Dillon Value
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Re: Dillon Value
I don't see AJD being close to how dynamic Jones has been. I think people simply remove Jones from the equation and insert Dillion, doesn't simply work that way. Should Jones leave Williams will likely be retained. They could easily sign other veteran free agent, or pass catching type back and they go right into the dreaded RBBC. I am risk adverse so I will not be buying shares of Dillon until after free agency and the NFL draft process. Should I miss out, so be it. Those with more risk tollerance and are bigtime Dillion believers, the time to buy him cheap has already passed.
FF Player for 32 years, dynasty for the last 10 years.
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Re: Dillon Value
I've said before, it's exactly what I expect to happen. That's why Dillon is not currently worth a 1st in my mind. RBBC between Dillon and Williams in 2021. Maybe even longer than that...
However, in the format I have him rostered, if he gets the short-yardage work he'll still be worthwhile even in a committee.
14 Team, No-PPR, 20 Man Roster, TD Heavy, TD = 6, FG = 3, Start: QB, 2RB, 2WR, TE, Flex, K, D
QB: L. Jackson, B. Purdy, T. Lance
RB: J. Mixon, N. Chubb, A. Dillon, J. Cook, K. Mitchell, J. McLaughlin, Z. Evans
WR: J. Chase, C. Godwin, D. Johnson, J. Reed, C. Tillman
TE: TJ Hockenson, D. Njoku, B. Jordan
14 Team, .5 PPR, 18 Man Roster, Rush/Rec TD = 6, Pass TD = 4, FG = 3, Start: QB, 2RB, 2WR, TE, Flex, K, D
QB: L. Jackson, T. Tagovailoa
RB: B. Robinson, K. Walker, R. Stevenson, K. Herbertl
WR: C. Olave, T. Higgins, B. Aiyuk, N. Collins, Z. Flowers, M. Mims
TE: K. Pitts, D. Njoku
QB: L. Jackson, B. Purdy, T. Lance
RB: J. Mixon, N. Chubb, A. Dillon, J. Cook, K. Mitchell, J. McLaughlin, Z. Evans
WR: J. Chase, C. Godwin, D. Johnson, J. Reed, C. Tillman
TE: TJ Hockenson, D. Njoku, B. Jordan
14 Team, .5 PPR, 18 Man Roster, Rush/Rec TD = 6, Pass TD = 4, FG = 3, Start: QB, 2RB, 2WR, TE, Flex, K, D
QB: L. Jackson, T. Tagovailoa
RB: B. Robinson, K. Walker, R. Stevenson, K. Herbertl
WR: C. Olave, T. Higgins, B. Aiyuk, N. Collins, Z. Flowers, M. Mims
TE: K. Pitts, D. Njoku
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Re: Dillon Value
Where do you guys land now that GB didn't tag Jones?
Team 1:
16 team startup
1 qb 2 rb 2 wr 1 te 1 flex 1 dst 1k
Qb: Hurts, Pickett
Rb: Taylor, Pollard, Henry, Herbert, K. Ingram, Moss, Kelley
Wr: AJ Brown, Tyreek, Pickens, Bateman, Robinson
TE: Kelce, J. Woods, L. Thomas
D: MIA, SEA, MIN
K: Koo
2024 1.02 & 2.15
Finished
2019: 1st
2020: 1st
2021: 4th
2022: 2nd
2023: 2nd
16 team startup
1 qb 2 rb 2 wr 1 te 1 flex 1 dst 1k
Qb: Hurts, Pickett
Rb: Taylor, Pollard, Henry, Herbert, K. Ingram, Moss, Kelley
Wr: AJ Brown, Tyreek, Pickens, Bateman, Robinson
TE: Kelce, J. Woods, L. Thomas
D: MIA, SEA, MIN
K: Koo
2024 1.02 & 2.15
Finished
2019: 1st
2020: 1st
2021: 4th
2022: 2nd
2023: 2nd
- Gator Sens
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Re: Dillon Value
I'm sure most owners will want at least a mid 1st. I would not offer more than a late personally. He will have a great shot at making some noise but I would not invest too heavily as of now.
