Is DT worth a 2018 1st Round Rookie Pick?

[iron]

Team 1 below.

For paying League FAAB, I can post Demaryius as a RFA and receive a 1st round pick if someone makes a high enough bid.

They would lose their bid money and their 1st round pick. If no one bids, I pay the cash and keep DT.

If I don't post him, I just lose him and keep FAAB money. I would lose about 1/3 of my stash. Since I went all-in and won this year, I have the least cash of the 16 teams for free agents already.

Even though I don't think he is worth a 1st, this would be the cheapest way to keep him even though he may not get bid on, but it will keep my starters intact for another playoff run in '18.

Thoughts?

[vixen]

i would not pay a first round pick...some may disagree though..

[BradysBunch]

I also would not pay a first for him

[dchurch85]

I wouldn't pay a 1st for him as well

[koalabear]

No, those days are over.

[Goddard]

Talent wise, he's easily worth a first. However, I would only pay it if I were competing and felt confident that Denver will be able to fix their QB problem immediately. If not, his talent will be wasted again and by the time they get a QB, he'll be close to done.

[slaughterrt]

Are you able to place a 2nd round tender on him? If so, I might consider. Then if no one bids, do you keep him for less than you would have for the first round tender?

[cdm49er]

I'm hoping they land Cousins and he has a few strong years to end his career...if that was to happen you can maybe move him for a 2019 late 1st

[skip]

16 team league...without question. He's worth a minimum of a late 1st in 12 team leagues.

[RB6]

I agree he's probably worth a 1st in a 16 team, just not a price I'm personally willing to pay.

[skip]

I agree he's probably worth a 1st in a 16 team, just not a price I'm personally willing to pay.

I would be. Guaranteed there are people paying that kind of price for guys like Funchess, Kupp, etc. because they are caught up in the glamour of youth. Reality is that DT for the next few years will still be producing better numbers than they will. How many more years is Devante Parker going to keep costing a 1st round pick until owners finally give up? Plenty of names we could talk about with "upside"...It wouldn't surprise me if Moncrief leaves the Colts and his situation looks promising that there will be owners willing to gamble with a 1st on him as well despite 4 years of evidence. How many people here were giving up middle 1st round picks this past season for Marshawn Lynch? How can DT possibly be worth less?

DT is the "bird in the hand" who should still be viewed as a perennial 1,000+ yard receiver despite falling short of that number this year for the first time in 6 years. That's even with the current QB mess. He's someone I'm going to pursue again this offseason as his production will surely outpace his value to many (if they think he's not worth a 1st).

[iron]

Are you able to place a 2nd round tender on him? If so, I might consider. Then if no one bids, do you keep him for less than you would have for the first round tender?

Not in this league. In my other league, yes, a 2nd Round tender is an option (and may do a post for that league at a later date).

If no one bids when I use the first round tender, I have to pay the $100 FAAB, but can keep him for 1-5 years. If I do not put the tender on him, I can bid as normal and maybe reacquire him for less than $100...

[iron]

Based on the responses, my intuition was right that it is a borderline call. I have a little time to decide. I agree that if Denver gets a decent QB, his value rises, but his baseline is around 1000 yd/6+ td. Thanks all.

[whodunnit]

I'd totally do it. I don't think you're going to find better talent on waivers, so I'd be fine with spending the $100 for DT if I had to.

[vixen]

i would probably make him a RFA, but i don't know how valuable FAAB money is in this situation...