Mixon

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Mixon

Postby Gator Sens » Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:02 pm

I wanted to get a general discussion going about Mixon. I'm a contender, but have received a couple decent offers for Mixon. Not so much focused on roster build, I'm curious where everybody is on Mixon. Is it time to move on if there is a good offer on the table, keeping holding and does anyone actually think he is going to play again this season based on how his injury has gone and why risk him with Burrow already going down? Community, where are we with Mixon??

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Re: Mixon

Postby briank » Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:06 pm

What are the offers?
12 tm tiered PPR Superflex start 9
QB Allen/Tubisky/Lock
RB Mixon/Harris/Etienne
WR DJ Moore
TE Kelce/Irv
2022 1.06/1.09
2023 3x 1st

12 tm tiered PPR Superflex start 10
QB Mahomes/Watson/Ryan
RB CMC/Zeke/Mixon/Sanders
WR Evans/Godwin/Robinson/Golladay/Thielen/Lockett/Fuller
TE Kittle/Waller/L. Thomas

12 tm tiered PPR Superflex start 10
QB Mahomes/Murray/Brady
RB CMC
WR Adams/Hill/Diggs/AJ Brown/Aiyuk/Woods/R. Moore
TE Kelce/Kittle/Njoku
2x 2023 1sts

12 tm PPR 1.5 for TE Superflex start 2 TE start 12
QB Herbert/Tua/Lawrence/Fields
RB Harris/Etienne
WR Jefferson/Deebo/Lamb/DSmith/Sutton/Juedy/Kirk/E. Moore/R. Moore
TE Kittle/Pitts/Waller/Fant/Njoku
2022 1.01/1.12/2.02

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Re: Mixon

Postby jwb32 » Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:09 pm

I've been a strong Mixon believer since he was first drafted. But I think its time to consider moving on. I have little confidence Bengals will turn it around any time soon. I sold a month ago for Jeudy+Gibson (before Jeudy breakout) and haven't looked back.
TEAM 1: 12 team league. 1.0 PPR WR/TE 0.5 PPR RB
Start 1QB, 2RBs, 3WRs, 2Flex, 1TE, 1DST
QBs- Lamar, Wentz
RBs- Javonte,Sanders, Michel,Howard,JJackson,JWilson
WRs- DJM,McLaurin,Higgins,DeVonta Smith,Jeudy, OBJ,Bateman,Treadwell,Crowder
TEs- Fant, Muth,Irv Smith
1.07,1.11,3.09

TEAM 2: 12 team league. 0.1 ppc 0.5 ppr. TE 1 ppr
Start 1QB, 2RBs, 3WRs, 2Flex, 1TE,
QBs-Watson, Davis, Huntley
RBs- Javonte,Akers, ETN,Gore,Dallas
WRs- McClaurin,DJM,Godwin,Diontae,MarquiseBr, Mooney,Van Jefferson,Collins,Atwell
TEs- Hock, Kmet,Trautman,AlbertO
1.04, 2.04, 4.04

TEAM 3: 12 team league. 0.5 ppr, 0.5/fd
Start 1QB, 2RBs, 2WRs, 2Flex, 1TE,
QBs- Lamar,Stafford
RBs- JT, Fournette, DHarris,Chuba,Collins,Gaskin,DHarris,Penny,Murray, Snell
WRs- Chase, DJM, Allen, Bateman, Julio, ElijahM, Mims, Crowder
TEs- Waller, Morneau,Njoku
2022 1st, 2nd (2), 3rd (2)

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Re: Mixon

Postby jcc6fd » Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:11 pm

He might return this season but I wouldn't feel comfortable starting him in the fantasy playoffs in what should be a terrible offense sans Burrow. Not concerned in the least about not having Mixon this year outside of very large leagues or on a serious contender that has no other reasonable RB2 options.

