Way too Early 2021 Draft Thread

General talk about Dynasty Leagues.
tresskid84
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Re: Who is your "guy" for this upcoming rookie class?

Postby tresskid84 » Mon Feb 01, 2021 4:23 pm

RB: Michael Carter, hes already very good in passing game (though pass blocking will be an obvious concern) and is dynamic with the ball in his hands. He's also very well built and runs hard for a smaller back. He's in heavy contention for my RB4, among a few others.

WR: Tylan Wallace, because I always fall in love with guys like his profile at WR, lol.

TE: Brevin Jordan. I'm desperately hoping he goes somewhere in the Shanahan-type offensive tree (though obviously not San Fran, haha). Definitely needs to improve as a blocker to get on the field in a meaningful way, but he is built like a huge rb and is fantastic after the catch. If he goes to the right system, I could see him rising into the top 10 range of tight ends pretty quickly.
2021-Orphan Rebuild, 12tm PPR, SF, 1.75 TE Prem
2 SF, 8 Flex

QB: Mayfield, Z Wilson, D Jones, Heinicke, Rudolph, Foles
RB: Herbert, Felton, Evans, Nwangwu, Calais
WR: D Smith, Waddle, Chark, J Palmer, D P-J, Raymond, Washington, Jauan, Darden, Fehoko, Smith-Marsette, C Johnson, Proche, Shi Smith, A Tate, ESB, JJAW
TE: O'Shaughnessy, Moreau, Granson, Tyree J, Hu Bryant, Hopkins, Fortson
2022 Picks: 1.01, 1.04, 1.11, 2.01, 2.09, and 3.02
2023 Picks: six 1sts, my 2nd

2021-Orphan Rebuild, 16tm PPR, SF, 1.5pr TE, DEVY:
1 QB, 1 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 SF, 3 Flex
Draft is rookies and devy (only 2022 NFL eligible)

QB: Tua, Fields, Brissett, Foles, Purdy(D), T Morgan(D)
RB: Etienne, Gainwell, Homer, T Jones, J Hill, Ragas, Sargent, Calais, Funk,
WR: Cephus, Nico, J Palmer, Gage, Quez, P Williams, JJAW, Strachan, Proche, Lil'Jordan, Shi Smith, Fryfogle(D)
TE: Moreau, Maxx, H Long, RSJ, Tyree J
2022 Picks: 1.02, 2.02, 2.12, 3.02, 3.07, 3.10, 3.11, 3.12, 3.15, 4.01, 4.02, 4.05, 4.07, 4.12, 4.15

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Re: Who is your "guy" for this upcoming rookie class?

Postby Blue » Tue Feb 02, 2021 4:04 pm

hoping to land one of gainwell or carter at 2.1 1 qb

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Re: Who is your "guy" for this upcoming rookie class?

Postby FastEddie » Tue Feb 02, 2021 5:22 pm

I've got a lot of 2nd round picks in this years rookie draft. Hoping for as many share of Jermar Jefferson and Terrace Marshall Jr. as possible in that round.

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Re: Who is your "guy" for this upcoming rookie class?

Postby murphysxm » Wed Feb 03, 2021 10:06 am

FastEddie wrote: Tue Feb 02, 2021 5:22 pm Jermar Jefferson
I have not studied him yet, tell me more
I am just a guy sharing some thoughts

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Re: Who is your "guy" for this upcoming rookie class?

Postby wickerkat1212 » Wed Feb 03, 2021 11:13 am

FastEddie wrote: Tue Feb 02, 2021 5:22 pm I've got a lot of 2nd round picks in this years rookie draft. Hoping for as many share of Jermar Jefferson and Terrace Marshall Jr. as possible in that round.
I don't think Terrace will last that long but man I hope he does!
D3:
QB—Allen, Pickett RB—Kamara, Jacobs, ZWhite, Edwards, Ford, Warren WR—Lamb, Olave, DJM, Puka, Tillman, Marshall, Jefferson, Robinson, Tucker TE—Ferguson, Schoon, Likely, Smith, Washington, Kraft PK—Prater DEF—BAL

D4:
QB—TLaw, JimmyG, Tannehill, AOC, Hall RB—Bijan, Kamara, Conner, Gainwell, Gainwell, Foreman, ZMoss, Chandler, McLaughlin, Murray WR—Jefferson, Hill, Adams, Allen, Tillman, Woods TE—Kelce, Kmet, Conklin PK—Butker DEF—PIT

