Give 1.02 + Hock for Bowers?

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Re: Give 1.02 + Hock for Bowers?

Postby mzkp54 » Thu Jan 30, 2025 2:19 pm

I think its a fine offer. I moved Laporta and 1.04 for Bowers towards the end of the season, which feels comparable. But Bowers is untouchable for some folks, so it takes more than fair.
12 tm/PPR/SF/TE+/Full IDP (start 11/11)/Contracts
QB- Kyler, Baker, TLaw
RB- Barkley, Jacobs, , Ekeler, Hunt, Dowdle
WR- JJ, Lamb, ARSB, Nabers, MHJ Evans, Deebo
TE- Bowers, Schultz, Gesicki, Sinnott
PK/CB-
DT- Allen, Simmons
DE- Bosa, Landry,
LB- Roquan, Zaire, Foye, Speed, Luvu Rozeboom, Mcfadden, Dodson, Britt,
S- Baker, Jones
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Re: Give 1.02 + Hock for Bowers?

Postby KING » Sat Feb 08, 2025 6:30 am

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YES
5 Player Keeper League 12 Team PPR (No Penalties or Restrictions on Keepers)
Start 1QB 2RB 3WR 1TE 1K 1DST
All TD's 6pts, 1pt/25yds pass, 1pt/10yds rush/rec, -2pt fumble/int
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Re: Give 1.02 + Hock for Bowers?

Postby tstafford » Sat Feb 08, 2025 10:29 am

moishetreats wrote: Thu Jan 30, 2025 1:02 pm
Randomguess wrote: Thu Jan 30, 2025 8:56 am Just wanted to circle back to this. I offered Hock, Waddle and the 1.09 for Bowers - got declined. Would you wait until the draft and FA season to offer the 1.02 and Hock for Bowers? I debate trying to tier up now or wait and see landing spots for RBs (which I could use the 1.02 on). I could also trade back from the 1.02 and add picks/players.
Am I understanding you correctly? You offered Hock, Waddle, + 1.09 and got declined with no counter.

So your next offer is less than that?

That's going to be a massive backfire, and I think you'd be burning a future trade bridge. Yeah, 1.02 should increase in value. If you want to wait until after the draft, you could make the same offer as before at least noting that you now see 1.02 as more valuable than before. I doubt that gets anywhere, but that shouldn't burn a bridge.

No way I'd make a lighter offer and expect anything other than some kind of mockery or scorn in response!
I'm not sure everyone would see his 2nd offer as lighter. It might be, but I think it's debatable. A lot folks are out on Waddle and the 1.02 is premium.

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Re: Give 1.02 + Hock for Bowers?

Postby Dude_Abides » Thu Feb 13, 2025 8:48 am

With your picks & probably drafting Jeanty/Tet at 1.01/1.02, I would take a chance on 1 of Warren or Colston at 1.09. You have Hock, which allows you to be patient on a rookie TE. I think 1 of those 2 rookies are going to be really good!
10tm PPR Dynasty (30 roster spots): QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, 2 Flex, SF
QB: T-Law, Maye, Nix, McCarthy, Milton
RB: Chuba, C Brown, Brian Robinson, Guerendo, Keaton, Kendre, McCormick, Brooks
WR: Ladd, BTJ, Godwin, Boutte, Kupp, A Cooper, Whittington, Tillman
TE: Kelce, Gray, Sinnott
2025 picks: 1.02, 1.08, 1.09, 1.10, 2.05, 2.06, 2.07, 3.11(special pick), 4.07, 4.09, 5.02, 5.09

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Re: Give 1.02 + Hock for Bowers?

Postby Randomguess » Thu Feb 13, 2025 9:09 am

Dude_Abides wrote: Thu Feb 13, 2025 8:48 am With your picks & probably drafting Jeanty/Tet at 1.01/1.02, I would take a chance on 1 of Warren or Colston at 1.09. You have Hock, which allows you to be patient on a rookie TE. I think 1 of those 2 rookies are going to be really good!
I appreciate the feedback and that is very reasonable. I thought about trading back from the 1.02 to the 1.05/1.06 range to get Warren if he has a good landing spot.
Team 1:
QB: Daniels, Baker
RB: Bijan, Tracy, Estime, Gus
WR: Jefferson, Lamb, Nacua, MHJ, Nabers, Waddle, Downs
TE: Hockenson, Dissly, Schoonmaker
2025: 1.01, 1.02, 1.09

Team 2:
QB: Daniels, Stafford, Young
RB: Hall, Taylor, Najee, Corum
WR: Chase, Lamb, G Wilson, Waddle, BTJ, McConkey, Jamo
TE: Andrews, Theo Johnson, Chig
2025: 1.06, 1.12

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Re: Give 1.02 + Hock for Bowers?

