AJ Brown or 2020 1st

This is the place for team advice - should I make this trade, should I draft that player, etc.

AJ Brown or 2020 1st

AJ Brown
6
14%
2020 1st (likely 1.02-1.06)
38
86%
 
Total votes: 44

Shcritters
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AJ Brown or 2020 1st

Postby Shcritters » Wed Jun 12, 2019 7:26 pm

Alright, it just got real. I had posted a question on if I should trade my 1.10 this year for a 2020 1st (link below) and the results were overwhelmingly in favor of trading for the 2020 1st. The draft has unfolded and I'm now OTC with the 1.10. AJ Brown is still available (1.04 rookie ranking on this site, 1.07 on Mizelle's rookie ADP rankings) and I'm wondering how to proceed.
https://forum.dynastyleaguefootball.com ... 6&t=185045

For team 2 in signature, would you take AJ Brown or trade the pick for a 2020 1st next year? I would project it would be a top half of the 1st (probably 1.02-1.06), but you never can tell (league is here, look for yourself... the team I'd be trading with is 'The Injury Ward')
https://www55.myfantasyleague.com/2019/home/45262#0

If you vote please leave your comments on why. Thanks!
DFFL - Luck Dynasty
12 team PPR Contract/Salary league. $331 cap limit. Starting lineup is QB, RB, RB/WR, 2 WR, WR/TE, plus IDP's (2 LB, 2 CB/S, 2 DL).

QB: Rivers ($6 - 2020), Mayfield ($4 - 2022)
RB: Chubb ($5 - 2022), Gurley ($58 - 2020), Mixon ($7 - 2023), Guice ($6 - 2022), MWilliams ($1-2024)
WR: Julio ($75 - 2019), Cooper ($12 - 2021), JuJu SS ($2 - 2023), Diggs ($2 - 2021), Watkins ($15 - 2020), MWilliams ($9 - 2022), Kirk ($2 - 2024), Isabella ($2 - 2025)
2013 and 2017 League Champion

Gopher Two
PPR WR & TE Premium (1.2 PPR for WR, 1.5 for TE), 9 total starters, 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 3 Flex
QB: Mahomes, Mayfield, Carr
RB: Cook, Chubb, Connor, Mattison, Ogunbowale, Richard, Crowell
WR: MThomas, Tyreek, Davis, Sutton, AJBrown, Dorsett, PRichardson, DParker, Doctson, Cain
TE: Dissly, OJHoward, McDonald, Shaheen, Vannett, Fells
2020: 1st (late), 2nd (early), 3rd, 4th

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BucFanJKE
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Re: AJ Brown or 2020 1st

Postby BucFanJKE » Wed Jun 12, 2019 7:38 pm

I love AJ Brown, but I would take a projected 1.02-1.06 over him
Team 1- 2018 Champ
SF .5 PPR TE Prem (1Q, 1SF, 3R, 3W, 1T, 1WRT, 1WT)
QB- Wentz, Watson, Darnold
RB- Zeke, Mixon, Carson, Ingram, Sanders, Dam. Williams, Pollard, Bernard
WR- OBJ, Evans, Julio, Woods, Crowder, AJ Brown, Sanu, Slayton
TE- Henry, OJ Howard, Knox

Team 2
PPR (1Q, 2R, 3W, 1T, 2WRT)
QB- Wilson, Winston
RB- Fournette, Henry, Ingram, Sanders, Guice, Hunt, Penny
WR- OBJ, Adams, Juju, Chark, Westbrook, C. Davis
TE- Njoku, Knox, Walker

Team 3
.5 PPR (1Q, 2R, 3W, 1T, 2 WRT)
QB- Brees, Wentz
RB- McCaffery, Zeke, Gordon, Sanders, Peterson
WR- OBJ, Evans, Thielen, Gallup, Boyd, AB, Sanu
TE- Kelce, Dissly, Graham


Team 4
.5 PPR TE Prem (1Q, 2 R, 3W, 1 T, 3 WRT)
QB: Dak, J. Allen
RB: CMC, Saquon, R. Freeman, Guice, Henderson, Duke Johnson, Edmonds, Ty Johnson
WR: Adams, Juju, Diggs, Metcalf, Harry, AJB, D. Johnson, Isabella, JJAW
TE: Henry, Andrews, Herndon, Irv Smith, Knox, Oliver

