Feel lucky with Luck?

General discussion and team advice concerning Redraft & Keeper leagues.
Pew Dogs
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Feel lucky with Luck?

Postby Pew Dogs » Wed Jul 04, 2018 4:45 pm

Simple setup ... 12 team ppr starts 1QB, 1RB, 3WRs, 1RB/WR flex, 1TE ... we keep 1 at each position plus 1 extra RB or WR

Deal on table ...

Give Russell Wilson & Tyreek Hill
Get Andrew Luck & Julio Jones

4 of 5 dynasty trade analyzers say to accept (the other says it's even)

My thinking ... if Luck comes back ok, I win big. If not I deal with drafting a QB as the position is deep. Also, Hill may be a bit of an outlier and Sammy Watkins will threaten to be top dog, not to mention a new QB means it could be simply different at KC.

(Not that it should make a difference but my other keepers are Devonta Freeman, Stefan Diggs, and Travis Kelce. I'll be drafting Saquon Barkley with the 1.01 and also have the 1.06.)

Should I accept?
12 team, dynasty, ppr, 1RB, 3WR, 1RB/WR

QB Wilson, Mahomes
RB Elliott, D.Freeman, S.Michel, J.Samuel
WR Thomas, J.Jones, Green, Hilton, Watkins, Hamilton, Valdez-Scantling, Parker
TE Olsen

TheBelgian
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Re: Feel lucky with Luck?

Postby TheBelgian » Thu Jul 05, 2018 3:15 pm

This is a easy reject, for me. Wilson is arguably the best dynasty QB right now. Andrew Luck is still a big question mark. Even if Luck stays healthy, will he preform at a high level? With the Hill for Julio side, Julio is a stud, but getting older, by WR standards. Hill is coming off a career year and is 5 years younger than Julio. Because of upside the Hill vs Julio side of things is probably a wash in a dynasty. I have Wilson as the best dynasty QB, so Wilson wins over Luck. If I'm you, I'm keeping Hill and Wilson.
Baltimore Ravens
32 Team Contract/Salary Cap w/ IDP -- 1 copy
Salary Cap (70M) -- Cap Space a little over 19M
Start: QB, 2RB, 3WR, TE, FLEX -- 3DL, 3LB, 4DB 2FLEX -- 1K
2019 Roster
QB- Flacco $2.5M, Murray $3M, Brissett $2.5M
RB- Thompson $1.5M, CJ Anderson $4M, Darrell Williams 400K
WR-Coleman $2.5M, Treadwell $2.7M, Austin $1.5M, Switzer $520K, Dieter $400K, Kumerow $400k
TE- Witten $4M, Watson $965K, Carrier $700K
DL- McKinley $500K, Barnett $677K, Dareus $3.2M, Spence $2M, Gregory $750k
LB- O'Daniel $600k, Iyiegbuniwe $230k, Reed $700k, Board $305k, Goode $700k, Jacobs $430k, DeLuca $322k, Tavai 553k
DB-McCray $500k, Cravens $1M, Nelson $1.2M, Moore $1.5M, Peterson $2.5M, Mike Adams $1.9M, Eric Murray $600K, Reed Jr $400K, Tabor $500K, Charvarius Ward $400K, Sendejo $700K
K- Santos $1.5M

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Pew Dogs
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Re: Feel lucky with Luck?

Postby Pew Dogs » Thu Jul 05, 2018 5:09 pm

TheBelgian wrote:
Thu Jul 05, 2018 3:15 pm
This is a easy reject, for me. Wilson is arguably the best dynasty QB right now. Andrew Luck is still a big question mark. Even if Luck stays healthy, will he preform at a high level? With the Hill for Julio side, Julio is a stud, but getting older, by WR standards. Hill is coming off a career year and is 5 years younger than Julio. Because of upside the Hill vs Julio side of things is probably a wash in a dynasty. I have Wilson as the best dynasty QB, so Wilson wins over Luck. If I'm you, I'm keeping Hill and Wilson.
Thank you. I appreciate the thoughts.
12 team, dynasty, ppr, 1RB, 3WR, 1RB/WR

QB Wilson, Mahomes
RB Elliott, D.Freeman, S.Michel, J.Samuel
WR Thomas, J.Jones, Green, Hilton, Watkins, Hamilton, Valdez-Scantling, Parker
TE Olsen


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