Feel lucky with Luck?

General discussion and team advice concerning Redraft & Keeper leagues.
Pew Dogs
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Feel lucky with Luck?

Postby Pew Dogs » Wed Jul 04, 2018 4:45 pm

Simple setup ... 12 team ppr starts 1QB, 1RB, 3WRs, 1RB/WR flex, 1TE ... we keep 1 at each position plus 1 extra RB or WR

Deal on table ...

Give Russell Wilson & Tyreek Hill
Get Andrew Luck & Julio Jones

4 of 5 dynasty trade analyzers say to accept (the other says it's even)

My thinking ... if Luck comes back ok, I win big. If not I deal with drafting a QB as the position is deep. Also, Hill may be a bit of an outlier and Sammy Watkins will threaten to be top dog, not to mention a new QB means it could be simply different at KC.

(Not that it should make a difference but my other keepers are Devonta Freeman, Stefan Diggs, and Travis Kelce. I'll be drafting Saquon Barkley with the 1.01 and also have the 1.06.)

Should I accept?
12 team, dynasty, ppr, 1RB, 3WR, 1TE,1RB/WR/TEFlex
QB P.Mahomes, R. Tannehill
RB E.Elliott, M.Ingram, D.Freeman, R.Jones,
WR M.Thomas, J.Jones, A.Green, M.Gallup, D.Parker, A.Tate, C.Claypool
TE H.Henry, G.Olsen, J.Oliver

QB P.Mahomes, D.Jones
RB D.Cook, A. Mattison, R. Armstead, D.Freeman
WR C.Godwin, DJ.Moore, A.Robinson, E.Sanders, D.Jackson, J.Reynolds, C.Claypool
TE I.Thomas, W.Dissly, B.Jarwin, J.Oliver

12 Team Dynasty ppr, 2QB,2RB,3WR,1TE,3Flex,TE Premium

QB J.Burrow, B.Roethlisberger, P.Rivers, R.Finley, M.Rudolph
RB D.Cook, D.Singletary, T.Cohen, Z.Moss, M.Boone
WR M.Evans, K.Golladay, M.Gallup, P.Williams, R.Anderson, C.Beasley, D.Funchess
TE G.Kittle, E.Engram, R.Dwelley, K.Smith, J.Oliver

QB K.Murray, J.Burrow, R.Finley, B.Hundley, M.Rudolph
RB D.Cook, R.Jones, R.Mostert, J.White, A.Mattison, I.Smith, Q.Ollison
WR K.Allen, A.Theilen, AJ.Green, M.Gallup, T.Boyd, H.Renfrow, D.Jackson, J.Reynolds, A.Tate
TE T.Kelce, D.Waller, R.Gronkowski, R.Dwelley, N.Noyle, D.Schultz

TheBelgian
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Re: Feel lucky with Luck?

Postby TheBelgian » Thu Jul 05, 2018 3:15 pm

This is a easy reject, for me. Wilson is arguably the best dynasty QB right now. Andrew Luck is still a big question mark. Even if Luck stays healthy, will he preform at a high level? With the Hill for Julio side, Julio is a stud, but getting older, by WR standards. Hill is coming off a career year and is 5 years younger than Julio. Because of upside the Hill vs Julio side of things is probably a wash in a dynasty. I have Wilson as the best dynasty QB, so Wilson wins over Luck. If I'm you, I'm keeping Hill and Wilson.
Baltimore Ravens
32 Team Contract/Salary Cap w/ IDP -- 1 copy
Salary Cap (70M) -- Cap Space: 50M+
Start: QB, 2RB, 3WR, TE, FLEX -- 3DL, 3LB, 4DB 2FLEX -- 1K
2019 Roster
QB- Murray 3M, Minshew 230k, Rosen 2M
RB- Darkwa 540k, Myles Gaskin 400k
WR- Austin 1.5M, Enunwa 1.2M,
TE- Schultz 400k
DL- Winovich 400k, JPP 5.5M R. Green 400k,
LB- , Jacobs $430k, Tavai 553k, Foster 1M, V. Joseph 400k, Board 305k, O'Daniel 600k
DB-Willis 400k, Will Harris 230k, ,
K-
2020 Picks: 1.06, 1.16, 2.06, 3.06, 3.16, 3.23, 4.19
2021 Picks: 2 1sts, 2 2nds, 2 3rds, 2 4ths

Pew Dogs
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Re: Feel lucky with Luck?

Postby Pew Dogs » Thu Jul 05, 2018 5:09 pm

TheBelgian wrote:
Thu Jul 05, 2018 3:15 pm
This is a easy reject, for me. Wilson is arguably the best dynasty QB right now. Andrew Luck is still a big question mark. Even if Luck stays healthy, will he preform at a high level? With the Hill for Julio side, Julio is a stud, but getting older, by WR standards. Hill is coming off a career year and is 5 years younger than Julio. Because of upside the Hill vs Julio side of things is probably a wash in a dynasty. I have Wilson as the best dynasty QB, so Wilson wins over Luck. If I'm you, I'm keeping Hill and Wilson.
Thank you. I appreciate the thoughts.
12 team, dynasty, ppr, 1RB, 3WR, 1TE,1RB/WR/TEFlex
QB P.Mahomes, R. Tannehill
RB E.Elliott, M.Ingram, D.Freeman, R.Jones,
WR M.Thomas, J.Jones, A.Green, M.Gallup, D.Parker, A.Tate, C.Claypool
TE H.Henry, G.Olsen, J.Oliver

QB P.Mahomes, D.Jones
RB D.Cook, A. Mattison, R. Armstead, D.Freeman
WR C.Godwin, DJ.Moore, A.Robinson, E.Sanders, D.Jackson, J.Reynolds, C.Claypool
TE I.Thomas, W.Dissly, B.Jarwin, J.Oliver

12 Team Dynasty ppr, 2QB,2RB,3WR,1TE,3Flex,TE Premium

QB J.Burrow, B.Roethlisberger, P.Rivers, R.Finley, M.Rudolph
RB D.Cook, D.Singletary, T.Cohen, Z.Moss, M.Boone
WR M.Evans, K.Golladay, M.Gallup, P.Williams, R.Anderson, C.Beasley, D.Funchess
TE G.Kittle, E.Engram, R.Dwelley, K.Smith, J.Oliver

QB K.Murray, J.Burrow, R.Finley, B.Hundley, M.Rudolph
RB D.Cook, R.Jones, R.Mostert, J.White, A.Mattison, I.Smith, Q.Ollison
WR K.Allen, A.Theilen, AJ.Green, M.Gallup, T.Boyd, H.Renfrow, D.Jackson, J.Reynolds, A.Tate
TE T.Kelce, D.Waller, R.Gronkowski, R.Dwelley, N.Noyle, D.Schultz


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