Week 3 Survivor Discussion

General discussion and team advice concerning Redraft & Keeper leagues.
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dlf_kenm
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Re: Week 3 Survivor Discussion

Postby dlf_kenm » Sun Sep 23, 2018 9:37 pm

This one wiped out 90% of my office pool, including myself. Wow.

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Dookmarriot
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Re: Week 3 Survivor Discussion

Postby Dookmarriot » Mon Sep 24, 2018 3:55 am

GrillMeister wrote: Fri Sep 21, 2018 6:07 pm I’m nervous about Vikings. They are clearly looking ahead to the Rams on Thursday, evidenced by letting cook and griffin sit out this game. If this was a divisional game, I doubt they keep those guys out. Vikings overlooking the bills and worried this could be a trap game. I don’t think bills will win but wouldnt be stunned either if they did.
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Picked the Bears as I thought they would coast and I don't like their later matchups. Had to sweat it, though.

Improbably I've already won one survivor pool, and one has been whittled down from 500 to 11 in just three weeks. Crazy.
"I like reading the predictions of the morons on here and cashing in by doing the opposite. Especially Dookmariot." - Lotto4Life

"Because of (the Raiders), there's the no-clothesline rule, the no-hitting-out-of-bounds rule, the no-fumbling-forward-in-the-last-two-minutes rule, the no-throwing-helmets rule and the no-Stickum rule. So you see, we're not all bad." - Ted "The Mad Stork" Hendricks

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Fantasyfanatic11
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Re: Week 3 Survivor Discussion

Postby Fantasyfanatic11 » Mon Sep 24, 2018 6:21 am

WOW! This week destroyed survivor pools including myself.

1093 entries in one of my pools is now down to 101 :wtf:

Safe to say the $80,000 prize will probably be won by a single person this year.
16 team PPR
QB: Herbert Purdy Garoppolo Winston
RB: Chubb Bijan Kamara White Singletary Gainwell CEH Penny
WR: Cooper Moore Dotson Beckham Mooney Mingo Renfrow
TE: LaPorta Kittle Waller

16 Team PPR
QB: Herbert
RB: A.Jones Elliott Spears Gainwell Fournette
WR: Kupp Olave M.Williams Flowers OBJ Dotson Johnston Palmer Claypool
TE: LaPorta Schultz Njoku

Lotto4Life
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Re: Week 3 Survivor Discussion

Postby Lotto4Life » Mon Sep 24, 2018 10:28 am

Bookmaker William Hill took an $18,000 money-line bet on the Minnesota Vikings to beat the Buffalo Bills straight-up at -1,800 odds Sunday morning. The bet would have netted $1,000. The Bills, who were 17-point underdogs, won 27-6, the largest NFL upset in the last 23 seasons.

Shortly before kickoff, a bettor at the SuperBook placed a $9,000 money-line bet on the Vikings at -2,000 odds. The bet would have netted $450.

"That was our biggest win of the morning," MGM director of trading Jeff Stoneback said of the Bills' upset. "A ton of parlays on the Vikings, and a lot of straight bets too. That was by far our biggest game of the day."

The South Point sportsbook took two $1,000 money-line bets on the Buffalo Bills at +1,200 and +1,100. The bets netted $12,000 and $11,000 respectively.

There were 255 money-line bets placed on the Bills to pull the upset at 10-1 odds at William Hill books in Nevada and New Jersey, the largest a $1,000 wager that earned a $10,000 profit.

DraftKings sportsbook in New Jersey kept the Bills as an underdog to win the game, even leading 17-0 at the end of the first quarter. The book didn't make Buffalo the in-game favorite until it went up 24-0 in the second quarter.

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Re: Week 3 Survivor Discussion

Postby jman3134 » Mon Sep 24, 2018 11:48 am

Lotto4Life wrote: Mon Sep 24, 2018 10:28 am Bookmaker William Hill took an $18,000 money-line bet on the Minnesota Vikings to beat the Buffalo Bills straight-up at -1,800 odds Sunday morning. The bet would have netted $1,000. The Bills, who were 17-point underdogs, won 27-6, the largest NFL upset in the last 23 seasons.

