Buy Low/Sell High

General talk about Dynasty Leagues.
briank
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Buy Low/Sell High

Postby briank » Wed Sep 23, 2020 10:15 am

Who are the players you are buying low and selling high?

Guys I'm kicking the tires on:

McCaffrey
Mixon
M. Thomas
Barkley
Sutton

What say you?
12 tm tiered PPR Superflex start 9
QB Allen/Wilson
RB Mixon/Ja. Williams/Bernard/Davis
WR Thomas/DJ Moore/Robinson/TY/Washington
TE Kelce/Ertz/Cook
Picks 1.03

12 tm tiered PPR Superflex start 10
QB Mahomes/Watson/Roethlisberger/Fitzpatrick
RB Barkley/Zeke/Mixon/Dillon/Ja. Williams
WR Evans/Godwin/Robinson/Golladay/Lockett/Cooks/Fuller
TE Kittle/L. Thomas

12 tm tiered PPR Superflex start 10
QB Mahomes/Murray/Burrow/Dalton
RB Jacobs/Penny/Dillon/Edwards
WR Adams/Hill/Diggs/AJ Brown/Allen/Woods/Boyd
TE Kittle/Henry/Njoku/Irv Smith

12 tm tiered PPR Superflex start 11
QB Jackson/Roethlisberger/Brees
RB Da. Johnson/Gurley
WR Adams/Hopkins/Julio/Thielen/Hilton
TE Kelce/Ertz

12 tm PPR 1.5 for TE Superflex start 2 TE start 12
QB Herbert/Tua/Goff
RB
WR Jefferson/Juju/Sutton/Juedy/DSamuel
TE Kittle/Fant/Njoku
1.01/1.02/1.04/1.06/1.07/1.10, 6 2021 2nds

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Re: Buy Low/Sell High

Postby CGW » Wed Sep 23, 2020 10:30 am

I would kick around buying any of those players if they are being sold low.
12 Team | SF | PPR | 6pt pass TD
QB, RB, RB, WR, WR, WR, TE, FL, SF

QB | Watson, Cousins, Trubisky, Flacco, Haskins
RB | Taylor, Elliott, Akers, Wilkins, Wilson
WR | Adams, Evans, Golladay, Diontae, Mooney, Pascal, Coutee, R Higgins
TE | Andrews, Alie-Cox, Rodgers, Herndon

10 Team | SF | PPR
QB, RB, RB, WR, WR, WR, TE, FL, SF

QB | Murray, Tagovailoa, Minshew
RB | Montgomery, Swift, Dobbins, R. Jones, Singletary, Vaughn
WR | Godwin, AJ Brown, Lamb, D. Johnson, Aiyuk, M. Brown, Slayton, Mooney, Kirk, Reynolds, Fulgham, Peoples-Jones, Perriman
TE | Andrews, Henry, Sample, Schultz

12 Team | SF | PPR | 6pt pass TD
QB, RB, RB, WR, WR, WR, TE, FL, FL, SF

QB | Watson, Wilson, Darnold, Trubisky, Glennon, Stidham
RB | Hines, Henderson, Wilkins, Penny, Ahmed, Guice
WR | Evans, Ridley, Golladay, Kupp, D. Johnson, Pittman, Fulgham, Mooney, Ward, T. Smith
TE | L. Thomas, Ertz, Herndon, Sternberger

bjd5211
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Re: Buy Low/Sell High

Postby bjd5211 » Wed Sep 23, 2020 10:37 am

Julio is always criminally undervalued in the trade market, any serious contender with a less than perfect WR group should be inquiring about him if he's owned by a non-contender in their league.

Signed a Julio owner with a rebuild team in a league where no one is even willing to trade a late 1st for him.

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Orenthal Shames
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Re: Buy Low/Sell High

Postby Orenthal Shames » Wed Sep 23, 2020 10:39 am

bjd5211 wrote:
Wed Sep 23, 2020 10:37 am
Julio is always criminally undervalued in the trade market, any serious contender with a less than perfect WR group should be inquiring about him if he's owned by a non-contender in their league.

