Mahomes or Murray+

This is the place for team advice - should I make this trade, should I draft that player, etc.

Which side

Mahomes
8
57%
Murray, 2025 1st (Early), 1.11
6
43%
 
Total votes: 14

CGW
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Mahomes or Murray+

Postby CGW » Wed Jan 17, 2024 8:13 pm

12TM SF PPR
QB RB RB WR WR WR TE SF FL FL

Mahomes or Murray+?

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Gator Sens
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Re: Mahomes or Murray+

Postby Gator Sens » Wed Jan 17, 2024 8:51 pm

The value seems fine on paper, but Murray still needs to prove he can be a solid fantasy options next year and the 1.11 holds little value in this type of deal and if the 2025 1st ends up later than expected, I don't think it ends up good value.

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The.Big.Spank
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Re: Mahomes or Murray+

Postby The.Big.Spank » Thu Jan 18, 2024 7:06 am

I translate this to 4 1sts for Mahomes, so I agree with Gator that it looks fine on paper, but you are taking all the risk and that is why I would pass. 2025 looks to be an average draft as well.
Team 1: 16 Team
QB's: Fields, Wentz,
RB: D. Harris, D. Montgomery, Kendre M.
WR: Chase, AJ Brown, Aiyuk, Bateman
TE: Waller, J. Woods, Dulich, Mayer

Team 2: 12 Team SF 1ppr, Start 10
QB: Mahomes, Burrow, Watson
RB: Hall, Walker, Javonte, Pacheco, K Mitchell, Dobbins
WR: Godwin, JSN, Pittman, Pickens, Toney, DP Jones, S Moore
TE: Andrews, Fant, Likely
(2024) 1.03, 2.03, 3.03
(2025) Top 3 1st, my 1st

Team 3 SF, TEP, Start 11 ppr
QB: AR, Watson, Young, Levis
RB: ETN, Walker, Pierce, Akers, Pacheco, Herbert, Warren, Kelley
WR: G. Wilson, Higgins, Godwin, Kirk, Bateman, Collins, Doubs, Chark, Shaheed,
TE: Schultz, I Smith, Bellinger, Parham, Fant, Likely, Granson,

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Re: Mahomes or Murray+

Postby Tvols » Thu Jan 18, 2024 7:34 am

i think this hinges on team build , I could see it in a full blown rebuild where u need capital but mahomes is the benchmark.
16 teamer
QB T Law, R Wilson
rb- Mixon,pollard, J Hill, conner,
WR-Chase,Lamb,T Hill, R Bateman, C sutton, boyd
Te Kelce, Waller, Fant,Evertt,
1qb,2-3rb,3-5wr,1-2 TE
Full IDP

Team 2 recent rod 16 team SF/TEP(2pt PPR) 1-2 QB, 2-3 RB, 3-5 wrs and 1-2 TE full IDP.
QB A rod, M willis and H Hooker
rb not squat T Bigsby, Chris R, Z evans. J kelly, C patterson, and J mcluaghlin.
WRs chase, J Addison, T McLaurin, C ridgley , A Losivas, M hollins
TE Kelce, D Belligner, T Conklin

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Re: Mahomes or Murray+

Postby tstafford » Thu Jan 18, 2024 9:06 am

I think this comes down to philosophy. The safe play is definitely to hold Mahomes (as the others have all alluded to). But I would prefer to take the deal. It's just how I manage my teams. I'll take the risk on Murray (which I think is a solid gamble) and add the picks. This is a way to forestall or even avoid having to rebuild. But it could backfire.

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Re: Mahomes or Murray+

Postby BigBawseRoss » Thu Jan 18, 2024 11:20 am

mahomes very easily for me. but im a very big murray doubter and think mahomes is unreal
team 1
12 team, 1 pt for 4 rec, 0.1 per rush
1qb, 3 rb, 4 wr, te, k, 4 idp
Dak , Herbert
Achane, Breece Hall, KW3Kyren,Ford, Miller, Spiller, z evans, singletary
J Jefferson, Diggs, DK, D Smith Puka, C Watson, E Moore
Njoku , HH, Engram

2024 picks
1,3,4,5,5,6,7 (all late mostly)

team 2
12 team .5ppr
qb, 2 rb, 2 wr, te, flx,flx,
Fields, Dak
Ford,Mixon, Javonte, Mostert, Chubb, Spears
Hopkins, Evans, g Wilson Mingo, shaheed, Jamo
Kelce,McBride, Chig,


1,2,3,3,5

team 3
14 team sf, even scoring idp to offense (rb scores highly too)
Josh Allen, A Rich, Foles, Rudolph
Bijan, Charbs, Spears, Ebner
J Williams, G Wilson, C Watson, Flowers, J Addison, Tillman
Kincaid, Kolar, Ruckert, Fergeson

Kenny Clark, josh allen, jaelen phillips, felix a-u and a bunch of fluff and rookie fliers at idp

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Re: Mahomes or Murray+

Postby SteelLake » Thu Jan 18, 2024 1:11 pm

Impossible to evaluate without seeing your team
Drew Christopher Brees Football Squad
Dynasty League (10 team)
2013-Present (11 years)
2017, 2022 Champion
8 playoff appearances
Record: 95-61

Keenan Alexander Allen Football Squad
Contract League (12 teams)
2015-Present (8 years)
2022, 2023 Champion
8 Playoff appearances
Record: 84-42

Dar's Outcasts
Redraft league (8-10 teams)
2020- Present (4 years)
2023 Champion
4 Playoff appearances
Record: 41-16