Postby Dude_Abides » Thu Feb 13, 2025 9:21 am

Randomguess wrote: Thu Feb 13, 2025 9:09 am
Dude_Abides wrote: Thu Feb 13, 2025 8:48 am With your picks & probably drafting Jeanty/Tet at 1.01/1.02, I would take a chance on 1 of Warren or Colston at 1.09. You have Hock, which allows you to be patient on a rookie TE. I think 1 of those 2 rookies are going to be really good!
I appreciate the feedback and that is very reasonable. I thought about trading back from the 1.02 to the 1.05/1.06 range to get Warren if he has a good landing spot.
I like that idea! Would see if you can get 1.05/1.06 & also maybe a late 3rd/4th in return for 1.02. I like Tet, but you are already deep at WR, especially with only playing 2 WR & 1 flex. Can then take BPA at 1.09, if you end up getting Warren at 1.05/1.06.
10tm PPR Dynasty (30 roster spots): QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, 2 Flex, SF
QB: T-Law, Maye, Nix, McCarthy, Milton
RB: Chuba, C Brown, Brian Robinson, Guerendo, Keaton, Kendre, McCormick, Brooks
WR: Ladd, BTJ, Godwin, Boutte, Kupp, A Cooper, Whittington, Tillman
TE: Kelce, Gray, Sinnott
2025 picks: 1.02, 1.08, 1.09, 1.10, 2.05, 2.06, 2.07, 3.11(special pick), 4.07, 4.09, 5.02, 5.09

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Re: Give 1.02 + Hock for Bowers?

Postby Pullo Vision » Thu Feb 13, 2025 10:51 am

Dude_Abides wrote: Thu Feb 13, 2025 9:21 am
Randomguess wrote: Thu Feb 13, 2025 9:09 am
Dude_Abides wrote: Thu Feb 13, 2025 8:48 am With your picks & probably drafting Jeanty/Tet at 1.01/1.02, I would take a chance on 1 of Warren or Colston at 1.09. You have Hock, which allows you to be patient on a rookie TE. I think 1 of those 2 rookies are going to be really good!
I appreciate the feedback and that is very reasonable. I thought about trading back from the 1.02 to the 1.05/1.06 range to get Warren if he has a good landing spot.
I like that idea! Would see if you can get 1.05/1.06 & also maybe a late 3rd/4th in return for 1.02. I like Tet, but you are already deep at WR, especially with only playing 2 WR & 1 flex. Can then take BPA at 1.09, if you end up getting Warren at 1.05/1.06.
This thread started about one idea, but if you're brainstorming broader, you start 3 of Jefferson, Lamb, Puka, Nabers, MHJ each week. Benching two of them represents too much points/value, it's doing your team a disservice. I'd look at flipping one for Bowers. Which one would dictate what the deal looks like, but I could see selling a WR to plug the TE hole, then drafting Tet at 1.2 to fill that bench role.
League #1- 14 tm ppr, 1Q, 2R, 3W, 1T, 1 R/W/T, 1K
1 DT, 2 DE, 2 LB, 1 CB, 1 S, 1 flex

League #2- 12 team PPR, 1Q, 1R, 2W, 1T, 1 R/W/T, 1 W/R/T, 1 Def

League #3- 12 tm PPR, 1Q, 0R (yes, ZERO RB) 3W, 1T, 2 R/W/T flex, 1 Def

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Re: Give 1.02 + Hock for Bowers?

Postby Randomguess » Fri Feb 14, 2025 7:45 am

Pullo Vision wrote: Thu Feb 13, 2025 10:51 am
Dude_Abides wrote: Thu Feb 13, 2025 9:21 am
Randomguess wrote: Thu Feb 13, 2025 9:09 am

I appreciate the feedback and that is very reasonable. I thought about trading back from the 1.02 to the 1.05/1.06 range to get Warren if he has a good landing spot.
I like that idea! Would see if you can get 1.05/1.06 & also maybe a late 3rd/4th in return for 1.02. I like Tet, but you are already deep at WR, especially with only playing 2 WR & 1 flex. Can then take BPA at 1.09, if you end up getting Warren at 1.05/1.06.
This thread started about one idea, but if you're brainstorming broader, you start 3 of Jefferson, Lamb, Puka, Nabers, MHJ each week. Benching two of them represents too much points/value, it's doing your team a disservice. I'd look at flipping one for Bowers. Which one would dictate what the deal looks like, but I could see selling a WR to plug the TE hole, then drafting Tet at 1.2 to fill that bench role.
Do you think offering MHJ straight up for Bowers is enough? If not, who/what would you add to the offer? MHJ + Hock for Bowers too much?
Team 1:
QB: Daniels, Baker
RB: Bijan, Tracy, Estime, Gus
WR: Jefferson, Lamb, Nacua, MHJ, Nabers, Waddle, Downs
TE: Hockenson, Dissly, Schoonmaker
2025: 1.01, 1.02, 1.09