- krtbuckeye
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Re: Dillon Value
Jones not getting tagged really doesn't change my valuation on Dillon too much.
The Highwaymen
2020, 2021, 2022
2018, 2019
10 Team SF, PPR, Roster: 33+2 IR+2 Taxi
Start: QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, TE, SF, FLX (RB/WR), K, 2 DL, LB, 2 DB, 2 IDP FLX
**IDP scoring is TKL heavy (1.0 solo and asst), no QBH or TFL.**
QB: Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts
RB: Jahmyr Gibbs, D’Andre Swift, Jerome Ford, Khalil Herbert, Jaleel McLaughlin, Ty Chandler, Michael Carter, Isaiah Spiller, Chase Brown, Evan Hull (IR), Sean Tucker
WR: Amon-Ra St. Brown, DeVonta Smith, Tee Higgins, Jordan Addison, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Josh Palmer, Demario Douglas, Alec Pierce, Michael Wilson, Jalin Hyatt, Kayshon Boutte (Taxi)
TE: Sam LaPorta, Trey McBride
K: Jake Elliott
DL: Danielle Hunter, Aiden Hutchinson, Jaelan Phillips (IR)
LB: Bobby Wagner, Jordyn Brooks, Logan Wilson, Ernest Jones
DB: Derwin James, Brian Branch
2020, 2021, 2022
2018, 2019
10 Team SF, PPR, Roster: 33+2 IR+2 Taxi
Start: QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, TE, SF, FLX (RB/WR), K, 2 DL, LB, 2 DB, 2 IDP FLX
**IDP scoring is TKL heavy (1.0 solo and asst), no QBH or TFL.**
QB: Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts
RB: Jahmyr Gibbs, D’Andre Swift, Jerome Ford, Khalil Herbert, Jaleel McLaughlin, Ty Chandler, Michael Carter, Isaiah Spiller, Chase Brown, Evan Hull (IR), Sean Tucker
WR: Amon-Ra St. Brown, DeVonta Smith, Tee Higgins, Jordan Addison, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Josh Palmer, Demario Douglas, Alec Pierce, Michael Wilson, Jalin Hyatt, Kayshon Boutte (Taxi)
TE: Sam LaPorta, Trey McBride
K: Jake Elliott
DL: Danielle Hunter, Aiden Hutchinson, Jaelan Phillips (IR)
LB: Bobby Wagner, Jordyn Brooks, Logan Wilson, Ernest Jones
DB: Derwin James, Brian Branch
Re: Dillon Value
Same. I’ve valued Dillon as if Jones was gone from the moment they drafted Dillon, so nothing’s changed for me.krtbuckeye wrote: ↑Fri Mar 12, 2021 12:31 pm Jones not getting tagged really doesn't change my valuation on Dillon too much.
12 Team .5 PPR - 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 WR/RB 20 man rosters, 5 man taxi est. 2018
QB: Dak, Pickett
RB: CMC, Taylor, Gibson, Dillon, Akers, Penny
WR: JJeff, Hollywood, Olave, Toney, Aiyuk, Jeudy, C. Davis, Boyd, C. Samuel,
TE: Njoku, Gesicki
2023 picks: 1.x, 2.x, 3.x, 4.x
QB: Dak, Pickett
RB: CMC, Taylor, Gibson, Dillon, Akers, Penny
WR: JJeff, Hollywood, Olave, Toney, Aiyuk, Jeudy, C. Davis, Boyd, C. Samuel,
TE: Njoku, Gesicki
2023 picks: 1.x, 2.x, 3.x, 4.x
Re: Dillon Value
Yea I took him with a late first last year so a late first now wouldn’t cut it for me.Gator Sens wrote: ↑Fri Mar 12, 2021 11:29 amI'm sure most owners will want at least a mid 1st. I would not offer more than a late personally. He will have a great shot at making some noise but I would not invest too heavily as of now.
