The problem with your spreadsheet, you donkey, is that you draw universal conclusions from it with your thumb on the scales and ignore the things that happen on the field. The tape matters, as does general league knowledge (which you come up short on). But the main area you fail is understanding your own biases. you take a good idea like BA+DR, make it about yourself, and completely ignore context.Johnny B. Goode wrote: ↑Sun Mar 29, 2020 2:29 pmThanks for the vote of confidence of my wr method!skinfanjon wrote: ↑Sun Mar 29, 2020 2:19 pmYep, all part of the soup. Analytics have their place for sure. As does watching tape for that "it" factor. I need better scouts to tell me what I'm seeing beyond that though. No shame in saying so.
If you vet out some solid resources for detailed scouting and combine that with BA, DR, draft capital, and general league knowledge, you got a pretty strong recipe for success. Especially if you can check your ego while doing so. Makes the charlatans like Johnny B really easy to spot too.
Even when hes not replying to me he still finds a way to try to take a jab at me. When you're good, there's always a jealous hater.
And EVEN IF you create a perfect statistical model, it's still based on back testing. If you spend anytime analyzing financial markets (and I fully expect you'll profess expertise in this area too while being way over your skiis), you'll know that past success is no indication of future performance. In other words, the system depends on itself and has no true prognosticative value. The entire financial newsletter business is built on ripping people off over this premise btw. Agora financial, Motley Fool, etc...this is what they do.