Kelce… is he worth anything at this point?

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Payton34
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Kelce… is he worth anything at this point?

Postby Payton34 » Tue Apr 23, 2024 7:30 pm

Looking at his game by game last year, he was meh, with a few huge games. Would love to pair him with my Mahomes, but don’t want to break the bank either, as he obviously is not a long term asset.

2.5 + Musgrave? or is that an insulting offer?
12 teams, 6pts all TDs, 1/2 pt PPR. 1QB, 1RB, 2WR, 1TE, 1K, 1D, 2 FLEX RB/WR/TE

QBs - P Mahomes,
RBs - Bijan, J Jacobs, K Walker, B Hall,
WRs - AJ Brown, J Waddle, DJ Moore, T Higgins, D London, Smith-Njigba, J Downs, AT Perry
TEs - D Kincaid, Musgrave
Ks - Boswell, McPherson
Ds - Texans, Jets

2024 - 3 1st rounders... Picks 1.5, 1.7, 1.11… 1 2nd 2.17… 1 3rd 3.31…

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Re: Kelce… is he worth anything at this point?

Postby Tvols » Tue Apr 23, 2024 7:36 pm

To a contender I say a late first, I don’t think it’s insult but depending on the teams that owns him he could be more valuable to that team
16 teamer
QB T Law, R Wilson
rb- Mixon,pollard, J Hill, conner,
WR-Chase,Lamb,T Hill, R Bateman, C sutton, boyd
Te Kelce, Waller, Fant,Evertt,
1qb,2-3rb,3-5wr,1-2 TE
Full IDP

Team 2 recent rod 16 team SF/TEP(2pt PPR) 1-2 QB, 2-3 RB, 3-5 wrs and 1-2 TE full IDP.
QB A rod, M willis and H Hooker
rb not squat T Bigsby, Chris R, Z evans. J kelly, C patterson, and J mcluaghlin.
WRs chase, J Addison, T McLaurin, C ridgley , A Losivas, M hollins
TE Kelce, D Belligner, T Conklin

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Re: Kelce… is he worth anything at this point?

Postby wickerkat1212 » Tue Apr 23, 2024 8:27 pm

He's for sure still worth something. He's still playing at a pretty elite level. Was TE2 in my leagues last year. To a contender, yes, I think late 1st.
D3:
QB—Allen, Pickett RB—Kamara, Jacobs, ZWhite, Edwards, Ford, Warren WR—Lamb, Olave, DJM, Puka, Tillman, Marshall, Jefferson, Robinson, Tucker TE—Ferguson, Schoon, Likely, Smith, Washington, Kraft PK—Prater DEF—BAL

D4:
QB—TLaw, JimmyG, Tannehill, AOC, Hall RB—Bijan, Kamara, Conner, Gainwell, Gainwell, Foreman, ZMoss, Chandler, McLaughlin, Murray WR—Jefferson, Hill, Adams, Allen, Tillman, Woods TE—Kelce, Kmet, Conklin PK—Butker DEF—PIT

Superflex 1:
QB—Mahomes, Rodgers, Mayfield RB—Bijan, Kamara, Allgeier, Singletary, Mostert, BRob, Warren, Rodriguez, Spiller WR—Chase, DJM, Devonta, MBrown, Myers, Reynold, Jones TE—Kmet, Likely, Kraft, Conklin, Hurst, Hudson PK—Elliott DEF—PHI

Superflex 2:
QB: Goff, Cousins, Wentz, White; RB: Bijan, BRob, ZWhite, Allgeier, McLaughlin WR: DJM, Higgins, JSN, Downs, RMoore, Atwell, SMoore, PCampbell, DPJ, ATP, Hutchinson, Iosivas, Devante, CJones TE: Ferguson, Kraft, Trautman, Tremble

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Re: Kelce… is he worth anything at this point?

