AJ Brown or 2020 1st

This is the place for team advice - should I make this trade, should I draft that player, etc.

AJ Brown or 2020 1st

AJ Brown
6
14%
2020 1st (likely 1.02-1.06)
38
86%
 
Total votes: 44

Shcritters
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AJ Brown or 2020 1st

Postby Shcritters » Wed Jun 12, 2019 7:26 pm

Alright, it just got real. I had posted a question on if I should trade my 1.10 this year for a 2020 1st (link below) and the results were overwhelmingly in favor of trading for the 2020 1st. The draft has unfolded and I'm now OTC with the 1.10. AJ Brown is still available (1.04 rookie ranking on this site, 1.07 on Mizelle's rookie ADP rankings) and I'm wondering how to proceed.
https://forum.dynastyleaguefootball.com ... 6&t=185045

For team 2 in signature, would you take AJ Brown or trade the pick for a 2020 1st next year? I would project it would be a top half of the 1st (probably 1.02-1.06), but you never can tell (league is here, look for yourself... the team I'd be trading with is 'The Injury Ward')
https://www55.myfantasyleague.com/2019/home/45262#0

If you vote please leave your comments on why. Thanks!
Gopher Two
PPR SF, WR & TE Premium (WR 1.2 PPR , TE 1.5 PPR), 10 total starters, 1 QB, 1SF, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 3 Flex
QB: Mahomes, Prescott, Mayfield
RB: Hall, Chubb, Connor, Pacheco, Mattison, DCook, Perine
WR: Tyreek, AJ Brown, JJeudy, CSutton, Flowers, MThomas, Slayton, DParker, CDavis, DMims
TE: DSchultz, Musgrave, MGesicki, McBride, Kraft, Dissly
2024: 1.02, 2.02
2022 and 2023 League Champ

SafeLeague #1 (SF, 2.0 PPR TE Prem). 10 total starters 1 QB, 1SF (QB/TE/RB/WR), 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 3 Flex
QB: Purdy, Levis, DTR
RB: Pacheco + scrubs
WR: Downs, MMims, EMoore, Jeudy, MWilson + scrubs
TE: Hock, Kincaid, Pitts, Mayer + scrubs
2024: 1.01, 1.05, 1.10, 1.12, 2.01, 2.02

SafeLeague #2
QB: Purdy, Richardson, Hooker, Willis
RB: Hull, Jackson, Vaughn, Wilson
WR: Mingo, MMims, Toney, Skyy, Iosivas
TE: LaPorta, Kincaid, McBride, Mayer, Musgrave, Schoonmaker (and a bunch more 2nd stringers)
2024: 1.01, 1.05, 1.06, 1.07, 1.09, 1.10, 1.12, 2.01

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BucFanJKE
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Re: AJ Brown or 2020 1st

Postby BucFanJKE » Wed Jun 12, 2019 7:38 pm

I love AJ Brown, but I would take a projected 1.02-1.06 over him
Team 1-
SF .5 PPR TE Prem (1Q, 1SF, 2R, 2W, 1T, 3WRT)
QB- Watson, Dak, Richardson, Bennett, Zappe
RB- Javonte Williams, JHill, Dobbins, Achane, Gibson, Bigsby, Spears, Gainwell, Fournette, CPatt
WR- Chase, Lamb, London, Pittman, MT, QJ, Bateman, Jamo, OBJ, Skyy
TE- Freiermuth, Kincaid, Chig, Fant, Musgrave, Woods, Bellinger
2024: 1st, 2nd, 4th

Team 2-
.5 PPR TE Prem (1Q, 2 R, 3W, 1 T, 3 WRT)
QB: J. Allen, Kyler, Stroud
RB: CMC, Bijan, Gibbs, JT, Breece Hall, Kamara, Gibson, 4nette
WR: Diggs, Hill, AJB, Aiyuk, London, JSN, Hollywood, M.Mims, Meyers, Shaheed
TE: Kelce, Kyle Pitts, Dulcich, Logan Thomas
2024: 2 1st (one top 3), 4th