Signed a Julio owner with a rebuild team in a league where no one is even willing to trade a late 1st for him.
He has been for years too. I bought him cheap 3 years ago. His value was suppressed then. At this rate, he'll likely retire on my roster.
16 team league
1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 2 Flex (RB/WR/TE)
26 man rosters - full point ppr
2015, 17, 18, 19, 20 Champs

QB: Tannehill, Brees
RB: Kamara, Sanders
WR: Hill, DK, KA, Julio, Cooks
TE: Kelce, Kittle

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Pac_Eddy
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Re: Buy Low/Sell High

Postby Pac_Eddy » Wed Sep 23, 2020 10:53 am

Orenthal Shames wrote:
Wed Sep 23, 2020 10:39 am
bjd5211 wrote:
Wed Sep 23, 2020 10:37 am
Julio is always criminally undervalued in the trade market, any serious contender with a less than perfect WR group should be inquiring about him if he's owned by a non-contender in their league.

Signed a Julio owner with a rebuild team in a league where no one is even willing to trade a late 1st for him.
He has been for years too. I bought him cheap 3 years ago. His value was suppressed then. At this rate, he'll likely retire on my roster.
Well, he currently has a hamstring injury. There's always some nagging issue with him. I think those who have owned him know the frustrations that don't show up in the final stats.
Not all that counts can be counted. Not all that can be counted counts.

bjd5211
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Re: Buy Low/Sell High

Postby bjd5211 » Wed Sep 23, 2020 10:55 am

Pac_Eddy wrote:
Wed Sep 23, 2020 10:53 am
Orenthal Shames wrote:
Wed Sep 23, 2020 10:39 am
bjd5211 wrote:
Wed Sep 23, 2020 10:37 am
Julio is always criminally undervalued in the trade market, any serious contender with a less than perfect WR group should be inquiring about him if he's owned by a non-contender in their league.

Signed a Julio owner with a rebuild team in a league where no one is even willing to trade a late 1st for him.
He has been for years too. I bought him cheap 3 years ago. His value was suppressed then. At this rate, he'll likely retire on my roster.
Well, he currently has a hamstring injury. There's always some nagging issue with him. I think those who have owned him know the frustrations that don't show up in the final stats.
All WRs are up and done for different reasons, Julio is a lock to be a top 10 WR at the end of the year every year basically his entire career.

StripesOfKC
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Re: Buy Low/Sell High

Postby StripesOfKC » Wed Sep 23, 2020 11:24 am

Buy low Allen Robinson
Team 1

8 Team PPR
2 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 3 FLEX, 1 TE, 1 D, 1 K
2019-20 Champion
QB: Burrow, Tannehill, Stafford
RB: Jonathan Taylor, D'Andre Swift,, CEH, Dobbins, Damien Harris, Melvin Gordon, Pollard, Cohen, Tevin Coleman
WR: AJ Brown, McLaurin, Justin Jefferson, Julio, DJ Moore, Allen Robinson, Courtland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy, DJ Chark, Bryan Edwards
TE: Kittle, Hockenson, Gesicki, Trautman
D: Steelers
K: Lutz

2021: 1.6
2022: 3 1sts, 1 2nd, 4 3rds, 2 4ths
2023: 2 1sts, 3 2nds, 2 3rd, 3 4ths

Team 2

10 Team 2QB PPR
2020-21 Runner Up
QB: Mahomes, Matt Ryan, Kirk Cousins, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Dalton
RB: CEH, James Robinson, Kareem Hunt, Zack Moss, Tevin Coleman
WR: Diggs, ARob, Golladay, Lamb, Higgins, Shenault Kupp, Mooney, Gabriel Davis
TE: Fant, Trautman
D: Panthers
K: Blankenship
Picks
2021: 1.9, 2.4, 2.9, 3.9
2022: 1st, 2 2nds, 3rd, 4th
2023: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th

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John Paul
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Re: Buy Low/Sell High

Postby John Paul » Wed Sep 23, 2020 11:41 am

Has anyone seen any Sutton trades go down? What was the price?
10 Team PPR Dynasty (2012 Startup) 2018 1st 2019 2nd
1 QB, 1-3 RB, 2-4 WR, 1-2 TE, 1 Flex, K, LB, DB, DL(11 starters total)(30 Man Rosters, 1 IR)

