Rookie WR Production 2021

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Dynasty DeLorean
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Re: Rookie WR Production 2021

Postby Dynasty DeLorean » Tue Dec 07, 2021 7:55 am

Update For Week 13

67+ Rookie Reception Yards per Game
90% Stud
90% Good or better
Ja'Marr Chase [79] [Pff Grade:75]


57-66 Rookie Reception Yards per Game
50% Stud
57-69% Good or better
Jaylen Waddle [65] [Pff Grade:78]


47-56 Rookie Reception Yards per Game
38% Stud
57-69% Good or better
DeVonta Smith [53] [Pff Grade:74]
Elijah Moore [48] [Pff Grade:73]


--------------------

Less than 47
2-10% Stud
4-24% Good or better
Kadarius Toney [43] [Pff Grade:73]
Rashod Bateman [43] [Pff Grade:68]
Amon-Ra St. Brown [36] [Pff Grade:68]
Rondale Moore [35] [Pff Grade:72]
Nico Collins [25] [Pff Grade:61]
Dez Fitzpatrick [16] [Pff Grade:65]
Josh Palmer [14] [Pff Grade:60]
Terrace MArshall Jr. [12] [Pff Grade:55]
Anthony Schwartz [11] [Pff Grade:59]
Antoine Wesley [11]
Trinity Benson [10]
+15 others...


---------------------------------------------------
*Stud = 3+ seasons of 1k+ receiving yards
*Good = 3+ seasons 750+ receiving yards
*Based on 1995-2015 sample
*Minimum of 9 games played
*PFF Grade = PFF Receiving Grade
--------------------------------------------------



Some interesting things going on this week. Chase coming back to earth. The Good Moore going up up up. Bateman not really a lock (seemed to almost get benched for Watkins this past game) and St. Brown could be a riser but he'd need some pretty big games rest of season and it's hard to trust the Lions doing anything that makes sense.

Also, Waddle #7 all time on the rookie receptions list already and at this point it'd be surprising if he didn't surpass Boldin @ #1 with 101 rookie receptions. With Waddle's low YPR and his speed, he actually profiles closely to Eddie Royal (who was also a speedster) who mustered up 91 rookie receptions with similar YPG and YPR. Waddle higher draft capital however.
Last edited by Dynasty DeLorean on Tue Dec 07, 2021 10:01 am, edited 1 time in total.

flamingos
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Re: Rookie WR Production 2021

Postby flamingos » Tue Dec 07, 2021 8:34 am

Elijah is moving on up!
Orlando Flamingos (5-9)
12 Team, .5 PPR, 23 roster spots
QB/RB/RB/WR/WR/TE/Flex/Flex/Flex
QBs - ARich, Bryce, Levis
RBs - Bijan, Ford, McLaughlin, Tucker, J. Mason, E. Gray, E. Wilson
WRs - Deebo, Tee, JSN, Shaheed, Pop Douglas, Elijah Moore, Treylon, M. Wilson, Mooney, Wicks, Bateman
TEs - Pitts, Woods

2019 Champions

Draft Picks
2024 - 1.02, 1.08, 1.09, 2.11
2025 - 1st, 1st, 1st, 2nd
2026 - 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th

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Re: Rookie WR Production 2021

Postby yinzername » Tue Dec 07, 2021 11:47 am

flamingos wrote: Tue Dec 07, 2021 8:34 am Elijah is moving on up!
i got what i came for
SF - PPR - 12t - start10
Notable Assets in Rebuild
QB: Mahomes - Levis - Rudolph
RB: K Mitchell - J McLaughlin - C Rodriguez - Z Evans
WR: AJB - M Pittman- R Doubs - E Moore - Shaheed - C Tillman- A Iosivas
TE: MAndrews - Kraft
'24: 1.1, 1.7, 2.1, 2.6, 2.10, 3.1, 3.10
‘25: 1 1st, 2 2nds, 2 3rds

2nd year DFF
SF - PPR - 12t - start10
QB: TLaw - Purdy - Goff
RB: Chubb - D Montgomery - D Singletary - A Mattison - K Miller - J Hill
WR: CeeDee - Aiyuk - Rice - Godwin - J Reed - E Moore
TE: Kittle - Kincaid - Chig
picks: 1.09, 2.11

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Re: Rookie WR Production 2021

Postby Ice » Tue Dec 07, 2021 12:38 pm

Eddie Royal! A Blast from the past.....What a rookie year he had!
The Clock is Running and there are no Timeouts

NeverEndingRebuild
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Re: Rookie WR Production 2021

Postby NeverEndingRebuild » Mon Dec 13, 2021 3:56 pm

Rashod Bateman with the breakout game. This week's update will make me very happy.

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Re: Rookie WR Production 2021

Postby Dynasty DeLorean » Mon Dec 13, 2021 4:51 pm

Crunched some numbers and Amon Ra St. Brown will have to average 80+ YPG the rest of the way in order to reach 47 ypg. Not sure how likely that is.

