Postby PR0v3 » Wed Oct 28, 2020 9:28 am
skinfanjon wrote: ↑Wed Oct 28, 2020 6:42 am
jjleurquin wrote: ↑Tue Oct 27, 2020 10:44 pm
Hottoddies wrote: ↑Tue Oct 27, 2020 9:42 pm
Just for a bit of context, Davante Adams failed to eclipse 500 yards in his first two seasons playing with a great quarterback. Dynasty football is a game of patience.
This is one resource of many. While this isn't the end all be all it should give you insights. Context is important as Davante Adams had 2 solid vets in front of him both seasons in Nelson/Cobb and James Jones/Cobb. The rookie that is in the most similar situation this season is Gabe Davis as he has not only 2 but 3 solid vets there in front of him. Claypool is probably in a similar spot too. Do of that what you will.
I just don't see how seeing this upsets people and makes them point out every player who didn't perform well right away. These odds are not opinions and they don't really care about how anyone feels about them. This is a nice resource for everyone.
Agree with the sentiment here but its important to note these are not ODDS. They are recent results. Big difference.
Yep. This is my problem with the analytics crowd, they do the same thing with dominator rating + draft capital. Past results are not indicative of future performance. You can’t just take X% results and attribute that as the odds of the same thing occuring in the future. That’s not how statistics work.
The boxes these players are being put in are not odds of future performance, they are the historical results of different players given selected variables. The “odds” for current players looking forward are unique for each player/individual given their specific circumstances.
12 Team .5 PPR - 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 WR/RB 20 man rosters, 5 man taxi est. 2018
QB: Dak, Pickett
RB: CMC, Taylor, Gibson, Dillon, Akers, Penny
WR: JJeff, Hollywood, Olave, Toney, Aiyuk, Jeudy, C. Davis, Boyd, C. Samuel,
TE: Njoku, Gesicki
2023 picks: 1.x, 2.x, 3.x, 4.x