Hopkins vs 1.01

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cmeride
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Hopkins vs 1.01

Postby cmeride » Thu Apr 15, 2021 8:27 am

I just got offered the 1.01 for Hopkins

Enticing as it may and last year i couldnt get any 1st for him i think i should pass

Unknown vs Proven and i have plenty of young WRs

I get the feeling this is a move you do to win, offering a 1st for proven talent not inquiring pics to forever build

It seems im always stuck 3rd or 4th place in my league and cant get over the hump to win it all

Am i wrong ??
Team 1
Dynasty 12 team Non-PPR (6pts TD)

QB: Mahomes Mayfield
RB: Gus Dobbins CEH JCook Spiller Moss Chandler
WR: Hopkins Devonta Higgins Sutton Diontae Hollywood Hardman Mooney Burks Flowers
TE: Engram Irv Smith
D:
K:
Start 1 QB 0-3 RB 1-4 WR 1TE

Team 2
Redraft 10 team non-ppr (6pts TD)

QB: Fields, Geno
RB: Chubb, Stevenson, Breece, Sanders
WR:CeeDee, Amon-Ra, DJ Moore Flowers
TE: Pitts, LaPorta
D: Pats, Jags
K: Joseph, Moody

Start 1 QB, 2RB, 2WR, 1TE

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Re: Hopkins vs 1.01

Postby Gator Sens » Thu Apr 15, 2021 8:34 am

Hopkins is a great piece but his value is decreasing based on him getting a bit older. If you want to ride Hopkins until he is done, I would be just fine holding. If not, I think this is top value for him anymore. I think he is worth a bit more, but it's unlikely anyone would pay more and that will not change in the future as age sets in. He is elite, but anyone pushing 30 starts hitting the value cliff even if production tells a different story.

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Re: Hopkins vs 1.01

Postby abloom » Thu Apr 15, 2021 8:40 am

So first question I'm going to ask is what do you mean by standard. Years ago standard meant no PPR. Now, it can mean just about anything.

I'm going to assume its non-ppr for this response, if you do infact mean something else by standard, I'll make a new post.

To me this is the 1.01 fairly easily, and its because its non-ppr. I like Hopkins, really like him. but his value to your team is always going to be greater than the value that he can get in a trade. Furthermore its not likely going to increase in the future, but instead steadily decline.

But that 1.01 pick, you're getting Harris or Etienne (probably Harris in non-ppr). And that RB you get, has a decent shot of increasing in value for the next couple years because of the non-ppr setting. It also gives you an opportunity to move one of your other RBs (I'd move Dobbins personally) for some WR help to replace Hopkins.
Team #1: 2nd place
12 team, 1 ppr (1.5 te), 1Q,2R,2W,1T,2F,1D,1K

Q: Kyler, AR
R: JT, CMC, Barkley, chandler
W: Evans, Chase, Mooney, Collins, Dell, Pickens
T: Kelce, Goedert
D: nyj
K: Sanders

Team #2: back to back champion
12 team, 1ppr (1.5 te), 1Q,2R,2W,1T,1SF,1F,1D,1K

Q: R Wilson, Murray, Watson
R: Swift, Walker, gus bus
W: Puka, Metcalf, Dell, Cooper, DJM, K Allen
T: Kelce, Pitts
K: Tucker
D: CLE

Team #3: back to back champion
14 team, SF, 1PPR (2PPR for TE), 1Q,2R,3W,1T,1SF,2F

Q: Mahomes, Rodgers, Watson, Heinicke, walker
R: Mostert, walker, a Jones, Wilson, Charb, Z White, McLaughlin, freeman, d Williams, Reynolds,
W: Waddle, A St Brown, K Allen, Cooper, Nuk, Juju
T: Kelce, Schultz, Thomas, Ferguson