QB: Joe Burrow(Trade '20)[IR], Matt Stafford(Trade/'21), Jared Goff(Trade'21)
RB: Joe Mixon(Trade'18), AJ Dillon(3.03/'20), Raheem Mostert(WW/'19), Chase Edmunds(WW/'20), Darrell Henderson(WW/'20)
WR: Julio Jones(Trade '20), Mike Evans(Trade '18), Cooper Kupp(Trade '18), Allen Robinson (Trade '19), Courtland Sutton (Trade '21), Parris Campbell(1.10/'19), Darnell Mooney(WW'20), Quintez Cephus(WW'20)
TE: Mark Andrews(WW/'19), Darren Waller(WW/'19)
K: Zuerlein(WW/'21)
LB: Darius Leonard (Trade '21), Joe Schobert(WW/'21), Zach Cunningham(WW/'20)
DB: Jabril Peppers(WW/'19), DJ Reed(WW/'20)
DL: Danielle Hunter(WW/'20), Chase Young(3.08/'20)

Drop 5, draft 5
2021: 1, 2, 2, 2, 5
2022: 2, 2, 3, 4, 5
2023: 1, 1, 2, 3, 4

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Re: Buy Low/Sell High

Postby remedy29 » Wed Sep 23, 2020 12:03 pm

To me, buy low discussions should be around players preceived ADP value, not stud players whose value has been lowered due to injury. So with that said;

RBs;
- Lev Bell, he has the respect and contract to demand touches when he returns. Everyone is down on the Jets offense, they can only go up when Lev Bell returns and the WRs return.
- Carson ADP per Mizelle is RB29, he routinely outperforms that. Seattle offense is scoring lots of points this year.
- David Johnson, ADP RB27, he looks good so far.
- Damian Harris, do you think he gets a legit shot this year when he returns?

WR;
Diontae Johnson, ADP WR40. He looks to be top 15 WR now. He is just getting warmed up with Big Ben.
- Shenault. He sure looks to have been worthy of a late
first rookie pick, not a late 2nd that people valued him as.
- Darrius Slayton, WE46. He most certainly will finish better than that.
- Robby Anderson WR66. Clearly poor ADP ranking on a quality WR.
- Allen Robinson. Chicago will be turning to Foles soon enough, Robinson stats will likely increase.

QB;
- Cam Newton. The guy is going to finish top 5 in QBs and is neat as good as any QB this year.
Prescott, Tua
Chubb, Carson, D. Harris, Lindsay
C Lamb, C. Kupp, Chase Claypool, Robby Anderson, Ruggs, P. Campbell, Preston Wilson
Kittle, Ebron, Harrison Bryant, Trautman

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Re: Buy Low/Sell High

Postby murphysxm » Wed Sep 23, 2020 12:07 pm

remedy29 wrote:
Wed Sep 23, 2020 12:03 pm
To me, buy low discussions should be around players preceived ADP value, not stud players whose value has been lowered due to injury. So with that said;

RBs;
- Lev Bell, he has the respect and contract to demand touches when he returns. Everyone is down on the Jets offense, they can only go up when Lev Bell returns and the WRs return.
- Carson ADP per Mizelle is RB29, he routinely outperforms that. Seattle offense is scoring lots of points this year.
- David Johnson, ADP RB27, he looks good so far.
- Damian Harris, do you think he gets a legit shot this year when he returns?

WR;
Diontae Johnson, ADP WR40. He looks to be top 15 WR now. He is just getting warmed up with Big Ben.
- Shenault. He sure looks to have been worthy of a late
first rookie pick, not a late 2nd that people valued him as.
- Darrius Slayton, WE46. He most certainly will finish better than that.
- Robby Anderson WR66. Clearly poor ADP ranking on a quality WR.
- Allen Robinson. Chicago will be turning to Files, Robinson stats will likely increase.

QB;
- Cam Newton. The guy is going to finish top 5 in QBs and is neat as good as any QB this year.
You can't base buy low status on preseason ranks. There is not a owner of any of those WRs or Cam that would sell low right now. Targeting people that are outperforming expectation is a odd approach to buy low....