12 Team .5 PPR - 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 WR/RB 20 man rosters, 5 man taxi est. 2018
QB: Dak, Pickett
RB: CMC, Taylor, Gibson, Dillon, Akers, Penny
WR: JJeff, Hollywood, Olave, Toney, Aiyuk, Jeudy, C. Davis, Boyd, C. Samuel,
TE: Njoku, Gesicki
2023 picks: 1.x, 2.x, 3.x, 4.x
QB: Dak, Pickett
RB: CMC, Taylor, Gibson, Dillon, Akers, Penny
WR: JJeff, Hollywood, Olave, Toney, Aiyuk, Jeudy, C. Davis, Boyd, C. Samuel,
TE: Njoku, Gesicki
2023 picks: 1.x, 2.x, 3.x, 4.x
Re: Dillon Value
I think that both Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams are gone. This coaching staff didn't draft them. They'll want their own guys.
I value AJ Dillon at about 1.05 right now. RB scarcity is real these days. Super young, talented, drafted high when they had other clear needs, flashed last year.
I value AJ Dillon at about 1.05 right now. RB scarcity is real these days. Super young, talented, drafted high when they had other clear needs, flashed last year.
Not all that counts can be counted. Not all that can be counted counts.
Re: Dillon Value
Interestingly, going off the high-end values I've seen from some on Dillon, he's far more valuable than a guy like James Robinson. I'm having trouble getting behind that one especially before FA and the draft.
Re: Dillon Value
His upside is D. Henry IMO I’m not selling I’m at all, some of our good evaluators on here had him as a first round talent and now it’s time to show. Dillon showed he can play in his start last year.
He’s big, fast, smart, good footwork and believe it or not he can catch!
He’s big, fast, smart, good footwork and believe it or not he can catch!
1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR 1TE, Super Flex, 2 Flex Spots. 10 Team Dynasty PPR
2016 Champs 2019 Runner up 2020 Champs
QB- Lamar Jackson, Jordan Love
RB- Alvin Kamara, AJ Dillion
WR- Christian Kirk, Michael Pittman, Aiyuk, Alec Pierce, DJ Chare, Terrace Marshall, Metchie,
TE- George Kittle, Darren Waller, Greg Dortch.
Team 2 10 Team 1 QB 2 RB 3 WR 1 TE 2 Flex 2 SF
2020 3rd place Year 1
(This is a rebuild team selling vets)
QB Joe Burrow, Kenny Pickett, Geno,
RB AJ Dillon, Josh Jacobs, Tony Pollard,
WR Tee Higgins, Sutton, HollywoodTerry McLaurin, DJM, Ju-Ju, Hodgins,
TE Hock, Andrews, Kyle Pitts, Otton, Ertz
Picks
2023 4 1st 5 2nd
2024 3rd
“Not good enough to count on as a starter, but too good to drop, so they clog my bench.” dlf_mikeh
2016 Champs 2019 Runner up 2020 Champs
QB- Lamar Jackson, Jordan Love
RB- Alvin Kamara, AJ Dillion
WR- Christian Kirk, Michael Pittman, Aiyuk, Alec Pierce, DJ Chare, Terrace Marshall, Metchie,
TE- George Kittle, Darren Waller, Greg Dortch.
Team 2 10 Team 1 QB 2 RB 3 WR 1 TE 2 Flex 2 SF
2020 3rd place Year 1
(This is a rebuild team selling vets)
QB Joe Burrow, Kenny Pickett, Geno,
RB AJ Dillon, Josh Jacobs, Tony Pollard,
WR Tee Higgins, Sutton, HollywoodTerry McLaurin, DJM, Ju-Ju, Hodgins,
TE Hock, Andrews, Kyle Pitts, Otton, Ertz
Picks
2023 4 1st 5 2nd
2024 3rd
“Not good enough to count on as a starter, but too good to drop, so they clog my bench.” dlf_mikeh
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Re: Dillon Value
Put a % on Jones walking and a % on Williams walking, in ur opinion, interested in what anyone thinks...
