I'm quite a fan of this.FiremanEd wrote: ↑Tue Jan 19, 2021 7:32 pm 12 Team SF
Gave: DJ Moore, 3.12, 2021 4th x3
Got: Reagor, Mims, 2022 1st (Top 5)
Stacked at WR, of which I’ll start 2-3 each week, so decided to roll the dice on a high pick and some upside WRs. Acknowledge some won’t like it, but hoping I can mine value in the pick or draft a more premium position with it.
2021 Offseason Completed Trades
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Re: 2021 Offseason Completed Trades
League #1- 14 tm ppr, 1Q, 2R, 3W, 1T, 1 R/W/T, 1K
1 DT, 2 DE, 2 LB, 1 CB, 1 S, 1 flex
League #2- 12 team PPR, 1Q, 1R, 2W, 1T, 1 R/W/T, 1 W/R/T, 1 Def
League #3- 12 tm PPR, 1Q, 0R (yes, ZERO RB) 3W, 1T, 2 R/W/T flex, 1 Def
1 DT, 2 DE, 2 LB, 1 CB, 1 S, 1 flex
League #2- 12 team PPR, 1Q, 1R, 2W, 1T, 1 R/W/T, 1 W/R/T, 1 Def
League #3- 12 tm PPR, 1Q, 0R (yes, ZERO RB) 3W, 1T, 2 R/W/T flex, 1 Def
- killer_of_giants
- Ring of Fame
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- Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2018 8:20 am
Re: 2021 Offseason Completed Trades
20 teams league, 1QB 1RB 3WR 2FLEX, heavy IDP
gave: 1.08, 1.13, 3.11, collin johnson
got: antonio gibson
maybe i overpaid, but my two RBs were hines and ty johnson. still have 1.14, 1.20, 2 2nds 3 3rds.
gave: 1.08, 1.13, 3.11, collin johnson
got: antonio gibson
maybe i overpaid, but my two RBs were hines and ty johnson. still have 1.14, 1.20, 2 2nds 3 3rds.
Re: 2021 Offseason Completed Trades
That's a real nice price for Gibson imo, especially with your RB situation.killer_of_giants wrote: ↑Wed Jan 20, 2021 3:34 am 20 teams league, 1QB 1RB 3WR 2FLEX, heavy IDP
gave: 1.08, 1.13, 3.11, collin johnson
got: antonio gibson
maybe i overpaid, but my two RBs were hines and ty johnson. still have 1.14, 1.20, 2 2nds 3 3rds.
12-team SF, PPR, TE premium, 0.25 PPCarry
1QB 2RB 2WR 1TE 1SF 4Flex
QB: Mahomes, Fields, Love
RB: Bijan, ETN, Pollard, Achane, Herbert
WR: Kupp, Hill, Metcalf, Ridley, Jeudy, D.J. M, Burks, Hollywood, Wan'Dale
TE: Kyle Pitts, Goedert
Re: 2021 Offseason Completed Trades
Superflex.
Gave: Herbert, Pittman
Got: Watson, D. Evans
Now if he only lands in Miami
Gave: Herbert, Pittman
Got: Watson, D. Evans
Now if he only lands in Miami
Re: 2021 Offseason Completed Trades
12 tm standard league (I already own picks 1.1 & 1.4 & 1.8)
Traded: 1.11 + 2.4 (16)
Received: 1.7
My best TE's are Njoku, Kmet & Trautman and I wanted to move into Kyle Pitts range. Owners of picks 1.5 and 1.6 already own top end TE's (Waller & Andrews) and have deficiencies in other areas (WR, RB). Previous owner of 1.7 has garbage at TE so the trade was two fold - knock out my closest competition for TE at that point of the draft and put myself in position to grab Pitts.
Pick 2.4 should be a juicy player, but I think Pitts is worth it. And depending on how the draft board falls, I might be inclined to trade back from 1.8 to recoup some of the lost value on the initial trade up. There are a couple of teams who have contending rosters but walked the tight rope at QB this year - hoping to get someone hungry enough for TLawrence to make a trade up to 1.8.
Traded: 1.11 + 2.4 (16)
Received: 1.7
My best TE's are Njoku, Kmet & Trautman and I wanted to move into Kyle Pitts range. Owners of picks 1.5 and 1.6 already own top end TE's (Waller & Andrews) and have deficiencies in other areas (WR, RB). Previous owner of 1.7 has garbage at TE so the trade was two fold - knock out my closest competition for TE at that point of the draft and put myself in position to grab Pitts.