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Re: AJ Brown or 2020 1st

Postby Jigga94 » Wed Jun 12, 2019 8:04 pm

Call me crazy, but I don't even have AJ Brown as a 1st rounder
2QB, 2RB, 3WR, TE, FLEX - PPR - 14 Keepers
QB: Mahomes, Baker, D. Jones, Minshew, Luck (IR)
RB: Sony, D. Freeman, Penny, Mostert, J. Jackson, Snell, Gus
WR: Tyreek, Julio, D.J. Moore, Cooks, Hollywood, C. Davis, MVS, Parris, Dorsett, Preston (IR)
TE: Andrews, Henry, Fant, Irv
2020: 1, 2, 3, 4, 4

2QB, 2RB, 2WR, TE, 3FLEX - PPR - 20 Keepers
QB: Dak, Ryan, Foles, Minshew, Cam (IR)
RB: CMC, Jacobs, Hunt, Penny, J. Samuels, J. Jackson
WR: D.J. Moore, Mike Will, Hollywood, Deebo, C. Davis, MVS, Diontae, Lazard, AB, Parris (IR)
TE: Andrews, Henry, Jonnu, Gesicki
2020: 1, 2, 2
2021: 1, 1, 2, 3

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Gator Sens
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Re: AJ Brown or 2020 1st

Postby Gator Sens » Wed Jun 12, 2019 8:06 pm

Potential high 2020 1st easily here. Brown's situation is not great and it does not seem the titans will move on from Mariota any time soon.
You're in this for Life
12 Team, PPR, 30 roster: 1 QB, 1 RB, 1 WR, 1 TE, 3 FLEX, 1 DST, 1 K
QB: Patrick Mahomes, Drew Brees, Josh Allen
RB: Alvin Kamara, Dalvin Cook, Nick Chubb, Leonard Fournette, Joe Mixon, Derrius Guice, Alexander Mattison, Ryquell Armstead, Rodney Anderson
WR: Kenny Golladay, Chris Godwin, Calvin Ridley, Courtland Sutton, Dede Westbrook, Michael Gallup, Christian Kirk, Mike Williams, Josh Reynolds, Equanimeous St. Brown
TE: Mark Andrews, O.J. Howard, David Njoku, Greg Olsen, Ian Thomas

Picks: 2020: 4th, 5th 2021: 3rd, 3rd, 3rd, 4th, 5th

bigbuck22
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Re: AJ Brown or 2020 1st

Postby bigbuck22 » Wed Jun 12, 2019 8:10 pm

Got to be the future.
Brown doesn't look likely to crack your lineup any time soon.

vixen
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Re: AJ Brown or 2020 1st

Postby vixen » Wed Jun 12, 2019 8:13 pm

if the Titans move on from Mariota, that can only help AJ Brown.. but I would also trade for the 2020 1st..
if I am looking at the right team, it seems you already own Davis... so no need to have 2 Titan WRs
team 1 -start QB RB 2WR TE 2RB/WR 1WR/TE
qbs=5pt tds wr/te=1 ppr rbs=.5ppr all get .25ppc
mahomes, Dan Jones
kamara, mack, lindsay, AP/love,Jaylen, Pollard, McKissic
antonio, AJG/Erickson, thielen, allison, sutton, kirk, Hurd, JJAW, Slayton
Hooper, Herndon
team 2 -start QB 2RB 3WR TE 2Flex K D
Cousins, Jimmy GQ, Brissett
DJ, DFreeman, McKinnon, Samuels, DHenry, Pollard, Darwin Thompson
Hopkins, Diggs, Adams, Jo Brown, Boyd, Hamilton/Sutton, JJAW, Harmon
Herndon, Andrews, Fant
team 3-superflex/TE premium 1-2QB 1-6RB 2-7WR 1-6TE (10 total)
R/W=.2ppc/1ppr/.25pt per target TE=1.5ppr/.35per target/.15per yd
also .1pt per return yd/.05 per attempt
Josh Allen, Jones
Cook/Latavius, Abdullah, White, Chubb, Sanders
Watkins, Lockett, Kupp, Jo Brown, Patterson, Funchess/Cain, Agholor, Kumerow, Callaway, Patterson, Hollywood, Hurd, Isabella
Andrews, Herndon, I Thomas, Gronk, Waller, Fant

hoos89
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Re: AJ Brown or 2020 1st

Postby hoos89 » Wed Jun 12, 2019 8:55 pm

I just made almost this exact deal in a startup (except I also added a 17th rounder and a 2020 4th). And I'd do it again.

