give me 3 firsts, 3 seconds, 1 third, 2 fourths, 2 fifths in 2022.

Should I do it?

[Gator Sens]

Yes. Even if the 1st ends up late, it will be in a different tier and well worth two backend mid 2nds. The 1st will grow in value too. Nice deal for you in a rebuild.

[Needalife]

Definite YES for me. Accept! That later part of the 2nd round is ugly if your not in IDP format. Give me that 22 1st all day here.

[Lazy Ass Mastermind]

Definite YES for me. Accept! That later part of the 2nd round is ugly if your not in IDP format. Give me that 22 1st all day here.

Well the value of those 2nds is a bit higher because it's a 7 player keeper league, so there are some vets in the draft as well. I'm having trouble with this because I don't want to wait a year to cash in.

[Lazy Ass Mastermind]

added poll in hopes of more responses

[Avery]

I take the 1st next year pretty easily. I'm currently at pick 2.05 in a rookie draft and things are falling off quickly.

[Yarnith]

Easy yes. You have to think out your math on this. The player at 1.12 is a significantly better option than 2.12 especially with many good vets in the mix. Rough ADP is gonna say you should get 2 great RB assets for sure as well as a top end WR/TE or QB in those 3 first round picks. Considering you still have a 2pick for anyone who falls hard you covet its a no lose trade.

[Lazy Ass Mastermind]

Easy yes. You have to think out your math on this. The player at 1.12 is a significantly better option than 2.12 especially with many good vets in the mix. Rough ADP is gonna say you should get 2 great RB assets for sure as well as a top end WR/TE or QB in those 3 first round picks. Considering you still have a 2pick for anyone who falls hard you covet its a no lose trade.

I hear you but this doesn't really take into account the fact that I'm selling 2 picks for one pick (you compared 2.12 to 1.12 but didn't mention the other pick I'm letting go) and the fact that I'd be waiting a full year to make that pick, and hoping that the draft class is decent.

I'm also just kind of concerned that this trade will set me up to be the worst team AGAIN this year (I know, that's what I should want in a rebuild, but this is my home league and I don't want to be a laughing stock). Lol I'm torn.

[dynastywiz]

I personally would take the 1st for both of those 2nds they are later in the draft and honestly once you get past the top 18-20 this years draft class becomes murky to me. Worst case the pick is 12 overall and you said your team is bad so you will have another high pick in the first and a high pick in the 2nd. It’s hard to tell how next years class but give you option to trade picks next year. Dynasty is a slow rebuild sometimes can’t rush it

[Yarnith]

Keep 7 haven't drafted yet so you keep?
Burrow, Tua, DJM, Mclaurin, Johnson, Sutton, a TE?

Draft 2 RB's in 1st then BPA(leaning Rb again) unless you totally get unlucky should be a solid roster base right there.

Unlike your league mates you need players who you wont cut. So every pick in round 1 needs to be a cornerstone guy. Round 2 means nothing you are gonna cut those guys next year. So having 5 1sts is Immensely more valuable than 6 2nds over the next 2 years. You only keep 7 and that should be a lineup of studs preferably your starters but right now just BPA. I only suggest 2 QB's because your rosters bad and you may get a nice trade asset if Burrow and Tua both have great years. Done correctly Burrow and Johnson(best guesses here) will pair with those 5 1st rounders to be your 7 keepers for the next 5 or 6 seasons.

That is the roadmap I see on a rebuild with your rules.

[Lazy Ass Mastermind]

Keep 7 haven't drafted yet so you keep?
Burrow, Tua, DJM, Mclaurin, Johnson, Sutton, a TE?

Draft 2 RB's in 1st then BPA(leaning Rb again) unless you totally get unlucky should be a solid roster base right there.

Unlike your league mates you need players who you wont cut. So every pick in round 1 needs to be a cornerstone guy. Round 2 means nothing you are gonna cut those guys next year. So having 5 1sts is Immensely more valuable than 6 2nds over the next 2 years. You only keep 7 and that should be a lineup of studs preferably your starters but right now just BPA. I only suggest 2 QB's because your rosters bad and you may get a nice trade asset if Burrow and Tua both have great years. Done correctly Burrow and Johnson(best guesses here) will pair with those 5 1st rounders to be your 7 keepers for the next 5 or 6 seasons.

That is the roadmap I see on a rebuild with your rules.

I appreciate the feedback. This is the type of advice I come here for.

The way I see it-- I'm not going to be keeping 2 QBs in a 1QB league. I just can't bring myself to do that. Tua will be available in the 4th or 5th round easily if I want him back.

My 7 keepers right now are--- Burrow, Mclaurin, DJM, Sutton, Higgins, Johnson (yes 5 WRs), and Conner.

I'm taking Harris at 1, and was planning on taking Pitts at 5 but after the ETN injury he probably won't be there. The RBs available at this spot will be ugly-- I'm talking the rooks (Sermon, Carter, ETN) and then guys like Ronald Jones, Damien Harris, AJ Dillon, etc. I honestly don't know what I'll do at this spot.

I'm thinking my 7 for next year will be: Burrow, Najee, 1.5, Mclaurin, DJM, Higgins, Johnson

[Yarnith]

Keep 7 haven't drafted yet so you keep?
Burrow, Tua, DJM, Mclaurin, Johnson, Sutton, a TE?