I think that if you get an offer that resembles top RB value you should get out of him. I could see a lot of non contenders trying to acquire because they think it's smart to get an injured player for the future at a "discount." My thinking is that discounted value you could get now will in all liklihood be better than offers you'll get next year. Consider that with Burrow's injuries and the timing that he likely won't be the week 1 starter next year either. Could be a mess.
10 Team Half PPR Scoring SF
QB: Mahomes, Hurts, Minshew
RB: Kamara, K. Hunt, Warren, Bigsby, D. Cook, Jamaal Williams, J. Wilson, McLaughlin, McKinnon, J. Kelley
WR: A.J. Brown, Diggs, K. Allen, C. Watson, Cooks, Pickens, W. Robinson
TE: Kelce, J. Smith, Musgrave

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Re: Mixon

Postby Gator Sens » Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:12 pm

jwb32 wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:09 pm I've been a strong Mixon believer since he was first drafted. But I think its time to consider moving on. I have little confidence Bengals will turn it around any time soon. I sold a month ago for Jeudy+Gibson (before Jeudy breakout) and haven't looked back.
Solid future looking return there.

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Re: Mixon

Postby Gator Sens » Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:14 pm

briank wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:06 pm What are the offers?
Reagor + a late 1st

Michael Pittman Jr + a late 1st

Nothing great but I'm worried about what a couple other have mentioned already. Burrow is going to miss time next year and Mixon has struggled anyway. I'm not saying he is on a Bell trajectory as of now, but what happens to his stock if he is RB2 next year?

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Re: Mixon

Postby Gator Sens » Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:15 pm

jcc6fd wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:11 pm He might return this season but I wouldn't feel comfortable starting him in the fantasy playoffs in what should be a terrible offense sans Burrow. Not concerned in the least about not having Mixon this year outside of very large leagues or on a serious contender that has no other reasonable RB2 options.

I think that if you get an offer that resembles top RB value you should get out of him. I could see a lot of non contenders trying to acquire because they think it's smart to get an injured player for the future at a "discount." My thinking is that discounted value you could get now will in all liklihood be better than offers you'll get next year. Consider that with Burrow's injuries and the timing that he likely won't be the week 1 starter next year either. Could be a mess.
Very solid thoughts and this is more or less where I am with Mixon and my concerns too.

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Re: Mixon

Postby Needalife » Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:30 pm

Gator Sens wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:14 pm Reagor + a late 1st
Michael Pittman Jr + a late 1st
I don't like the Reagor deal. I'm intrigued by the Pittman offer. It depends on the size of the league and how scarce RBs are. If RB scarcity isn't too bad, I might pull the trigger on the Pittman/1st.
14 TM / Devy / SuperFlex / TEP
1 Q / 2 RB / 2 WR / 1 TE / 1 SF / 3 F / 1 DT / 2 DE / 3 LB / 2 CB / 2 S / 1 F


QB: Joe Burrow, Trevor Lawrence
RB: Zamir White, Jaylen Warren, James Conner, Raheem Mostert
WR: Michael Pittman, Puka Nacua, Drake London, Marquise Brown, Christian Kirk, Josh Palmer
TE: Trey McBride, Jake Ferguson, Noah Gray
PK: Justin Tucker, Jason Myers
DT: Aaron Donald, Grover Stewart, Devonte Wyatt
DE: Alex Highsmith, Jonathan Cooper, Gregory Rousseau, Matt Judon, Baron Browning
LB: Fred Warner, Dre Greenlaw, Ernest Jones, Alex Anzalone, Jack Campbell
CB: L'Jarius Sneed, Deommodore Lenoir, Taron Johnson
S: Derwin James, Rayshawn Jenkins, Talanoa Hufanga, Kareem Jackson
DEVY: RB Trey Benson FSU, RB Will Shipley Clemson
2024 DEVY DEPLETED PICKS: 1.03, 1.11, 1.13, 2.03, 2.05, 2.13, 3.01, 3.07, 3.10, 3.12, 4.03, 4.11, 4.15, 5.01, 5.13

