Postby Anteaters » Sun Apr 07, 2024 4:27 pm
mild wrote: ↑Sun Apr 07, 2024 3:00 pm
Anteaters wrote: ↑Sun Apr 07, 2024 1:55 pm
I would not have called the situation in SF a locked-in QB situation. Jimmy G hasn't been healthy since I could run a mile, and anyone who had good sense knew Trey was only more playing time away from playing himself out of being a starting QB.
I agree I might not have chose Purdy, MR irreverent, as my darkhorse rookie QB choice of that draft, but it wouldn't have been because the QB situation in SF looked rosy and set in stone.
If you can show me any of your leagues where you drafted Purdy in the rookie draft, I'd be all for seeing it. And I'd be impressed.
Let's not act like Purdy is a repeatable or teachable situation that people saw coming. He was a mid-season Waiver hero that has turned into a real asset.
It's far more likely that there won't be a Purdy in this draft, than there will be one. A 6th round pick that rises from 3rd on the depth chart to starter because of injury, and keeps the job? Cool... feel free to tell us whose going to pull off that trick next...
I think you're looking at this the wrong way. Purdy isn't a rookie QB dart throw that hit.
Instead, look at Purdy as the absolute last pick in the draft becoming a fantasy starter. Now if you can show me another example of that happening, I'll agree to start working with you to work out an algorithm to make that scenario predictable.
Instead, I'd rather say Purdy is a 1 of 1 situation that will probably never be replicated in the next 20 years. As such, he's the sort of example that doesn't bear examining too much because it's simply not going to happen again.
When I'm figuring out dynasty stragegies, I'm focusing on situations more likely to happen that I can target. Hurts gives me something to work with. Puka gives me something to work with. Purdy is a magic trick. I got no answers for that one.
OTOH, AOC was fairly predictable. JimmyG had been more injured than healthy the previous 4 years. The team had a new unproven HC/OC. The other QB on the roster was a 38 year old never was who was past his prime and his prime was puke worthy. This was a situation we could have predicted a rookie QB might get a chance. Especially a mature rookie who had several years experience as a starter in a P5 conference.
TEAM 1:
12 Team ppr w/20 keepers - start 1QB 2RB 3WR 1TE 1FLX 6IDP 1DEF
QB: Tua, Lamar, Levis
RB: Etienne, Pacheco, JavonteWms, JFord, CEH
WR: Lamb, JChase, Waddle, Pickens, MWilliams, Q Johnston
TE: Goedert, Friermuth
DEF: Cowboys, Ravens
IDP:(LB) Bolton, Greenlaw; (DE/DL) ZCollins, BJHill; (S/CB) Pitre, Bates, Witherspoon
2023 & 2022 Champion: 2020 third place: 2019 Champion
TEAM 2:
14 Team 30roster SF/ppr/TEP - QB/RB/WR/TE/5FLX/SF
QB: Tua, CJStroud, Carr, AOC, MWhite, Lock
RB: Etienne, Stevenson, GusE, AJD, Singletary, CEH, Spiller
WR: Amon-Ra, Kirk, Dell, Thielen, Gallup, Ch Jones
TE: Andrews, Waller, Taysom, Smythe, WMallory, JOliver
2023 semifinals loser