Team #4 3rd
https://www49.myfantasyleague.com/2024/ ... =0004&O=01

Team #5 4th
https://www45.myfantasyleague.com/2024/ ... =07&F=0009

Team #6 orphan
https://www46.myfantasyleague.com/2024/ ... =0013&O=07

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Re: Hopkins vs 1.01

Postby MyTeam » Thu Apr 15, 2021 8:42 am

This is peak value for him. I would try to add something as he offered it to you. But honestly, I would sell Hopkins for 1.01. In a start up (SF) I just did, 6 picks went before Hopkins. I would assume 4 will be QBs so he went between 1.02 and 1.03
Team 1: 12 team, PPR
1QB, 2RB, 3WR, 1TE, 1Flex

Mahomes, Lawrence
Najee, Swift, Javonte, Jamaal W, Murray
DK, DJM, Juju, Jameson, Gallup, Van
Pitts, Friermuth
1.01, 1.04, 1.11, 1.12, 3.10, 2 firsts next year

Team 2: 12 Team, SF TEP (1.5 PPR)
1QB, 2RB, 3WR, 1TE, 2Flex, 1 SF

Mahomes, Burrow, Cousins, Rudolph
CEH, Swift, Gibson, Jacobs, Mattison, Scott, McFarland
DK, AJB, Ridley, McLaurin, Kupp, Landry, Mims, Hamler, Miller, Johnson, Robinson
Andrews, H. Henry, Sternberger, Alie-Cox, Herndon

Same as Team 2
Watson, Burrow, Lance, Z. Wilson
Pollard, Mattison
Chase, D. Smith, Boyd, Hardman, E. Moore, Cephus, A. Rodgers, Harry, Boykin, A. Tate, Miller
Hockenson, Thomas, Albert O, Njoku
3 additional firsts

Same as Team 2
TLaw, Burrow, Watson, Darnold
CEH, Gus, Cohen
Juju, Chark, Shenault, Boyd, Landry, Renfrow, Robinson,
Engram, Kmet, Firkser, Schultz, Arnold, Herndon
5 additional firsts

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Re: Hopkins vs 1.01

Postby cmeride » Thu Apr 15, 2021 8:53 am

abloom wrote: Thu Apr 15, 2021 8:40 am So first question I'm going to ask is what do you mean by standard. Years ago standard meant no PPR. Now, it can mean just about anything.

I'm going to assume its non-ppr for this response, if you do infact mean something else by standard, I'll make a new post.

To me this is the 1.01 fairly easily, and its because its non-ppr. I like Hopkins, really like him. but his value to your team is always going to be greater than the value that he can get in a trade. Furthermore its not likely going to increase in the future, but instead steadily decline.

But that 1.01 pick, you're getting Harris or Etienne (probably Harris in non-ppr). And that RB you get, has a decent shot of increasing in value for the next couple years because of the non-ppr setting. It also gives you an opportunity to move one of your other RBs (I'd move Dobbins personally) for some WR help to replace Hopkins.
I get your points. And yes, Standard = Non-PPR.

I was also offered Swift for Hopkins from another owner

But i guess i could take the 1.01 and fiip it closer to draft for something better ?
Last edited by cmeride on Thu Apr 15, 2021 9:35 am, edited 1 time in total.
Team 1
Dynasty 12 team Non-PPR (6pts TD)

QB: Mahomes Mayfield
RB: Gus Dobbins CEH JCook Spiller Moss Chandler
WR: Hopkins Devonta Higgins Sutton Diontae Hollywood Hardman Mooney Burks Flowers
TE: Engram Irv Smith
D:
K:
Start 1 QB 0-3 RB 1-4 WR 1TE

Team 2
Redraft 10 team non-ppr (6pts TD)

QB: Fields, Geno
RB: Chubb, Stevenson, Breece, Sanders
WR:CeeDee, Amon-Ra, DJ Moore Flowers
TE: Pitts, LaPorta
D: Pats, Jags
K: Joseph, Moody

Start 1 QB, 2RB, 2WR, 1TE

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Re: Hopkins vs 1.01

Postby blacklab1010 » Thu Apr 15, 2021 9:20 am

I think you could easily flip the 1.01 for swift plus something if you want swift. So i wouldnt do that one
Superflex 10 Team PPR 30 man roster-- Must start 14 Players: 1QB+1Superflex/3RBs/4WRs/2TE/Flex/D/K

