WR's who break out in Year 1 are GOLD JERRY, GOLD!

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sammyz
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Re: WR's who break out in Year 1 are GOLD JERRY, GOLD!

Postby sammyz » Tue Jan 05, 2021 7:39 am

Clearly if he'd been an absolute dominant talent and transcended the difficulties it would be a mark in his favor, but I look at Reagor and see a tremendously difficult situation for his rookie year. Injured coming into the season when there was already precious little time for preparation and learning the game, injured early into the season and missing like 6 weeks and having a surgery, playing behind a severely depleted O-line, with a lot of other receiving threats around and well...Carson Wentz. I haven't looked at his actual splits after Hurts took over and he definitely had a couple "meh" games in there but next year is going to look sooooo different for this kid I have a tough time seeing him not make a huge jump.

Of course the model could be highlighting that the failure of most WRs in this tier to do so is indicative of a player's need to transcend such difficulties. I'm very interested in how next season shakes out. I took him at 1.10 and would probably hold for even value right now but I'd sell if I got anything higher.
QBs: Dak Prescott, Teddy Bridgewater, Taysom Hill, Jameis Winston, Jalen Hurts, Andy Dalton
RBS: CMC, Miles Sanders, Gurley, JK Dobbins, AJ Dillon, Lamical Perine, Ito Smith
WRS: Godwin, DJ Moore, Juju, Keenan Allen, Diggs, McLaurin, Dionte Johnson, Jalen Reagor, Bryan Edwards, Brandon Aiyuk, Tim Patrick
TEs: Mark Andrews, TJ Hockenson, Irv Smith
DEF:Miami

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Pac_Eddy
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Re: WR's who break out in Year 1 are GOLD JERRY, GOLD!

Postby Pac_Eddy » Tue Jan 05, 2021 8:02 am

sammyz wrote:
Tue Jan 05, 2021 7:39 am
Clearly if he'd been an absolute dominant talent and transcended the difficulties it would be a mark in his favor, but I look at Reagor and see a tremendously difficult situation for his rookie year. Injured coming into the season when there was already precious little time for preparation and learning the game, injured early into the season and missing like 6 weeks and having a surgery, playing behind a severely depleted O-line, with a lot of other receiving threats around and well...Carson Wentz. I haven't looked at his actual splits after Hurts took over and he definitely had a couple "meh" games in there but next year is going to look sooooo different for this kid I have a tough time seeing him not make a huge jump.

Of course the model could be highlighting that the failure of most WRs in this tier to do so is indicative of a player's need to transcend such difficulties. I'm very interested in how next season shakes out. I took him at 1.10 and would probably hold for even value right now but I'd sell if I got anything higher.
I definitely wouldn't be selling Reagor right now. His value is depressed and has more room to go up than down. I think the odds of him being a solid fantasy starter are low, but you've got to hold.
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Jigga94
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Re: WR's who break out in Year 1 are GOLD JERRY, GOLD!

Postby Jigga94 » Tue Jan 05, 2021 8:06 am

Reagors season reminds me of Davis rookie year with the injury and QB changes
2QB, 2RB, 3WR, TE, FLEX - PPR - [b]14 Keepers[/b]
QB: Mahomes, J. Allen, Baker, D. Jones, Eason
RB: JT, Dillon, Gaskin, Mostert, Gus, Mattison, McFarland, Snell, Wilson, McKissic, Darrel
WR: Tyreek, DJM, Jeudy, Hollywood, Cooks, Mims, Hardman, Preston, Parris
TE: Andrews, Fant, Henry
2021: 1.10, 2, 3, 4, 5.08, 5.10, 6, 7, 9, 10

2QB, 2RB, 2WR, TE, 3FLEX - PPR - [b]20 Keepers[/b]
QB: [b]Mahomes, Ryan,[/b] Minshew, Trubisky, Mariota
RB: [b]Saquon, Dobbins, Jacobs, Hunt,[/b] Penny, Snell
WR: [b]AJB, DJM, Chark, Ruggs, Hardman, Mike Will, C. Davis, C. Samuel,[/b] G. Davis, Mooney, Lazard, J. Washington
TE: [b]Andrews, Henry, Gesicki, Tonyan,[/b] Irv
2021: 1.03, 2.05, 2.09, 3.05, 3.09
2022: 1, 1, 2, 3, 3

CGW
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Re: WR's who break out in Year 1 are GOLD JERRY, GOLD!

Postby CGW » Tue Jan 05, 2021 10:13 am

Jigga94 wrote:
Tue Jan 05, 2021 8:06 am
Reagors season reminds me of Davis rookie year with the injury and QB changes
Expecting the classic 4th year breakout for Reagor as well, or more of a 5th year breakout guy like Parker?

Jigga94
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Re: WR's who break out in Year 1 are GOLD JERRY, GOLD!

Postby Jigga94 » Tue Jan 05, 2021 1:36 pm

CGW wrote:
Tue Jan 05, 2021 10:13 am
Jigga94 wrote:
Tue Jan 05, 2021 8:06 am
Reagors season reminds me of Davis rookie year with the injury and QB changes
Expecting the classic 4th year breakout for Reagor as well, or more of a 5th year breakout guy like Parker?
Hahaha I know you're joking, but expecting that for anyone is tricky. That being said, I did believe in Davis for the most part (2nd year was good, had flashes through his other years), as I did with Parker until after his 4th year lol

They both flashed at times. Reagor will have to show a bit more before I keep holding on to hope for him
2QB, 2RB, 3WR, TE, FLEX - PPR - [b]14 Keepers[/b]
QB: Mahomes, J. Allen, Baker, D. Jones, Eason
RB: JT, Dillon, Gaskin, Mostert, Gus, Mattison, McFarland, Snell, Wilson, McKissic, Darrel
WR: Tyreek, DJM, Jeudy, Hollywood, Cooks, Mims, Hardman, Preston, Parris
TE: Andrews, Fant, Henry
2021: 1.10, 2, 3, 4, 5.08, 5.10, 6, 7, 9, 10

2QB, 2RB, 2WR, TE, 3FLEX - PPR - [b]20 Keepers[/b]
QB: [b]Mahomes, Ryan,[/b] Minshew, Trubisky, Mariota
RB: [b]Saquon, Dobbins, Jacobs, Hunt,[/b] Penny, Snell
WR: [b]AJB, DJM, Chark, Ruggs, Hardman, Mike Will, C. Davis, C. Samuel,[/b] G. Davis, Mooney, Lazard, J. Washington
TE: [b]Andrews, Henry, Gesicki, Tonyan,[/b] Irv
2021: 1.03, 2.05, 2.09, 3.05, 3.09
2022: 1, 1, 2, 3, 3


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