Superflex 1:
QB—Mahomes, Rodgers, Mayfield RB—Bijan, Kamara, Allgeier, Singletary, Mostert, BRob, Warren, Rodriguez, Spiller WR—Chase, DJM, Devonta, MBrown, Myers, Reynold, Jones TE—Kmet, Likely, Kraft, Conklin, Hurst, Hudson PK—Elliott DEF—PHI

Superflex 2:
QB: Goff, Cousins, Wentz, White; RB: Bijan, BRob, ZWhite, Allgeier, McLaughlin WR: DJM, Higgins, JSN, Downs, RMoore, Atwell, SMoore, PCampbell, DPJ, ATP, Hutchinson, Iosivas, Devante, CJones TE: Ferguson, Kraft, Trautman, Tremble

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Re: Who is your "guy" for this upcoming rookie class?

Postby FastEddie » Wed Feb 03, 2021 11:19 am

Jermar Jefferson - Oregon State. 21 years old. 5'10", 215lbs.

Three star recruit who broke out as a true frosh in 2018 - 239 attempts, 1380 yards rushing. Also caught 25 balls for 147 yards. 12 TD's total.

Suffered an injury as a Sophomore which opened the door for Artavis Pierce to emerge during the 2019 season.

Re-emerged for his truncated junior season, where he averaged 143 yards per game on 6.5 yards per carry (858 yards total). Also scored 7 TD's with 9 receptions for 67 yards. Pac 12 only played six games due to the COVID. If you extrapolate his totals over a ten game season your looking at 1,400 yards and 11 TD's with approximately 20 receptions.

Against their toughest competition of the season, the 15th ranked in state rival Oregon Ducks, he had his best game. 29 carries, 226 yards and 2 TD's.

Here are some mouth watering highlights from his breakout SZN - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cFPgWYJMiuA

Summary - he's young with a great BMI and an early breakout with the ability to produce both running and catching the ball. Will be interested to see where he lands in the draft, but I think he has tremendous ability and upside and will be a middle to early round 2 rookie draft pick.

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Re: Who is your "guy" for this upcoming rookie class?

Postby SoftwoodGrampian » Wed Feb 03, 2021 11:29 am

FastEddie wrote: Wed Feb 03, 2021 11:19 am Jermar Jefferson - Oregon State. 21 years old. 5'10", 215lbs.

Three star recruit who broke out as a true frosh in 2018 - 239 attempts, 1380 yards rushing. Also caught 25 balls for 147 yards. 12 TD's total.

Suffered an injury as a Sophomore which opened the door for Artavis Pierce to emerge during the 2019 season.

Re-emerged for his truncated junior season, where he averaged 143 yards per game on 6.5 yards per carry (858 yards total). Also scored 7 TD's with 9 receptions for 67 yards. Pac 12 only played six games due to the COVID. If you extrapolate his totals over a ten game season your looking at 1,400 yards and 11 TD's with approximately 20 receptions.

Against their toughest competition of the season, the 15th ranked in state rival Oregon Ducks, he had his best game. 29 carries, 226 yards and 2 TD's.

Here are some mouth watering highlights from his breakout SZN - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cFPgWYJMiuA

Summary - he's young with a great BMI and an early breakout with the ability to produce both running and catching the ball. Will be interested to see where he lands in the draft, but I think he has tremendous ability and upside and will be a middle to early round 2 rookie draft pick.
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Re: Who is your "guy" for this upcoming rookie class?

Postby krtbuckeye » Wed Feb 03, 2021 12:03 pm

I know this is going to come across as incredibly lazy, but I know there are folks here who have dug into this far more than I will be able to do. I usually move my draft picks for proven commodities (usually try to stay young and proven though) so I don't typically do a deep dive at draft time, but more keep an eye on the top of the draft and jump in if compelled.

I have a solid handle on the top 10 prospects for 2021 at this point, but for those of you who have already begun deep-diving, who are a few guys I should be looking into that would be in the 2.10 range this year? League is 10 team, non-SF, full PPR, no TE prem so I guess I'm looking for your favorite #15-25 range prospects.