Postby Stone2987 » Tue Apr 23, 2024 10:11 pm

2.5 + musgrave is fair enough
Team 1
10 team, sf, 0.5 ppr, te prem 1.0 ppr, idp
Start 1 qb, 2 rb, 3 wr, 1 te, 3 flex, 1 sf, 2 dl, 2 lb, 2 db, 1 idp flex
QB- Dak, Tua, Cousins, Minshew, Jimmy G
RB- CMC, Taylor, Achane, Zeke, Pierce, Mostert, Chandler, Ford
WR- Chase, Lamb, Waddle, Devonta, K Allen, Godwin, Lockett, Douglas, Z Jones
TE- LaPorta, Pitts
DL- Phillips, Burns, Buckner, Thibs
LB- Luvu, E.Jones, Warner Pace
DB- Hamilton, Metellus Hufanga, Bates, Branch
League started in 2020
2020 7th
2021 Champ
2022 Champ
2023 Champ
2024 picks 3.10 and 5.10

Team 2
12 team, SF, 0.5 ppr, 1.0 te prem, idp
Qb - Lamar, Kyler Jacoby
Rb - Achane, KWalk Foreman, Hill, Mattison, Rodriguez
Wr - Wilson, AJB, London, JSN Downs, Polk, R Wilson, Mims, Shaheed, Palmer, Slayton, N Brown, Tolbert, Douglas, Metchie
Te - Pitts, Goedert Bowers, Fant, Schoonmaker,
Dl - Gary, Greenard Latu, Mafe, Karlaftis, Bonitto, Tyree, Nwosu
Lb - Luvu, Milano, Wilson Jamin
Db - Hamilton, Brisker Byard, Curl
Picks: 3.09, 3.10, 3.12, 4.06, 5.06

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Re: Kelce… is he worth anything at this point?

Postby Black Adam » Wed Apr 24, 2024 12:49 am

2.05 + Musgrave is prolly getting rejected, especially since Musgrave isn't even the TE1 on his own team.

I'd say two (early) 2nds or a late 1st is more likely.
10 Tm Dynasty 1QB/IDP/1.0 PPR/40 Rst
Start 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 W/T, 2 R/W/T, 1 PK, 3 DL, 3 LB, 3 DB, 2 IDP


2015: 7th 💩
2016: 4th :x
2017: 8th 💩
2018: 3rd 🥉
2019: 6th 💩
2020: 1st 🏆
2021: 2nd 🥈
2022: 2nd 🥈
2023: 1st 🏆

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Re: Kelce… is he worth anything at this point?

Postby Anteaters » Wed Apr 24, 2024 4:03 am

Payton34 wrote: Tue Apr 23, 2024 7:30 pm Looking at his game by game last year, he was meh, with a few huge games. Would love to pair him with my Mahomes, but don’t want to break the bank either, as he obviously is not a long term asset.

2.5 + Musgrave? or is that an insulting offer?

12 teams, 6pts all TDs, 1/2 pt PPR. 1QB, 1RB, 2WR, 1TE, 1K, 1D, 2 FLEX RB/WR/TE
I don't think that offer has much chance for success, unless the other guy is a desperate rebuillder.

In that format, (no TEP, 12 teams, shallow starting requirements) I think that's a borderline insulting offer. Musgrave is practically worthless in such leagues, just a bench guy you'd hope gets a chance to start in the NFL and maybe MAYBE then he could be almost start-worthy in your league. The 2.05 in a 1QB league is a wild dart throw. Yes, Kelce might be starting his final year as a top tier fantasy TE option, but he's worth more than that.
TEAM 1:
12 Team ppr w/20 keepers - start 1QB 2RB 3WR 1TE 1FLX 6IDP 1DEF
QB: Tua, Lamar, Levis
RB: Etienne, Pacheco, JavonteWms, JFord, CEH
WR: Lamb, JChase, Waddle, Pickens, MWilliams, Q Johnston
TE: Goedert, Friermuth
DEF: Cowboys, Ravens
IDP:(LB) Bolton, Greenlaw; (DE/DL) ZCollins, BJHill; (S/CB) Pitre, Bates, Witherspoon
2023 & 2022 Champion: 2020 third place: 2019 Champion

TEAM 2:
14 Team 30roster SF/ppr/TEP - QB/RB/WR/TE/5FLX/SF
QB: Tua, CJStroud, Carr, AOC, MWhite, Lock
RB: Etienne, Stevenson, GusE, AJD, Singletary, CEH, Spiller
WR: Amon-Ra, Kirk, Dell, Thielen, Gallup, Ch Jones
TE: Andrews, Waller, Taysom, Smythe, WMallory, JOliver
2023 semifinals loser

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Re: Kelce… is he worth anything at this point?

