Is it a smart idea?

[cvbuc]

Contrarian opinion...
You're selling low on Zeke after his worst season in a year without Zak. He'll net more midseason or a few weeks into the season.
Same with Hopkins.

I never think now is the best time to move stars. Rookie fever degrades their values so much in March-June.

[bigbuck22]

Contrarian opinion...
You're selling low on Zeke after his worst season in a year without Zak. He'll net more midseason or a few weeks into the season.
Same with Hopkins.

I never think now is the best time to move stars. Rookie fever degrades their values so much in March-June.

I expect Zeke to have a good year but even a full year of top production won't raise his value all that much, if any. At that point, he'll be going into his yr 27 season and ppl aren't going to pay for that.

[krtbuckeye]

I would make this deal unless I was an out and out favorite for 2021 and Zeke and Hopkins are indispensable to that staying true.

[Anteaters]

Do you rate yourself as a top 3 team this year? If not, I'd make the offer.

It's basically two 12 team leagues thrown together. We all play each other during the season but come playoff time, there's an AFC and NFC. I'm top 3 on my side but also a couple of strong teams on the other side.

1 copy of each player in AFC and 1 in NFC

I run a redraft league like this, except it's 14 teams per conference and the conferences do no play each other until the championship game. But this season, I'm considering one or two interconference games per team. It's already great fun, but that would possibly make it even more fun.

[bigbuck22]

Do you rate yourself as a top 3 team this year? If not, I'd make the offer.

It's basically two 12 team leagues thrown together. We all play each other during the season but come playoff time, there's an AFC and NFC. I'm top 3 on my side but also a couple of strong teams on the other side.

1 copy of each player in AFC and 1 in NFC

I run a redraft league like this, except it's 14 teams per conference and the conferences do no play each other until the championship game. But this season, I'm considering one or two interconference games per team. It's already great fun, but that would possibly make it even more fun.

We play one team from each conference every week so you have two matchups. We go by Victory Points. Wins are worth victory points as are how you ranked in the league in points scored each week...ex. if you were 3rd in points scored out of 24 teams but lost both matchups cuz you played the top two guys, you'd still get some vp and not get totally screwed.

[tsarpepe]

Contrarian opinion...
You're selling low on Zeke after his worst season in a year without Zak. He'll net more midseason or a few weeks into the season.
Same with Hopkins.

I never think now is the best time to move stars. Rookie fever degrades their values so much in March-June.

I agree with this. Offseason is empty time, and so this is when most owners have time to plan various moves. But this also happens to be the worse time to sell vets. I do like your thinking, but I'd wait until the season to execute the plan.

[Bennyblanco22]

Contrarian opinion...
You're selling low on Zeke after his worst season in a year without Zak. He'll net more midseason or a few weeks into the season.
Same with Hopkins.

I never think now is the best time to move stars. Rookie fever degrades their values so much in March-June.

I agree with this. Offseason is empty time, and so this is when most owners have time to plan various moves. But this also happens to be the worse time to sell vets. I do like your thinking, but I'd wait until the season to execute the plan.

This would all be accurate if Hop's value and CD's values stay the exact same, which they likely won't. Hop's advanced metrics seem to indicate he's slowing down and the main thing holding him in that top 5 is volume. I'm not saying that's the case, but if has a 10th place finish, his value will drop regardless, and is never going back up due to age. Lamb on the other hand, will likely have a top 15ish season and his value is only going to spike even more than it has now. He was receiving big volume while Dak was on the field and that should only improve with a full season under his belt. Zeke is a stud for sure, but his value isn't going up much even if he has a top 5 season. 1.06 you can most likely grab Javonte which will almost replace Zeke's production (if he lands in even a relatively decent spot) and he'll be around a lot longer than Zeke too.

Once Lamb comes out the gate strong, which I think we can agree on that he will, no Lamb owner would accept this offer. We're basically hoping Zeke and Hop maintain their levels of production for this to not be a good deal, which I'm not so sure I'd bet on. I'd rather put my money on Lamb having great season and Zeke starting to break down after popping too much molly and getting high on stream during the off season. Any time I'm 50/50 about a RB approaching the age/value/production apex, it's time to sell. David Johnson, Lev Bell, Devonta Freeman owners can tell you this firsthand.