Pick 2.4 should be a juicy player, but I think Pitts is worth it. And depending on how the draft board falls, I might be inclined to trade back from 1.8 to recoup some of the lost value on the initial trade up. There are a couple of teams who have contending rosters but walked the tight rope at QB this year - hoping to get someone hungry enough for TLawrence to make a trade up to 1.8.
Re: 2021 Offseason Completed Trades
Team 2.
Gave MT
Got D. Henry
Gave MT
Got D. Henry
.5PPR 1Q/3W/2R/1T/1SF/2F
LJax, Burrow, Carr, Huntley, Heinicke, Cunningham
Adams, Kupp, Deebo, M Brown, Kirk, Wiliams, C Samuel, Palmer, E. Moore, Hodgins, Hutchinson
CMC, Barkley, Mostert, Ford, Moss, Dobbins, Dillon, Kelley, Tucker
Andrews, Higbee
PPR 1Q/3W/2R/1T/1SF/2F
Mahomes, Purdy, Dalton, Henicke, Trask, Zappe
Henry, Pacheco, Robinson, Wilson, Ford, Chandler, Deuce
Hill, Kupp, Shaheed, Toney, Lazard, Metchie, Mingo, Slayton, Shenault, Atwell, Hutchinson
Pitts, Waller, Washington
PPR Best Ball Dynasty SF .5TEP
Stroud, Cousins, Willis, Mariota, Cunningham
Walker, J Cook, Miller, Zamir, Rodriguez, Carter, Penny
St. Brown, Aiyuk, DJ Moore, London, Doubs, Metchie, Scott, Claypool
Kincaid, Dulcich, Fant, Turner, Hurst
LJax, Burrow, Carr, Huntley, Heinicke, Cunningham
Adams, Kupp, Deebo, M Brown, Kirk, Wiliams, C Samuel, Palmer, E. Moore, Hodgins, Hutchinson
CMC, Barkley, Mostert, Ford, Moss, Dobbins, Dillon, Kelley, Tucker
Andrews, Higbee
PPR 1Q/3W/2R/1T/1SF/2F
Mahomes, Purdy, Dalton, Henicke, Trask, Zappe
Henry, Pacheco, Robinson, Wilson, Ford, Chandler, Deuce
Hill, Kupp, Shaheed, Toney, Lazard, Metchie, Mingo, Slayton, Shenault, Atwell, Hutchinson
Pitts, Waller, Washington
PPR Best Ball Dynasty SF .5TEP
Stroud, Cousins, Willis, Mariota, Cunningham
Walker, J Cook, Miller, Zamir, Rodriguez, Carter, Penny
St. Brown, Aiyuk, DJ Moore, London, Doubs, Metchie, Scott, Claypool
Kincaid, Dulcich, Fant, Turner, Hurst
Re: 2021 Offseason Completed Trades
Would've tried to swing that for Fant instead of Pitts if you really need a TE. The hit rate on 1st round TEs is atrocious.FastEddie wrote: ↑Thu Jan 21, 2021 11:47 am 12 tm standard league (I already own picks 1.1 & 1.4 & 1.8)
Traded: 1.11 + 2.4 (16)
Received: 1.7
My best TE's are Njoku, Kmet & Trautman and I wanted to move into Kyle Pitts range. Owners of picks 1.5 and 1.6 already own top end TE's (Waller & Andrews) and have deficiencies in other areas (WR, RB). Previous owner of 1.7 has garbage at TE so the trade was two fold - knock out my closest competition for TE at that point of the draft and put myself in position to grab Pitts.
Pick 2.4 should be a juicy player, but I think Pitts is worth it. And depending on how the draft board falls, I might be inclined to trade back from 1.8 to recoup some of the lost value on the initial trade up. There are a couple of teams who have contending rosters but walked the tight rope at QB this year - hoping to get someone hungry enough for TLawrence to make a trade up to 1.8.