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Re: Mixon

Postby RoyalPalmer » Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:43 pm

I've brought this up in another thread but as a team with a 2-9 record and is dead last I'm looking to continue to churn my roster. I have an offer waiting to hit accept that is Carson + the 2.07-2.09 pick for Mixon. This lets me get an RB that is a little younger than Carson who has less concern of being in a true timeshare (Penny scares me and I also have a chance to grab Gio). Mixon still has a very high ceiling so there is a chance this is a homerun for me. I feel at the worst I get a younger version of Carson and give up a 2nd to do so. So as a non-contender trying to make a deal with a contender it is essentially passing a similar RB with a sweetener to get it done.
12 team, .5PPR, 1QB, 2RB, 2WR, 1TE, 2RB/WR/TE, 1 SuperFlex, 25 Total (Startup)
QB: Purdy, Zach Wilson, Hendon Hooker, Aidan O'Connell, Stetson Bennett, Mariota, Trubisky
RB: KeAndre Miller, Tank Bigsby, Jordan Mason, Kevin Harris
WR: Tank Dell, Rashod Bateman, Jameson Williams, Kadarius Toney, Darnell Mooney, Michael Wilson, DJ Chark, Slayton, Robert Woods, Khalil Shakir
TE LaPorta, Kincaid, J Ferguson

2024 1st (3x)
2024 2nd
2024 3rd
———

QB: Jake Allen, Goff, Darnold, AOC, Jimmy G
RB: Mixon, Kamara, Javonte Williams, Charbonnet, Prince, Jordon Mason, Ingram (AZ)
WR: Ja'Marr Chase, Keenan Allen, Drake London, Brandon Aiyuk, Elijah Moore, Marvin Jones, Paris Campbell, Donovon Peoples-Jones
TE: Kincaid, Noah Fant, Likely

2024 2nd
2024 3rd

12 team, .5PPR, TE Premium, 1QB, 2RB, 2WR, 1TE, 2RB/WR/TE, 1 SuperFlex, 25 Total (Startup)

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Re: Mixon

Postby IR1 » Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:45 pm

I plan to shop him in the off season, hoping for mid first + decent/solid prospect
10Team PPR-QB/RB/WR/WR/TE/PK/flex-DT/DE/DE/LB/LB/LB/CB/CB/S/S/flex
QB- Herbert, Tua
RB- Barkley, Swift, Montgomery, Dobbins, Walker
WR-Adams, ARSB, JWilliams, Godwin, Metcalf, Allen, Kirk, Flowers
TE- Kelce, Goedert
PK
DT- Buckner, Simmons, QWilliams,
DE- Hunter, JBosa, Thibodeaux, JPHillips, Rousseau, Paye, Greenard
LB- Edmunds, Warner, E Kendricks, Wagner, De"Vondre Campbell, Asamoah, Sanders
CB- Moore, Howard, Reed
S- Dugger, Pitre, Thompson
IR Dobbins, Dulcich
Taxi- Kincaid, QJohnston

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Re: Mixon

Postby jwb32 » Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:49 pm

RoyalPalmer wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:43 pm I've brought this up in another thread but as a team with a 2-9 record and is dead last I'm looking to continue to churn my roster. I have an offer waiting to hit accept that is Carson + the 2.07-2.09 pick for Mixon. This lets me get an RB that is a little younger than Carson who has less concern of being in a true timeshare (Penny scares me and I also have a chance to grab Gio). Mixon still has a very high ceiling so there is a chance this is a homerun for me. I feel at the worst I get a younger version of Carson and give up a 2nd to do so. So as a non-contender trying to make a deal with a contender it is essentially passing a similar RB with a sweetener to get it done.
A mid/late 2nd doesn't begin to close the value gap between Mixon and Carson. Mixon is a lock to be the workhorse in Cincy for the next 2-3 years and regardless of where you stand on Mixon, lead back carries a lot of value. Carson could easily be outside looking in next year. This is an easy pass.
TEAM 1: 12 team league. 1.0 PPR WR/TE 0.5 PPR RB
Start 1QB, 2RBs, 3WRs, 2Flex, 1TE, 1DST
QBs- Lamar, Wentz
RBs- Javonte,Sanders, Michel,Howard,JJackson,JWilson
WRs- DJM,McLaurin,Higgins,DeVonta Smith,Jeudy, OBJ,Bateman,Treadwell,Crowder
TEs- Fant, Muth,Irv Smith
1.07,1.11,3.09