Postby Prison_Mike » Wed Apr 24, 2024 5:33 am

Assuming it's the team in your signature, I think you'd have more success with 1.11

2.05 + Musgrave feels like a quick rejection

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Re: Kelce… is he worth anything at this point?

Postby SoftwoodGrampian » Wed Apr 24, 2024 6:40 am

1.11

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Re: Kelce… is he worth anything at this point?

Postby Gazzerk » Wed Apr 24, 2024 9:45 am

Anteaters wrote: Wed Apr 24, 2024 4:03 am
Payton34 wrote: Tue Apr 23, 2024 7:30 pm Looking at his game by game last year, he was meh, with a few huge games. Would love to pair him with my Mahomes, but don’t want to break the bank either, as he obviously is not a long term asset.

2.5 + Musgrave? or is that an insulting offer?

12 teams, 6pts all TDs, 1/2 pt PPR. 1QB, 1RB, 2WR, 1TE, 1K, 1D, 2 FLEX RB/WR/TE
I don't think that offer has much chance for success, unless the other guy is a desperate rebuillder.

In that format, (no TEP, 12 teams, shallow starting requirements) I think that's a borderline insulting offer. Musgrave is practically worthless in such leagues, just a bench guy you'd hope gets a chance to start in the NFL and maybe MAYBE then he could be almost start-worthy in your league. The 2.05 in a 1QB league is a wild dart throw. Yes, Kelce might be starting his final year as a top tier fantasy TE option, but he's worth more than that.
I agree and disagree here. I don’t think it’s enough but I don’t think it is THAT bad. Musgrave definitely still holds value. He was a very good prospect and his draft capital was a round higher than Kraft (who I assume you are referring to as the TE1 for GB) and they had almost identical fantasy point seasons and Musgrave played 6 less games…

Instant TE hits like LaPorta are an outlier and not the norm. You could have technically said all of these things about McBride after his rookie season and now I have owners offering all sorts of packages for him. A slow or even almost non existent rookie season is very normal for any TE prospect. Kelce is still a great player but I really don’t see him being the same this year. He slowed down drastically in the 2nd half of last season. I think the team will take measures to preserve him throughout the season as well in an attempt to keep him healthy for playoffs. That’s not great for fantasy points.

Long story short, the Kelce owner probably wants more and has an argument to demand it but this deal could look a lot different halfway through next season. I am personally selling Kelce before the wheels fall off if possible as I think the cliff is coming faster than we think.

Side note: I may have talked myself into buying Musgrave if he is so cheap.
Team:14 Team Dynasty 1/2 PPR Unlimited Keepers 2IR
Starting Reqs: 1QB 2RB 2WR 1TE 1WRT 1K 1Def
QB - Mahomes
RB - Bijan, Najee, Dobbins, Chase Brown, Abanikanda
WR - Chase, Waddle, A. Cooper, JSN, Jameson Williams, Downs, QJ, Hutchinson
TE - Andrews, Kelce, Schoonmaker
K- Butker
Def- Chiefs

Picks:
2024 1.04, 1.06, 1.07, 2.04, 3.06
2025 1st, 2 3rds
2026 1st, 3rd

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Re: Kelce… is he worth anything at this point?

Postby Viking386 » Wed Apr 24, 2024 9:55 am

I have Kelce on a few teams that I feel my title run chances have ended and I cant sell him for any first, these are in all TE Prem leagues as well. But to your problem at hand I dont believe a trade is even needed. You have Kincaid. Just stay put.
Main Home League
12 Team 1 QB PPR
-Start 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE and 2 Flex

QB: Anthony Richardson, Sam Darnold
RB: Nobody worth mentioning
WR: Justin Jefferson, ARSB, Olave, Nico Collins, Tyquan Thornton, Marvin Mims, Tre Tucker, Bell, Austin,
TE: McBride and Dulcich

Draft Picks
-1.02, 3.01 and 4 24 4ths.
-3 25 1sts, 1 25 2nd, 3 25 3rds and 3 25 4ths
-2 26 1sts, 2 26 2nds, 1 26 3rd, and1 26 4th

2022 Champions in full rebuild. Looking to contend again in 2025.

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Re: Kelce… is he worth anything at this point?

