Feel lucky with Luck?

General discussion and team advice concerning Redraft & Keeper leagues.
Pew Dogs
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Feel lucky with Luck?

Postby Pew Dogs » Wed Jul 04, 2018 4:45 pm

Simple setup ... 12 team ppr starts 1QB, 1RB, 3WRs, 1RB/WR flex, 1TE ... we keep 1 at each position plus 1 extra RB or WR

Deal on table ...

Give Russell Wilson & Tyreek Hill
Get Andrew Luck & Julio Jones

4 of 5 dynasty trade analyzers say to accept (the other says it's even)

My thinking ... if Luck comes back ok, I win big. If not I deal with drafting a QB as the position is deep. Also, Hill may be a bit of an outlier and Sammy Watkins will threaten to be top dog, not to mention a new QB means it could be simply different at KC.

(Not that it should make a difference but my other keepers are Devonta Freeman, Stefan Diggs, and Travis Kelce. I'll be drafting Saquon Barkley with the 1.01 and also have the 1.06.)

Should I accept?
12 team, dynasty, ppr, 1RB, 3WR, 1RB/WR

QB P.Mahomes, R.Wilson
RB E.Elliott, D.Freeman, R.Jones, J.Samuels
WR M.Thomas, J.Jones, A.Green, T.Hilton, S.Watkins, D.Parker, D.Hamilton, M.Valdez-Scantling
TE G.Everett, G.Olsen

QB P.Mahomes
RB S.Barkley, D.Freeman, A.Jones, S.Michel, T.Coleman
WR J.Jones, S.Diggs, K.Golladay, C.Godwin, A.Robinson, M.Gallup, D.Hamilton
TE T.Kelce

QB P.Mahomes
RB E.Elliott, N.Chubb, T.Cohen
WR D.Hopkins, K.Golladay, C.Godwin, S.Shepard, M.Valdez-Scantling, R.Foster, D.Hamilton
TE T.Kelce

QB P.Mahomes
RB L.Fornette, D.Freeman, M.Ingram, G.Edwards
WR D.Moore, T.Boyd, C.Godwin, D.Jackson, J.Washington, A.Calloway, T.Gabriel, J.Gordon, A.Humphries, E.St.Brown
TE J.Doyle, C.Herndon

TheBelgian
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Re: Feel lucky with Luck?

Postby TheBelgian » Thu Jul 05, 2018 3:15 pm

This is a easy reject, for me. Wilson is arguably the best dynasty QB right now. Andrew Luck is still a big question mark. Even if Luck stays healthy, will he preform at a high level? With the Hill for Julio side, Julio is a stud, but getting older, by WR standards. Hill is coming off a career year and is 5 years younger than Julio. Because of upside the Hill vs Julio side of things is probably a wash in a dynasty. I have Wilson as the best dynasty QB, so Wilson wins over Luck. If I'm you, I'm keeping Hill and Wilson.
Baltimore Ravens
32 Team Contract/Salary Cap w/ IDP -- 1 copy
Salary Cap (70M) -- Cap Space a little over 19M
Start: QB, 2RB, 3WR, TE, FLEX -- 3DL, 3LB, 4DB 2FLEX -- 1K
2019 Roster
QB- Flacco $2.5M, Murray $3M,
RB- Thompson $1.5M, CJ Anderson $4M, Myles Gaskin 400k
WR- Treadwell $2.7M, Austin $1.5M, Switzer $520K, Kumerow $400k
TE- Witten $4M, Seals-Jones 830k, Watson $965K
DL- McKinley $500K, Barnett $677K, Dareus $3.2M, Winovich 400k
LB- O'Daniel $600k, Board $305k, Jacobs $430k, Tavai 553k, Reed $700k
DB-Cravens $1M, Nelson $1.2M, Jarrod Wilson 600k, Sendejo 700k, Peterson $2.5M, Willis 400k, Will Harris 230k
K- Santos $1.5M

Pew Dogs
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Re: Feel lucky with Luck?

Postby Pew Dogs » Thu Jul 05, 2018 5:09 pm

TheBelgian wrote:
Thu Jul 05, 2018 3:15 pm
This is a easy reject, for me. Wilson is arguably the best dynasty QB right now. Andrew Luck is still a big question mark. Even if Luck stays healthy, will he preform at a high level? With the Hill for Julio side, Julio is a stud, but getting older, by WR standards. Hill is coming off a career year and is 5 years younger than Julio. Because of upside the Hill vs Julio side of things is probably a wash in a dynasty. I have Wilson as the best dynasty QB, so Wilson wins over Luck. If I'm you, I'm keeping Hill and Wilson.
Thank you. I appreciate the thoughts.
12 team, dynasty, ppr, 1RB, 3WR, 1RB/WR

QB P.Mahomes, R.Wilson
RB E.Elliott, D.Freeman, R.Jones, J.Samuels
WR M.Thomas, J.Jones, A.Green, T.Hilton, S.Watkins, D.Parker, D.Hamilton, M.Valdez-Scantling
TE G.Everett, G.Olsen

QB P.Mahomes
RB S.Barkley, D.Freeman, A.Jones, S.Michel, T.Coleman
WR J.Jones, S.Diggs, K.Golladay, C.Godwin, A.Robinson, M.Gallup, D.Hamilton
TE T.Kelce

QB P.Mahomes
RB E.Elliott, N.Chubb, T.Cohen
WR D.Hopkins, K.Golladay, C.Godwin, S.Shepard, M.Valdez-Scantling, R.Foster, D.Hamilton
TE T.Kelce

QB P.Mahomes
RB L.Fornette, D.Freeman, M.Ingram, G.Edwards
WR D.Moore, T.Boyd, C.Godwin, D.Jackson, J.Washington, A.Calloway, T.Gabriel, J.Gordon, A.Humphries, E.St.Brown
TE J.Doyle, C.Herndon


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