Team 3- (Adopted Dumpster Orphan)
.5 PPR TE Prem (1Q, 2 R, 3W, 1 T, 3 WRT)
QB: J. Allen, Dak, Young
RB: Gibbs, Hall, J. Cook, Warren, Bigsby, K. Mitchell, Dobbins, D. Cook,
WR: Lamb, Wilson, Olave, Higgins, London, JSN, Bateman, Wan'Dale, Z. Jones, Hyatt
TE: Kittle, Kincaid, Woods, Likely
2024: 2 1st (one top 2), 3rd, 4th

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Re: AJ Brown or 2020 1st

Postby Jigga94 » Wed Jun 12, 2019 8:04 pm

Call me crazy, but I don't even have AJ Brown as a 1st rounder

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Re: AJ Brown or 2020 1st

Postby Gator Sens » Wed Jun 12, 2019 8:06 pm

Potential high 2020 1st easily here. Brown's situation is not great and it does not seem the titans will move on from Mariota any time soon.

bigbuck22
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Re: AJ Brown or 2020 1st

Postby bigbuck22 » Wed Jun 12, 2019 8:10 pm

Got to be the future.
Brown doesn't look likely to crack your lineup any time soon.

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Re: AJ Brown or 2020 1st

Postby vixen » Wed Jun 12, 2019 8:13 pm

if the Titans move on from Mariota, that can only help AJ Brown.. but I would also trade for the 2020 1st..
if I am looking at the right team, it seems you already own Davis... so no need to have 2 Titan WRs
team 1 -start QB RB 2WR TE 2RB/WR 1WR/TE
qbs=5pt tds wr/te=1 ppr rbs=.5ppr all get .25ppc
Watson, Brady, Mills
Ekeler, Hunt, Carson/Penny, DForeman, Mitchell, CPat, Kyren, Ford, KHarris
Cooper, sutton, Chase, Shepard, Atwell, Schwartz, Wan'Dale, Austin III
Gesicki, Engram, Hooper, Woods
team 2 -start QB 2RB 3WR TE 2Flex K D
Cousins, Stafford
DH JT, Ekeler, Kylin Hill, Herbert, KHarris, Chandler
Hopkins, Diggs, Adams, Godwin, McLaurin, Callaway, DPJ, Robby Anderson, Schwartz, Pierce, Wan'Dale, Doubs
Kelce, Andrews, Jacob Harris

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Re: AJ Brown or 2020 1st

Postby hoos89 » Wed Jun 12, 2019 8:55 pm

I just made almost this exact deal in a startup (except I also added a 17th rounder and a 2020 4th). And I'd do it again.

I'm probably higher on AJ Brown than most, too....but early 2020 1sts are going to be worth a king's ransom next season and I felt it was worth the gamble given that I think that pick came from what I view as one of the 2 or 3 weakest teams in the league.
Team 1: 2012-2016
2013 Champion, 2012 Runner-Up


Team 2: 12 Team PPR - 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 2 R/W/T, 23 man rosters, est. 2016
2021 Champion, 2020 Runner-up
Tua, Purdy Geno, Carr
JT, Ekeler, Mostert, Javonte, Chuba, D. Harris, M. Carter, J. Hill, Spiller
Chase, AJB, Amon-Ra, Aiyuk, Olave, DJM, Dell
Andrews, McBride, Engram
IR(3): Chubb, M. Williams, Rodgers
Taxi(4): J. Palmer, Tolbert, T. Palmer
2024 Picks: 3, 4, 5

Team 3: 12 Team PPR, 6 pt Pass TD - 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 3 R/W/T, 28 man rosters, est. 2019
2021 Champion, 2022 Runner-up
Jackson, Love, Tannehill, Z. Wilson
Barkley, Mixon, Mostert, J. Wilson, CEH, Gaskin, J. Hill
J. Jefferson, Diggs, Waddle, Evans, Metcalf, Sutton, R. Moore, Slayton, Berrios, Carter, Dortch, Powell, Raymond
Kelce, Dissly, Hooper
2024 Picks: 1

bjd5211
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Re: AJ Brown or 2020 1st

Postby bjd5211 » Thu Jun 13, 2019 1:29 am

AJ Brown is a 2nd rounder if he was in next years class, take the pick easily.