Postby Anteaters » Wed Apr 24, 2024 1:12 pm

Gazzerk wrote: Wed Apr 24, 2024 9:45 am
Anteaters wrote: Wed Apr 24, 2024 4:03 am
Payton34 wrote: Tue Apr 23, 2024 7:30 pm Looking at his game by game last year, he was meh, with a few huge games. Would love to pair him with my Mahomes, but don’t want to break the bank either, as he obviously is not a long term asset.

2.5 + Musgrave? or is that an insulting offer?

12 teams, 6pts all TDs, 1/2 pt PPR. 1QB, 1RB, 2WR, 1TE, 1K, 1D, 2 FLEX RB/WR/TE
I don't think that offer has much chance for success, unless the other guy is a desperate rebuillder.

In that format, (no TEP, 12 teams, shallow starting requirements) I think that's a borderline insulting offer. Musgrave is practically worthless in such leagues, just a bench guy you'd hope gets a chance to start in the NFL and maybe MAYBE then he could be almost start-worthy in your league. The 2.05 in a 1QB league is a wild dart throw. Yes, Kelce might be starting his final year as a top tier fantasy TE option, but he's worth more than that.
I agree and disagree here. I don’t think it’s enough but I don’t think it is THAT bad. Musgrave definitely still holds value. He was a very good prospect and his draft capital was a round higher than Kraft (who I assume you are referring to as the TE1 for GB) and they had almost identical fantasy point seasons and Musgrave played 6 less games…

Instant TE hits like LaPorta are an outlier and not the norm. You could have technically said all of these things about McBride after his rookie season and now I have owners offering all sorts of packages for him. A slow or even almost non existent rookie season is very normal for any TE prospect. Kelce is still a great player but I really don’t see him being the same this year. He slowed down drastically in the 2nd half of last season. I think the team will take measures to preserve him throughout the season as well in an attempt to keep him healthy for playoffs. That’s not great for fantasy points.

Long story short, the Kelce owner probably wants more and has an argument to demand it but this deal could look a lot different halfway through next season. I am personally selling Kelce before the wheels fall off if possible as I think the cliff is coming faster than we think.

Side note: I may have talked myself into buying Musgrave if he is so cheap.
In general I don't disagree that Musgrave holds some value, and thus this would be a decent offer.

However, as I said in my post, in this specific league, I don't think Musgrave carries much value. Check out the specifics the OP mentions in the first post in the thread. This is a very shallow 1QB league. That significantly diminishes the value of both the 2.05 and Musgrave.
TEAM 1:
12 Team ppr w/20 keepers - start 1QB 2RB 3WR 1TE 1FLX 6IDP 1DEF
QB: Tua, Lamar, Levis
RB: Etienne, Pacheco, JavonteWms, JFord, CEH
WR: Lamb, JChase, Waddle, Pickens, MWilliams, Q Johnston
TE: Goedert, Friermuth
DEF: Cowboys, Ravens
IDP:(LB) Bolton, Greenlaw; (DE/DL) ZCollins, BJHill; (S/CB) Pitre, Bates, Witherspoon
2023 & 2022 Champion: 2020 third place: 2019 Champion

TEAM 2:
14 Team 30roster SF/ppr/TEP - QB/RB/WR/TE/5FLX/SF
QB: Tua, CJStroud, Carr, AOC, MWhite, Lock
RB: Etienne, Stevenson, GusE, AJD, Singletary, CEH, Spiller
WR: Amon-Ra, Kirk, Dell, Thielen, Gallup, Ch Jones
TE: Andrews, Waller, Taysom, Smythe, WMallory, JOliver
2023 semifinals loser

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Re: Kelce… is he worth anything at this point?

