It seems like simply good or above average offensive lines seem to be variable beyond the very short term.jtd1387 wrote: ↑Mon Jun 26, 2017 5:38 pmTaylor Lewan is 25, has 2 years left on his rookie contract, and will be a prime candidate for getting an extension next year. Jack Conklin is 22 and has 4 years left on his rookie contract. Ben Jones is 27 and has 3 years left on his contract. Titans line should be good for awhile. Plus, we are talking about a high draft pick and a record holding RB at the NCAA and HS level. He has looked good anytime he has run in his career. Sure it was always good lines in college and pros, but he can only control what he can control.
Cameron Giles wrote: ↑Mon Jun 26, 2017 5:07 pmWhy would the offensive line suddenly become bad? Conklin isn't going anywhere, Lewan is under contract two more years and Jones is under contract for a while too. Tennessee's going to keep investing in their line because they want to run heavy and protect Mariota. It shouldn't be a concern.
It's a group of 5 guys, not just one player. A lot of times all it takes is an injury to one of them or a contract dispute or a trade and then all of the sudden guys are being moved around on the line and nothing meshes anymore. I feel like short of the really elite lines a lot of times when we talk about a guy having a good line going into a season, within a year or two that strength has become a weakness.
This may be more of just a gut feeling though. I don't really have any metrics so I could be wrong.
Murray didn't wear down last year so much as he got injured. He picked up a nagging foot injury and his effectiveness dropped off pretty much immediately from there.Murray averaged 4.87 YPC over the first 10 games and 3.5 over the last 6 games (102 carries in those 6). I think he did show some signs of wearing down (Henry was 4.96 YPC on 48 carries in 5 of those 6 games- he missed the game @Indy). Plus, backs with Murray's carry total tend to completely fall off of a cliff when they do wear down. Maybe it doesn't happen this season and they keep him going into next, but I would be quite surprised to see a guy with his style and carries being effective past 30.RestoreTheRoar wrote: ↑Mon Jun 26, 2017 4:59 pm I know contract isn't guaranteed but what if Murray does play 2 more years? He didn't really show any signs of wearing down last year. Passing game only going to get better and will take some workload off. Henry is bound to probably eat into his workload too allowing Murray to maybe play a little longer as well.
I do agree he seems prime for a fast dropoff when it happens though.