Did I overpay for Mahomes?

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mzkp54
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Did I overpay for Mahomes?

Postby mzkp54 » Fri Mar 24, 2023 6:28 pm

12 team SF Startup league. I had 1.07 and took burrow. 1.01 was shopping mahomes from the get go and I just pulled the trigger on a pricy deal to lock up the burrow/mahomes qb duo. What do you think,

Gave: Startup 2.06, 3.06, 7.06, ‘24 and ‘25 rookie 1st, ‘24 and ‘25 rookie 2nd
Got: Mahomes, Startup 5.12, 6.01

He took CMC at 2.06 for what it’s worth. I figure this helps me commit to a win now build and I’ll just target vet value, and there should be some good pieces there at the 5/6 turn, but I’m getting roasted in the chat.

What do you think?
12 tm/PPR/SF/TE+/Full IDP (start 11/11)/Contracts
QB- Kyler, TLaw Stafford
RB- Cook, AJones, Zeke, Chandler, Dowdle, Mitchell
WR- JJ, Lamb, ARSB, MHJ, DJM, Worthy, QJ
TE- Engram, Schultz
PK/CB-
DT- Wilkins Vea
DE- Bosa, Landry. Greenard Ebukam, Young
LB- Campbell,Speed, Colson, Mcfadden, Dodson
S-
3 '25 1sts, 4 '26 1sts

Marauders
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Re: Did I overpay for Mahomes?

Postby Marauders » Fri Mar 24, 2023 6:47 pm

Certainly a steep price, but u r the winner here, what a nice duo!

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Re: Did I overpay for Mahomes?

Postby frerichs5 » Fri Mar 24, 2023 7:20 pm

Looking at March ADP, that 5/6 turn is players like Chubb, Godwin, Stevenson, Kittle, Dobbins, etc. I’d say two of those guys should be roughly equal to the future picks you gave up.

That leaves Mahomes for 2.06 (I’ll call it Waddle or Tua), 3.06 (Olave/Daniel Jones), and 7.06 (Pickett/Pickens).

I’d rather have Mahomes. I think it’s a fine trade. Nothing to get roasted about.

Edit: I spaced off they already took CMC at 2.06, but doesn’t change my thought process. Lol

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Re: Did I overpay for Mahomes?

Postby Gator Sens » Fri Mar 24, 2023 7:23 pm

It feels pricey but you have to put actual players to the picks once they are known and I sm guessing you will be pleased with Mahomes instead. Mahomes and Burrow is a great build pillar for you moving forward regardless.

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Re: Did I overpay for Mahomes?

Postby moishetreats » Fri Mar 24, 2023 8:17 pm

Honestly, I'd take Mahomes alone over the package.

There's a real chance Mahomes + Burrow can make you competitive right away, make your 1st-round future picks late. If the rest of your team implodes, though, it would suck with value, but Mahomes and Burrow are young enough that you can ride them through a couple of lean years. Still, I'd take Mahomes over the package.

And getting back 5.12 and 6.01 should help you with a win-now roster. I'm willing to bet a couple of good productive vets will be there while others are chasing youth. Perfect for you.
10 tms 27 plrs PPR
Start: 2QB 2RB 3WR 2TE 2Flex / best ball

QB: Herbert, Love, Rodgers, G Smith, Stidham, T Taylor, Hall
RB: McCaffrey, Mixon, Pacheco, Montgomery, Z White, Allgeier, Dillon
WR: Hill, St. Brown, Kupp, Allen, Lockett, B Johnson
TE: Kelce, Kmet, Kraft, Okonkwo, Dulcich, Tremble

2024: 2.09, 3.07, 3.08, 3.10, 4.08
2025: 2nd (x2), 4th, 5th (x2)
2026: 1st, 2nd (x2), 3rd, 4th, 5th



12 tms 22 active plyrs. Salary Cap $300 PPR
Start: 1QB 2RB 3WR 1TE 1SF 1Flex / best ball

QB: Love ('24), Rodgers ('24), Stidham ('25), Lock ('25)
RB: Brooks ('27), Wright ('27), Guerendo ('26), Mitchell ('27), Dillon ('24), Rodriguez ('24), Spiller ('24)
WR: G Wilson ('26), AJ Brown ('26), Nabers ('28), Worthy ('28), Polk ('28), Franklin ('28), E Moore ('25), M Thomas ('25), DJ Montgomery ('25)
TE: --
2024 Cap Spent: $201

IR: --
TAXI SQUAD (4 max): Sinnott ('28), All ('28), Schrader ('26), A Reed ('28)

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Re: Did I overpay for Mahomes?

