If they trade Wilson, they wouldn't be a FA/Trade destination for someone like Carr, Watson, or Rodgers; so you'd have to think they're in for a rookie QB or some type of transition/bridge QB. That's a significant downgrade from a player who ranks highly in most QB stats of accuracy. I don't think that difference is -100 yards on the season, which essentially is not a difference at all. That's subtracting 6 yards/gm from a player.Patsfan86 wrote: ↑Fri Oct 29, 2021 10:25 amMaybe i should have added more nuance, i dont think there will be much of a drop off. I dont think we are talking about Hopkins and Brock Osweiler kind of drop off. I think we are talking about maybe a 2 td 100 yard drop off. And again a lesser Qb may just lock onto Metcalf and we could foreseeably see a Michael Thomas 2019 type of year out of DK. No not record breaking catches but yardage and Tds maybe Yes Drew Brees is a hall of famer but i think we can agree that in 2019 he was not a special Qb anymore. Lesser Qbs dont spread the ball around they dont have the ability to. With that said Geno Smith is one of the worst ive ever seen so he is not in this discussion, he is Brock Osweiler type bad so DK is not gonna be very good as long as he plays, but even an Ok qb is still gonna make DK a WR1. I still think his best year is ahead of him.Cameron Giles wrote: ↑Fri Oct 29, 2021 9:15 am I've stopped using "QB-proof" because it's pretty clear a QB does exist that can absolutely plummet fantasy production for every WR. And I'm not even specifically talking a Geno Smith-level one.
You can't say that "there will be a drop-off" and then say "he's QB proof" too. It literally goes against that.
You mentioned 2019 Brees and he was still a very above-average QB.
Like I said earlier, volume rules, but there also comes a time where quality of target matters. Getting peppered with 12 low quality targets from a mediocre QB isn't something I'd want over 8 quality targets from a good QB. We're talking more uncatchable passes, worse passes into tight windows, worse deep ball accuracy, less extended plays, etc.
We'll see how it unfolds, but generally I think you're underselling the impact Russell Wilson leaving a team would have. I just don't believe there's such thing as QB-proof.