Re: 2021 Offseason Completed Trades
The value is fine, but Pitts might not make it that far. I hope you're prepared for that.FastEddie wrote: ↑Thu Jan 21, 2021 11:47 am 12 tm standard league (I already own picks 1.1 & 1.4 & 1.8)
Traded: 1.11 + 2.4 (16)
Received: 1.7
My best TE's are Njoku, Kmet & Trautman and I wanted to move into Kyle Pitts range. Owners of picks 1.5 and 1.6 already own top end TE's (Waller & Andrews) and have deficiencies in other areas (WR, RB). Previous owner of 1.7 has garbage at TE so the trade was two fold - knock out my closest competition for TE at that point of the draft and put myself in position to grab Pitts.
Pick 2.4 should be a juicy player, but I think Pitts is worth it. And depending on how the draft board falls, I might be inclined to trade back from 1.8 to recoup some of the lost value on the initial trade up. There are a couple of teams who have contending rosters but walked the tight rope at QB this year - hoping to get someone hungry enough for TLawrence to make a trade up to 1.8.
12 tm tiered PPR Superflex start 9
QB Allen/Tubisky/Lock
RB Mixon/Harris/Etienne
WR DJ Moore
TE Kelce/Irv
2022 1.06/1.09
2023 3x 1st
12 tm tiered PPR Superflex start 10
QB Mahomes/Watson/Ryan
RB CMC/Zeke/Mixon/Sanders
WR Evans/Godwin/Robinson/Golladay/Thielen/Lockett/Fuller
TE Kittle/Waller/L. Thomas
12 tm tiered PPR Superflex start 10
QB Mahomes/Murray/Brady
RB CMC
WR Adams/Hill/Diggs/AJ Brown/Aiyuk/Woods/R. Moore
TE Kelce/Kittle/Njoku
2x 2023 1sts
12 tm PPR 1.5 for TE Superflex start 2 TE start 12
QB Herbert/Tua/Lawrence/Fields
RB Harris/Etienne
WR Jefferson/Deebo/Lamb/DSmith/Sutton/Juedy/Kirk/E. Moore/R. Moore
TE Kittle/Pitts/Waller/Fant/Njoku
2022 1.01/1.12/2.02
QB Allen/Tubisky/Lock
RB Mixon/Harris/Etienne
WR DJ Moore
TE Kelce/Irv
2022 1.06/1.09
2023 3x 1st
12 tm tiered PPR Superflex start 10
QB Mahomes/Watson/Ryan
RB CMC/Zeke/Mixon/Sanders
WR Evans/Godwin/Robinson/Golladay/Thielen/Lockett/Fuller
TE Kittle/Waller/L. Thomas
12 tm tiered PPR Superflex start 10
QB Mahomes/Murray/Brady
RB CMC
WR Adams/Hill/Diggs/AJ Brown/Aiyuk/Woods/R. Moore
TE Kelce/Kittle/Njoku
2x 2023 1sts
12 tm PPR 1.5 for TE Superflex start 2 TE start 12
QB Herbert/Tua/Lawrence/Fields
RB Harris/Etienne
WR Jefferson/Deebo/Lamb/DSmith/Sutton/Juedy/Kirk/E. Moore/R. Moore
TE Kittle/Pitts/Waller/Fant/Njoku
2022 1.01/1.12/2.02
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Re: 2021 Offseason Completed Trades
I think 7 is safe for Pitts. And the trade off is one of Etienne Harris Chase or Smith or a legit QB prospect Smith would be the only let down consolation for me and he’s avoidable at 1.7 i think
SF - PPR - 12t - start10
Notable Assets in Rebuild
QB: Mahomes - Levis - Rudolph
RB: K Mitchell - J McLaughlin - C Rodriguez - Z Evans
WR: AJB - M Pittman- R Doubs - E Moore - Shaheed - C Tillman- A Iosivas
TE: MAndrews - Kraft
'24: 1.1, 1.7, 2.1, 2.6, 2.10, 3.1, 3.10
‘25: 1 1st, 2 2nds, 2 3rds
2nd year DFF
SF - PPR - 12t - start10
QB: TLaw - Purdy - Goff
RB: Chubb - D Montgomery - D Singletary - A Mattison - K Miller - J Hill
WR: CeeDee - Aiyuk - Rice - Godwin - J Reed - E Moore
TE: Kittle - Kincaid - Chig
picks: 1.09, 2.11
Notable Assets in Rebuild
QB: Mahomes - Levis - Rudolph
RB: K Mitchell - J McLaughlin - C Rodriguez - Z Evans
WR: AJB - M Pittman- R Doubs - E Moore - Shaheed - C Tillman- A Iosivas