TEAM 2: 12 team league. 0.1 ppc 0.5 ppr. TE 1 ppr
Start 1QB, 2RBs, 3WRs, 2Flex, 1TE,
QBs-Watson, Davis, Huntley
RBs- Javonte,Akers, ETN,Gore,Dallas
WRs- McClaurin,DJM,Godwin,Diontae,MarquiseBr, Mooney,Van Jefferson,Collins,Atwell
TEs- Hock, Kmet,Trautman,AlbertO
1.04, 2.04, 4.04

TEAM 3: 12 team league. 0.5 ppr, 0.5/fd
Start 1QB, 2RBs, 2WRs, 2Flex, 1TE,
QBs- Lamar,Stafford
RBs- JT, Fournette, DHarris,Chuba,Collins,Gaskin,DHarris,Penny,Murray, Snell
WRs- Chase, DJM, Allen, Bateman, Julio, ElijahM, Mims, Crowder
TEs- Waller, Morneau,Njoku
2022 1st, 2nd (2), 3rd (2)

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Re: Mixon

Postby boochluke » Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:52 pm

Short of a weird overpay offer, I am still hesitant to trade Mixon unless I'm getting a young RB back. I don't know if that is crazy or not...

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Re: Mixon

Postby jwb32 » Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:55 pm

jwb32 wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:49 pm
RoyalPalmer wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:43 pm I've brought this up in another thread but as a team with a 2-9 record and is dead last I'm looking to continue to churn my roster. I have an offer waiting to hit accept that is Carson + the 2.07-2.09 pick for Mixon. This lets me get an RB that is a little younger than Carson who has less concern of being in a true timeshare (Penny scares me and I also have a chance to grab Gio). Mixon still has a very high ceiling so there is a chance this is a homerun for me. I feel at the worst I get a younger version of Carson and give up a 2nd to do so. So as a non-contender trying to make a deal with a contender it is essentially passing a similar RB with a sweetener to get it done.
A mid/late 2nd doesn't begin to close the value gap between Mixon and Carson. Mixon is a lock to be the workhorse in Cincy for the next 2-3 years and regardless of where you stand on Mixon, lead back carries a lot of value. Carson could easily be outside looking in next year. This is an easy pass.
Misread. This is an easy accept. Worst case you should be able to sell him for a mid/late 1st when he comes back healthy next season and the Burrow buzz (and by extension the Bengals offense) is in full swing again.
TEAM 1: 12 team league. 1.0 PPR WR/TE 0.5 PPR RB
Start 1QB, 2RBs, 3WRs, 2Flex, 1TE, 1DST
QBs- Lamar, Wentz
RBs- Javonte,Sanders, Michel,Howard,JJackson,JWilson
WRs- DJM,McLaurin,Higgins,DeVonta Smith,Jeudy, OBJ,Bateman,Treadwell,Crowder
TEs- Fant, Muth,Irv Smith
1.07,1.11,3.09

TEAM 2: 12 team league. 0.1 ppc 0.5 ppr. TE 1 ppr
Start 1QB, 2RBs, 3WRs, 2Flex, 1TE,
QBs-Watson, Davis, Huntley
RBs- Javonte,Akers, ETN,Gore,Dallas
WRs- McClaurin,DJM,Godwin,Diontae,MarquiseBr, Mooney,Van Jefferson,Collins,Atwell
TEs- Hock, Kmet,Trautman,AlbertO
1.04, 2.04, 4.04

TEAM 3: 12 team league. 0.5 ppr, 0.5/fd
Start 1QB, 2RBs, 2WRs, 2Flex, 1TE,
QBs- Lamar,Stafford
RBs- JT, Fournette, DHarris,Chuba,Collins,Gaskin,DHarris,Penny,Murray, Snell
WRs- Chase, DJM, Allen, Bateman, Julio, ElijahM, Mims, Crowder
TEs- Waller, Morneau,Njoku
2022 1st, 2nd (2), 3rd (2)

