Sorry about the formatting. If you read through each set of 8 games stats, then you can really get a feel for how CMC has improved so substantially and steadily in each step of his career so far...
Games 1-8 of career:
49 carries, 117y, 2.4ypc, 0 TD
66 targets, 49 receptions, 378y, 7.7ypr, 2 TD
0.5ppr points - 85.5
Games 9-16:
68 carries, 318y, 4.7ypc, 2 TD
47 targets, 31 receptions, 273y, 8.8ypr, 3 TD
0.5ppr points - 105.6
Games 17-24:
109 carries, 502y, 4.6ypc, 3 TD
58 targets, 49 receptions, 378y, 7.7ypr, 2 TD
0.5ppr points - 142.5
Games 25-32:
110 carries, 596y, 5.4ypc, 4 TD
66 targets, 58 receptions, 489y, 8.4ypr, 4 TD
0.5ppr points - 185.5
Those numbers are really stark, and raise the question of whether CMC has hit his peak production or if his improvement trend will continue further upward, as the above would seem to suggest.
He has gone from 85.5 —> 105.6 —> 142.5 —> 185.5 fantasy points in each quartile of his career. That is like going from RB20 —> RB12 —> RB6 —> RB1 overall.
Norv and CMC say that his total snaps will be reduced but TOUCHES will actually increase in 2019. CMC had 326 touches in 2018, and Norv has had multiple RBs in the past far surpass that total, even getting RBs over 400 touches 4x, and 398 and 375 touches other times. 350 touches is definitely in the neighborhood for CMC.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.denver ... tions/amp/
Cam is going to be running less this year. Means more carries for CMC, which is where the bulk of his increased touches would come from. I could easily see an additional 1-2 per game, to bring his carries total from 219 last year, more into the 240-250 range in 2019.
https://twitter.com/daverichard/status/ ... 96385?s=21
With that increase in touches of only just 1-2 per game, 350 touches being the expectation, then I believe 350+ points 0.5ppr is too. CMC is such a monster and the best is yet to come. He is as durable as anyone or even moreso, and I don’t see why we shouldn’t expect his peak to be longer than average because of that, and why we shouldn’t expect him to be at the level he is already at or above for the foreseeable future. I honestly don’t see why he doesn’t take more, albeit likely smaller, steps forward in the next year or two and then maintain that for several more years until his late 20s, and I think he is a safer bet to do that than most any RB ever is. I think CMC and Saquon are close to equal dynasty assets and are in a tier of their own above everyone else.
That’s all.