So 7 weeks is impactful to your evaluation but 3-4 isn't?FantasyFreak wrote: ↑Sun Oct 25, 2020 6:30 pmHe has. I was saying, as a UDFA, a few good games aren't the same as CEH, coming in. I look at them differently after 2 games. However, after 7, Robinson is still looking good, so I am shifting my view, after more of a sample size on a UDFA. I don't have the same view of him after a few weeks, as I do right now. He's moved up for me. There is still risk with him, but far less, at this point. Far less.TimeWillTell wrote: ↑Sun Oct 25, 2020 6:28 pmNot trying to catch you in your own words, just legitimately asking. He's looking like a rare bright spot on a bad team. I’m happy for him, especially in a year that is unkind to undrafted rookies, he's really seized his opportunity.FantasyFreak wrote: ↑Sun Oct 25, 2020 6:06 pm
Yes. I try to not adhere to take lock. With a player like him, I need more of a sample size, though, but he's looking good. Minshew, on the other hand.....
BTW. I am cheering for him. Love to see this type of thing. Hope he has a great career, even though I missed out in FF, on the cheap.
I'm sort of just giving you a hard time, as I get what you are saying
But in dynasty football, we aren't always afforded the luxury of time to make roster-changing decisions. After 3-4 weeks, Robinson was sitting inside the top10 RB's in production despite being on an awful offense...and yet people wouldn't give up more than a 2nd for him. He showed plus skills in both the run game and pass game, was the unquestioned starter, and looked mostly matchup proof due to his usage in the pass game.
I'm not saying he should be looked at like a stud and worth 2-3x 1sts after a month, but too many dynasty owners are afraid to "buy-high" on an unproven, imperfect player before they've truly broken out into a multi-year stud. The problem with that logic is they think they can buy an established stud for a 1st or a 1st + prospect - which isn't the case.
For those daring enough to "buy-high" early into a players career, you could be sitting with A.J. Brown, D.K. Metcalf, T. Higgins, J. Jefferson for the cost of a future mid-first (plus a sweetener?). And you could have J. Robinson, A. Gibson, T. McLaurin, Di. Johnson, D. Slayton, etc etc for the cost of a 2nd rounder.
Of course there will be misses, but the downside is a single pick. The upside is buying low (when you thought you were buying high) on a future stud for a very cheap pick or two.
Sorry for the digression. Back on topic - what's Robinson's value now?? Are we still trading him away for a future random 1st?