I should probably have rephrased that category, the opportunity category towards the top (directly under the players name) I think you’re referring to just means did they start a lot of games or not. The opportunity score at the bottom indicates overall opportunity, with weighting all the factors listed above.gpaok wrote: ↑Wed Jan 19, 2022 8:15 pmWow you are the man!!!Dynasty DeLorean wrote: ↑Wed Jan 19, 2022 6:58 am I may experiment with reducing or cutting the draft capital points and see what that does as it’s not technically on the field impact. I originally included because obviously higher draft capital does afford more advantages for players to get on the field
Does this mean that Nico Collins and Moore might have less chances of being studs vs Toney or Bateman since their opportunity was medium vs low?
I think it stands to reason that if player A produced the same as player B, but player A’s opportunity score was lower than player B’s, then player A would in theory be more likely to break out as they did more with less. But I have not actually tested that idea yet.
In general, the higher ypg receivers had higher opportunity scores, but we also know higher ypg means greater chance of future success. So a high opportunity score is not necessarily a bad thing. However, a high opportunity score with limited production does seem to be a negative, as the highest score of a stud from the lower ypg tiers (the 46 and under tiers) was only 11. In other words, studs will produce 47+ ypg as a rookie unless their opportunity is limited (which we can see via their opportunity score).