Is that a career metric or a 2020 metric?Dynasty DeLorean wrote: ↑Mon Nov 23, 2020 3:34 amDerrick Henry has 550 yards @4.1 ypc and 2 tds in first half of games and 1,000 yards @5.8 ypc and 14 tds in the 2nd half.mgscott wrote: ↑Sun Nov 22, 2020 6:27 pmYeah. It's amazing how that works.Cowboysfan33 wrote: ↑Sun Nov 22, 2020 6:13 pm Nice game for J.Taylor today, 22-90 and 4-24. It’s almost like RBs need more touches to get going sometimes.
People just don’t get not every player is the same
Even if it's career, it is far, far, far, far, far, far, far, far, far and away an outlier.
NFL.com recently updated their website and now you can only look up these stats for the most recent season, not over a whole career, which is annoying so I can't check it myself. Prior to that change though I remember doing a study on this and basically every RB of note saw their YPC decrease throughout the time of game and throughout their number of carries. That is, for basically every significant RB, their YPC in the 4th quarter was worse than their YPC in the 1st quarter, and their YPC in carries 25+ was worse than their YPC in carries 1-10.
Emmitt, LT2, Peterson, Edge, CMart, Bettis, Marshawn, etc.
The notion that a RB gets stronger as the game goes on is complete fallacy imho. Statistics back this up. Even more obviously, logic does too. The notion that one guy getting hit on every rush and carrying the load is "wearing down" a defense of 11 players, half of whom do nothing on most rusing plays, and who are constantly rotating in and out with rest, is absurd.
Again, analytics back this up. Traditionally, other than maybe the odd exception well within the realm of statistical variance, if a RB isn't great in their first 10 carries they are not going to be great in carries 25+. Both analytically and logically it makes no sense that a running back "gets better as the game goes on", and it's one of the silliest common sayings in all of professional sports right next door to the people who for decades clung to "but the rookie hasn't proven anything on an NFL field yet, so he can't possibly be better than a veteran already."