Atlanta's defense won't be comically bad, but it'll still be bad.IZigUZag wrote: ↑Mon Jun 29, 2020 3:57 pmHe fits the situation Godwin was in, but he's currently being valued too highly for 2 reasons:StripesOfKC wrote: ↑Mon Jun 29, 2020 3:27 pmAs of now I'll say Ridley fits best but I don't see an older player like him taking the kind of jump Godwin did or Julio giving up his alpha role a easily, especially considering the history he and Matt Ryan have--and also have to consider that a lot of the vacated targets are Hooper's and they did bring in Hurst
1. I think his ceiling is not nearly as high despite him being valued where Godwin was last season based on ADP... Godwin put up elite numbers whenever he had a starting role in that offense, as early as his rookie year when he took over for an injured DJax and outproduced Ridley despite being as low as 5th on the pecking order in TB vs 3rd for Ridley who was blocked somewhat by a TE. So based on their inherent talent levels, I don't think he should be valued at the same ADP Godwin went at last season based on their floors being similar and different ceilings.
2. ATL's defense has degraded after key injuries to Keanu Neal and Dion Jones the past two years. Their defense isn't actually that bad when those playmakers are healthy. Maybe they get injured again, but it's also possible they don't which would limit passing volume.
Also, before Ridley went out for the season, he was on pace for 77/1065/8.
Between Hooper, Freeman, and Sanu, Atlanta lost 209 targets from last season. They added Gurley, Hayden Hurst, and who's their 3rd WR? Gage? Atlanta has a very defined pecking order in their passing offense right now between Julio, Ridley, and nothing else. Those two are going to get spoonfed on a team that's going to be playing from behind a lot.
Ridley may not be as good as Godwin, but this is the exact same script that led to Godwin's breakout. Barring injury, I'd honestly be shocked if Ridley doesn't have a big year.