TE: MAndrews - Kraft
'24: 1.1, 1.7, 2.1, 2.6, 2.10, 3.1, 3.10
‘25: 1 1st, 2 2nds, 2 3rds
2nd year DFF
SF - PPR - 12t - start10
QB: TLaw - Purdy - Goff
RB: Chubb - D Montgomery - D Singletary - A Mattison - K Miller - J Hill
WR: CeeDee - Aiyuk - Rice - Godwin - J Reed - E Moore
TE: Kittle - Kincaid - Chig
picks: 1.09, 2.11
Re: 2021 Offseason Completed Trades
I've heard several people talking about taking him as the first non QB in SF/TE premium leagues. #7 is not safe in superflex. It's definitely not safe in non SF. It's not even safe in non TE premium IMO. I would never make a move, especially predraft, expecting a specific player to fall to a certain point unless I'm ok with the other players on the board. People are going to take Pitts higher than we've ever seen TE going in rookie drafts. He may fall to #7 in this league and ultimately, this person knows their league better than we do, but it's not a safe bet IMO.realmacaroni wrote: ↑Fri Jan 22, 2021 9:32 am I think 7 is safe for Pitts. And the trade off is one of Etienne Harris Chase or Smith or a legit QB prospect Smith would be the only let down consolation for me and he’s avoidable at 1.7 i think
12 tm tiered PPR Superflex start 9
QB Allen/Tubisky/Lock
RB Mixon/Harris/Etienne
WR DJ Moore
TE Kelce/Irv
2022 1.06/1.09
2023 3x 1st
12 tm tiered PPR Superflex start 10
QB Mahomes/Watson/Ryan
RB CMC/Zeke/Mixon/Sanders
WR Evans/Godwin/Robinson/Golladay/Thielen/Lockett/Fuller
TE Kittle/Waller/L. Thomas
12 tm tiered PPR Superflex start 10
QB Mahomes/Murray/Brady
RB CMC
WR Adams/Hill/Diggs/AJ Brown/Aiyuk/Woods/R. Moore
TE Kelce/Kittle/Njoku
2x 2023 1sts
12 tm PPR 1.5 for TE Superflex start 2 TE start 12
QB Herbert/Tua/Lawrence/Fields
RB Harris/Etienne
WR Jefferson/Deebo/Lamb/DSmith/Sutton/Juedy/Kirk/E. Moore/R. Moore
TE Kittle/Pitts/Waller/Fant/Njoku
2022 1.01/1.12/2.02
QB Allen/Tubisky/Lock
RB Mixon/Harris/Etienne
WR DJ Moore
TE Kelce/Irv
2022 1.06/1.09
2023 3x 1st
12 tm tiered PPR Superflex start 10
QB Mahomes/Watson/Ryan
RB CMC/Zeke/Mixon/Sanders
WR Evans/Godwin/Robinson/Golladay/Thielen/Lockett/Fuller
TE Kittle/Waller/L. Thomas
12 tm tiered PPR Superflex start 10
QB Mahomes/Murray/Brady
RB CMC
WR Adams/Hill/Diggs/AJ Brown/Aiyuk/Woods/R. Moore
TE Kelce/Kittle/Njoku
2x 2023 1sts
12 tm PPR 1.5 for TE Superflex start 2 TE start 12
QB Herbert/Tua/Lawrence/Fields
RB Harris/Etienne
WR Jefferson/Deebo/Lamb/DSmith/Sutton/Juedy/Kirk/E. Moore/R. Moore
TE Kittle/Pitts/Waller/Fant/Njoku
2022 1.01/1.12/2.02
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- Posts: 1086
- Joined: Thu Oct 29, 2020 9:46 am
Re: 2021 Offseason Completed Trades
7 is a decent bet in SF, a risky bet in standard, a no go in TEP, just my opinion. But i agree with you ultimately that it is not worth trading around those luxury picks until after NFL draftbriank wrote: ↑Fri Jan 22, 2021 9:58 amI've heard several people talking about taking him as the first non QB in SF/TE premium leagues. #7 is not safe in superflex. It's definitely not safe in non SF. It's not even safe in non TE premium IMO. I would never make a move, especially predraft, expecting a specific player to fall to a certain point unless I'm ok with the other players on the board. People are going to take Pitts higher than we've ever seen TE going in rookie drafts. He may fall to #7 in this league and ultimately, this person knows their league better than we do, but it's not a safe bet IMO.realmacaroni wrote: ↑Fri Jan 22, 2021 9:32 am I think 7 is safe for Pitts. And the trade off is one of Etienne Harris Chase or Smith or a legit QB prospect Smith would be the only let down consolation for me and he’s avoidable at 1.7 i think