CrimeLord
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Re: AJ Brown or 2020 1st

Postby CrimeLord » Thu Jun 13, 2019 11:18 am

Made the same deal while OTC. Traded my 1.08 and the guy took AJ Brown.

Bubba90
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Re: AJ Brown or 2020 1st

Postby Bubba90 » Thu Jun 13, 2019 11:34 am

Take the 2020 1st if that’s the offer. The odds are in your favor to be better then pick 10 right now. If your lucky and get an early 2020 pick out of it, it’ll return even more value based on projections for 2020 draft.

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Re: AJ Brown or 2020 1st

Postby BigBawseRoss » Thu Jun 13, 2019 12:11 pm

Jigga94 wrote: Wed Jun 12, 2019 8:04 pm Call me crazy, but I don't even have AJ Brown as a 1st rounder
you are crazy
team 1
12 team, 1 pt for 4 rec, 0.1 per rush
1qb, 3 rb, 4 wr, te, k, 4 idp
Dak , Herbert
Achane, Breece Hall, KW3Kyren,Ford, Miller, Spiller, z evans, singletary
J Jefferson, Diggs, DK, D Smith Puka, C Watson, E Moore
Njoku , HH, Engram

2024 picks
1,3,4,5,5,6,7 (all late mostly)

team 2
12 team .5ppr
qb, 2 rb, 2 wr, te, flx,flx,
Fields, Dak
Ford,Mixon, Javonte, Mostert, Chubb, Spears
Hopkins, Evans, g Wilson Mingo, shaheed, Jamo
Kelce,McBride, Chig,


1,2,3,3,5

team 3
14 team sf, even scoring idp to offense (rb scores highly too)
Josh Allen, A Rich, Foles, Rudolph
Bijan, Charbs, Spears, Ebner
J Williams, G Wilson, C Watson, Flowers, J Addison, Tillman
Kincaid, Kolar, Ruckert, Fergeson

Kenny Clark, josh allen, jaelen phillips, felix a-u and a bunch of fluff and rookie fliers at idp

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BigBawseRoss
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Re: AJ Brown or 2020 1st

Postby BigBawseRoss » Thu Jun 13, 2019 12:12 pm

bjd5211 wrote: Thu Jun 13, 2019 1:29 am AJ Brown is a 2nd rounder if he was in next years class, take the pick easily.
who are your favorite 12 players that have declared for next years draft?
team 1
12 team, 1 pt for 4 rec, 0.1 per rush
1qb, 3 rb, 4 wr, te, k, 4 idp
Dak , Herbert
Achane, Breece Hall, KW3Kyren,Ford, Miller, Spiller, z evans, singletary
J Jefferson, Diggs, DK, D Smith Puka, C Watson, E Moore
Njoku , HH, Engram

2024 picks
1,3,4,5,5,6,7 (all late mostly)

team 2
12 team .5ppr
qb, 2 rb, 2 wr, te, flx,flx,
Fields, Dak
Ford,Mixon, Javonte, Mostert, Chubb, Spears
Hopkins, Evans, g Wilson Mingo, shaheed, Jamo
Kelce,McBride, Chig,


1,2,3,3,5

team 3
14 team sf, even scoring idp to offense (rb scores highly too)
Josh Allen, A Rich, Foles, Rudolph
Bijan, Charbs, Spears, Ebner
J Williams, G Wilson, C Watson, Flowers, J Addison, Tillman
Kincaid, Kolar, Ruckert, Fergeson