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Re: Rookie WR Production 2021

Postby Dynasty DeLorean » Tue Dec 14, 2021 6:44 am

Update For Week 14

67+ Rookie Reception Yards per Game
90% Stud
90% Good or better
Ja'Marr Chase [79] [Pff Grade:76]


57-66 Rookie Reception Yards per Game
50% Stud
57-69% Good or better
Jaylen Waddle [65] [Pff Grade:78]


47-56 Rookie Reception Yards per Game
38% Stud
57-69% Good or better
DeVonta Smith [53] [Pff Grade:74]
Rashod Bateman [50] [Pff Grade: 69]
Elijah Moore [48] [Pff Grade:73]


--------------------

Less than 47
2-10% Stud
4-24% Good or better
Kadarius Toney [43] [Pff Grade:73]
Amon-Ra St. Brown [39] [Pff Grade:69]
Rondale Moore [32] [Pff Grade:72]
Nico Collins [29] [Pff Grade:62]
Josh Palmer [18] [Pff Grade:65]
Anthony Schwartz [11] [Pff Grade:59]
Terrace Marshall Jr. [11] [Pff Grade:54]
Antoine Wesley [10]
Trinity Benson [10]
+15 others...


---------------------------------------------------
*Stud = 3+ seasons of 1k+ receiving yards
*Good = 3+ seasons 750+ receiving yards
*Based on 1995-2015 sample
*Minimum of 9 games played
*PFF Grade = PFF Receiving Grade
--------------------------------------------------

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Re: Rookie WR Production 2021

Postby Dynasty DeLorean » Wed Dec 22, 2021 5:23 pm

Update For Week 15

67+ Rookie Reception Yards per Game
90% Stud
90% Good or better
Ja'Marr Chase [74] [PFF GRADE: 76]


57-66 Rookie Reception Yards per Game
50% Stud
57-69% Good or better
Jaylen Waddle [65] [PFF GRADE: 78]


47-56 Rookie Reception Yards per Game
38% Stud
57-69% Good or better
DeVonta Smith [52] [PFF GRADE: 73]
Elijah Moore [48] [PFF GRADE: 73]


--------------------

Less than 47
2-10% Stud
4-24% Good or better
Rashod Bateman [45] [PFF GRADE: 65] :doh:
Kadarius Toney [43] [PFF GRADE: 73] :think:
Amon-Ra St. Brown [42] [PFF GRADE: 71] 8-)
Rondale Moore [31] [PFF GRADE: 70] :confused:
Nico Collins [28] [PFF GRADE: 60]
Josh Palmer [17] [PFF GRADE: 64]
Jauan Jennings [11]
Antoine Wesley [11]
Anthony Schwartz [10] [PFF GRADE: 58]
Terrace Marshall Jr. [10] [PFF GRADE: 54] :sick:
Ben Skowronek [10] :eh:
+ 13 others...


---------------------------------------------------
*Stud = 3+ seasons of 1k+ receiving yards
*Good = 3+ seasons 750+ receiving yards
*Based on 1995-2015 sample
*Minimum of 9 games played
*PFF Grade = PFF Receiving Grade
--------------------------------------------------

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ThunderTung
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Re: Rookie WR Production 2021

Postby ThunderTung » Fri Dec 24, 2021 2:25 am

Kind of nuts how Chase is still that high even with the last couple of weeks being duds. Really puts into perspective how great the first half of the season was for him
12 man IDP 0.5 ppr

QB(1): Geno Smith
RB(2): ETN/Walker III
WR(2): Chase/Lamb
TE(1): Goedert
FLEX(2): Stevenson/Garrett Wilson
K: Mcpherson
DL(2): T. Walker/Vea
LB(2): D. Long/TJ Edwards
DB(2) Dugger/Moehrig
FLEX: Kenneth Murray
IR: J. Hicks/Milano/Marcus Jones
Bench:
QB: Mac Jones/Bryce Young
RB: Zeke/D. Harris
WR: N. Brown/Demario Douglas/Bobby Trees/Parker/Tyler Scott
TE: Bellinger/Schultz
DL: Barrett/J. Davis/Yannick/
LB: Milano/Edwards/K. Murray/J. Smith
DB: Mathieu/Jonothan Owens

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Re: Rookie WR Production 2021

Postby Cameron Giles » Fri Dec 24, 2021 6:57 am

ThunderTung wrote: Fri Dec 24, 2021 2:25 am Kind of nuts how Chase is still that high even with the last couple of weeks being duds. Really puts into perspective how great the first half of the season was for him
First 7 games: 107.7 YPG
Next 7 games: 40.5 YPG

Defenses have probably adjusted pretty heavy since that 200 yard game.