Thanks!
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10 Team SF, PPR, Roster: 33+2 IR+2 Taxi
Start: QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, TE, SF, FLX (RB/WR), K, 2 DL, LB, 2 DB, 2 IDP FLX

**IDP scoring is TKL heavy (1.0 solo and asst), no QBH or TFL.**

QB: Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts
RB: Jahmyr Gibbs, D’Andre Swift, Jerome Ford, Khalil Herbert, Jaleel McLaughlin, Ty Chandler, Michael Carter, Isaiah Spiller, Chase Brown, Evan Hull (IR), Sean Tucker
WR: Amon-Ra St. Brown, DeVonta Smith, Tee Higgins, Jordan Addison, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Josh Palmer, Demario Douglas, Alec Pierce, Michael Wilson, Jalin Hyatt, Kayshon Boutte (Taxi)
TE: Sam LaPorta, Trey McBride
K: Jake Elliott
DL: Danielle Hunter, Aiden Hutchinson, Jaelan Phillips (IR)
LB: Bobby Wagner, Jordyn Brooks, Logan Wilson, Ernest Jones
DB: Derwin James, Brian Branch

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Re: Who is your "guy" for this upcoming rookie class?

Postby honcho55 » Wed Feb 03, 2021 1:20 pm

murphysxm wrote: Wed Feb 03, 2021 10:06 am
FastEddie wrote: Tue Feb 02, 2021 5:22 pm Jermar Jefferson
I have not studied him yet, tell me more
He feels like one of those guys that I like early, but when people see his size, early production, maybe a surge for workouts or landing spot, he climbs too high for me. That was Vaughn last year (not really comparing the two as players)

Draft capital is gonna tell me what I need to know about him. He goes in the third, I’m interested (but again he probably surges in cost). He goes 6th or later, meh.
main league, half PPR, all TDs 6, -3 for INT
12 team. 2019 champ, 2020 runner up, ‘21 3rd
start 2SF, 2RB, 2WR, 1TE, 2WRT

QB: T Lawrence, K Cousins, R Wilson, Z Wilson
RB: K Walker, T Ettiene, JK Dobbins, D Gore, J Hasty, D Johnson, L Rountree
WR: JJ, AJB, A Cooper, Juju, C Kirk, J Dotson, N Westbrook-Ikhine, I McKenzie
TE. T Kelce, Pitts, Albert O, D Parham, J O’Shaunessy

1.03, 1.11, 2.02, 2.09
Extra 24 1st

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Re: Who is your "guy" for this upcoming rookie class?

Postby tresskid84 » Wed Feb 03, 2021 1:29 pm

honcho55 wrote: Wed Feb 03, 2021 1:20 pm
murphysxm wrote: Wed Feb 03, 2021 10:06 am
FastEddie wrote: Tue Feb 02, 2021 5:22 pm Jermar Jefferson
I have not studied him yet, tell me more
He feels like one of those guys that I like early, but when people see his size, early production, maybe a surge for workouts or landing spot, he climbs too high for me. That was Vaughn last year (not really comparing the two as players)

Draft capital is gonna tell me what I need to know about him. He goes in the third, I’m interested (but again he probably surges in cost). He goes 6th or later, meh.
I feel similarly. Hes just a guy to me. Hes certainly not bad, but his landing spot will mean everything to my interest in him.
2021-Orphan Rebuild, 12tm PPR, SF, 1.75 TE Prem
2 SF, 8 Flex

QB: Mayfield, Z Wilson, D Jones, Heinicke, Rudolph, Foles
RB: Herbert, Felton, Evans, Nwangwu, Calais
WR: D Smith, Waddle, Chark, J Palmer, D P-J, Raymond, Washington, Jauan, Darden, Fehoko, Smith-Marsette, C Johnson, Proche, Shi Smith, A Tate, ESB, JJAW
TE: O'Shaughnessy, Moreau, Granson, Tyree J, Hu Bryant, Hopkins, Fortson
2022 Picks: 1.01, 1.04, 1.11, 2.01, 2.09, and 3.02
2023 Picks: six 1sts, my 2nd

2021-Orphan Rebuild, 16tm PPR, SF, 1.5pr TE, DEVY:
1 QB, 1 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 SF, 3 Flex
Draft is rookies and devy (only 2022 NFL eligible)

QB: Tua, Fields, Brissett, Foles, Purdy(D), T Morgan(D)
RB: Etienne, Gainwell, Homer, T Jones, J Hill, Ragas, Sargent, Calais, Funk,
WR: Cephus, Nico, J Palmer, Gage, Quez, P Williams, JJAW, Strachan, Proche, Lil'Jordan, Shi Smith, Fryfogle(D)
TE: Moreau, Maxx, H Long, RSJ, Tyree J
2022 Picks: 1.02, 2.02, 2.12, 3.02, 3.07, 3.10, 3.11, 3.12, 3.15, 4.01, 4.02, 4.05, 4.07, 4.12, 4.15

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Re: Who is your "guy" for this upcoming rookie class?