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Re: Mixon

Postby RoyalPalmer » Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:57 pm

jwb32 wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:55 pm
jwb32 wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:49 pm
RoyalPalmer wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:43 pm I've brought this up in another thread but as a team with a 2-9 record and is dead last I'm looking to continue to churn my roster. I have an offer waiting to hit accept that is Carson + the 2.07-2.09 pick for Mixon. This lets me get an RB that is a little younger than Carson who has less concern of being in a true timeshare (Penny scares me and I also have a chance to grab Gio). Mixon still has a very high ceiling so there is a chance this is a homerun for me. I feel at the worst I get a younger version of Carson and give up a 2nd to do so. So as a non-contender trying to make a deal with a contender it is essentially passing a similar RB with a sweetener to get it done.
A mid/late 2nd doesn't begin to close the value gap between Mixon and Carson. Mixon is a lock to be the workhorse in Cincy for the next 2-3 years and regardless of where you stand on Mixon, lead back carries a lot of value. Carson could easily be outside looking in next year. This is an easy pass.
Misread. This is an easy accept. Worst case you should be able to sell him for a mid/late 1st when he comes back healthy next season and the Burrow buzz (and by extension the Bengals offense) is in full swing again.
This is how I view it, if worse comes to worse I just churn the player over more if I'm not anywhere close to competing, which I'm not expecting to be. But in the 21-22 season I feel Mixon will carry much more value than Carson
12 team, .5PPR, 1QB, 2RB, 2WR, 1TE, 2RB/WR/TE, 1 SuperFlex, 25 Total (Startup)
QB: Purdy, Zach Wilson, Hendon Hooker, Aidan O'Connell, Stetson Bennett, Mariota, Trubisky
RB: KeAndre Miller, Tank Bigsby, Jordan Mason, Kevin Harris
WR: Tank Dell, Rashod Bateman, Jameson Williams, Kadarius Toney, Darnell Mooney, Michael Wilson, DJ Chark, Slayton, Robert Woods, Khalil Shakir
TE LaPorta, Kincaid, J Ferguson

2024 1st (3x)
2024 2nd
2024 3rd
———

QB: Jake Allen, Goff, Darnold, AOC, Jimmy G
RB: Mixon, Kamara, Javonte Williams, Charbonnet, Prince, Jordon Mason, Ingram (AZ)
WR: Ja'Marr Chase, Keenan Allen, Drake London, Brandon Aiyuk, Elijah Moore, Marvin Jones, Paris Campbell, Donovon Peoples-Jones
TE: Kincaid, Noah Fant, Likely

2024 2nd
2024 3rd

12 team, .5PPR, TE Premium, 1QB, 2RB, 2WR, 1TE, 2RB/WR/TE, 1 SuperFlex, 25 Total (Startup)

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Re: Mixon

Postby briank » Tue Nov 24, 2020 2:10 pm

I would personally hold at that price. I'm not a big fan of selling low.
12 tm tiered PPR Superflex start 9
QB Allen/Tubisky/Lock
RB Mixon/Harris/Etienne
WR DJ Moore
TE Kelce/Irv
2022 1.06/1.09
2023 3x 1st

12 tm tiered PPR Superflex start 10
QB Mahomes/Watson/Ryan
RB CMC/Zeke/Mixon/Sanders
WR Evans/Godwin/Robinson/Golladay/Thielen/Lockett/Fuller
TE Kittle/Waller/L. Thomas

12 tm tiered PPR Superflex start 10
QB Mahomes/Murray/Brady
RB CMC
WR Adams/Hill/Diggs/AJ Brown/Aiyuk/Woods/R. Moore
TE Kelce/Kittle/Njoku
2x 2023 1sts

12 tm PPR 1.5 for TE Superflex start 2 TE start 12
QB Herbert/Tua/Lawrence/Fields
RB Harris/Etienne
WR Jefferson/Deebo/Lamb/DSmith/Sutton/Juedy/Kirk/E. Moore/R. Moore
TE Kittle/Pitts/Waller/Fant/Njoku
2022 1.01/1.12/2.02


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