Shortly before kickoff, a bettor at the SuperBook placed a $9,000 money-line bet on the Vikings at -2,000 odds. The bet would have netted $450.

"That was our biggest win of the morning," MGM director of trading Jeff Stoneback said of the Bills' upset. "A ton of parlays on the Vikings, and a lot of straight bets too. That was by far our biggest game of the day."

The South Point sportsbook took two $1,000 money-line bets on the Buffalo Bills at +1,200 and +1,100. The bets netted $12,000 and $11,000 respectively.

There were 255 money-line bets placed on the Bills to pull the upset at 10-1 odds at William Hill books in Nevada and New Jersey, the largest a $1,000 wager that earned a $10,000 profit.

DraftKings sportsbook in New Jersey kept the Bills as an underdog to win the game, even leading 17-0 at the end of the first quarter. The book didn't make Buffalo the in-game favorite until it went up 24-0 in the second quarter.
I find it fascinating that it took that long for the line to change. Amazing how we can rationalize things to ourselves.
12 team, 35 man rosters, 1/2 PPR, 10 round rookie/FA draft
Qb: Geno Smith, Matthew Stafford, Trey Lance
Rb: Jonathan Taylor, Joe Mixon, Austin Ekeler, Saquon Barkley, Cam Akers, Isiah Pacheco, Jeff Wilson, Chase Edmonds, Pierre Strong, Jordan Mason, Jaleel McLaughlin
Wr: DeAndre Hopkins, Mike Evans, Diontae Johnson, Darnell Mooney, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Jakobi Meyers, Laviska Shenault, Donovan Peoples-Jones, Denzel Mims, Richie James, Michael Wilson, Demario Douglas, Trent Sherfield
Te: George Kittle, Darren Waller, Taysom Hill, Isaiah Likely
K:
D: Dallas D

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Friction
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Re: Week 3 Survivor Discussion

Postby Friction » Mon Sep 24, 2018 11:59 am

I actually went at halftime to bet a Vikings money line bet and neither of my main online books had one up, hindsight I am glad. I was at the game, so my resources were limited.
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12 Team 1PPR 1QB/1-3RB/1-3 WR/1TE/1DST
QB:Brady
RB: Barkley, Chubb, Jacobs, Henry, Mack, Etienne
WR: Nuk, Thielen, Cooks, Diontae, Pittman, Gallup
TE: Henry

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ArrylT
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Re: Week 3 Survivor Discussion

Postby ArrylT » Mon Sep 24, 2018 11:59 am

I am a little surprised so many people would take the Jaguars (the Vikings I could understand) just because of the Titans / Jaguars rivalry - in recent history the Jaguars have only won 1 of the last 6 (including this past week).

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jaguars%E ... ns_rivalry
Please speak to clarion contrarion before considering the use of vetos..

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Daltanian
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Re: Week 3 Survivor Discussion

Postby Daltanian » Mon Sep 24, 2018 2:01 pm

ArrylT wrote: Mon Sep 24, 2018 11:59 am I am a little surprised so many people would take the Jaguars (the Vikings I could understand) just because of the Titans / Jaguars rivalry - in recent history the Jaguars have only won 1 of the last 6 (including this past week).

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jaguars%E ... ns_rivalry
As someone who did take the Jags over the Vikings, I thought it was the smart play considering most would take the Vikings.

My reasoning: the Jags looked great against the Pats last week, they were set to square off against Blaine Gabbert and an anemic Titans offense, and they were at home. Seemed like a great pick at the time... Then Gabbert was concussed and the Jags didn't appear to be able to do anything on offense. It definitely seemed like the right pick in watching how quickly the Vikings game got out of hand as well. My pool is double elimination, so I still have one life left, but I still think it was a solid pick.

These two upsets are probably one of the biggest reasons why the NFL is so much fun; anything can happen...
16 Team Superflex

QB: R. Wilson, Tannehill
RB: CMC, A. Kamara, A. Ekeler, CEH
WR: D. Adams, M. Thomas, T. Lockett, AJ Green, J. Edelman, L. Fitzgerald
TE: Kittle, J. Cook,


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