QBs - Josh Allen, Kirk Cousins, Easton Stick, Tommy Devito, Case Keenum
RBs - Nick Chubb, Derrick Henry/Tayjae Spears, Austin Ekeler/ Isaiah Spiller, Josh Kelly, Alvin Kamara/Kendre Miller, Rico Dowdle, Ty Johnson, Latavius Murray, Zack Moss, Tyler Goodson, Trey Sermon, Dernest Johnson
WRs -Rashee Rice.Gabriel Davis, Keenan Allen, Chris Godwin, Noah Brown, Adam Theilen, Russel Gage, Xavier Gipson,
TEs - Travis Kelce, Darren Waller, Dalton Schultz, Tanner Hudson, Allen Davis

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Re: Hopkins vs 1.01

Postby Vcize » Thu Apr 15, 2021 9:27 pm

1.01 > Hopkins in PPR
1.01 >>> Hopkins in non-PPR

ETA: Hopkins is great, and I love the dude, but he's going mid-3rd in startup drafts at this point in his career. The 1st rookie will be long off the board by then.
12 Team FFPC TE Premium
QB: Herbert, Brady
RB: Barkley, Mixon, Jav Williams, Pierce, Drake
WR: Jefferson, AJ Brown, Metcalf, Hopkins, Peoples-Jones
TE: Kittle, Goedert

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Re: Hopkins vs 1.01

Postby killer_of_giants » Fri Apr 16, 2021 2:24 am

the very high end WRs are very valuable in non-ppr: this setting widens the gap between the top WRs and a mid WR2 (slightly bigger gap in brute points per game, but considering the overall scores are lower, the percentage difference is noticeable). it is also a bit more dependent on TDs.

that said, 1.01 is a good offer, if you're sold on harris/etienne. even if they turn out to be more like jacobs than the RBs in last year's class, they would be more valuable than hopkins (especially if you have many flex spots).

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Re: Hopkins vs 1.01

Postby Mjvb5 » Fri Apr 16, 2021 5:19 am

This depends what you want, if your fine likely riding Hopkins off into the sunset and accepting you'll likely never get this kinds value for him after this year (30 year old wrs are almost never fetching top firsts consistently) you can keep him. However taking the pick let's you pick up 7-9 years of age albeit taking a short term and likely mid te production hit

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Re: Hopkins vs 1.01

Postby pmart33 » Fri Apr 16, 2021 7:01 am

1.01 for me. As great as Hopkins will be this year he's walking into his age 29 season. Yes, yes I know WRs can produce into their early 30s, but the sell window from a value standpoint is closing on him. 1.01 will likely help you right now and for the foreseeable future. this move is worth the risk IMO.
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Team 1
12 Team .5 PPR
Starters 1QB 2RB 2WR 1TE 2Flex-WR/RB/TE

QB Hurts Love Cousins
RB CMC Stevenson Ekeler Mostert Spiller
WR Hill Puka Aiyuk Diggs
TE Kelce

Team 2
12 Team PPR SF TE Prem
Starters 1QB 1SF 2RB 2WR 1TE 3Flex-WR/RB/TE

QB Kyler A-Rich
RB Dobbins Hull
WR Flowers London C. Watson Mingo
TE McBride Musgrave Mayer Fant

1.01 1.03
4 2025 1sts
5 2026 1sts

Team 3
12 Team PPR SF
Starters 1QB 1SF 2RB 2WR 1TE 2Flex-WR/RB/TE

QB Burrow Purdy Howell
RB Taylor Hall Kyren Ekeler Pollard Z. White
WR Lamb Deebo Dionte Puka M. Williams Zay Jones
TE Njoku Fant Hill

Team 4
12 Team .5 PPR SF TE Prem 1 PPR
Starters 1QB 1SF 2RB 2WR 1TE 2Flex-WR/RB/TE

QB Purdy Cousins Watson Levis Fields
RB Bijan Gibbs Barkley Walker Kyren
WR Lamb Hill Kupp Dell Diontae E. Moore Mims Pierce
TE Hockenson Goedert

2.07
3 2025 1sts
4 2026 1sts


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