Draft 2 RB's in 1st then BPA(leaning Rb again) unless you totally get unlucky should be a solid roster base right there.

Unlike your league mates you need players who you wont cut. So every pick in round 1 needs to be a cornerstone guy. Round 2 means nothing you are gonna cut those guys next year. So having 5 1sts is Immensely more valuable than 6 2nds over the next 2 years. You only keep 7 and that should be a lineup of studs preferably your starters but right now just BPA. I only suggest 2 QB's because your rosters bad and you may get a nice trade asset if Burrow and Tua both have great years. Done correctly Burrow and Johnson(best guesses here) will pair with those 5 1st rounders to be your 7 keepers for the next 5 or 6 seasons.

That is the roadmap I see on a rebuild with your rules.

I appreciate the feedback. This is the type of advice I come here for.

The way I see it-- I'm not going to be keeping 2 QBs in a 1QB league. I just can't bring myself to do that. Tua will be available in the 4th or 5th round easily if I want him back.

My 7 keepers right now are--- Burrow, Mclaurin, DJM, Sutton, Higgins, Johnson (yes 5 WRs), and Conner.

I'm taking Harris at 1, and was planning on taking Pitts at 5 but after the ETN injury he probably won't be there. The RBs available at this spot will be ugly-- I'm talking the rooks (Sermon, Carter, ETN) and then guys like Ronald Jones, Damien Harris, AJ Dillon, etc. I honestly don't know what I'll do at this spot.

I'm thinking my 7 for next year will be: Burrow, Najee, 1.5, Mclaurin, DJM, Higgins, Johnson

Every position is replaceable except RB. I get the allure of Pitts but there is risk there you can ill afford. Ignoring he may bust there is major injury or he needs 2 or 3 years to produce in the NFL. The best Rookie season in NFL history for a TE is 1000yds rec. Can you afford to sit on a guy 2 or 3 years while you rebuild? IMO you need 3 stud RB's to be a multiyear contender. So that skews my view on things.

[Lazy Ass Mastermind]

Keep 7 haven't drafted yet so you keep?
Burrow, Tua, DJM, Mclaurin, Johnson, Sutton, a TE?

Draft 2 RB's in 1st then BPA(leaning Rb again) unless you totally get unlucky should be a solid roster base right there.

Unlike your league mates you need players who you wont cut. So every pick in round 1 needs to be a cornerstone guy. Round 2 means nothing you are gonna cut those guys next year. So having 5 1sts is Immensely more valuable than 6 2nds over the next 2 years. You only keep 7 and that should be a lineup of studs preferably your starters but right now just BPA. I only suggest 2 QB's because your rosters bad and you may get a nice trade asset if Burrow and Tua both have great years. Done correctly Burrow and Johnson(best guesses here) will pair with those 5 1st rounders to be your 7 keepers for the next 5 or 6 seasons.

That is the roadmap I see on a rebuild with your rules.

I appreciate the feedback. This is the type of advice I come here for.

The way I see it-- I'm not going to be keeping 2 QBs in a 1QB league. I just can't bring myself to do that. Tua will be available in the 4th or 5th round easily if I want him back.

My 7 keepers right now are--- Burrow, Mclaurin, DJM, Sutton, Higgins, Johnson (yes 5 WRs), and Conner.

I'm taking Harris at 1, and was planning on taking Pitts at 5 but after the ETN injury he probably won't be there. The RBs available at this spot will be ugly-- I'm talking the rooks (Sermon, Carter, ETN) and then guys like Ronald Jones, Damien Harris, AJ Dillon, etc. I honestly don't know what I'll do at this spot.

I'm thinking my 7 for next year will be: Burrow, Najee, 1.5, Mclaurin, DJM, Higgins, Johnson

Every position is replaceable except RB. I get the allure of Pitts but there is risk there you can ill afford. Ignoring he may bust there is major injury or he needs 2 or 3 years to produce in the NFL. The best Rookie season in NFL history for a TE is 1000yds rec. Can you afford to sit on a guy 2 or 3 years while you rebuild? IMO you need 3 stud RB's to be a multiyear contender. So that skews my view on things.

So who are you suggesting I take at 5? Sermon?

[Lazy Ass Mastermind]

The other variable I need to account for is that ETN might actually be available at one of these spots in the 2nd… with three 2nds I can afford to take him there and stash him on my IR while getting 2 usable players at the other spots.

With one pick in the 2nd I’d feel much less comfortable doing that. Ugh I hate fantasy sometimes

[Yarnith]

So who are you suggesting I take at 5? Sermon?

Who falls there and who you take is debatable but Sermon isn't a bad choice Williams, Carter. All 3 are positioned to take over as the lead back for their teams. I would argue both will outperform Conner. Nothing is a sure thing as it is all projections but all of these backs have solid projections with good ceilings. You should also know who your studs are at WR by the end of the year. You go into 22 knowing precisely what holes you need and between trades/draft should have a competitive team.

Edited: Do you have IR slots you can park players over your 7 player limit? If not stashing a player all year then using a keeper tag on them seems a dubious path. If so then yeah bagging an injured ETN for the free roster spot in 22 and huge upside is a great move.