Postby FastEddie » Wed Feb 03, 2021 5:21 pm

tresskid84 wrote: Wed Feb 03, 2021 1:29 pm
honcho55 wrote: Wed Feb 03, 2021 1:20 pm
murphysxm wrote: Wed Feb 03, 2021 10:06 am

I have not studied him yet, tell me more
He feels like one of those guys that I like early, but when people see his size, early production, maybe a surge for workouts or landing spot, he climbs too high for me. That was Vaughn last year (not really comparing the two as players)

Draft capital is gonna tell me what I need to know about him. He goes in the third, I’m interested (but again he probably surges in cost). He goes 6th or later, meh.
I feel similarly. Hes just a guy to me. Hes certainly not bad, but his landing spot will mean everything to my interest in him.
There's a dearth of RB talent this year and he's a tier 2 back for me. Landing spot is critical for all the tier 2/3/4 RB's. I believe the juice is worth the squeeze with this young buck.

Tier 1: Javonte Williams, Najee Harris & Etienne

Tier 2: Jermar Jefferson...etc.

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Re: Who is your "guy" for this upcoming rookie class?

Postby Sriracha » Wed Feb 03, 2021 5:25 pm

FastEddie wrote: Wed Feb 03, 2021 5:21 pm
tresskid84 wrote: Wed Feb 03, 2021 1:29 pm
honcho55 wrote: Wed Feb 03, 2021 1:20 pm

He feels like one of those guys that I like early, but when people see his size, early production, maybe a surge for workouts or landing spot, he climbs too high for me. That was Vaughn last year (not really comparing the two as players)

Draft capital is gonna tell me what I need to know about him. He goes in the third, I’m interested (but again he probably surges in cost). He goes 6th or later, meh.
I feel similarly. Hes just a guy to me. Hes certainly not bad, but his landing spot will mean everything to my interest in him.
There's a dearth of RB talent this year and he's a tier 2 back for me. Landing spot is critical for all the tier 2/3/4 RB's. I believe the juice is worth the squeeze with this young buck.

Tier 1: Javonte Williams, Najee Harris & Etienne

Tier 2: Jermar Jefferson...etc.
Talk me into Javonte over Jermar (and Hubbard for that matter) because I see them pretty similarly as tier 3 RB prospects.

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Re: Who is your "guy" for this upcoming rookie class?

Postby cantguardjake » Wed Feb 03, 2021 6:33 pm

Jevonta looks better in pretty much every aspect IMO. He’s bigger, he looks faster, catches more balls, averages more ypc, breaks more tackles, scores more touchdowns - pretty much everything.

He’ll have higher draft capital as well.

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Re: Who is your "guy" for this upcoming rookie class?

Postby Sriracha » Wed Feb 03, 2021 7:28 pm

5'10 220 vs 5'10 217

Both of these guys are fast for their size, which one's faster? Maybe Javonte, maybe Jermrar but in any case I don't expect it to be a huge advantage for either.

Jermar's got that true freshman breakout where he caught 25 balls (which is pretty impressive). Both of these guys could possibly be 3 down backs, I wouldn't say either has a clear advantage in this area at this point in time.

Javonte and him both break a ton of tackles and display good contact balance. I like Javonte a little more in this area, but it could just be a difference in run styles. Javonte runs more like a power back, Jermar a slasher.

Playing with Sam Howell at UNC is also very different from playing at Oregon St. so I'm not going to bother comparing YPC, TDs between them lol.

We'll see if he ends up with higher draft capital. I somewhat lean Javonte but at this point I don't see him so much better he deserves a different tier. Maybe some impressive pro day numbers or vastly divergent draft capital will change that, though

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Re: Who is your "guy" for this upcoming rookie class?

Postby alewilliam789 » Thu Feb 04, 2021 6:45 pm

I’m not seeing the Javonte Williams hype. On tape he looks good and breaks tackles against collegiate athletes, but what matters at the next level high percentile athleticism in some aspect (speed, strength, quickness) plus those intangibles. Williams may have those traits, but it doesn’t look like it.

Jermar Jefferson is an interesting prospect because he looks to have high level speed and as said above will seriously be interested in draft capital/test scores.

Najee Harris and Javonte Williams shouldn’t even be mentioned in the same sentence lol. Harris 230 pounds and is blowing past much better defenders/defenses
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