SF - PPR - 12t - start10
Notable Assets in Rebuild
QB: Mahomes - Levis - Rudolph
RB: K Mitchell - J McLaughlin - C Rodriguez - Z Evans
WR: AJB - M Pittman- R Doubs - E Moore - Shaheed - C Tillman- A Iosivas
TE: MAndrews - Kraft
'24: 1.1, 1.7, 2.1, 2.6, 2.10, 3.1, 3.10
‘25: 1 1st, 2 2nds, 2 3rds
2nd year DFF
SF - PPR - 12t - start10
QB: TLaw - Purdy - Goff
RB: Chubb - D Montgomery - D Singletary - A Mattison - K Miller - J Hill
WR: CeeDee - Aiyuk - Rice - Godwin - J Reed - E Moore
TE: Kittle - Kincaid - Chig
picks: 1.09, 2.11
Notable Assets in Rebuild
QB: Mahomes - Levis - Rudolph
RB: K Mitchell - J McLaughlin - C Rodriguez - Z Evans
WR: AJB - M Pittman- R Doubs - E Moore - Shaheed - C Tillman- A Iosivas
TE: MAndrews - Kraft
'24: 1.1, 1.7, 2.1, 2.6, 2.10, 3.1, 3.10
‘25: 1 1st, 2 2nds, 2 3rds
2nd year DFF
SF - PPR - 12t - start10
QB: TLaw - Purdy - Goff
RB: Chubb - D Montgomery - D Singletary - A Mattison - K Miller - J Hill
WR: CeeDee - Aiyuk - Rice - Godwin - J Reed - E Moore
TE: Kittle - Kincaid - Chig
picks: 1.09, 2.11
Re: 2021 Offseason Completed Trades
Team 2.
Gave Fournette
Got Slayton, 4.01
Gave Fournette
Got Slayton, 4.01
.5PPR 1Q/3W/2R/1T/1SF/2F
LJax, Burrow, Carr, Huntley, Heinicke, Cunningham
Adams, Kupp, Deebo, M Brown, Kirk, Wiliams, C Samuel, Palmer, E. Moore, Hodgins, Hutchinson
CMC, Barkley, Mostert, Ford, Moss, Dobbins, Dillon, Kelley, Tucker
Andrews, Higbee
PPR 1Q/3W/2R/1T/1SF/2F
Mahomes, Purdy, Dalton, Henicke, Trask, Zappe
Henry, Pacheco, Robinson, Wilson, Ford, Chandler, Deuce
Hill, Kupp, Shaheed, Toney, Lazard, Metchie, Mingo, Slayton, Shenault, Atwell, Hutchinson
Pitts, Waller, Washington
PPR Best Ball Dynasty SF .5TEP
Stroud, Cousins, Willis, Mariota, Cunningham
Walker, J Cook, Miller, Zamir, Rodriguez, Carter, Penny
St. Brown, Aiyuk, DJ Moore, London, Doubs, Metchie, Scott, Claypool
Kincaid, Dulcich, Fant, Turner, Hurst
LJax, Burrow, Carr, Huntley, Heinicke, Cunningham
Adams, Kupp, Deebo, M Brown, Kirk, Wiliams, C Samuel, Palmer, E. Moore, Hodgins, Hutchinson
CMC, Barkley, Mostert, Ford, Moss, Dobbins, Dillon, Kelley, Tucker
Andrews, Higbee
PPR 1Q/3W/2R/1T/1SF/2F
Mahomes, Purdy, Dalton, Henicke, Trask, Zappe
Henry, Pacheco, Robinson, Wilson, Ford, Chandler, Deuce
Hill, Kupp, Shaheed, Toney, Lazard, Metchie, Mingo, Slayton, Shenault, Atwell, Hutchinson
Pitts, Waller, Washington
PPR Best Ball Dynasty SF .5TEP
Stroud, Cousins, Willis, Mariota, Cunningham
Walker, J Cook, Miller, Zamir, Rodriguez, Carter, Penny
St. Brown, Aiyuk, DJ Moore, London, Doubs, Metchie, Scott, Claypool
Kincaid, Dulcich, Fant, Turner, Hurst
Re: 2021 Offseason Completed Trades