I'm probably higher on AJ Brown than most, too....but early 2020 1sts are going to be worth a king's ransom next season and I felt it was worth the gamble given that I think that pick came from what I view as one of the 2 or 3 weakest teams in the league.
Team 2: 12 Team PPR - 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 2 R/W/T, 23 man rosters, est. 2016
Wentz, Minshew, Bridgewater, Haskins
Jacobs, Michel, D. Harris, Richard, Gaskin
DJ Moore, Sutton, Kupp, Kirk, Deebo, Dorsett, J. Gordon, Lee, Lazard
OJ Howard, Hockenson, Herndon
IR(2): Love, McKinnon
Taxi(4): MVS
2020 Picks: 1.03, 1.05, 1.x, 1.x, 2.03, 2.x, 2.x, 3.05, 3.x, 4.03, 5.03

Team 3: 12 Team PPR - 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 3 R/W/T, 28 man rosters, est. 2019
Ryan, Bridgewater, Tannehill
Gurley, Barber, M. Brown, Miller, McKinnon, Ito, J. Jackson, R. Anderson, Richard, Edmunds
Thomas, Cooks, Watkins, Anderson, Beasley, Foster, Doctson, KeeSean, Lazard, Treadwell
Hooper, Herndon, Witten, Reed
2020 Picks: 1.01, 1.04, 1.06, 1.x, 1.x, 2.x, 2.x

Team 1: 2012-2016
2013 Champion, 2012 Runner-Up

bjd5211
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Re: AJ Brown or 2020 1st

Postby bjd5211 » Thu Jun 13, 2019 1:29 am

AJ Brown is a 2nd rounder if he was in next years class, take the pick easily.

CrimeLord
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Re: AJ Brown or 2020 1st

Postby CrimeLord » Thu Jun 13, 2019 11:18 am

Made the same deal while OTC. Traded my 1.08 and the guy took AJ Brown.

Bubba90
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Re: AJ Brown or 2020 1st

Postby Bubba90 » Thu Jun 13, 2019 11:34 am

Take the 2020 1st if that’s the offer. The odds are in your favor to be better then pick 10 right now. If your lucky and get an early 2020 pick out of it, it’ll return even more value based on projections for 2020 draft.

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BigBawseRoss
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Re: AJ Brown or 2020 1st

Postby BigBawseRoss » Thu Jun 13, 2019 12:11 pm

Jigga94 wrote:
Wed Jun 12, 2019 8:04 pm
Call me crazy, but I don't even have AJ Brown as a 1st rounder
you are crazy
team 1
12 team, 1 pt for 4 rec, 0.1 per rush
1qb, 3 rb, 4 wr, te, k, 4 idp
Rivers , Rosen, Fitzpatrick, Tyrod
Kamara, McCoy, D FreemanCohen, Bibbs, Clement,J. Allen, ty mont,Ito Smith
K Allen, Hopkins, M Williams, AROB Alshon,KeKe,MVS,T McLaurin
Ebron Graham, Njoku, Irv

team 2
12 team .5ppr
qb, 2 rb, 2 wr, te, flx,flx,
Trubitsky, Dak
Chubb,Mixon, D Henry,Coleman, D Harris, Armstead, Mostert
Hopkins, K Allen, M Evans, C Davis, Watkins, Arob, M Williams, Edleman, J Gordon, Hurd
Ertz, Everett, Fant


team 3
http://www61.myfantasyleague.com/2019/o ... =07&F=0008

team 4
https://www55.myfantasyleague.com/2019/ ... =07&F=0010

team 5
http://www57.myfantasyleague.com/2019/o ... =0008&O=07

team 6
http://www54.myfantasyleague.com/2019/o ... =07&F=0004

team 7
https://www51.myfantasyleague.com/2019/ ... =07&F=0011

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BigBawseRoss
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Re: AJ Brown or 2020 1st

