You had me until that. Kareem Hunt turns 25 before opening kickoff to the season (if it happens). If you respect the RB age cliff(s) at all, you need to be more circumspect with that. Perhaps the sharp decline in touches since mid-18 will help with his age curve though as others have argued, it seems to be an age thing, rather than a career touches thing, but the age curve is the curve and the outliers are rare and far between without even taking into account his suspension and most recent run in with the law. I'm with you if you see him as a value, I'm not with you if you think it's worth noting a possibility that he produces premium production until age 29-30 depending upon the odds you imply via possibility (if it's 10-20% okay, if it's 35-50+% then no).Bronco Billy wrote: ↑Sat Jun 06, 2020 5:13 amI’ll disagree with the first sentence here. Hunt has proven that he’s equally adept in the running and passing games, and does not require an offense limiting its playbook when he is on the field, unlike a lot of RBs who don’t perform as well in one phase of the game. Plus he can be had relatively cheaply salary-wise and allows whatever team that makes a play for him as a 3 down RB to use their upper level draft picks to improve other positions.mild wrote:40 time=1591359395 user_id=33855]
For those holding Hunt in the hope that his value rebounds to his halcyon days - it's not going to happen. If he can be had cheap, then sure - but I know the owners I've talked to are valuing him like he's still the NFL rushing leader on the best offense in football. That window, to me, has closed.
You may be correct, but if a team (wisely IMO) decides next year that they can get a legit 3 down starting level RB at a what is likely a discounted price and decides to place him into that role, Hunt has clearly displayed enough talent that he can excel and be a premium RB. And let’s not overlook that he could take on more workload than what he was given in KC, which could make up for being in a less prolific offense.
That’s why you are seeing Hunt owners like me not giving him away at a discount in FF. There’s still a possibility of 4-5 years of premium production there, and he’s less of a crap shoot than incoming rookies. We know he can play at a very high level.
My view is to go after him now if you think he's worth a turn pick in this draft, and especially if you can acquire him for a '21 or '22 asset instead, where the drafts are likely to be inferior and are more fluid at the moment due to covid. Personally, I'm not interested in moving '20 assets, but again, a '21 or '22 asset or asset collection equal more or less to a turn pick this year? That I'm interested in.