Raheem Mostert

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bjd5211
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Re: Raheem Mostert

Postby bjd5211 » Tue Jan 21, 2020 9:41 am

And how about before week 12? Or Breida last year? They're proof that just because Mostert is the one having success now, doesn't mean it's going to continue. Enjoy wasting your time and trade assets on him when he goes back to being JAG in a RB committee next year.

CGW
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Re: Raheem Mostert

Postby CGW » Tue Jan 21, 2020 11:31 am

There is one of these examples each year. Damien Williams, Alex Collins, Jay ajayi to name a few this past year. Be cautious with recency bias.

Obviously he could become the next breakout 27yo, but it's just not likely. Very very few RB increase their value after their rookie contract.
12 Team | Superflex | PPR | 6pt passing TD
25 Roster Spots
QB, RB, RB, WR, WR, WR, TE, FL, SF

QB | Cousins, Darnold, Trubisky
RB | Mixon, Barber, R. Freeman, Singletary, Ballage, D. Thompson, Gaskin
WR | Adams, Evans, Golladay, Cooper, Washington, D. Johnson, Conley, Amendola, A. Miller
TE | Herndon, Andrews, Everett, Sternberger
2020 | 1.03, 5.09
2021 | 1st, 1st, 3rd

10 Team | Superflex | PPR
25 Roster Spots
QB, RB, RB, WR, WR, WR, TE, FL, SF

QB | Rodgers, Murray, Minshew
RB | Chubb, Montgomery, Guice, Singletary, Ballage, Edmonds, Murray, R. Jones, Dobbins, Swift
WR | Golladay, Godwin, Kirk, M. Brown, Arcega-Whiteside, Renfrow, Slayton, Reynolds, D. Johnson, Aiyuk
TE | Henry, Herndon, Andrews, Everett

Mjvb5
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Re: Raheem Mostert

Postby Mjvb5 » Tue Jan 21, 2020 11:41 am

CGW wrote:
Tue Jan 21, 2020 11:31 am
There is one of these examples each year. Damien Williams, Alex Collins, Jay ajayi to name a few this past year. Be cautious with recency bias.

Obviously he could become the next breakout 27yo, but it's just not likely. Very very few RB increase their value after their rookie contract.
I agree with this in theory but it seems like most people aren't valueing him in the same range as those guys(mid first), there's worse ways to burn a mid-late 2nd than taking a shot on a guy like him
12 team ppr 1qb 2rb 2wt 1te 1 flex 2lb 2db 2dl 1dflex
Eli manning,
A. Brown, Dez, TY Hilton,Crabtree, K. Aiken
D. Free, Howard, Ingram, demarco, AP, Powell
Kelce
Cam Jordan,Calais Campbell, Suh, Heyward, Sheard
Ogletree, Davis, Poz,Ragland, Woodyard, Misi, Demario Davis, Casillas
, Cyprien, Chancellor,

CGW
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Re: Raheem Mostert

Postby CGW » Tue Jan 21, 2020 11:47 am

I agree he is worth as much as a dart throw, but just looking at 2019 (a bad class?) draft in my league a 2nd got you 6 of 10 solid prospects:
Hollywood
Deebo
Fant
AJB
Singletary
Hardman

I'd have a hard time taking mostert over any of these 6 players which tells me he probably isn't worth a mid 2nd, especially the way picks are being valued for 2020.
12 Team | Superflex | PPR | 6pt passing TD
25 Roster Spots
QB, RB, RB, WR, WR, WR, TE, FL, SF

QB | Cousins, Darnold, Trubisky
RB | Mixon, Barber, R. Freeman, Singletary, Ballage, D. Thompson, Gaskin
WR | Adams, Evans, Golladay, Cooper, Washington, D. Johnson, Conley, Amendola, A. Miller
TE | Herndon, Andrews, Everett, Sternberger
2020 | 1.03, 5.09
2021 | 1st, 1st, 3rd

10 Team | Superflex | PPR
25 Roster Spots
QB, RB, RB, WR, WR, WR, TE, FL, SF

QB | Rodgers, Murray, Minshew
RB | Chubb, Montgomery, Guice, Singletary, Ballage, Edmonds, Murray, R. Jones, Dobbins, Swift
WR | Golladay, Godwin, Kirk, M. Brown, Arcega-Whiteside, Renfrow, Slayton, Reynolds, D. Johnson, Aiyuk
TE | Henry, Herndon, Andrews, Everett

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flashgordon12
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Re: Raheem Mostert

Postby flashgordon12 » Tue Jan 21, 2020 1:06 pm

CGW wrote:
Tue Jan 21, 2020 11:47 am
I agree he is worth as much as a dart throw, but just looking at 2019 (a bad class?) draft in my league a 2nd got you 6 of 10 solid prospects:
Hollywood
Deebo
Fant
AJB
Singletary
Hardman

I'd have a hard time taking mostert over any of these 6 players which tells me he probably isn't worth a mid 2nd, especially the way picks are being valued for 2020.
Playing devil's advocate, you could have ended up with Butler, D Henderson, Boykin, Isabella, JJAW, Damien Harris, Kelvin Harmon, Bryce Love etc. It goes both ways, but I understand the hesitation. I think his value is probably around a late 2nd/early 3rd, I just think the upside is worth gambling on at those prices
Flash in the Pan: 12 team PPR (1QB, 2RB, 3WR, 1TE, 1 RB/WR/TE, 1DEF) 25 man rosters

QB- Andrew Luck, Josh Allen
RB- MGIII, Mixon, Cohen, Devonta Freeman
WR- AB, Odell Beckham Jr., Josh Gordon, Tyler Boyd, Marqise Lee, Sutton, MVS
TE- Gronk, Higbee
DEF- Denver

tommymct
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Re: Raheem Mostert

Postby tommymct » Tue Jan 21, 2020 1:33 pm

I would absolutely be buying for a late 2nd if I'm a real contender. He's played well enough to deserve a role next year in SF, I'd say his 2020 floor is an RB2/3. We've seen his ceiling is RB1 weeks with a high weekly ceiling due to big play ability. Even if he splits time at the start of the season, we know he's a week / league winner if other backs go down.

Mostert is under contract for 2 more years at low value. 49ers have an out on Coleman's contract now and Breida is a free agent this summer. They seem unlikely to draft a rookie high based on how thoughtful team has been built so far, so unless they bring in Melvin Gordon his competition won't be significantly higher than this year.

If you're contending seems like a cheap option with low risk. In a redbuild it's an obvious sell for whatever you can get situation.
Team 1: 2019 Rebuild | 12-Team SF / TE Premium
QB: Wentz, Baker
RB: Rojo, Damien Harris
WR: Golladay, AJ Brown, Gallup, Preston Williams, Isabella, Parris Campbell, JJAW, Keke
TE: OJ Howard, Irv Smith, Jace S.,

2020 Picks: 1.7, 1.10 3 2nds

Team 2: 12-Team TE Premium PPR SF (2019 Champs)
QB: Lamar, Cousins, Carr
RB: Barkley, J Jacobs, Hyde, Breida
WR: Godwin, Lockett, Hilton, Edelman, Robby A., Miles Boykin, Funchess
TE: Kittle, Ertz, Herndon

Team 3: 12-Team PPR SF (2019 2nd place)
QB: M Ryan, Darnold
RB: Sanders, Carson, Bell, J White, Penny, Boston Scott
WR: Hopkins, Ridley, Kupp, Hilton, Hardman, R Anderson, G Tate, Sims
TE: Kelce, Graham


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