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Re: Buy Low/Sell High

Postby Mjvb5 » Wed Sep 23, 2020 12:15 pm

John Paul wrote:
Wed Sep 23, 2020 11:41 am
Has anyone seen any Sutton trades go down? What was the price?
Don't know if it helps but early favourite was a sutton owner in my league approached me for DK (I'm rebuilding so sutton IR wouldn't hurt)

Offered sutton, mid 2nd, darnell mooney for DK. I said I'd need more and talks ended there
Last edited by Mjvb5 on Wed Sep 23, 2020 1:08 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: Buy Low/Sell High

Postby remedy29 » Wed Sep 23, 2020 12:20 pm

For some players, I'd agree. What would you pay for Diontae Johnson?

DLF trade analyzer says he is worth less than a 1st. I say he is easily worth a 1st. If you can get him for any less, that is a buy low.

Besides CAM, have the other players clearly outperformed their preseason ADP? Robby Anderson has, but by his ADP indicates, people do not respect his talent and underrate him. If you believe in him, he can still be a buy low.
Prescott, Tua
Chubb, Carson, D. Harris, Lindsay
C Lamb, C. Kupp, Chase Claypool, Robby Anderson, Ruggs, P. Campbell, Preston Wilson
Kittle, Ebron, Harrison Bryant, Trautman

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Re: Buy Low/Sell High

Postby Mjvb5 » Wed Sep 23, 2020 12:22 pm

remedy29 wrote:
Wed Sep 23, 2020 12:20 pm
For some players, I'd agree. What would you pay for Diontae Johnson?

DLF trade analyzer says he is worth less than a 1st. I say he is easily worth a 1st. If you can get him for any less, that is a buy low.

Besides CAM, have the other players clearly outperformed their preseason ADP? Robby Anderson has, but by his ADP indicates, people do not respect his talent and underrate him. If you believe in him, he can still be a buy low.
Lowest value I've seen from a diontae owner was a mid first so far. Most wanted a first before the season started and have since bumped him to a pair of firsts or an early first.

Robby same thing but they all want a 2nd for him.

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Re: Buy Low/Sell High

Postby remedy29 » Wed Sep 23, 2020 12:25 pm

Mjvb5 wrote:
Wed Sep 23, 2020 12:15 pm
John Paul wrote:
Wed Sep 23, 2020 11:41 am
Has anyone seen any Sutton trades go down? What was the price?
Don't know if it helps but early favourite was a sutton owner in my league approached me for DK (I'm rebuilding so sutton IR didn't hurt)

Offered sutton, mid 2nd, darnell mooney for DK
Are you saying you traded DK and was on the receiving end for Sutton??? I hope not. Your comment "I'm rebuilding so Sutton IR didn't hurt" is misleading me.
Prescott, Tua
Chubb, Carson, D. Harris, Lindsay
C Lamb, C. Kupp, Chase Claypool, Robby Anderson, Ruggs, P. Campbell, Preston Wilson
Kittle, Ebron, Harrison Bryant, Trautman

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Re: Buy Low/Sell High

Postby remedy29 » Wed Sep 23, 2020 12:46 pm

Mjvb5 wrote:
Wed Sep 23, 2020 12:22 pm
remedy29 wrote:
Wed Sep 23, 2020 12:20 pm
For some players, I'd agree. What would you pay for Diontae Johnson?

DLF trade analyzer says he is worth less than a 1st. I say he is easily worth a 1st. If you can get him for any less, that is a buy low.

Besides CAM, have the other players clearly outperformed their preseason ADP? Robby Anderson has, but by his ADP indicates, people do not respect his talent and underrate him. If you believe in him, he can still be a buy low.
Lowest value I've seen from a diontae owner was a mid first so far. Most wanted a first before the season started and have since bumped him to a pair of firsts or an early first.

Robby same thing but they all want a 2nd for him.
I'd want a 1st plus for Diontae too if I owned him.

For the other players, you need to identify lower valued players who will return a greater return for a buy low discussions.

Is Robby Anderson for a second a buy low? I say yes. And that's a trade that could be made.

Even Cam Newton, I would think most of his owners have moved on and have another QB they are rolling with. If so, CAM could potentially be had at a discount.
Prescott, Tua
Chubb, Carson, D. Harris, Lindsay
C Lamb, C. Kupp, Chase Claypool, Robby Anderson, Ruggs, P. Campbell, Preston Wilson
Kittle, Ebron, Harrison Bryant, Trautman


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