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Re: Mahomes or Murray+

Postby CGW » Thu Jan 18, 2024 1:17 pm

SteelLake wrote: Thu Jan 18, 2024 1:11 pm Impossible to evaluate without seeing your team
That was kind of the idea. Wanted a vacuum opinion. If you'd like the full context.
12TM SF PPR
QB RB RB WR WR WR TE SF FL FL
Murray, Purdy, Young, O'Connell
Charbonet, Miller
Olave, Wilson, Waddle, Flowers
Hockenson, Kincaid, Likely
2024 | 1.01, 1.11, 3.01, 3.06
2025 | 3x 1sts, 2x 2nds

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Re: Mahomes or Murray+

Postby SteelLake » Thu Jan 18, 2024 5:55 pm

CGW wrote: Thu Jan 18, 2024 1:17 pm
SteelLake wrote: Thu Jan 18, 2024 1:11 pm Impossible to evaluate without seeing your team
That was kind of the idea. Wanted a vacuum opinion. If you'd like the full context.
12TM SF PPR
QB RB RB WR WR WR TE SF FL FL
Murray, Purdy, Young, O'Connell
Charbonet, Miller
Olave, Wilson, Waddle, Flowers
Hockenson, Kincaid, Likely
2024 | 1.01, 1.11, 3.01, 3.06
2025 | 3x 1sts, 2x 2nds
Well, I feel same way about vacuum, that I do context haha. Its so very close, my brain kind of breaks typing which way I lean

Honestly, I think most people would say Mahomes, go with stud! But... I don't know, I think I'd keep Murray, IF you're really confident that 2025 is quite early.

Caveat - I think I'm way higher on Murray than consensus, I literally just traded for him yesterday in a deal many people on here disagreed with. I also don't understand why people devalue future picks more than current picks (if you're certain league will last). So, I guess I just have 2 opinions that lead to me landing where I am
Drew Christopher Brees Football Squad
Dynasty League (10 team)
2013-Present (11 years)
2017, 2022 Champion
8 playoff appearances
Record: 95-61

Keenan Alexander Allen Football Squad
Contract League (12 teams)
2015-Present (8 years)
2022, 2023 Champion
8 Playoff appearances
Record: 84-42

Dar's Outcasts
Redraft league (8-10 teams)
2020- Present (4 years)
2023 Champion
4 Playoff appearances
Record: 41-16

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Re: Mahomes or Murray+

Postby CGW » Thu Jan 18, 2024 6:12 pm

SteelLake wrote: Thu Jan 18, 2024 5:55 pm
CGW wrote: Thu Jan 18, 2024 1:17 pm
SteelLake wrote: Thu Jan 18, 2024 1:11 pm Impossible to evaluate without seeing your team
That was kind of the idea. Wanted a vacuum opinion. If you'd like the full context.
12TM SF PPR
QB RB RB WR WR WR TE SF FL FL
Murray, Purdy, Young, O'Connell
Charbonet, Miller
Olave, Wilson, Waddle, Flowers
Hockenson, Kincaid, Likely
2024 | 1.01, 1.11, 3.01, 3.06
2025 | 3x 1sts, 2x 2nds
Well, I feel same way about vacuum, that I do context haha. Its so very close, my brain kind of breaks typing which way I lean

Honestly, I think most people would say Mahomes, go with stud! But... I don't know, I think I'd keep Murray, IF you're really confident that 2025 is quite early.

Caveat - I think I'm way higher on Murray than consensus, I literally just traded for him yesterday in a deal many people on here disagreed with. I also don't understand why people devalue future picks more than current picks (if you're certain league will last). So, I guess I just have 2 opinions that lead to me landing where I am
I'm not sure it's necessarily that people devalue future picks, but I think it's more they overvalue current picks. Additionally, I think of it like money. Would you want $100 now or $100 next year? It's the same amount of money, but if you give me $100 right now I can invest it for a year and next year it'll be worth $110 next year. Same concept with draft picks. That said, I love trading for picks two years out when I'm rebuilding. They are cheapest two years out and sometimes you get lucky with an early pick that everyone expected to be later.

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Re: Mahomes or Murray+

Postby TheTroll » Thu Jan 18, 2024 10:55 pm

12tm this is totally a fair deal. Mahomes is obviously the most valuable piece but Murray plus a really nice pick that is enticing… you just cannot predict where a 2025 pick will land right now.
Team 1
Dynasty 10 team, 22 roster + 6 Taxi, PPR
1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 Flex, 1 TE, K, Def

QB: Love, Goff, Fields
RB: Bijan, Montgomery, Kamara, Ford, K Herbert, Zeke, Mattison
WR: Jefferson, Olave, London, Ridley, Sutton, Shaheed
TE: Kincaid, Kittle, Freiermuth
K: Tucker, Sanders
DEF: CLE

Taxi: Charbs, K Mitchell, Demercado, QJ, D Douglas, W Robinson, Hooker

Picks
2024: 1.03, 3.06, 3.09, 4.09
2025: 2, 3, 3, 3, 4, 5
2026: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Team 2
Dynasty 10 team, 22 man roster + 6 Taxi, PPR, SF and TEP
1QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 Flex, 1 S Flex

QB: Allen, Goff, Watson, Jones
RB: K Williams, B Robinson, Chubb, Ford, Mostert, A Gibson, Dillon, Pierce, Zeke
WR: Olave, T Hill, Addison, D Adams, C Watson, D Johnson, G Davis, OBJ
TE: Kincaid, Kmet, Goedert

Taxi: Willis, DTR, Mims, K Miller, Demercado, Vaughn

Picks
2024: 1.08, 2.02
2025: 1, 3, 4, 5
2026: 1, 2, 2, 3, 4, 5


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