Postby abloom » Wed Apr 24, 2024 3:02 pm

Contenders (late) first is good. I paid my 25 1st a month or so ago for him on my last team in signature. Should be late in a 14 teamer
Team #1: 2nd place
12 team, 1 ppr (1.5 te), 1Q,2R,2W,1T,2F,1D,1K

Q: Kyler, AR
R: JT, CMC, Barkley, chandler
W: Evans, Chase, Mooney, Collins, Dell, Pickens
T: Kelce, Goedert
D: nyj
K: Sanders

Team #2: back to back champion
12 team, 1ppr (1.5 te), 1Q,2R,2W,1T,1SF,1F,1D,1K

Q: R Wilson, Murray, Watson
R: Swift, Walker, gus bus
W: Puka, Metcalf, Dell, Cooper, DJM, K Allen
T: Kelce, Pitts
K: Tucker
D: CLE

Team #3: back to back champion
14 team, SF, 1PPR (2PPR for TE), 1Q,2R,3W,1T,1SF,2F

Q: Mahomes, Rodgers, Watson, Heinicke, walker
R: Mostert, walker, a Jones, Wilson, Charb, Z White, McLaughlin, freeman, d Williams, Reynolds,
W: Waddle, A St Brown, K Allen, Cooper, Nuk, Juju
T: Kelce, Schultz, Thomas, Ferguson

Team #4 3rd
https://www49.myfantasyleague.com/2024/ ... =0004&O=01

Team #5 4th
https://www45.myfantasyleague.com/2024/ ... =07&F=0009

Team #6 orphan
https://www46.myfantasyleague.com/2024/ ... =0013&O=07

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Re: Kelce… is he worth anything at this point?

Postby TheTroll » Wed Apr 24, 2024 4:49 pm

He is a high end TE1. We all know it’s going to come to an end but I think for win now in 2024, now is the time to buy for a back end 1st.
Team 1
Dynasty 10 team, 22 roster + 6 Taxi, PPR
1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 Flex, 1 TE, K, Def

QB: Love, Goff, Fields
RB: Bijan, Montgomery, Kamara, Ford, K Herbert, Zeke, Mattison
WR: Jefferson, Olave, London, Ridley, Sutton, Shaheed
TE: Kincaid, Kittle, Freiermuth
K: Tucker, Sanders
DEF: CLE

Taxi: Charbs, K Mitchell, Demercado, QJ, D Douglas, W Robinson, Hooker

Picks
2024: 1.03, 3.06, 3.09, 4.09
2025: 2, 3, 3, 3, 4, 5
2026: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Team 2
Dynasty 10 team, 22 man roster + 6 Taxi, PPR, SF and TEP
1QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 Flex, 1 S Flex

QB: Allen, Goff, Watson, Jones
RB: K Williams, B Robinson, Chubb, Ford, Mostert, A Gibson, Dillon, Pierce, Zeke
WR: Olave, T Hill, Addison, D Adams, C Watson, D Johnson, G Davis, OBJ
TE: Kincaid, Kmet, Goedert

Taxi: Mitchell, DTR, Mims, K Miller, Douglas, Vaughn

Picks
2024: 1.08, 3.02, 3.09
2025: 1, 3, 4, 5
2026: 1, 1, 2, 2, 3, 4, 5

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Re: Kelce… is he worth anything at this point?

Postby Payton34 » Wed Apr 24, 2024 5:44 pm

Thanks for all replies. Consensus is about what I figured. 1.11 makes sense, but not sure if I’ll end up trying it or not. Kelce seems like one of those players that gets everyone stuck. Seller won’t get what he wants and buyer will be asked to pay more than he’s willing in most cases…
12 teams, 6pts all TDs, 1/2 pt PPR. 1QB, 1RB, 2WR, 1TE, 1K, 1D, 2 FLEX RB/WR/TE

QBs - P Mahomes,
RBs - Bijan, J Jacobs, K Walker, B Hall,
WRs - AJ Brown, J Waddle, DJ Moore, T Higgins, D London, Smith-Njigba, J Downs, AT Perry
TEs - D Kincaid, Musgrave
Ks - Boswell, McPherson
Ds - Texans, Jets

2024 - 3 1st rounders... Picks 1.5, 1.7, 1.11… 1 2nd 2.17… 1 3rd 3.31…


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