Kenny Clark, josh allen, jaelen phillips, felix a-u and a bunch of fluff and rookie fliers at idp

hudini33
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Re: AJ Brown or 2020 1st

Postby hudini33 » Fri Jun 14, 2019 7:45 am

I'm a huge AJ Brown fan. He was my 1.02 before the draft. I think I hold him here because 1 of two things happen. Mariota figures it out, or they get a new QB. Also, I've never been a Davis fan, so I think Briwn will roll right into the top spot.
No One 12-team, 21 man roster PPR (1QB, 2RB, 2WR, 1TE, FLEX, D/ST, K) 0-0 EST. 2017

2018, 2021 Champion

QB: Hurts, Z Wilson, Minshew, Heinecke
RB: Zeke, Ekeler, Patterson, J Robinson, Pollard, Jamal Williams
WR: Diggs, Sutton, Metcalf, McLaurin, Mooney, V. Jefferson, M. Jones
TE: Andrews, Knox, Freiermuth
D/ST: Packers, Cardinals

2022 Picks: 1.12, 2.12, 3.03, 3.12
2023 Picks: 1, 2, 3, 3

2018 and 2021 Champion.
2020 Runner-up


Rookie Class Heroes 10-team, 30 man roster PPR (1QB, 2RB, 3WR, 1TE, 2FLEX) 0-0 EST. 2020

QB: Baker, Fields, Ryan, Darnold
RB: Dobbins, Jacobs, Harris, Herbert, , Bernard, J. Wilson, Kelley
WR: DJ Moore, Sutton, Waddle, Mooney, N. Collins, V. Jefferson, B. Edwards, D. Brown, Reynolds, Duvernay, Agholor, Mims, G Wilson, Pickens, Burks
TE: Engram, Kmet, Freiermuth, Tremble

2022 Picks: 1.08, 2.04, 2.09, 3.02, 4.04
2023 Picks: 1, 1, 3, 4

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Re: AJ Brown or 2020 1st

Postby hoos89 » Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:17 am

hudini33 wrote: Fri Jun 14, 2019 7:45 am I'm a huge AJ Brown fan. He was my 1.02 before the draft. I think I hold him here because 1 of two things happen. Mariota figures it out, or they get a new QB. Also, I've never been a Davis fan, so I think Briwn will roll right into the top spot.
If it was a random 2020 1st maybe...but it's early-mid. I think the odds of Brown having a huge rookie season are relatively small given his situation (they're not getting a new QB this season, and Corey Davis is the WR1 right now whether you like him or not), which means that the odds are pretty good that the pick will be worth much more than AJ Brown next May.
Team 1: 2012-2016
2013 Champion, 2012 Runner-Up


Team 2: 12 Team PPR - 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 2 R/W/T, 23 man rosters, est. 2016
2021 Champion, 2020 Runner-up
Tua, Purdy Geno, Carr
JT, Ekeler, Mostert, Javonte, Chuba, D. Harris, M. Carter, J. Hill, Spiller
Chase, AJB, Amon-Ra, Aiyuk, Olave, DJM, Dell
Andrews, McBride, Engram
IR(3): Chubb, M. Williams, Rodgers
Taxi(4): J. Palmer, Tolbert, T. Palmer
2024 Picks: 3, 4, 5

Team 3: 12 Team PPR, 6 pt Pass TD - 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 3 R/W/T, 28 man rosters, est. 2019
2021 Champion, 2022 Runner-up
Jackson, Love, Tannehill, Z. Wilson
Barkley, Mixon, Mostert, J. Wilson, CEH, Gaskin, J. Hill
J. Jefferson, Diggs, Waddle, Evans, Metcalf, Sutton, R. Moore, Slayton, Berrios, Carter, Dortch, Powell, Raymond
Kelce, Dissly, Hooper
2024 Picks: 1


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