SF: 2021 1.10 v. 2022 1st (poll)

[Hankybro21]

Team 2.

Give: 1.10
Get: 2022 1st (it will likely be top 3, possibly 1.01)

I already have 1.04/6/7 this draft. I have a likely top 3 2022 1st already, so this would very likely give me two top 3 2022 1sts.

Make the move? Or hold 1.10?

If I'm reading my league correctly, I'm guessing 1.10 will be Pitts, Mac Jones, or Devonta Smith

[killer_of_giants]

i fat-fingered 1.10, but i meant next year's 1st.

[Gator Sens]

With your build, I think you can afford to gamble on landing an early 1st in 2022 for the price especially with the picks you already own this year.

[krtbuckeye]

I'd make that swap. Much higher likelihood that the pick is better value next year than 1.10 this year given context.

[Hankybro21]

Thanks all. I currently have the 1.10 in a pending package deal for 1.08 but I might just make this move instead. Appreciate it!

[Mtt33]

I’d want more unless that pick is from a team that truly has nothing. this is a deep superflex class and predicting future picks is not easy to do, trading 1.10 for a single 1 in what’s viewed as a weaker class already isn’t something I’d entertain (likely will change like it always does but the RBs and qbs on paper now aren’t great from what I hear).

[abloom]

In a 10 teamer I think I like the 2022 pick more. But I also think I'd want a little more on top to move it and wait a year. If your 10 team values QBs like it is a 10 team league, I am fine keeping the 1.10

[Hankybro21]

I’d want more unless that pick is from a team that truly has nothing. this is a deep superflex class and predicting future picks is not easy to do, trading 1.10 for a single 1 in what’s viewed as a weaker class already isn’t something I’d entertain (likely will change like it always does but the RBs and qbs on paper now aren’t great from what I hear).

Yea this team is bad. QBs are Carr, Darnold, and Minshew. WR are Amari and Landry. RB Hunt DMont and Gurley. This is the only reason I'm really considering it. He finished 9th this year and will very likely be the 1.01 next year.

But I agree though. I am concerned about the 2022 class v. the 2021 class. It's mainly that 2022 1.01-1.03 should, in theory, be better than 2021 1.10

[Hankybro21]

In a 10 teamer I think I like the 2022 pick more. But I also think I'd want a little more on top to move it and wait a year. If your 10 team values QBs like it is a 10 team league, I am fine keeping the 1.10

I'm guessing 3-4 QBs will be drafted in the top 5 this year. They're very highly valued.

[BradysBunch]

I picked next year's first. I can see some arguments for no...if they are the people who really know thier stuff. If they can draft this year's jefferson at 10 like a lot did last year, then I can see the argument.

[Hankybro21]

I picked next year's first. I can see some arguments for no...if they are the people who really know thier stuff. If they can draft this year's jefferson at 10 like a lot did last year, then I can see the argument.

Yea the guy after the pick is on top of it. He's got 1.02 and 1.09 already this year.

My guess is that the draft goes:
1.01 Trevor
1.02 Fields
1.03 Wilson
1.04 Chase
1.05 Harris
1.06 ETN
1.07 Lance
1.08 Smith
1.09 Mac
1.10 Pitts/Williams

[abloom]

I picked next year's first. I can see some arguments for no...if they are the people who really know thier stuff. If they can draft this year's jefferson at 10 like a lot did last year, then I can see the argument.

Yea the guy after the pick is on top of it. He's got 1.02 and 1.09 already this year.

My guess is that the draft goes:
1.01 Trevor
1.02 Fields
1.03 Wilson
1.04 Chase
1.05 Harris
1.06 ETN
1.07 Lance
1.08 Smith
1.09 Mac
1.10 Pitts/Williams

Keeping 1.10 then. That's just great value in a ten teamer.

[M-Dub]

This is easily the 2022 1st. Literally the worst thing that could happen is it’s the 1.10 next year and you just lost a year of cashing it in, but from the sound of it, the ‘22 1st will be significantly better. This is a very low risk/very high reward proposition.

[Hankybro21]

This is easily the 2022 1st. Literally the worst thing that could happen is it’s the 1.10 next year and you just lost a year of cashing it in, but from the sound of it, the ‘22 1st will be significantly better. This is a very low risk/very high reward proposition.

Yea it’ll be Early. If it ends up being the 2022 1.10 I will quit dynasty forever

[Jigga94]

This is easily the 2022 1st. Literally the worst thing that could happen is it’s the 1.10 next year and you just lost a year of cashing it in, but from the sound of it, the ‘22 1st will be significantly better. This is a very low risk/very high reward proposition.

Yea it’ll be Early. If it ends up being the 2022 1.10 I will quit dynasty forever

Lol I'm also taking the early 1st