There is not a list of undrafted guys who pushed the starter off the team and started week 1 of their rookie season. So he is in uncharted territory there. The guys you were comparing him to did not have that sort of start to their career.MrUbuto wrote: ↑Wed Oct 07, 2020 3:52 pmThis robinson hype is getting a bit nuts. Im seeing people on reddit saying that there is no way they'd take swift for robinson, like a lot of people.
It's werk 5 and yes he's looked awesome but there is a very long lists of undrafted guys having success for a 3, 5, 10 or even entire an entire season then selling cars 12 months later.
You can't dismiss him either he is passing the eye test he looks explosive and makes the most out of every carry but draft pedigree matter. It really does. And not just because "oh he'll get more oppurtunities" I doubt the numbers back that myth up. Most coaches are happy to play the hot hand. The reason it matters is because despite the odd bust or round 6 guy who ends up having a long productive career it is NOT the norm, we just focus on them
These NFL scouts know what they're doing for the most part. They spend +10 hours a day watching film and know more about football than 99% of us combined.
He has been the best rookie back to this point in the season. It's more him having icreased his price than Swift having decreased his. This seems like the appropriate price point to me, right around Swift and Akers. Is it risky? absolutely. It's just as risky to gamble on Swift or Akers at this point though.
As for the scouts I couldn't tell you why they weren't on him. A big part of it is it's hard to gauge a players dominance if it's at the FCS level compared to the FBS, combined with his not too impressive 40 time. In fact a lot of the guys we see have enormous success as UDFAs are from non FCS schools. Think Adam Thielen Austin Ekeler etc. It's just a lot harder to evaluate them when they are playing inferior competition.