Davis Mills thread

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Davis Mills thread

Postby Pullo Vision » Sun Dec 26, 2021 2:21 pm

Curious thoughts on Mills. Not talking team/league specific like superflex. He started poorly as a rookie but his last three games he has 5 TDs and 1 INT with limited weapons.

He was a highly touted prospect coming out of high school and some liked him quite a bit entering the NFL draft. He's the flip side of the Watson drama. Will Mills be the starter next year?
League #1- 14 tm ppr, 1Q, 2R, 3W, 1T, 1 R/W/T, 1K
1 DT, 2 DE, 2 LB, 1 CB, 1 S, 1 flex

League #2- 12 team PPR, 1Q, 1R, 2W, 1T, 1 R/W/T, 1 W/R/T, 1 Def

League #3- 12 tm PPR, 1Q, 0R (yes, ZERO RB) 3W, 1T, 2 R/W/T flex, 1 Def

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Re: Davis Mills thread

Postby murphysxm » Sun Dec 26, 2021 2:24 pm

I believe he will get the shot next year
I am just a guy sharing some thoughts

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Re: Davis Mills thread

Postby Cameron Giles » Sun Dec 26, 2021 3:38 pm

If I were the Texans, I'd still draft a QB if the opportunity is there, but Mills should absolutely still get a shot otherwise.

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Re: Davis Mills thread

Postby Ice » Sun Dec 26, 2021 3:41 pm

He looks legit.

I liked him coming put but figured he may take a year or two. He is developing nicely.
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Re: Davis Mills thread

Postby Dynasty DeLorean » Sun Dec 26, 2021 7:16 pm

What I like about Mills is that he was drafted to be given a chance this year to be the guy. It’s not like the other guys who were drafted specifically to back up cousins and to back up Brady. Mills has been up and down but so have all the other rookies. He has prototypical size so the chances that he gets Minscrewed is less. He had interesting size and tools in college, he needed work but a lot of room for improvement. If he can continue to improve he could be good. Right now he’s no worse than prime Darnold, Daniel Jones or teddy bridgewater, but still has room to grow unlike those other turds I just listed.

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Re: Davis Mills thread

Postby abloom » Sun Dec 26, 2021 7:22 pm

i view him as minshew 2.0 with a little more draft capital.
Team #1: 2nd place
12 team, 1 ppr (1.5 te), 1Q,2R,2W,1T,2F,1D,1K

Q: Kyler, AR
R: JT, CMC, Barkley, chandler
W: Evans, Chase, Mooney, Collins, Dell, Pickens
T: Kelce, Goedert
D: nyj
K: Sanders

Team #2: back to back champion
12 team, 1ppr (1.5 te), 1Q,2R,2W,1T,1SF,1F,1D,1K

Q: R Wilson, Murray, Watson
R: Swift, Walker, gus bus
W: Puka, Metcalf, Dell, Cooper, DJM, K Allen
T: Kelce, Pitts
K: Tucker
D: CLE

Team #3: back to back champion
14 team, SF, 1PPR (2PPR for TE), 1Q,2R,3W,1T,1SF,2F

Q: Mahomes, Rodgers, Watson, Heinicke, walker
R: Mostert, walker, a Jones, Wilson, Charb, Z White, McLaughlin, freeman, d Williams, Reynolds,
W: Waddle, A St Brown, K Allen, Cooper, Nuk, Juju
T: Kelce, Schultz, Thomas, Ferguson

Team #4 3rd
https://www49.myfantasyleague.com/2024/ ... =0004&O=01

Team #5 4th
https://www45.myfantasyleague.com/2024/ ... =07&F=0009

Team #6 orphan
https://www46.myfantasyleague.com/2024/ ... =0013&O=07

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Re: Davis Mills thread

Postby FantasyFreak » Sun Dec 26, 2021 7:31 pm

abloom wrote: Sun Dec 26, 2021 7:22 pm i view him as minshew 2.0 with a little more draft capital.
He's destined for back up duties, so make a profit. Not a 1 for 1 necessarily, but a package upgrade is the route I would take.
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Re: Davis Mills thread

Postby FantasyFreak » Sun Dec 26, 2021 7:32 pm

Ice wrote: Sun Dec 26, 2021 3:41 pm He looks legit.

I liked him coming put but figured he may take a year or two. He is developing nicely.
Like starter? Bollocks! :lol:
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Re: Davis Mills thread

Postby Needalife » Mon Dec 27, 2021 9:54 am

I have to think HOU likes Mills, who is already showing promise on an NFL field, better than Howell and Willis (maybe or maybe not Pickett). I’d rather build my offensive and defensive lines for another year or two while seeing what I had in Mills. Then, if he fails, you draft a QB into a situation where there is a better foundation.

Personally, I love Mills quick decision making and quick release. He throws a good ball. He only fell in the draft because of college production and injury but it wasn’t because of skill set. He’s intriguing to say the least.

