Is now the time to sell Godwin?

[vbbish]

Trying to gauge if his production is sustainable.

Is he the number 1 WR in football or is now the time to sell high on the hype?

[jpusmc0311]

I think he's a legit WR 1 and he's only 23... He's a guy you'd build your WR corps around, imho

[abloom]

I don't think there is a wrong answer right now.

If you want to sell him, sell him. I don't see his value getting that much higher than it is. If you want to keep him to keep his WR1 production, keep it. Its really going to depend on the rest of your roster.

The worst thing that I can see happening to him is if Winston leave TB after the year, and TB doesn't replace him with a competent QB.

[M-Dub]

There’s a lot to unpack from just these two sentences. Haha.

1. Is his production sustainable?
He’s currently on pace for 115/1,765/16. If he hit those numbers exactly, that would amount to the 17th most receptions, 6th most yards and 14th most receiving TDs by a player in NFL history. So a stat line like that is not unprecedented, but it would rank among the best seasons by all-time greats like Rice, Moss, Calvin, etc.

2. Is he the #1 WR in football?
In terms of production, he absolutely is right now. Will he continue to be over the next several years? Who knows? There are several WRs for whom you could make a reasonable argument as THE WR1 (Nuk, Thomas, Adams, JuJu, OBJ) and I don’t think it’s crazy whatsoever to think Godwin has joined that group.

3. Is now the time to sell high on the hype?
Well just to be clear, it’s not hype. It’s actual real-world production. Whether or not now is the time to sell is entirely dependent on your own answers to the above two questions, as well as what you can actually get for him. There are a lot of people who don’t think he’s entered that elite tier yet. Hell, there are even some people who want to wait five years before even declaring him the best WR on the Bucs. I’m of the opinion that no player is untradable, given the right return. But unless someone is giving you #1 overall WR value for him, I’d be inclined to just hold. But if you believe that you can make your team better now and/or in the future by trading him away, then by all means do so.

[Gator Sens]

I think he is a legit WR1 based on age and production. I don't think he will keep up his current pace, but I think he is a top 10 WR.

[vbbish]

There’s a lot to unpack from just these two sentences. Haha.

1. Is his production sustainable?
He’s currently on pace for 115/1,765/16. If he hit those numbers exactly, that would amount to the 17th most receptions, 6th most yards and 14th most receiving TDs by a player in NFL history. So a stat line like that is not unprecedented, but it would rank among the best seasons by all-time greats like Rice, Moss, Calvin, etc.

2. Is he the #1 WR in football?
In terms of production, he absolutely is right now. Will he continue to be over the next several years? Who knows? There are several WRs for whom you could make a reasonable argument as THE WR1 (Nuk, Thomas, Adams, JuJu, OBJ) and I don’t think it’s crazy whatsoever to think Godwin has joined that group.

3. Is now the time to sell high on the hype?
Well just to be clear, it’s not hype. It’s actual real-world production. Whether or not now is the time to sell is entirely dependent on your own answers to the above two questions, as well as what you can actually get for him. There are a lot of people who don’t think he’s entered that elite tier yet. Hell, there are even some people who want to wait five years before even declaring him the best WR on the Bucs. I’m of the opinion that no player is untradable, given the right return. But unless someone is giving you #1 overall WR value for him, I’d be inclined to just hold. But if you believe that you can make your team better now and/or in the future by trading him away, then by all means do so.

Thanks for the great responses guys. Gonna float some offers and see what bites i get

[Goddard]

I don't think you're going to get the overall WR1 value for him if that's what you're asking. If you do, I'd sell. If not, keep him as a WR1 for years to come.

[abloom]

I don't think you're going to get the overall WR1 value for him if that's what you're asking. If you do, I'd sell. If not, keep him as a WR1 for years to come.

I think if you are getting WR 1-2 value you sell sell sell (provided he is not a lynchpin for you contending for your championship, like he is for me in my team #2 in sig). If you are getting WR 3-6 value, it probably depends on the actual deal and anything lower I'd probably hold.

Overall thoughts:
This is Godwin's third year. Evans is going to be working the outside for the forseeable future. Bruce Arians likes to use the slot receiver. Slot receivers tend to get the CB2/3. Even if Winston does not stay next year, the TB offense is too potent through the air to NOT have a QB that can throw the ball around.

Could Godwin lose some value? yes, of course he can. But I think he will finish off this season as a top 10 WR (barring injury) and that for at least the next couple years he'll have great potential.

[diamonddave]

i think godwin's the real deal, a surefire wr1 for several years. i'd go and try to grab him if you want him.