Garrett Wilson vs 1.01

[scratchnsniff]

Who would you rather. This is for a 16 team standard 1 QB league

[BabyChark23]

I assume the title is correct (1.01) and the poll is wrong (1.10). I could go either way. If I received this offer from either side then I’d probably counter and see if the other manager would throw on a late round pick or two. If not, I’d stay put. If so, I just got free picks.

[FantasyFreak]

I'd take the 1.02 over Wilson, personally. Wilson over the 1.03.

[scratchnsniff]

Yes, poll should say 1.01

[abloom]

1.01 > Wilson > 1.10

[NathanielWegman]

1.01 > Wilson > 1.10

This

[The.Big.Spank]

I love Wilson but its rookie fever season and I want to roll with MHj coupled with Murray instead of Wilson and a year or two of Rogers.

[TheTroll]

Yes, poll should say 1.01

For sure..dyslexia. I’m confused.

[wickerkat1212]

Yep. 1.01 for me. I've gotten two shares of Harrison, one fell to me in Superflex and one I traded a TON to get in 1 QB. I'm all-in on Harrison.

[Black Adam]

Harrison, not particularly close.

[Anteaters]

1.01 > Wilson > 1.10

++
but I'd modify it to ...
1.01>1.02>1.03>GWilson>1.10

[ThirdWW]

1.01 > Wilson > 1.10

++
but I'd modify it to ...
1.01>1.02>1.03>GWilson>1.10

You prefer Nabers to Wilson?

[MacDaddy123]

1.01 > Wilson > 1.10

++
but I'd modify it to ...
1.01>1.02>1.03>GWilson>1.10

You prefer Nabers to Wilson?

I prefer Nabers to GW, but I like GW over Odunze

[kellysheroes]

Harrison, not particularly close.

this

[Anteaters]

1.01 > Wilson > 1.10

++
but I'd modify it to ...
1.01>1.02>1.03>GWilson>1.10

You prefer Nabers to Wilson?

I have to admit I'm not an NFL scout. I don't trust my ability to look at two fantastic young athletes and determine which one is the better athlete. That's not in my bucket.

What I can do is look at situations. The more information I have about a situation, the better I feel about my ability to predict a reasonable outcome. The biggest piece of information I have when it comes to GW versus the three top rookie WRs is GW's stats in his two NFL seasons. He's had two seasons, he's been his NFL team's undisputed alpha receiver and he's finished as a low-end WR2 and a high-end WR3. IMO, GW has set his baseline and it's not bad ... it's actually good. But it's not great.

As far as I can tell, all three rookies are just as athletic as GW, and relatively as skilled as GW. There might be a question of who is better at curl routes and who is better at yards after contact and details like that, but all four guys are extremely skilled. No one doubts that any of the four WRs (GW and the three rookies) has the athletic ability to excel in the NFL.

The second biggest piece of information I have is the situation of each of these four guys. IMO, GW is in the worst situation of the four. IMO, it's not even close as to which of the four has the worst situation. I don't think anyone would really dispute that, so I won't go into why I think so.

I like GW and I wish I had him rostered somewhere, but I'd rather take a chance on any of the three WRs and hope they can best his baseline. At worst, I don't expect any of the three to be significantly worse than a high-end WR3, as GW finished in 2023. So, I'll take the bet that Nabers and Odunze can outperform GW statistically. I can't tell you which of the four is a better athlete. But I believe the three rookies have a good chance at all being a better fantasy WR.