SF - PPR - 12t - start10
Notable Assets in Rebuild
QB: Mahomes - Levis - Rudolph
RB: K Mitchell - J McLaughlin - C Rodriguez - Z Evans
WR: AJB - M Pittman- R Doubs - E Moore - Shaheed - C Tillman- A Iosivas
TE: MAndrews - Kraft
'24: 1.1, 1.7, 2.1, 2.6, 2.10, 3.1, 3.10
‘25: 1 1st, 2 2nds, 2 3rds
2nd year DFF
SF - PPR - 12t - start10
QB: TLaw - Purdy - Goff
RB: Chubb - D Montgomery - D Singletary - A Mattison - K Miller - J Hill
WR: CeeDee - Aiyuk - Rice - Godwin - J Reed - E Moore
TE: Kittle - Kincaid - Chig
picks: 1.09, 2.11
Notable Assets in Rebuild
QB: Mahomes - Levis - Rudolph
RB: K Mitchell - J McLaughlin - C Rodriguez - Z Evans
WR: AJB - M Pittman- R Doubs - E Moore - Shaheed - C Tillman- A Iosivas
TE: MAndrews - Kraft
'24: 1.1, 1.7, 2.1, 2.6, 2.10, 3.1, 3.10
‘25: 1 1st, 2 2nds, 2 3rds
2nd year DFF
SF - PPR - 12t - start10
QB: TLaw - Purdy - Goff
RB: Chubb - D Montgomery - D Singletary - A Mattison - K Miller - J Hill
WR: CeeDee - Aiyuk - Rice - Godwin - J Reed - E Moore
TE: Kittle - Kincaid - Chig
picks: 1.09, 2.11
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Re: Dillon Value
Jones-95realmacaroni wrote: ↑Sat Mar 13, 2021 2:27 pm Put a % on Jones walking and a % on Williams walking, in ur opinion, interested in what anyone thinks...
Williams-80
Very real chance the packers grab 2 guys later in the draft.
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Re: Dillon Value
I think I'd put it at 85% Jone is gone.realmacaroni wrote: ↑Sat Mar 13, 2021 2:27 pm Put a % on Jones walking and a % on Williams walking, in ur opinion, interested in what anyone thinks...
50%/50% on Williams. If he does go, I would not be surprised to see GB sign a guy like Caros Hyde for a year so as not to go into the season with what essentially would be an inexperienced backfield. That's also why I put the odds at 50% he stays, just so the team has a little continuity. Could go either way.
14 Team, No-PPR, 20 Man Roster, TD Heavy, TD = 6, FG = 3, Start: QB, 2RB, 2WR, TE, Flex, K, D
QB: L. Jackson, B. Purdy, T. Lance
RB: J. Mixon, N. Chubb, A. Dillon, J. Cook, K. Mitchell, J. McLaughlin, Z. Evans
WR: J. Chase, C. Godwin, D. Johnson, J. Reed, C. Tillman
TE: TJ Hockenson, D. Njoku, B. Jordan
14 Team, .5 PPR, 18 Man Roster, Rush/Rec TD = 6, Pass TD = 4, FG = 3, Start: QB, 2RB, 2WR, TE, Flex, K, D
QB: L. Jackson, T. Tagovailoa
RB: B. Robinson, K. Walker, R. Stevenson, K. Herbertl
WR: C. Olave, T. Higgins, B. Aiyuk, N. Collins, Z. Flowers, M. Mims
TE: K. Pitts, D. Njoku
QB: L. Jackson, B. Purdy, T. Lance
RB: J. Mixon, N. Chubb, A. Dillon, J. Cook, K. Mitchell, J. McLaughlin, Z. Evans
WR: J. Chase, C. Godwin, D. Johnson, J. Reed, C. Tillman
TE: TJ Hockenson, D. Njoku, B. Jordan
14 Team, .5 PPR, 18 Man Roster, Rush/Rec TD = 6, Pass TD = 4, FG = 3, Start: QB, 2RB, 2WR, TE, Flex, K, D
QB: L. Jackson, T. Tagovailoa
RB: B. Robinson, K. Walker, R. Stevenson, K. Herbertl
WR: C. Olave, T. Higgins, B. Aiyuk, N. Collins, Z. Flowers, M. Mims
TE: K. Pitts, D. Njoku
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Re: Dillon Value
I selected AJ Dillon with the 2.01 (12 team SF) last year. Most considered to be a reach, and it likely was, but I had three second round picks and wanted to secure my guy. Things have developed exactly as I had hoped, and I wouldn't move him for the 1.08.