Team 2:
QB: Daniels, Stafford, Young
RB: Hall, Taylor, Najee, Corum
WR: Chase, Lamb, G Wilson, Waddle, BTJ, McConkey, Jamo
TE: Andrews, Theo Johnson, Chig
2025: 1.06, 1.12

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Re: Give 1.02 + Hock for Bowers?

Postby Prison_Mike » Fri Feb 14, 2025 7:49 am

Randomguess wrote: Fri Feb 14, 2025 7:45 am
Pullo Vision wrote: Thu Feb 13, 2025 10:51 am
Dude_Abides wrote: Thu Feb 13, 2025 9:21 am

I like that idea! Would see if you can get 1.05/1.06 & also maybe a late 3rd/4th in return for 1.02. I like Tet, but you are already deep at WR, especially with only playing 2 WR & 1 flex. Can then take BPA at 1.09, if you end up getting Warren at 1.05/1.06.
This thread started about one idea, but if you're brainstorming broader, you start 3 of Jefferson, Lamb, Puka, Nabers, MHJ each week. Benching two of them represents too much points/value, it's doing your team a disservice. I'd look at flipping one for Bowers. Which one would dictate what the deal looks like, but I could see selling a WR to plug the TE hole, then drafting Tet at 1.2 to fill that bench role.
Do you think offering MHJ straight up for Bowers is enough? If not, who/what would you add to the offer? MHJ + Hock for Bowers too much?
I would decline if I had Bowers but it's a reasonable offer

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Re: Give 1.02 + Hock for Bowers?

Postby tstafford » Fri Feb 14, 2025 11:08 am

Randomguess wrote: Fri Feb 14, 2025 7:45 am Do you think offering MHJ straight up for Bowers is enough? If not, who/what would you add to the offer? MHJ + Hock for Bowers too much?
Several issues with this:
MHJ - he's a buy not a sell. Stock is depressed but ready to climb
Bowers - he's at peak value (or very close). Bowers is going to be a late 1st in redraft. So we have a young dynasty asset who is also a coveted redraft pick. That's unobtanium.

Net/net - I think your offer of MHJ/Hock is solid but I'm not sure it gets accepted. I think you're better standing pat and waiting for MHJ to put up some good numbers (see JSN) and go from there.

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Re: Give 1.02 + Hock for Bowers?

Postby Randomguess » Fri Feb 14, 2025 11:17 am

tstafford wrote: Fri Feb 14, 2025 11:08 am
Randomguess wrote: Fri Feb 14, 2025 7:45 am Do you think offering MHJ straight up for Bowers is enough? If not, who/what would you add to the offer? MHJ + Hock for Bowers too much?
Several issues with this:
MHJ - he's a buy not a sell. Stock is depressed but ready to climb
Bowers - he's at peak value (or very close). Bowers is going to be a late 1st in redraft. So we have a young dynasty asset who is also a coveted redraft pick. That's unobtanium.

Net/net - I think your offer of MHJ/Hock is solid but I'm not sure it gets accepted. I think you're better standing pat and waiting for MHJ to put up some good numbers (see JSN) and go from there.
I agree with that. At this point I'd just like to leave this draft with one of Warren or Loveland and a RB in addition to Jeanty, which could be a veteran or pick at 1.02, 1.09 or other spot if I make a trade.
Team 1:
QB: Daniels, Baker
RB: Bijan, Tracy, Estime, Gus
WR: Jefferson, Lamb, Nacua, MHJ, Nabers, Waddle, Downs
TE: Hockenson, Dissly, Schoonmaker
2025: 1.01, 1.02, 1.09

Team 2:
QB: Daniels, Stafford, Young
RB: Hall, Taylor, Najee, Corum
WR: Chase, Lamb, G Wilson, Waddle, BTJ, McConkey, Jamo
TE: Andrews, Theo Johnson, Chig
2025: 1.06, 1.12

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Re: Give 1.02 + Hock for Bowers?

