fantasy impact of coronavirus

[Pullo Vision]

A number of threads in the various sub forums are about coronavirus. I want to focus on the fantasy impact. Things I've seen mentioned-

1- a potentially shorter NFL season will make each regular season win more important
2- if the NFL season ends up being less than 17 weeks, some have suggested going to an all-play format to more accurately reflect each team's competitive standing
3- more than a few leaguemates have mentioned that a reduced NCAA schedule could lead college players to declare for a supplemental draft-

• a- this will whittle down the draftable players for next year, cutting down the value of 2021 picks
  b- team owners and leagues are debating how to handle a full supplemental draft

Has anyone else run into any other potential fantasy impacts of the coronavirus, or considered these points?

[ColdZealDonkeyStrike]

Good topic.
Another thing to consider is how the NFL players and rookies are going to be impacted by the weird offseason prior to training camp. I suspect the virtual OTAs are not going to be as effective getting players ready for TC, so we will see rookies starting slower, TCs ramping up slower, and likely more injuries early in the season as a result. It's making me rethink hanging on to some of my veteran depth in favor of rookie picks for this season.

[heyfeefellskee]

If the season is impacted, it's going to look more like it starting in October and the Superbowl being pushed back.

[dynastyninja]

I have been recently operating under the assumption that we don't have a season. I just don't see how they do it in all honesty. Imagine a player getting sick and testing positive on gameday. The required player/staff testing would be significant and there's no way a game could be played. After one cancelled game it's a house of cards and everything tumbles.

I just don't see it. Even sticking the entire NFL on Hawaii wouldn't work. Some players and staff wouldn't be willing to isolate from their loved ones that long.

Because of that, I'm trying to trade guys like James Conner, who have a job this year but will be at risk come next year's draft. Also, I think one of Brees or Ben will end up retiring after the season is canceled. Older players lose significant value if we don't get 2020 production.

[FantasyFreak]

If the season is delayed, dome teams will have an advantage for passing stats, as will Southern teams. There will be more cold weather games, especially in the north if the season starts in October or November and therefor the passing stats of the teams with more severe winter weather will be affected.

As for the above post, I don't think it's time to panic just yet. I think there will be a season, just not sure it will be a full year, or in front of fans, but I would put money on there being one in some capacity.

[Orenthal Shames]

I'm most concerned with rookie WRs. If the off-season is shortened, they'll be most impacted given that they need the reps more than RBs.

[Pullo Vision]

Some great points made. Some recent things I've heard/read recently-
1- The possibility players will contract coronavirus and force them into quarantine will put greater importance on having good depth.
2- A delay to the start of the season would allow injured players more time to recover. Players that can help include Rashaad Penny, Big Ben and Chris Carson.

[alewilliam789]

I think what leagues could do is that if players declare for the supplemental draft that they can only be drafted with 2021 rookie picks.

[FantasyFreak]

I think what leagues could do is that if players declare for the supplemental draft that they can only be drafted with 2021 rookie picks.

You basically need to do a supplemental draft for your league, and you bid rookie picks. Some good ideas out there already, but yeah, you can't really let them go to WW. Normally it would be OK, but they would only declare if the 2021 college season is cancelled, and it's not even certain they would qualify even then.

[Pullo Vision]

I think what leagues could do is that if players declare for the supplemental draft that they can only be drafted with 2021 rookie picks.

You basically need to do a supplemental draft for your league, and you bid rookie picks. Some good ideas out there already, but yeah, you can't really let them go to WW. Normally it would be OK, but they would only declare if the 2021 college season is cancelled, and it's not even certain they would qualify even then.

One suggestion in one of my leagues is to wait on the league's fantasy draft until either players can't declare for the supplemental draft or the supp draft is completed.

[Forza_Azzurri]

That’s a good point on the supplemental draft ... handling that could be a huge headache. I’d have to think it through, but I think the best solution would be locking those players until the 2021 draft.

[dlf_mikeh]

I have been recently operating under the assumption that we don't have a season. I just don't see how they do it in all honesty. Imagine a player getting sick and testing positive on gameday. The required player/staff testing would be significant and there's no way a game could be played. After one cancelled game it's a house of cards and everything tumbles.

I just don't see it. Even sticking the entire NFL on Hawaii wouldn't work. Some players and staff wouldn't be willing to isolate from their loved ones that long.

Because of that, I'm trying to trade guys like James Conner, who have a job this year but will be at risk come next year's draft. Also, I think one of Brees or Ben will end up retiring after the season is canceled. Older players lose significant value if we don't get 2020 production.

I am more and more leaning in this direction. I haven't paid my MFL fees yet and I probably won't until kickoff week 1. I just don't want to chance it.

[Paul717]

@raiders444 ^

I don't know if I can tag a friend into this conversation but its a good one.

[cascoro]

The idea of good/great players entering the supplemental draft is very intriguing, and has me wondering this... Would some of the superstar players like Najee Harris, ETN, Trevor Lawrence, etc., consider doing this? And, probably more importantly (for them, at least), would they have the potential to earn the same type of rookie contract earnings vs. waiting for the 2021 draft? I have no clue how the supplemental draft works anyways, but have seen indications that using a supplemental draft pick means giving up that same round draft pick the following year.

As I am writing this, I read the Wikipedia page for the NFL Supplemental Draft (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_ ... ntal_draft), but the answers to some of my questions still aren't clear to me. For instance, if the lower grouping of NFL teams (those with less than 6 wins) both bid a 1st round on a projected superstar, who actually gets them, and what is that player's earnings potential for that supplemental draft pick. Is it anywhere close to that of something like the 1.01-1.10 in the actual NFL draft?

[Pullo Vision]

"So what is the fairest method to dictate which dynasty team gets to add such a [supplemental draftee] player?"- https://www.fantraxhq.com/how-should-dy ... tal-draft/