Rodgers SF trade. Did I screw up?

This is the place for team advice - should I make this trade, should I draft that player, etc.
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FantasyFoosball
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Re: Rodgers SF trade. Did I screw up?

Postby FantasyFoosball » Sat Sep 28, 2019 1:21 pm

Wolfepack28 wrote:
Sat Sep 28, 2019 10:33 am

It sounds like you view Rodgers around 3 first round picks then, correct? Where does that put Barkley and Mahomes? 6 first round picks?

I think we agree that Metcalf is a mid first value considering he’s done nothing to drop his value from where he was drafted.

I think we’re discounting Herndon altogether here in a TE premium league at 2 points per reception. With last year’s performance as a rookie, his value could rise to a late 1st value especially in this format with a couple good weeks once he hits the field.

Looking back, did I sell low? Absolutely. But I don’t see anyone paying 3 1st’s for Rodgers considering his age and the mixed feelings on him across the board. I mean, there’s arguments that Metcalf is worth more than a 1st at this point.

The players outside of Metcalf may not be sexy but I believe that I could recoup the same value selling each of these players individually in terms of picks as one would get for Rodgers. Or at least somewhat close.

I appreciate the feedback. I definitely should have shopped him a little more but it’ll be fun to revisit here in 6 weeks and see what it looks like
So you are making a classic mistake here. I'm guessing you are new to SF? First league? QB's have a much higher value. I'd take Mahomes over Barkley easily in a SF league, as most would.

Like I said, good luck, hope it works out.
10 Team Dynasty Salary Cap League with 0.5 PPR and IDP - Est. 2018
2018 - Champions!
2019: 8-2, 1st Place, 1st in Points
35-40 man rosters - $200 budget
Starting Positions:
1 QB
2 RB
2 WR
1 TE
1 WR/TE
1 K
9 IDP positions
2 DL
2 LB
2 DB
3 DL/LB/DB

Current Roster:
QB - Patrick Mahomes, Tom Brady
RB - Christian McCaffrey, Chris Carson, Sony Michel, Derrius Guice, Rashaad Penny, Damien Harris
WR - DeAndre Hopkins, Michael Thomas, Chris Godwin, Robert Woods, JJ Arcega-Whiteside, Parris Campbell, Anthony Miller
TE - George Kittle, Dallas Goedert, Mike Gesicki, Jack Doyle
K - Mike Badgley, Matt Gay
DL - Joey Bosa, DeForest Buckner, Cameron Heyward
LB - Darius Leonard, Lavonte David, Myles Jack, Fred Warner, Matt Milano, Dre Greenlaw, Nick Kwiatkoski
DB - Shawn Williams, Logan Ryan, Kevin Byard, Ronnie Harrison, Tavon Wilson
IR - Will Dissly, John Johnson III

2020 - 3rd
2021 - 1st, 2nd, 3rd
2022 - 1st, 2nd, 3rd

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murphysxm
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Re: Rodgers SF trade. Did I screw up?

Postby murphysxm » Sat Sep 28, 2019 1:32 pm

Yeah, you got fleeced

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FiremanEd
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Re: Rodgers SF trade. Did I screw up?

Postby FiremanEd » Sun Sep 29, 2019 5:16 am

I don't think it is as far off as some have indicated, but I do agree that at face value this looks to have been selling short. You need each of these 'potential' based players to become starters for you and give you the better overall team. Metcalf has had a solid start and thankfully has Wilson to help drive his performance. Hopefully he becomes a WR2 for you. Herndon needs to be a TE1, which in 2PPC could give a positional advantage. Lastly, elite DE's can be difficult to acquire and score heavily, so you either need to get lucky (while potentially investing solid pick value) or pony up heavily for the already elite options (which most may not want to move, especially for aged veterans).

This is a long-term investment move, but could make you a better overall team sooner than later. Rodgers should have some solid low QB1 seasons left in him and QBs will always be valued highly, but it sounds like the unique scoring of your league could be overlooked in terms of overall player value and team impact. TE and DE both seem like they would be valued higher than some are taking into account...but you really took on all of the risk that they hit that mark. Perhaps you had to take the risk to get the breadth of upside options though. Have to wait and see on this one IMO.

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Re: Rodgers SF trade. Did I screw up?

Postby slaughterrt » Sun Sep 29, 2019 5:23 am

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Re: Rodgers SF trade. Did I screw up?

Postby Samhain34 » Sun Sep 29, 2019 8:20 am

FiremanEd wrote:
Sun Sep 29, 2019 5:16 am
I don't think it is as far off as some have indicated, but I do agree that at face value this looks to have been selling short. You need each of these 'potential' based players to become starters for you and give you the better overall team. Metcalf has had a solid start and thankfully has Wilson to help drive his performance. Hopefully he becomes a WR2 for you. Herndon needs to be a TE1, which in 2PPC could give a positional advantage. Lastly, elite DE's can be difficult to acquire and score heavily, so you either need to get lucky (while potentially investing solid pick value) or pony up heavily for the already elite options (which most may not want to move, especially for aged veterans).

This is a long-term investment move, but could make you a better overall team sooner than later. Rodgers should have some solid low QB1 seasons left in him and QBs will always be valued highly, but it sounds like the unique scoring of your league could be overlooked in terms of overall player value and team impact. TE and DE both seem like they would be valued higher than some are taking into account...but you really took on all of the risk that they hit that mark. Perhaps you had to take the risk to get the breadth of upside options though. Have to wait and see on this one IMO.
I think this is the best take. Yeah, you undersold, but people are acting like this is end of days bad, and it's not. Do you need some luck here? Yes, but it's not like you shipped out Mahomes. Also, this depends quite a bit on your roster. Are you just loaded at QB? If yes, then that improves things for you. If you're left with Cousins and Trubisky, well... it's over. I'd like to see what your roster looks like before condemning you to the gallows for this move.
The Max Fischer Players Orphan rebuild - year three (Superflex)
1-2 QB 1-6 RB 1-6 WR 1-6 TE PPR 12-team 24 on roster 2 IR spots.

QB: C. Wentz, M. Ryan, B. Mayfield, N. Foles
RB: M. Gordon, T. Cohen, M. Walton, P. Barber, D. Thompson, I. Smith
WR: M. Thomas, K. Allen, C. Sutton, D. Slayton, A. Isabella, D. Westbrook, David Moore, A. Wilson, Auden Tate, J, Kumerow, G. Jennings
TE: N Fant, H. Henry, T. Higbee
IR: Preston Williams, C. Coleman
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2020: 1,2
2021: 1,2,3


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