Team One: Children of the Light
12 Team PPR- Superflex- Dynasty - Start 9
QB: Herbert, Watson, Young, Cousins
HB: Bijan, Etienne, J.Jacobs, Najee, D.Harris, J.Ford
WR: Olave, Smith-Njigba, Pittman, Jeudy, Jameson, A.Cooper, Cooks, P.Cambell, T.Marshall, Boutte (T.S.)
TE: Hockenson, Kmet, L.Schoonmaker, Likely (T.S.)
Picks: 2024 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 3rd & 3rd
Team Two: One Nation
12 Team IDP- PPR- Superflex- Dynasy - 8 Offensive Starters- 1 DL, 1 EDR, 2 LB, 2 DB, 1DP (DL/LB/DB)
QB: Mahomes, Love, Lance, Purdy
HB: Chubb, Etienne, Akers, Dillion, J.Cook, P.Strong (T.S.), Z.White (T.S.)
WR: Waddle, Jameson, A.Cooper, “Bayou”.Michael.Thomas, Pickens, T.Marshall
TE: Waller, I.Smith.Jr, Otton (T.S.)
LB: D.Lloyd, Q.Walker, D.Long, J.Baker, J.Jewel
DB: J.Chinn, J.Pitre, J.Brisker
DL/ER: S.Hubbard, K.Mack, K.Paye
Picks: '23 1.05, 1.07, 1.12 & 3.07
12 Team PPR- Superflex- Dynasty - Start 9
QB: Herbert, Watson, Young, Cousins
HB: Bijan, Etienne, J.Jacobs, Najee, D.Harris, J.Ford
WR: Olave, Smith-Njigba, Pittman, Jeudy, Jameson, A.Cooper, Cooks, P.Cambell, T.Marshall, Boutte (T.S.)
TE: Hockenson, Kmet, L.Schoonmaker, Likely (T.S.)
Picks: 2024 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 3rd & 3rd
Team Two: One Nation
12 Team IDP- PPR- Superflex- Dynasy - 8 Offensive Starters- 1 DL, 1 EDR, 2 LB, 2 DB, 1DP (DL/LB/DB)
QB: Mahomes, Love, Lance, Purdy
HB: Chubb, Etienne, Akers, Dillion, J.Cook, P.Strong (T.S.), Z.White (T.S.)
WR: Waddle, Jameson, A.Cooper, “Bayou”.Michael.Thomas, Pickens, T.Marshall
TE: Waller, I.Smith.Jr, Otton (T.S.)
LB: D.Lloyd, Q.Walker, D.Long, J.Baker, J.Jewel
DB: J.Chinn, J.Pitre, J.Brisker
DL/ER: S.Hubbard, K.Mack, K.Paye
Picks: '23 1.05, 1.07, 1.12 & 3.07
Re: Dillon Value
Yeah it really depends on Williams price. I think they sign him for a reasonable amount as I don't think many other teams will come knocking for him. That said, I do think he will remain a change of pace/3rd down pass blocker for GB if he stays.Shoreline Steamers wrote: ↑Sat Mar 13, 2021 3:35 pmI think I'd put it at 85% Jone is gone.realmacaroni wrote: ↑Sat Mar 13, 2021 2:27 pm Put a % on Jones walking and a % on Williams walking, in ur opinion, interested in what anyone thinks...
50%/50% on Williams. If he does go, I would not be surprised to see GB sign a guy like Caros Hyde for a year so as not to go into the season with what essentially would be an inexperienced backfield. That's also why I put the odds at 50% he stays, just so the team has a little continuity. Could go either way.
If GB lets Jones and Williams go, that's entrusting a lot to Dillon + unknowns with Arod in the backfield
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