Postby McCafsteez » Fri Mar 24, 2023 10:06 pm

I actually think you smashed this trade. You moved in multiple rounds and got to the 1.01 for the price of basically giving up picks two and three drafts out plus only moving back from 3.06 to 5.12. Home run deal for you imo.

Here’s the breakdown:
You moved up from 2.06 to 1.01
Moved back from 3.06 to 5.12
Moved up from 7.06 to 6.01
Gave up a 2024 1st, 2025 1st & 2nd
The Other Woman Dynasty League - 12 Team PPR (QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, TE, 2 Flex)
QB: Herbert, Lance, Stafford
RB: Bijan, Hall, Cook, Chubb, Mattison
WR: Adams, Hill, Hopkins, Robinson
TE: Waller, Engram
-
You’re in this for Life - 12 Team 0.5 PPR
(QB, 1 RB, 1 WR, TE, 3 Flex)

QB: Fields, Young, Richardson, Smith
RB: Bijan, Gibbs, A. Jones
WR: Metcalf, JSN, Addison, Q. Johnston, Mingo, Rice
TE: Kincaid, Mayer, Gesicki
2024 Picks - (x3) 1sts
-
Dynasty Addiction - 12 Team PPR /SF (QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, TE, 2 Flex, SF)
QB: Lawrence, Fields
RB: Bijan, Dobbins, Etienne, Walker
WR: AJ Brown, Godwin, Bateman
TE: Kittle

mzkp54
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Re: Did I overpay for Mahomes?

Postby mzkp54 » Sat Mar 25, 2023 5:52 am

Thanks all. I was feeling good about it so was surprised by the leagues reaction. Looking forward to seeing how the team build comes out.
12 tm/PPR/SF/TE+/Full IDP (start 11/11)/Contracts
QB- Kyler, TLaw Stafford
RB- Cook, AJones, Zeke, Chandler, Dowdle, Mitchell
WR- JJ, Lamb, ARSB, MHJ, DJM, Worthy, QJ
TE- Engram, Schultz
PK/CB-
DT- Wilkins Vea
DE- Bosa, Landry. Greenard Ebukam, Young
LB- Campbell,Speed, Colson, Mcfadden, Dodson
S-
3 '25 1sts, 4 '26 1sts

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Re: Did I overpay for Mahomes?

Postby abloom » Sat Mar 25, 2023 10:21 am

I think this trade is cheap provided that you field a competitive team. Without your future firsts I would definitely shade towards current production over future potential.
Tm 1
12 team, 1 ppr (1.5 te), 1Q,2R,2W,1T,2F,1D,1K

Q: Kyler, AR
R: JT, CMC, Barkley, chandler, T tracey
W: Evans, Chase, Mooney, Collins, Dell, Pickens
T: Kelce, Goedert, T johnson
D: nyj
K: Sanders

Tm 2
12 team, 1ppr (1.5 TE), 1Q,2R,2W,1T,1SF,1F,1D,1K

Q: Murray, Watson, Maye, McCarthy, R Wilson, howell
R: Swift, Walker, gus bus, Moss, Zeke,
W: Puka, Metcalf, Dell, Cooper, DJM, K Allen
T: Kelce, Pitts, t Johnson, bell
K: Tucker
D: CLE

Tm 3
14 team, SF, 1PPR (2 TE), 1Q,2R,3W,1T,1SF,2F

Q: Mahomes, Rodgers, Watson, Stafford, heinekie, flacco, browning
R: Mostert, walker, a Jones, Charb, Z White, R white, McLaughlin, wilson
W: Waddle, A St Brown, K Allen, Cooper, Nuk, watson
T: Kelce, Schultz, Thomas, Ferguson

Tm 4
https://www49.myfantasyleague.com/2024/ ... =0004&O=01

Tm 5
https://www45.myfantasyleague.com/2024/ ... =07&F=0009

Tm 6
https://www46.myfantasyleague.com/2024/ ... =0013&O=07

Mtt33
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Re: Did I overpay for Mahomes?

Postby Mtt33 » Sat Mar 25, 2023 10:30 am

Depends on the starting positions for me. If this is a deep league (devaluing any single asset + placing an importance on depth), I don’t like moving all that future capital. If shallow I like it quite a bit. If 9/10ish starters I think it’s an evenish trade, Mahomes is an expensive player to acquire and for good reason.


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