Kittenmittens wrote: ↑
Thu May 16, 2019 2:51 pm
I also prefer Juju by a wide margin.
Their expected production is pretty close, maybe Hopkins is 15 percent better.
I see Juju as having another 9 years of elite fantasy production. I see Hopkins with 3 or 4 more years, and about to lose value steadily as he ages. 15 percent more expected points doesn't make up for the longevity and value retention of Juju in my eyes.
Hopkins is about to go over the age cliff. Now is the time to sell. 2 years ago, Julio Jones, Antonio Brown and AJ Green were 27 years old at the top of the rankings. Now they are 3rd or 4th round picks because they got a few years older.
In 2 years, Juju owners will laugh at a Hopkins offer.
I respect the time you put into this post, but I could not possibly disagree more. If you take away age, there isn’t a single statistic where JuJu outperforms Hopkins.
Hopkins is transcendent. He can succeed with any QB. He has some of the best separation in the league and his hands are magnets. These are skill sets that do not fade with age. Hopkins is a truly special WR. Not to take anything away from JuJu, but he has benefited from an offense that throws way more than the league average and having coverage directed to AB each play, which allowed him to be the big slot. We haven’t seen him as a true WR1 on his team yet. I think he’ll be very good, but I don’t believe we’ll ever see Hopkins numbers out of JuJu.
Team 1: 10-team 15-keeper PPR:
QB: Cousins, Winston, Darnold
RB: Zeke, DJ, Kerryon, Hill, Singletary
WR: Hopkins, Allen, Hilton, M. Williams, Pettis, Washington, A. Brown, Boykin
TE: Kittle, Goedert
2020: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Team 2 (Rebuild): 12-team Superflex 22-man 0.5PPR, 1.0PP1D:
QB: Rodgers, Wilson, Driskel
RB: KJ, Drake, Walton, Sanders
WR: OBJ, JuJu, Chark, Pettis, Tate, Hardman, Isabella, Boykin
TE: OJH, Fant
2020: 2, 2, 2, 3, 4
2021: 1, 2, 2, 2
Team 3: 12-team Superflex 28-man 3WR PPR:
QB: Cousins, Rodgers, Rosen, Grier
RB: Henry, Sanders, Williams, Guice, Penny, Armstead, Walton
WR: KA, AB, OBJ, Golladay, Pettis, Allison, Goodwin, Z. Jones
TE: OJH, Herndon, Gesicki
2020: 3, 3, 4, 5
Team 4 (Rebuild): 12-team Superflex 28-man 3WR PPR:
QB: Watson, Garopollo, Haskins
RB: Mixon, Jacobs, Hines, Hill, J. Williams
WR: Hill, Lockett, AJB, Boykin, Richardson, McLaurin, Cobb, D. Thomas
TE: OJH, Rudolph, Moreau
2020: 1, 1, 1, 3, 4, 4