Postby wickerkat1212 » Fri Feb 14, 2025 2:18 pm

You'll need the 1.02 + Hock, maybe more. Bowers is special. And I'd be willing to pay that ESPECIALLY in this year's draft.
D3:
QB—Allen, Carr, Darnold, JJM, Rattler RB—Gibbs, Kamara, Ford, Lloyd, Mason, Laube WR—Lamb, Nabers, MHJ, DJM, MWilson, JBaker, Cooks, Boutte, Atwell, Patrick TE—Engram, Jonnu, Muth, Theo, Strange PK—Ryland DEF—BAL, CHI

D4:
QB—TLaw, Darnold, MJones, AOC, Rattler RB—Bijan, Kamara, Conner, Mason, Benson, McLaughlin, Estime, Badie WR—Jefferson, Odunze, Deebo, DAdams, KAllen, Tolbert, Boutte, Corley TE—Kelce, Ertz, Gray,Theo, Fant PK—Butker, McM DEF—CHI, LVR

Superflex 1:
QB—Mahomes, Mayfield, Rodgers, Rattler RB—Bijan, Kamara, BRob, Allgeier, Estime, Hill WR—Chase, Devonta, DJM, Aiyuk, Jakobi, Iosivas, JBaker, Lockett, Corley TE—Kraft, Engram, Kelce, Sanders, Theo PK—Reichard DEF—CHI, MIA

Superflex 2:
QB: Maye, Goff, Penix, Tua, Hill RB: Bijan, BRob, Javonte, Allgeier, McLaughlin, Zamir, Rodriguez WR: BTJ, MHJ, Odunze, DJM, Polk, Theilan, Boutte, MWilliams, NBrown, Patrick, Shepard TE: Kraft, Theo, Musgrave, Ertz, Parkinson

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Re: Give 1.02 + Hock for Bowers?

Postby Pullo Vision » Sat Feb 15, 2025 4:14 pm

Randomguess wrote: Fri Feb 14, 2025 11:17 am
tstafford wrote: Fri Feb 14, 2025 11:08 am
Randomguess wrote: Fri Feb 14, 2025 7:45 am Do you think offering MHJ straight up for Bowers is enough? If not, who/what would you add to the offer? MHJ + Hock for Bowers too much?
Several issues with this:
MHJ - he's a buy not a sell. Stock is depressed but ready to climb
Bowers - he's at peak value (or very close). Bowers is going to be a late 1st in redraft. So we have a young dynasty asset who is also a coveted redraft pick. That's unobtanium.

Net/net - I think your offer of MHJ/Hock is solid but I'm not sure it gets accepted. I think you're better standing pat and waiting for MHJ to put up some good numbers (see JSN) and go from there.
I agree with that. At this point I'd just like to leave this draft with one of Warren or Loveland and a RB in addition to Jeanty, which could be a veteran or pick at 1.02, 1.09 or other spot if I make a trade.
There's an MHJ thread in Dynasty Discussion. Put simply, he needed to see too many things change from 2024 to see an upgrade on his production.
QB- same guy
Coach- same guy
Scheme- the only hope is he gets used as something other than a downfield guy AND somehow surpasses McBride as the #1

You know why he's called MHJ? Because his middle name is Hopium. I'm not gonna sit holding and hoping that he cashes in on his predraft expectations/hype, when there's such a big disconnect between his performance/production and his actual value. If he repeats his 2024, I see a value crash. I'm cashing out now.

Would I do MHJ+Hock for Bowers? Depends on the league. If it's 12 teams and rosters are around 22 deep, absolutely, and I could see adding to it. If it's 16x35, no. I'm betting it's closer to the first.

Regarding the original point, JJeff/CD/Puka/Nabers/MHJ is a nice core in a start 3, especially if it's a 12x21. I'd prefer to keep Jefferson, Lamb and Nabers- two are elite and I'm a big Nabers fan who sees reasons to think things'll improve for him. I'd look at trading one of Puka or Harrison to address the TE position. Who knows, the Bowers owner might value Harrison closer to where TStaff does than me.

Given this roster (and league size dependent), I could see myself being VERY aggressive to get Bowers or a similar top tier TE. Who knows what you could get with Nacua+Hock. Purely spitballing here, KTC says Puka+Hock for Bowers+2026 2nd is even. If you go after McBride instead of Bowers, I'd think you could get more than a 2nd tacked on.
League #1- 14 tm ppr, 1Q, 2R, 3W, 1T, 1 R/W/T, 1K
1 DT, 2 DE, 2 LB, 1 CB, 1 S, 1 flex

League #2- 12 team PPR, 1Q, 1R, 2W, 1T, 1 R/W/T, 1 W/R/T, 1 Def

League #3- 12 tm PPR, 1Q, 0R (yes, ZERO RB) 3W, 1T, 2 R/W/T flex, 1 Def


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