Postby BigBawseRoss » Thu Jun 13, 2019 12:12 pm

bjd5211 wrote:
Thu Jun 13, 2019 1:29 am
AJ Brown is a 2nd rounder if he was in next years class, take the pick easily.
who are your favorite 12 players that have declared for next years draft?
team 1
12 team, 1 pt for 4 rec, 0.1 per rush
1qb, 3 rb, 4 wr, te, k, 4 idp
Rivers , Rosen, Fitzpatrick, Tyrod
Kamara, McCoy, D FreemanCohen, Bibbs, Clement,J. Allen, ty mont,Ito Smith
K Allen, Hopkins, M Williams, AROB Alshon,KeKe,MVS,T McLaurin
Ebron Graham, Njoku, Irv

team 2
12 team .5ppr
qb, 2 rb, 2 wr, te, flx,flx,
Trubitsky, Dak
Chubb,Mixon, D Henry,Coleman, D Harris, Armstead, Mostert
Hopkins, K Allen, M Evans, C Davis, Watkins, Arob, M Williams, Edleman, J Gordon, Hurd
Ertz, Everett, Fant


team 3
http://www61.myfantasyleague.com/2019/o ... =07&F=0008

team 4
https://www55.myfantasyleague.com/2019/ ... =07&F=0010

team 5
http://www57.myfantasyleague.com/2019/o ... =0008&O=07

team 6
http://www54.myfantasyleague.com/2019/o ... =07&F=0004

team 7
https://www51.myfantasyleague.com/2019/ ... =07&F=0011

hudini33
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Re: AJ Brown or 2020 1st

Postby hudini33 » Fri Jun 14, 2019 7:45 am

I'm a huge AJ Brown fan. He was my 1.02 before the draft. I think I hold him here because 1 of two things happen. Mariota figures it out, or they get a new QB. Also, I've never been a Davis fan, so I think Briwn will roll right into the top spot.
No One 12-team, 21 man roster PPR (1QB, 2RB, 2WR, 1TE, FLEX, D/ST, K) 2-1

2018 Champion

QB: Ryan, Rivers
RB: Zeke, Gordon, Ekeler, Samuels, Ballage, Ogunbowale
WR: Diggs, Cooper, Sutton, John Brown, Metcalf, Butler, Mclaurin, Hamilton
TE: Rudolph, Walker, Andrews
D/ST: Bears
K: Streamed
'20 PICKS: 1, 1, 3, 3

2018 Champion

hoos89
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Re: AJ Brown or 2020 1st

Postby hoos89 » Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:17 am

hudini33 wrote:
Fri Jun 14, 2019 7:45 am
I'm a huge AJ Brown fan. He was my 1.02 before the draft. I think I hold him here because 1 of two things happen. Mariota figures it out, or they get a new QB. Also, I've never been a Davis fan, so I think Briwn will roll right into the top spot.
If it was a random 2020 1st maybe...but it's early-mid. I think the odds of Brown having a huge rookie season are relatively small given his situation (they're not getting a new QB this season, and Corey Davis is the WR1 right now whether you like him or not), which means that the odds are pretty good that the pick will be worth much more than AJ Brown next May.
Team 2: 12 Team PPR - 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 2 R/W/T, 23 man rosters, est. 2016
Wentz, Minshew, Bridgewater, Haskins
Jacobs, Michel, D. Harris, Richard, Gaskin
DJ Moore, Sutton, Kupp, Kirk, Deebo, Dorsett, J. Gordon, Lee, Lazard
OJ Howard, Hockenson, Herndon
IR(2): Love, McKinnon
Taxi(4): MVS
2020 Picks: 1.03, 1.05, 1.x, 1.x, 2.03, 2.x, 2.x, 3.05, 3.x, 4.03, 5.03

Team 3: 12 Team PPR - 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 3 R/W/T, 28 man rosters, est. 2019
Ryan, Bridgewater, Tannehill
Gurley, Barber, M. Brown, Miller, McKinnon, Ito, J. Jackson, R. Anderson, Richard, Edmunds
Thomas, Cooks, Watkins, Anderson, Beasley, Foster, Doctson, KeeSean, Lazard, Treadwell
Hooper, Herndon, Witten, Reed
2020 Picks: 1.01, 1.04, 1.06, 1.x, 1.x, 2.x, 2.x

Team 1: 2012-2016
2013 Champion, 2012 Runner-Up


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