No, 1.07 is not a guarantee to land you Pitts, but I think you will have a really good shot. Prolly have 3rb's and atleast 2wr's go. What does the teams at 1.05 and 1.06 have at TE? That will give a little better idea. If it's not TEP I'm not taking a TE in the top 5-6, but that's just me.realmacaroni wrote: ↑Fri Jan 22, 2021 10:01 am7 is a decent bet in SF, a risky bet in standard, a no go in TEP, just my opinion. But i agree with you ultimately that it is not worth trading around those luxury picks until after NFL draftbriank wrote: ↑Fri Jan 22, 2021 9:58 amI've heard several people talking about taking him as the first non QB in SF/TE premium leagues. #7 is not safe in superflex. It's definitely not safe in non SF. It's not even safe in non TE premium IMO. I would never make a move, especially predraft, expecting a specific player to fall to a certain point unless I'm ok with the other players on the board. People are going to take Pitts higher than we've ever seen TE going in rookie drafts. He may fall to #7 in this league and ultimately, this person knows their league better than we do, but it's not a safe bet IMO.realmacaroni wrote: ↑Fri Jan 22, 2021 9:32 am I think 7 is safe for Pitts. And the trade off is one of Etienne Harris Chase or Smith or a legit QB prospect Smith would be the only let down consolation for me and he’s avoidable at 1.7 i think
Twitter: @Kelldon83
Fffaceoff.com
Band of Brothers - 10team ppr/idp 1QB, 2RB, 3WR, 1TE, 1Flex, 1K, 3LB, 3DE, 3DB, 1Def Flex
Championships: 2010, 2015, 2017, 2021
QB: Wilson, Murray, Mac Jones
RB: Kamara, Swift, Chubb, Mixon, A. Ekeler, Dameon Pierce, K. Hunt, G. Edwards, Brian Robinson, K. Herbert
WR: Deebo, Nuk, MT13, A.Robinson, Golladay, C. Samuel, M. Pittman, C. Patterson, P. Campbell, J. Washington
TE: M. Andrews, Goedert, Taysom Hill
K: Tucker
Fffaceoff.com
Band of Brothers - 10team ppr/idp 1QB, 2RB, 3WR, 1TE, 1Flex, 1K, 3LB, 3DE, 3DB, 1Def Flex
Championships: 2010, 2015, 2017, 2021
QB: Wilson, Murray, Mac Jones
RB: Kamara, Swift, Chubb, Mixon, A. Ekeler, Dameon Pierce, K. Hunt, G. Edwards, Brian Robinson, K. Herbert
WR: Deebo, Nuk, MT13, A.Robinson, Golladay, C. Samuel, M. Pittman, C. Patterson, P. Campbell, J. Washington
TE: M. Andrews, Goedert, Taysom Hill
K: Tucker
Re: 2021 Offseason Completed Trades
I remember last year in the early spring I traded up to get to the 1.04 in order to draft CEH. he was my favorite running back in the class. Obviously it looks like I was wrong but either way I had traded up to that spot to guarantee getting him. Because at that point no one was talking about him in the top four. Then he went number one in my draft and I did not have a shot at him. Be careful trading up at this point with a certain player in mind. Although now is the time to trade up there is a chance that the guy skyrockets or plummets based on a numerous amount of factors.
Re: 2021 Offseason Completed Trades
Though I bet if you went RB still you're probably happy, if not happier than getting CEHlic217 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 4:11 am I remember last year in the early spring I traded up to get to the 1.04 in order to draft CEH. he was my favorite running back in the class. Obviously it looks like I was wrong but either way I had traded up to that spot to guarantee getting him. Because at that point no one was talking about him in the top four. Then he went number one in my draft and I did not have a shot at him. Be careful trading up at this point with a certain player in mind. Although now is the time to trade up there is a chance that the guy skyrockets or plummets based on a numerous amount of factors.
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