I think he’s solidly worth 1.09-2.02 range in SuperFlex (unless it’s a weaker 8 or 10 team league or whatever).
14 TM / Devy / SuperFlex / TEP
1 Q / 2 RB / 2 WR / 1 TE / 1 SF / 3 F / 1 DT / 2 DE / 3 LB / 2 CB / 2 S / 1 F


QB: Jordan Love, Trevor Lawrence
RB: Zamir White, James Conner, Trey Benson, Jaylen Warren, Will Shipley
WR: Michael Pittman, Puka Nacua, Drake London, Christian Kirk, Josh Palmer
TE: Trey McBride, Jake Ferguson, Noah Gray
PK: Justin Tucker, Jason Myers
DT: Grover Stewart, Devonte Wyatt
DE: Alex Highsmith, Jonathan Cooper, Gregory Rousseau, Matt Judon, Baron Browning
LB: Fred Warner, Dre Greenlaw, Ernest Jones, Alex Anzalone, Jack Campbell
CB: L'Jarius Sneed, Deommodore Lenoir, Taron Johnson
S: Derwin James, Talanoa Hufanga, Kareem Jackson
DEVY: RB Nick Singleton PSU
2024 DEVY DEPLETED PICKS: 1.11, 1.13, 2.03, 2.05, 2.13, 3.01, 3.07, 3.10, 3.12, 4.03, 4.11, 4.15, 5.01, 5.02

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Re: Davis Mills thread

Postby jenkins.math » Mon Dec 27, 2021 10:59 am

Needalife wrote: Mon Dec 27, 2021 9:54 am I have to think HOU likes Mills, who is already showing promise on an NFL field, better than Howell and Willis (maybe or maybe not Pickett). I’d rather build my offensive and defensive lines for another year or two while seeing what I had in Mills. Then, if he fails, you draft a QB into a situation where there is a better foundation.

Personally, I love Mills quick decision making and quick release. He throws a good ball. He only fell in the draft because of college production and injury but it wasn’t because of skill set. He’s intriguing to say the least.

I think he’s solidly worth 1.09-2.02 range in SuperFlex (unless it’s a weaker 8 or 10 team league or whatever).
This is what a smart organization would do with no real elite QB prospect in this year's draft. Houston should trade back at least once and accumulate assets. They will be in the Bryce Young sweepstakes regardless next year, so might as well surround your QB with as much talent as you can.

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Re: Davis Mills thread

Postby Ice » Mon Dec 27, 2021 12:09 pm

Needalife wrote: Mon Dec 27, 2021 9:54 am
Personally, I love Mills quick decision making and quick release.
While I enjoyed your entire post; The quoted sentence is what separates QB's at this highest level. Mills already has 3 300 yard games. He has all the tools to be a long term NFL starter with plenty of upside.

He is way better than many think IMO but he obviously has a long way to go. That said, when he is good he looks very good. The Texans have to be thrilled with his potential.
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Re: Davis Mills thread

Postby FantasyFreak » Mon Dec 27, 2021 1:16 pm

Needalife wrote: Mon Dec 27, 2021 9:54 am

I think he’s solidly worth 1.09-2.02 range in SuperFlex (unless it’s a weaker 8 or 10 team league or whatever).
I think he needs to survive FA and the NFL draft before he's given a price tag in the first round, with only 3rd round draft capital.
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Re: Davis Mills thread

Postby StripesOfKC » Mon Dec 27, 2021 1:20 pm

FantasyFreak wrote: Mon Dec 27, 2021 1:16 pm
Needalife wrote: Mon Dec 27, 2021 9:54 am

I think he’s solidly worth 1.09-2.02 range in SuperFlex (unless it’s a weaker 8 or 10 team league or whatever).
I think he needs to survive FA and the NFL draft before he's given a price tag in the first round, with only 3rd round draft capital.
Which FA QB is going to the Texans? And they used their first pick in 2021 on him

This isn't like most mid round QBs picked to be backups. He was selected to be given a chance IMO

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Re: Davis Mills thread

Postby FantasyFreak » Mon Dec 27, 2021 1:28 pm

StripesOfKC wrote: Mon Dec 27, 2021 1:20 pm
FantasyFreak wrote: Mon Dec 27, 2021 1:16 pm
Needalife wrote: Mon Dec 27, 2021 9:54 am

I think he’s solidly worth 1.09-2.02 range in SuperFlex (unless it’s a weaker 8 or 10 team league or whatever).
I think he needs to survive FA and the NFL draft before he's given a price tag in the first round, with only 3rd round draft capital.
Which FA QB is going to the Texans? And they used their first pick in 2021 on him

This isn't like most mid round QBs picked to be backups. He was selected to be given a chance IMO
I'm just saying he needs to survive it through the spring. They are going to deal Watson and may get a QB back i the deal during that period. I understand it was their first pick, but if there is a guy in this class they love, or if there is a guy they like on a team they deal Watson to, it will crush his value. We just don't know what the Texans front office will do yet, and I don't think he should be valued as a first round pick until we know he's topping the depth chart when they put the pads on. Personally I wouldn't pay it even if that happens, but you can at least justify that type of price tag at that point.
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Re: Davis Mills thread

Postby StripesOfKC » Mon Dec 27, 2021 2:28 pm

FantasyFreak wrote: Mon Dec 27, 2021 1:28 pm
StripesOfKC wrote: Mon Dec 27, 2021 1:20 pm
FantasyFreak wrote: Mon Dec 27, 2021 1:16 pm

I think he needs to survive FA and the NFL draft before he's given a price tag in the first round, with only 3rd round draft capital.
Which FA QB is going to the Texans? And they used their first pick in 2021 on him

This isn't like most mid round QBs picked to be backups. He was selected to be given a chance IMO
I'm just saying he needs to survive it through the spring. They are going to deal Watson and may get a QB back i the deal during that period. I understand it was their first pick, but if there is a guy in this class they love, or if there is a guy they like on a team they deal Watson to, it will crush his value. We just don't know what the Texans front office will do yet, and I don't think he should be valued as a first round pick until we know he's topping the depth chart when they put the pads on. Personally I wouldn't pay it even if that happens, but you can at least justify that type of price tag at that point.
I'm not necessarily paying a 1st for him either

But I'm not selling for a 2nd either

He gives me some Matt Schaub vibes (which isn't a bad thing for where they got him)


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