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Re: Rookie WR Production 2021

Postby Jigga94 » Fri Dec 24, 2021 7:07 am

Cameron Giles wrote: Fri Dec 24, 2021 6:57 am
ThunderTung wrote: Fri Dec 24, 2021 2:25 am Kind of nuts how Chase is still that high even with the last couple of weeks being duds. Really puts into perspective how great the first half of the season was for him
First 7 games: 107.7 YPG
Next 7 games: 40.5 YPG

Defenses have probably adjusted pretty heavy since that 200 yard game.
The depleted Ravens Secondary is all he needs to get back on track

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ThunderTung
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Re: Rookie WR Production 2021

Postby ThunderTung » Fri Dec 24, 2021 11:34 am

Cameron Giles wrote: Fri Dec 24, 2021 6:57 am
ThunderTung wrote: Fri Dec 24, 2021 2:25 am Kind of nuts how Chase is still that high even with the last couple of weeks being duds. Really puts into perspective how great the first half of the season was for him
First 7 games: 107.7 YPG
Next 7 games: 40.5 YPG

Defenses have probably adjusted pretty heavy since that 200 yard game.
ya I figured as much. Really interested to see how he responds this offseason. Year 2 will be crucial for him
12 man IDP 0.5 ppr

QB(1): Geno Smith
RB(2): ETN/Walker III
WR(2): Chase/Lamb
TE(1): Goedert
FLEX(2): Stevenson/Garrett Wilson
K: Mcpherson
DL(2): T. Walker/Vea
LB(2): D. Long/TJ Edwards
DB(2) Dugger/Moehrig
FLEX: Kenneth Murray
IR: J. Hicks/Milano/Marcus Jones
Bench:
QB: Mac Jones/Bryce Young
RB: Zeke/D. Harris
WR: N. Brown/Demario Douglas/Bobby Trees/Parker/Tyler Scott
TE: Bellinger/Schultz
DL: Barrett/J. Davis/Yannick/
LB: Milano/Edwards/K. Murray/J. Smith
DB: Mathieu/Jonothan Owens

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Re: Rookie WR Production 2021

Postby Dynasty DeLorean » Tue Dec 28, 2021 5:59 pm

Some interesting notes this week;
1) Waddle moving into the top tier. Trade Chase for Waddle+??
2) With their YPG 47+ and PFF rating of 75+, Chase, Waddle, and Smith have very strong profiles
3) Amon-Ra St. Brown could get to the 47+ group with another strong outing. Don't sell low.


Update For Week 15

67+ Rookie Reception Yards per Game
90% Stud
90% Good or better
Ja'Marr Chase [77] [PFF GRADE: 79]
Jaylen Waddle [67] [PFF GRADE: 81] :shock:


57-66 Rookie Reception Yards per Game
50% Stud
57-69% Good or better
:eh: :doh:


47-56 Rookie Reception Yards per Game
38% Stud
57-69% Good or better
DeVonta Smith [54] [PFF GRADE: 75] :thumbup:
Elijah Moore [48] [PFF GRADE: 73]


--------------------

Less than 47
2-10% Stud
4-24% Good or better
Amon-Ra St. Brown [46] [PFF GRADE: 73] 8-)
Rashod Bateman [43] [PFF GRADE: 65]
Kadarius Toney [42] [PFF GRADE: 74]
Rondale Moore [31] [PFF GRADE: 70]
Nico Collins [28] [PFF GRADE: 62]
Josh Palmer [19] [PFF GRADE: 65]
+16 others...


---------------------------------------------------
*Stud = 3+ seasons of 1k+ receiving yards
*Good = 3+ seasons 750+ receiving yards
*Based on 1995-2015 sample
*Minimum of 9 games played
*PFF Grade = PFF Receiving Grade
--------------------------------------------------

brward
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Re: Rookie WR Production 2021

Postby brward » Wed Dec 29, 2021 9:39 am

I was pretty wrong about the Bama guys. Both look like great picks. I can't decide what to do with Amon-Ra...He's looked great the past few weeks but Detroit is missing Hock and Swift. He's taking advantage of the opportunity but is he good enough to keep demanding this target share with those guys back + whoever they add in the draft/FA.

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Re: Rookie WR Production 2021

Postby Jigga94 » Wed Dec 29, 2021 10:06 am

brward wrote: Wed Dec 29, 2021 9:39 am I was pretty wrong about the Bama guys. Both look like great picks. I can't decide what to do with Amon-Ra...He's looked great the past few weeks but Detroit is missing Hock and Swift. He's taking advantage of the opportunity but is he good enough to keep demanding this target share with those guys back + whoever they add in the draft/FA.
For ARSB, I don't see how he isnt involved in that team moving forward. Even if it is just as their WR2 who catches underneath passes and runs jet sweeps, etc. That may not be ideal for fantasy, but I think he's carved out a role. However, if Swift, Hock and new WR1 are all healthy, there's not much left for him. If you could get an early 2nd now, I'd say that's probably good value, but is the rookie you are getting there much better than Brown? Doubt anyone is giving a 1 so he may just be a hold


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